Beiträge von keepitshort

http://www.forbes.com/2003/01/31/cz_rl_0131gold.html

der Chart war auch immer interessant
wenn man China betrachtet

[Blockierte Grafik: http://images.forbes.com/images/2003/01/31/dow_gold_2_426x350.gif]

ist alles nur eine Idee
die Märkte verhalten sich oft über eine längere Zeit irrational

Beim googeln gefunden.

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/press.asp?cat_id=6&rls_id=679

Electrifying Investment News (by Sean Brodrick)
2/3/2007 8:00:00 AM (3rd-Februar-2007)

The Chinese government announced that inflation in China will nearly double in the next 12 months!

Look. The last time something like that happened was in the early 1970s, here in the U.S., and Americans naturally began a frantic search for ways to shield their wealth.

Luckily for us, private gold ownership had just been legalized here — and between 1973 and 1980, demand from 225 million inflation-shocked Americans launched gold prices from $64 to more than $850 per ounce.

Here’s the kicker: China’s population is five times larger than ours was then — a mind-blowing 1.3 billion — and private gold ownership has just been made legal in China!

May 17, 2007
TedBits
by Ty Andros

http://www.safehaven.com/article-7570.htm

My wife was at the bank in Shenzhen last week, in the "VIP room" at the bank lines of people were lined up to withdraw their savings to rush headlong into these speculative frenzies in Shenzhen and Shanghai. A woman next to her was withdrawing 2 million Yuan (about $250,000 dollars, a fortune in China), and taking it in a shopping bag to her new brokerage account. Every one there had their own story, but they all had one common theme, BUY STOCKS! The regular bank lobbies were mob scenes of people rushing to withdraw their savings. Every bank had long lines. They are selling their homes, hocking the jewelry, anything to get liquid. Rich and poor alike are withdrawing their money and throwing it at the market.

bitte den ganzen Artikel lesen
die Mentalität erscheint mir, die heben einfach das Geld bar ab und
zahlen das Geld bar irgendwo ein.

diese Mentalität ist günstig, denn wenn die Aktienkurse in Shanghai fallen
dann heben diese Leute das Geld wieder bar ab
und kaufen vielleicht beim nächsten Goldhändler mit barem Geld
Goldmünzen oder Silbermünzen.

Ist aber nur eine Momentaufnahme
die uns Europäern mit online-banking und EC-Karte nicht mehr
bekannt ist.

auratico
date: 10.Okt.07
time: 18:42

Shanghai stock exchange´s historic
KGV60
KGV60 war da ja schon mal im Jahr- 2000

könntest Du die Quelle als URL-Adresse für diesen Chart liefern
hab im Internet gesucht aber nichts gefunden.

der Chart ist echt gut
denn ich erwarte vom Shanghai-Index den nächsten Trigger für
die optimistischen Aktienmärkte.

So ein Trigger für einen sinkenden Shanghai-Index könnte
auch ein Trigger für einen steigenden Gold und Silbermarkt sein

wenn die Chinesen Aktien verkaufen und ihr Geld irgendwo deponieren müssen.

in den USA gibts doch den Patriot-Act

um eine gewisse Gefahr von der USA abzuwenden

kann der Patriot-Act auch in einer US-Finanzkrise genutzt werden
um finanziellen Schaden von der USA abzuwenden

dann wären also die Deutschen Goldreserven im Notfall für immer
verloren.

http://www.bullionpage.de

spread
teilweise 20%
man müsste jetzt noch wissen ob da noch die MWSt dazukommt.

da viele bei Altersvorsorge ihre Stimme abgeben

Habe einen Onkel der hat seine Altersvorsorge in Antiquitäten angelegt
hier hat man aber das Problem
das Einkaufen ist sehr einfach
aber den Käufer zu finden ist etwas schwerer

man kann seine Antiquitäten beim Händer
z.B. Antiquitäten-Auktionshaus Nagel in Stuttgart abliefern
aber die verlangen ca. 20% vom Verkaufspreis.

ähnlich verhält es sich mit Münzen
die hat man schnell beim Händler gekauft

aber wie sieht es mit dem Verkauf aus

wie hoch ist die Differenz zwischen Kaufpreis und Verkaufspreis.

irgenwo bei http://www.wallstreet-online.de habe
ich da vor kurzem einen Link zu einer Internetseite gesehen
wo der spread schön aufgelistet war.

werde mal kurz suchen

hier nochmal die URL-Adresse zum Text.

http://silverstrategies.com/story.aspx?local=1&id=9194

In January 1980 when the precious metals reached their historic peak, the ratio=gold:silver=17 touched 17. Subsequently, as order was restored to the dollar and people throughout the 1980's became less fearful about inflation, the ratio climbed, as would be expected by my theory. The ratio eventually rose to over 100 in the early 1990's, and has been in a downtrend ever since

you know
chart-analysis
is like driving on a highway
by looking too often in the
review-mirror

Hatte in Englisch immer Note-4 aber es reicht um Dinge
verständlich und interessant rüberzubringen.
Hoffe ich langweile Euch nicht zu sehr.

