Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    ""Riding with a hidden or blind wave"" :D


    Predictions for 2 May to 6 May 2005


    GOLD


    Last week gold remained in range as predicted but the up and down movements came on different days. It does not inspire confidence when something goes down on a positive day and goes up on a negative one. I therefore cannot predict a strong upward move as time is making fools of us. I therefore advise that you stay away from any long term buying position.


    During this week, Monday will be the weak day for gold, Tuesday will remain positive, whereas it will move on both sides come Wednesday. Any downward trend can therefore be taken as a buying opportunity, while a strong rise till Friday should be taken as a selling opportunity, such that you won’t be carrying any position into next week.


    The current time is still directionless for gold. Therefore consider carefully before you put your hard earned money into it. I am still waiting for the right timing before I give you the alert to buy. June should be for gold while silver will also strongly move up during next month.
    I am sure that you must have sold gold as advised on Friday. Though it is trading above the important astrological support ($428.80), it still looks weak to me :D,
    Until it breaks $439.20.


    SILVER


    Silver has broken an important astrological support of $7.11 (which I indicated in last week’s newsletter). Until it crosses this level once more, it will remain directionless. Don’t therefore trade in it with big quantities.


    Wait till it crosses $7.11.


    Tuesday could be a positive day for silver but overall this week will remain directionless.


    Like gold, June will also be a good month for silver.


    CURRENCIES


    The dollar index will trade within the trading range during this week, with Friday’s close being above last week’s close or new high of 2005. All other currencies will remain directionless and will continue moving down.
    I am not at all excited about talk of Yuan revaluation and I don’t know you Yen and other currencies went up on Friday. They are telling to sell them.


    My recommendation is that one should accumulate the dollar index if it goes to USD/Index 84.



    ....... if it doesn't ....http://www.superlaugh.com/than…stamp=2005_05_02_04_07_54


    ..... and if it does.....
    http://www.guzer.com/videos/numa_numa.php

    Gold May Rise as Alternative Asset to U.S. Stocks, Survey Shows


    May 2 (Bloomberg) -- Gold may rise this week on speculation investors will buy the metal as an alternative to slumping U.S. equities, a Bloomberg survey showed.


    Twenty-four of 50 traders, investors and analysts surveyed from Melbourne to New York April 28 and April 29 advised buying gold, which rose 50 cents last week to $436.10 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Eighteen recommended selling the metal, and eight were neutral.


    Gold climbed 13 percent in the past year, reaching a 16-year high of $458.70 in December, as a declining dollar sent investors looking for alternatives to U.S. assets. Newmont Mining Corp. President Pierre Lassonde said demand for gold is so strong that metal refiners in Switzerland and Australia are ``working 24- seven putting product out.''


    ``People are very keen to use gold as an alternative currency, an alternative asset,'' Lassonde, 58, said in an April 27 telephone interview from the company's headquarters in Denver. Newmont is the world's largest gold producer.


    Gold's 0.1 percent gain in New York last week was anticipated by a majority of analysts surveyed April 21 and April 22, who predicted a gain. Bloomberg's survey accurately forecast the direction of gold prices in 31 of 53 weeks, or 58 percent of the time. Gold rose 1.2 percent last month, and is up 13 percent from a year ago.


    Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased their net-long position in Comex gold futures by 20 percent to 137,777 contracts in the week ended April 26, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission said April 29. A futures contract is an obligation to buy or sell a commodity at a set price by a specific date.


    Link to Dollar


    The rally in gold over the past year has largely been linked to a drop in the dollar against the euro. Gold rose last week even as the dollar gained against the euro.


    ``People are buying gold to preserve capital,'' said Ian MacDonald, managing director of precious metals trading in New York at International Assets Holding Corp., an Altamonte Springs, Florida-based brokerage and asset-management company. ``If you look at the fundamentals of the euro, the yen and the dollar, none of them are good.''


    Gold has moved in line with the euro's change against the dollar, at a correlation coefficient of 0.66 this year. The maximum reading is 1. The coefficient measures the degree in which two variables move in unison. As much as 95 percent of gold's price is inversely correlated to the dollar, Newmont's Lassonde said.


    Regain Appeal


    ``Gold will regain its earlier appeal as the dollar rally is temporary and the bubble may burst in the next few weeks,'' said Jay Mehta, managing director of Mumbai-based Maximus Commodities.


