Wiederholungsübung
http://www.goldseiten.de/conte…php?storyid=11060&seite=0
Verfasst von
Theodore
Butler am 16.07.2009 um 7:27 Uhr
Die große Wende?
Ted Butler Commentary
July 13, 2009
[url]http://www.investmentrarities.com/ted_butler_comentary07-14-09.shtml[/url]
The Game Changer?
The Copper King: An Empire Built On Manipulation
by Andrew Beattie (Contact
Author |
Biography)
[url]http://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/08/mr-copper-commodities.asp[/url]
Smashing The Shorts
Hamanaka's manipulation was common knowledge among many speculators and hedge funds, and that he was
long in both physical holdings and futures in copper.
Whenever someone tried to short Hamanaka, however, he kept pouring cash into his positions,
outlasting the shorts simply by having deeper pockets. Hamanaka's long cash positions forced anyone shorting
copper to deliver the goods or close out their position at a premium.
(...)
Fallout
Sumitomo responded to the allegations by implicating JPMorgan Chase and
Merrill Lynch. Sumitomo blamed the two banks for keeping the scheme going by
granting loans to Hamanaka through structures like futures derivatives.
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[url]http://www.goldseiten.de/content/diverses/artikel.php?storyid=14691[/url]
http://www.silbernews.at/08news/silber/silbernews2010/index.php ---> 27.Okt 2010
http://www.silbernews.at/08news/silber/silbernews2010/271010-brandaktuell-cftc-zur-manipulation-des-s.php
CFTC zur Manipulation des Silbermarktes 27.Okt 2010
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http://www.silbernews.at/08new…silberpreis-drueckten.php
http://www.silbernews.at/08news/silber/silbernews2010/index.php ---> 29.Okt 2010
http://www.investor-verlag.de/wie-banken-den-silberpreis-drueckten-/111082351/#kommentar
Wie Banken den Silberpreis drückten 29.Okt 2010
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
interessante Silbernews in deutscher Sprache
in englischer Sprache gibts natürlich mehr Infos, wer sucht der findet 
By: Jeff Clark |
Thu, Oct 28, 2010
Due to increased demand from industry and investors, silver exports from
China are expected to drop about 40% this year. And that's actually an
improvement; customs data show exports plunged almost 60% through the first
eight months. China exported about 3,500 metric tons of silver in 2009, but has
exported only 970 tons through August of this year.
[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/18714/the-silver-sleuth[/url]
What a lot of Westerners don't know is that China ended export "rebates" two
years ago to stem the shipment of natural resources leaving the country. As a
result of the regulation, silver exports decreased in 2009 but are nothing like
what they're experiencing this year
What does this mean? It would take a full half-year of dedicated silver
production to cover these short positions. You only get positions like this when
there's significant illegitimate activity going on – not when normal producers
and consumers trade based on supply and demand. There's no way these short
positions represent a legitimate hedge against future price fluctuation – and
that's why the CFTC has been ordered to shut this down.
[url]http://www.caseyresearch.com/crpmkt/crpSolo.php?id=202&ppref=SHV202ED1010A[/url]
[Blockierte Grafik: http://www.caseyresearch.com/crpmkt/images/bg-60S-chart5.gif]
9 October, 2007
[url]http://news.silverseek.com/TedButler/1191951410.php[/url](..)
[Blockierte Grafik: http://silverseek.com/news/TedButler/2007/10-9tb.jpg]
I know of no legitimate economic reason
why silver
would have such a large concentrated short position, when compared to every other physical commodity. I conclude that the abberation in silver (and, to a lesser extent, gold) can only be explained by manipulation.
This is the point that the CFTC and the NYMEX continue to evade.
[url]http://www.goldseiten.de/content/diverses/artikel.php?storyid=13914[/url]
Auslöser und Antrieb für meinen Neuen-Mogambo-Silberkauf-Kreuzzug (NMSkK) war
die Lektüre Ed Steers Gold & Silver Daily. Im Bericht für Banken-Trading und
Derivataktivitäten herausgegeben vom Bankenaufsichtsamt (Comptroller of the
Currency) für das 1.Quartal 2010 war ihm aufgefallen, dass "2 US-Banken, JP Morgan
und HSBC, zwischen 97% und 99% der Gold- und Silberderivate aller US-Banken zusammen halten.
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http://inflation.us/articles.html
[url]http://inflation.us/silvershortsqueeze.html[/url]
April 3, 2010
Silver Short Squeeze Could Be Imminent
On December 11th, 2009 NIA declared silver the best investment for the next
decade. In our December 11th article, we said that it wasn't a coincidence that the
very day Bear Stearns failed was the same day silver reached its multi-decade high of over $21 per ounce.
We went on to say, "The reason why we believe the Federal Reserve was so eager to orchestrate a bailout of Bear Stearns, is because Bear Stearns was on the verge of being forced to cover their silver short position."