In January 1980 when the precious metals reached their historic peak, the ratio=gold:silver=17 touched 17. Subsequently, as order was restored to the dollar and people throughout the 1980's became less fearful about inflation, the ratio climbed, as would be expected by my theory. The ratio eventually rose to over 100 in the early 1990's, and has been in a downtrend ever since

URL-Adresse:
http://www.markt-daten.de/daten/daten.htm

Bild-Adresse:

[Blockierte Grafik: http://www.markt-daten.de/daten/charts/au-ag-ratio.gif]

http://silverstrategies.com/story.aspx?local=1&id=9194

Okay, that being so, how high can silver eventually go in this bull market? A wise guy would tell you to go ask a Weimar survivor, but I won't. Instead, I'll say it'll go to somewhere around 1/20th of an ounce of gold.

In 1980, it went to something like 1/17th whereas you could buy an ounce of gold for seventeen ounces of silver. Right now an ounce of gold will cost you about 55 ounces.

At that point you'll want to reassess where we are in the economic world.

nHuge Increase in Billionaires, Multi Millioaires and High Net Worth Individuals ( HNWI )
There are approximately 70,000 ultra-HNWIs who have a net worth of more than $30 million.

Kleinvieh macht auch Mist ( zum Düngen )
http://www.silver-investor.com/archives/index.html

Another positive factor for silver is that China will be hosting the 2008 Olympics, and silver coin sets are produced for all modern Olympic events. Although perhaps a small factor, if the silver coin sets became popular among the Chinese people, with a population of 1.4 billion people, this could have a greater effect on the silver market than most realize.

nicht nur die physische Knappheit ist entscheidend
sondern auch der relativ kleine Silbermarkt auf Dollarbasis
und somit könnten hedge-funds
oder einige sehr reiche Erdenbewohner den Silbermarkt beeinflussen

die Geschichte hat dies ja am Beispield der Gebrüder Hundt im Jahr 1979
gezeigt.

http://www.moneyweek.com/file/…price-is-set-to-soar.html

According to the CPM Group, there are some 300 million ounces of refined silver in the world. That means that with silver priced at $14/oz., there is about $4.2 billion (300 million oz x $14) dollars worth of silver in the world. This means that the total silver market capitalisation is a very small $4.2 billion.

Huge Increase in Billionaires, Multi Millionaires and High Net Worth Individuals ( HNWI )
There are approximately 70,000 ultra-HNWIs who have a net worth of more than $30 million.

Again due to the incredibly small size of the global silver market if even only a percentage of the roughly 9,000 to 10,000 hedge funds in the world decide to take positions in the silver market the price will increase in value by multiples.

http://www.silverbrothers.com/

http://www.investmentrarities.com/01-04-05.html

Also in silver we have a unique geological circumstance, known as "epithermal deposition", which holds that most of the silver in the earth’s crust was deposited near the surface. Consequently, there is less silver available the deeper you go. For a mineral (like-silver) mined and exploited for five thousand years,

Also in silver we have a unique geological circumstance, known as "epithermal deposition", which holds that most of the silver in the earth’s crust was deposited near the surface. Consequently, there is less silver available the deeper you go. For a mineral (like-silver) mined and exploited for five thousand years,

Commodity // Production // Reserves // Resource Base // Reserves // Resource Base
(………Metric Tons………..) (… .Years Remaining…)

Silver // Production-20,000 // 270,000 // 570,000 // Reserves-14-years // Resource-Base-29-years

am besten selbst mal den link anklicken

Note: Platinum, Palladium, and Aluminum all have resource bases in excess of 100 years of production, and as such they are not displayed.
If the U.S Geological Data can be trusted, then silver is the rarest of all the metals left in the world, in relative terms, with a maximum of 29 years left of production using current resource numbers. Many argue that a dramatic increase in the price of silver will soon be leveled with the ramping up of production. There are several problems with this argument, especially in light of the above data.

http://www.silverinscripture.com/articles.php?id=30

Newly Mined silver must replenish supply, but a geological problem stands in the way: Epithermal deposition or condensation near the earth's surface. Simply put, the richest silver deposits are nearest the surface of the earth. The deeper mines go, the less silver they tend to produce. The deeper the mine, the more expensive the silver."

auch das Sammeln von Daten
mit Satellitenbildern, Satelittennavigation macht die geologische Forschung
viel einfacher.
Man kann mit einem GPS-System genau den Fundort festlegen
ohne grosse Messungen.
Auch die elektronische Aufzeichnung von geologischem Untergrund
ist viel einfacher.

http://www.dailyreckoning.co.u…utureisuncertain0324.html

Silver 29 Jahre

der Club of Rome machte seine Forschungen 1972
und man kann die Berechnungen, Datensammlung und Datenaufbereitung
nicht mit der Zeit vom Jahr 2006 vergleichen.
Jeder 1,6 GHz Prozessor und jede 20 Gigabyte Festplatte im Jahr 2006
würde jede Grossrechenanlage von 1972 in der Datenaufbereitung schlagen.

More recently in 1972 a best-selling book called the Limits of Growth by the Club of Rome picked up on the this old worry. Amongst its many predictions gold would run out by 1981, silver and mercury in 1985 and zinc in 1990.