    The appeal of precious metals also has improved as U.S. stocks declined because of concern for slowing U.S. economic growth and inflation, said Michael Martin, a broker at stock and bond brokerage company R.F. Lafferty & Co. in New York.


    ``People can't figure out what to do in the stock market, and they can't figure out bonds,'' Martin said. ``People are very nervous, and that's a good environment for gold.''


    The Dow Jones Industrial Average, up 0.3 percent last week, fell 3 percent last month and is down 0.8 percent over the past year. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note's yield has dropped half a percentage point from its high of 4.69 percent this year in March even as the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates.


    `Bullish for Gold'


    The Federal Reserve tomorrow is expected to raise its target for overnight bank lending to 3 percent, below the 3.1 percent annual U.S. inflation rate in March, based on a Bloomberg survey of 93 economists.


    ``Real short-term interest rates are still low to negative, and that traditionally has been bullish for gold,'' said Michael Cuggino, who manages $350 million at San Francisco-based Pacific Heights Asset Management LLC, including about 115,000 ounces of gold bars stored in bank vaults.


    Newmont's Lassonde predicts gold will trade between $425 and $475 an ounce this year.


    ``For the first time in three years, we're going to see the gold price going up at the same time as we might see the dollar firming up, because of the perceived rise in interest rates,'' Lassonde said. Gold may rise on its own, either as investors seek a hedge against declines in stock and bond prices or as gold takes on a role as a currency on its own, he said.


    Stocks are trading at a historically high ratio to gold, at 23 to 1, based on the Dow Jones Industrial Average at about 10,200 and gold at $436, Lassonde said. Over the past 100 years, the ratio peaked at 42.35 to 1 in August 1999 and went to as low as 1.33 to 1 in 1980, when gold reached $873, he said.


    `Room To Go Up'


    ``When you look back in history, it's quite interesting, the ratio always comes back,'' Lassonde said. ``You could have the Dow coming down appreciably from here, but it still leaves an awful lot of room for gold to go up.''


    The economic slowdown that is hurting stocks may also hurt gold, said Thomas Au, an analyst at financial consulting company R.W. Wentworth in New York.


    Slower growth reduces investor concern inflation will accelerate, making gold less appealing as an alternative, said Au, who has correctly predicted the weekly direction of gold prices 61 percent of the time in the Bloomberg survey. He expects gold prices to fall this week, the first decline he has predicted since the survey began last year.

    Goldpreis nimmt Anlauf auf Rekordhoch


    02.05.2005 Wolfgang Wrzesniok-Roßbach - Financial Times Deutschland - http://www.ftd.de


    Nach deutlichen Kursgewinnen am Freitag nähert sich der Goldpreis dem Hoch von 456,50 $ je Unze. Vor genau einem halben Jahr, am 2. Dezember 2004, hatte der Preis diesen langjährigen Rekordwert erreicht.

    Händler erwarten ?( in dieser Woche trotz der Feiertage in England und Japan einen Test der ersten Widerstandslinie bei 442 $ je Unze. Sollte sie genommen werden, läge die nächste Hürde bei 447,50 $.


    Ende vergangener Woche hatten vor allem Gerüchte über eine mögliche Aufwertung der chinesischen Währung für Goldkäufe gesorgt. Zuletzt kostete eine Unze 436,00 $. Positive Analystenkommentare beschleunigten die Rally. Die Marktbeobachter von Gold Fields Mineral Services hatten in ihrem Jahresbericht geschrieben, ein Anstieg des Goldpreises auf bis zu 500 $ je Unze sei möglich.


    Bis Freitag jedoch war die Stimmung am Goldmarkt mäßig. Nach schlechten Wirtschaftszahlen aus Europa und den USA fielen die Notierungen für die anderen, vorwiegend industriell genutzten Edelmetalle zunächst deutlich und rissen den Goldpreis mit nach unten. Dazu kam, dass der Euro zum Dollar zulegte. Gold kostete zeitweise nur noch 430,25 $ je Unze.


    Vergangene Woche wurde deutlich, dass Minengesellschaften keineswegs automatisch von steigenden Goldpreisen profitieren. Mehrere große Produzenten meldeten fallende Gewinne. Als Gründe nannten die Unternehmen unvorteilhafte Wechselkurse, höhere Kosten und zum Teil auch eine gefallene Produktion.


    Im Gegensatz zum Gold tendierten andere Edelmetalle vergangene Woche leichter. Der Platinpreis fiel zeitweise auf rund 880 $ je Unze und damit um beinahe 20 $. Der Silberkurs schwankte stark. Er sank von 7,25 $ je Unze bis Donnerstag auf 6,80 $. Dies war der tiefste Stand seit Anfang Februar.


    Wolfgang Wrzesniok-Roßbach ist Produktmanager Edelmetalle und Rohstoffe bei Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein.

    hpopth


    Ich bin froh das ich nicht der einzige bin dem es aufgefallen ist.
    Letzten Monat war es auch so. Sicher da spielt auch Merkur mit aber ich bin kein profi um dieses genau zu erklaeren bzw. zu beweisen.Ich habe mal im Astro thread bei spica es erwaehnt aber es ist dort untergegangen.Waere interessant mal die Mond Zyklen mit dem HUI bzw.Goldpreis zu vergleichen.
    Somit sollte es aufwaertsgehen zwischen 8-20 Mai 2005.
    So ueber den Daumen gepeilt ist es ratsam kurz vor New Moon zu kaufen und kurz vor Gibbous Moon zu verkaufen oder kaufen.
    Wie auch immer, wer seine Emotionen kontrollieren kann,der wird auch seine Finanzen kontrollieren. ;)


    Ich habe die Liste begonnen und werde sie nachtraeglich eintragen
    um zu verfolgen ob etwas an dieser Theorie stimmt.



    Moon phases February 2005


    2 Feb 2005, at 7:26 am - Last Quarter Moon 421.60 :rolleyes:
    5 Feb 2005, at 5:49 pm - Balsamic Moon 415.00
    8 Feb 2005, at 10:27 pm - New Moon 411.00 :rolleyes:
    12 Feb 2005, at 6:09 am - Crescent Moon 420.00
    16 Feb 2005, at 12:15 am - First Quarter Moon 423.10
    20 Feb 2005, at 2:45 am - Gibbous Moon 427.00 :rolleyes:
    24 Feb 2005, at 4:53 am - Full Moon 433.00
    28 Feb 2005, at 2:19 am - Disseminating Moon 435.00


    Moon phases March 2005


    3 Mar 2005, at 5:36 pm - Last Quarter Moon 430.00 :rolleyes:
    7 Mar 2005, at 2:26 am - Balsamic Moon 433.00
    10 Mar 2005, at 9:10 am - New Moon 439.50
    13 Mar 2005, at 9:16 pm - Crescent Moon 442.00 :rolleyes:
    17 Mar 2005, at 7:18 pm - First Quarter Moon 438.60
    21 Mar 2005, at 10:12 pm - Gibbous Moon 432.00 :rolleyes:
    25 Mar 2005, at 8:58 pm - Full Moon 425.00
    29 Mar 2005, at 1:17 pm - Disseminating Moon 425.50


    Moon phases April 2005


    2 Apr 2005, at 12:50 am - Last Quarter Moon 424.00 :rolleyes:
    5 Apr 2005, at 9:56 am - Balsamic Moon 425.00
    8 Apr 2005, at 8:31 pm - New Moon 426.00
    12 Apr 2005, at 1:38 pm - Crescent Moon 427.30 :rolleyes:
    16 Apr 2005, at 2:37 pm - First Quarter Moon 425.00
    20 Apr 2005, at 4:06 pm - Gibbous Moon 433.20 :rolleyes:
    24 Apr 2005, at 10:06 am - Full Moon 434.00
    27 Apr 2005, at 9:15 pm - Disseminating Moon 434.50


    Moon phases May 2005


    1 May 2005, at 6:23 am - Last Quarter Moon 429.00 :rolleyes:
    4 May 2005, at 5:25 pm - Balsamic Moon 429.70
    8 May 2005, at 8:45 am - New Moon 426.00
    12 May 2005, at 6:26 am - Crescent Moon ?( X( 424.25
    16 May 2005, at 8:56 am - First Quarter Moon 419.00
    20 May 2005, at 7:29 am - Gibbous Moon :rolleyes:
    23 May 2005, at 8:17 pm - Full Moon
    27 May 2005, at 3:19 am - Disseminating Moon
    30 May 2005, at 11:47 am - Last Quarter Moon


    Moon phases June 2005


    3 Jun 2005, at 1:54 am - Balsamic Moon
    6 Jun 2005, at 9:54 pm - New Moon
    10 Jun 2005, at 11:02 pm - Crescent Moon
    15 Jun 2005, at 1:22 am - First Quarter Moon
    18 Jun 2005, at 7:58 pm - Gibbous Moon
    22 Jun 2005, at 4:13 am - Full Moon
    25 Jun 2005, at 8:54 am - Disseminating Moon
    28 Jun 2005, at 6:23 pm - Last Quarter Moon


    Moon phases July 2005


    2 Jul 2005, at 12:09 pm - Balsamic Moon
    6 Jul 2005, at 12:02 pm - New Moon
    10 Jul 2005, at 2:55 pm - Crescent Moon
    14 Jul 2005, at 3:19 pm - First Quarter Moon
    18 Jul 2005, at 5:45 am - Gibbous Moon
    21 Jul 2005, at 11:00 am - Full Moon
    24 Jul 2005, at 3:24 pm - Disseminating Moon
    28 Jul 2005, at 3:18 am - Last Quarter Moon


    Moon phases August 2005


    1 Aug 2005, at 12:42 am - Balsamic Moon
    5 Aug 2005, at 3:04 am - New Moon
    9 Aug 2005, at 5:35 am - Crescent Moon
    13 Aug 2005, at 2:38 am - First Quarter Moon
    16 Aug 2005, at 1:37 pm - Gibbous Moon
    19 Aug 2005, at 5:52 pm - Full Moon
    22 Aug 2005, at 11:59 pm - Disseminating Moon
    26 Aug 2005, at 3:17 pm - Last Quarter Moon
    30 Aug 2005, at 3:47 pm - Balsamic Moon


    Moon phases September 2005


    3 Sep 2005, at 6:45 pm - New Moon
    7 Sep 2005, at 6:35 pm - Crescent Moon
    11 Sep 2005, at 11:36 am - First Quarter Moon
    14 Sep 2005, at 8:36 pm - Gibbous Moon
    18 Sep 2005, at 2:00 am - Full Moon
    21 Sep 2005, at 11:27 am - Disseminating Moon
    25 Sep 2005, at 6:40 am - Last Quarter Moon
    29 Sep 2005, at 9:13 am - Balsamic Moon


    Moon phases October 2005


    3 Oct 2005, at 10:27 am - New Moon
    7 Oct 2005, at 5:45 am - Crescent Moon
    10 Oct 2005, at 7:00 pm - First Quarter Moon
    14 Oct 2005, at 3:50 am - Gibbous Moon
    17 Oct 2005, at 12:13 pm - Full Moon
    21 Oct 2005, at 2:08 am - Disseminating Moon
    25 Oct 2005, at 1:16 am - Last Quarter Moon
    29 Oct 2005, at 4:12 am - Balsamic Moon


    Moon phases November 2005


    2 Nov 2005, at 1:24 am - New Moon
    5 Nov 2005, at 3:22 pm - Crescent Moon
    9 Nov 2005, at 1:56 am - First Quarter Moon
    12 Nov 2005, at 12:17 pm - Gibbous Moon
    16 Nov 2005, at 12:57 am - Full Moon
    19 Nov 2005, at 7:52 pm - Disseminating Moon
    23 Nov 2005, at 10:10 pm - Last Quarter Moon
    27 Nov 2005, at 11:17 pm - Balsamic Moon


    Moon phases December 2005


    1 Dec 2005, at 3:00 pm - New Moon
    5 Dec 2005, at 12:12 am - Crescent Moon
    8 Dec 2005, at 9:36 am - First Quarter Moon
    11 Dec 2005, at 10:41 pm - Gibbous Moon
    15 Dec 2005, at 4:15 pm - Full Moon
    19 Dec 2005, at 3:57 pm - Disseminating Moon
    23 Dec 2005, at 7:35 pm - Last Quarter Moon
    27 Dec 2005, at 4:50 pm - Balsamic Moon

    May 2 – Gold $428.80 down $5.50 – Silver $6.81 down 6 cents


    Nothing so completely baffles one who is full of trick and duplicity himself, than straightforward and simple integrity in another.
    ..Charles Caleb Colton, author and clergyman (1780-1832)


    GO GATA!!!


    London was closed for May Day, a holiday in much of Europe. Thus, the physical market was closed for all practical purposes, making it a perfect time for The Gold Cartel to take gold back down by turning the funds into sellers once again. X(


    Same standard cabal drill over the past two days. They capped the price on Friday, then turned the market immediately lower in the Access Market last night, and hit the market today. This triggered fund selling with The Gold Cartel and other bullion dealers turning buyers as the day wore on. Thus the cabal forces managed to book another $6 to $8 in profits for two days worth on US anti-trust violation work. Ain’t it grand?


    Once again we see a one day turnaround between price capping by The Gold Cartel and then buying back those shorts, which is why gold flatlined on the downside after the early morning shellacking. In the old days this process often took months. This suggests, once again, the cabal is near the end of the their rope at these price levels. The cash market is just too strong.


    Certainly today’s takedown was not about the dollar. It only rose .03 to 84.45. The euro only lost .05 to 128.74. As a result, the euro price of gold fell all the way back to 333.41. EVERY time it breaks out, The Gold Cartel slams it, nullifying any progress made on the upside to entice foreign investors.


    One rumor circulating on the floor was that legendary futures trader Paul Tudor Jones bought the equivalent of 10,000 contracts in the cash market on Friday as he expected the Chinese to revalue their currency over the weekend. When it did not occur, he pitched his trade. Maybe true, maybe not. It is difficult to believe any of these rumors when it comes to gold. The disinformation re the gold market is like no other as MIDAS has documented for more than half a decade.


    However, it would explain the massive buying of gold by the dealers (Gold Cartel) early on Friday, followed by enormous cabal selling.


    The STALKER’s London gold source is furious. The news is heretofore he was not too keen on what GATA has to say. Now he says GATA is correct. This was an orchestrated plan to cap the gold price, according to this veteran British gold trader. He has been saying for some time he believed the US is trying to take the dollar up to 86 to alleviate interest rate pressures in the US due to our acknowledged rising inflation. This also fits into the MIDAS commentary the past many weeks of why the dollar has been rising even though our interest rates were falling.


    The gold open interest rose 4478 contracts to 302,614, which represents new spec buying and cabal oriented selling. Friday’s rally was not inspired by short-covering.


    Gold took out support at $429/$430. What does it mean? Little I think. About as much as it meant taking those price levels out on the upside. From a big picture standpoint little has changed. The key to the price revolves around available central bank cabal gold supply versus the surging physical market AND whether some extraneous financial market event is so disruptive to the system it makes The Gold Cartel’s short position untenable.


    Silver dropped to pivotal key support at $6.74 where it encountered strong hand buying. It held exactly where it had to. Make that VERY strong hand buying according to Café sources.


    The silver open interest rose 2425 contracts to 107,264.


    The oil bears may have seen all they are going to get. After making a new low for the move down below $50 per barrel, crude turned around with a vengeance, closing at $50.95, up $1.23.

    Und hiermit uebergebe ich die weiteren Postings unseren 5 Sterne Mega Moderator Peter Silie der nicht mal weiss wo es eine Goldchart zum anschaun gibt.
    Er wird Euch sicherlich auch mit Gata LMC News versorgen und fuer Qualitaet anstatt Quantitaet buergen.
    Ich mache es nun genauso wie Schwabenpfeil und spare mir viel Zeit, anstatt meiner Meinung interessante Artikel hier reinzulegen die dieses Thema betreffen.
    Experten wie Peter und Option63 werden die Goldseiten(forum) noch lesenswerter machen, dass glauben sie zumindest. :D
    Es geht mir bestimmt nicht darum hier durch postings punkte zusammeln, ich pfeif auf den Titel ob nun Gruenschnabel oder Foren Gott. Von dem habe ich so und so nichts als nur Aerger von Denunziaten und Neidern die anscheinend Minderwertigkeitskomplexe haben mit ihrer Rangstufe,bzw.Titel und meiner Meinung nicht mal von Tuten oder Blasen eine Ahnung haben.


    Viel Glueck und herzlichen Gruss an die Leser die meine Postings hier geschaetzt haben.


    So, Peter Silly, its all yours !!!

Schriftgröße:  A A A A A