JP Morgan took over the concentrated short position in silver from Bear Stearns
and gained complete control over the paper price of silver. Within weeks, JP Morgan was able to
manipulate the price of silver down to below $9 per ounce. NIA
believes they were able to drive the price of silver down through "naked short
selling", selling paper silver that is unbacked by physical silver.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
[url]http://inflation.us/silverbestinvestment.html[/url]
December 11, 2009
NIA Declares Silver Best Investment for Next Decade
Besides the fact that the world has been ignoring the monetary value of silver,
silver prices are artificially low due to a large concentrated naked short
position. It's not a coincidence that the day silver reached its multi-decade high of over $21 per ounce
in March of 2008, was the same day Bear Stearns failed. Bear Stearns was a holder
of a massive short position in silver. In our opinion, this was likely a naked
short position because there is nobody in the world who owns such a large amount of silver
for Bear Stearns to have borrowed.
The reason why we believe the
Federal Reserve was so eager to orchestrate a bailout of Bear Stearns, is because
Bear Stearns was on the verge of being forced to cover their silver short position. Because
the silver market is so small and tightly held, if Bear Stearns was forced
to cover their short position, silver prices could've potentially rose to $50 per ounce or higher
overnight. The world would've seen how economically unstable our country is
and confidence in the U.S. dollar would've rapidly deteriorated.
JP Morgan still holds the silver short position they inherited from Bear Stearns. The concentrated naked short
position in silver today is the largest short position in the history of all commodities,
as a percentage of its market size.Eventually, JP Morgan will have to cover
this short position or it could jeopardize their existence.
The best evidence that the short position in silver is naked and not backed by real
silver, is the differential between what silver trades for on the Comex
and what real people are willing to pay for physical silver on eBay. Every hour on eBay, there are
dozens of one ounce silver coins selling for approximately $25.
That's about a 43% premium over the current spot price of silver.
With so much demand for physical silver
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/18658/four-facts-that-bang-jp-morgan-that-you-just-wont-hear-from-the-sell-side[/url]
Four Facts That Bang JP Morgan That You Just Won't
By: Reggie
Middleton | Fri, Oct 22, 2010
FACT ONE: First and Foremost, JP Morgan has been DESTROYING Shareholder Value
for TWO Years Running, and I Don't See It Getting Much Better Any Time Soon!
That Two Years Is Exclusive Of The Devastating 2008 Market Crash!
FACT TWO: ZIRP is Literally Starving JP Morgan
FACT THREE: The JP Morgan Foreclosure Pipeline is Not Only Packed Tight,
It Is Progressively Getting Much Worse As The Time To Foreclosure Extends AND
the Delinquency Rate Continues to Climb At The Same Time That Real Economic
Housing Sales Value Is At An All Time Low As Well - and Getting Worse!!!
Future Losses Are Mounting at an Incredible Pace Yet JPM is reducing
provisions due to improving credit metrics.
FACT FOUR: JP Morgan's Derivatives Portfolio Is STILL VASTLY Inferior To That of Bear
Stearns AND Lehman Brothers Just Before They Collapsed!!!
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
konstruktive kritische Anmerkungen und Tips sind erwünscht !!! Thank you, for your positiv feedback
Vorsicht hier könnte eine optische Täuschung entstehen !!!
solche linearen Darstellungen sind bei einer short-squeeze weniger hilfreich
dennoch kann man sich das Ganze mal ansehen !!!
den Abstand des aktuellen Tageskurs zur 200 Tagelinie bekommt man in grober Darstellung mit indicator PPO(1,200,1)
Hier habe ich wirklich Probleme dies alles umzusetzen
Why Did Japanese Traders Load Up on Silver Recently?
[url]http://seekingalpha.com/article/228593-why-did-japanese-traders-load-up-on-silver-recently[/url]
So when I saw that open interest on silver was spiking
on the Tokyo commodities exchange (TOCOM) over the past week, I put out the feelers for some reason
why - and why now?
www.statsweeper.com
---> TOCOM-open-interest ---> silver
www.statsweeper.com
---> latest alerts --->
After all, Japan's central bank has held interest rates near all time lows
for years on end. In addition, silver prices have been on a huge upswing.
So why would commodity traders in Japan start pumping up the volume on silver now?
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Reviewing the historical chart shows that Silver in JPY peaked at ~JPY 2,000 per ounce-of-silver in
March 2008.
Spot Silver in JPY is currently trading at ~JPY 1,900. The strengthening JPY
makes Silver not yet reaching the 2008 peak in Japan. Should it return to JPY 2,000, Silver
in USD will be around 24.
I wish Silver will at least hit 24 for this uptrend.
Oct 05 09:31 PM
[url]http://www.kitconet.com/webcharts/ag_en_yen.html[/url]
[url]http://silverchartsrus.com/[/url] ---> silver currency charts
Habe leider nicht die Zeit alles zu übersetzten
aber hier bei http://www.goldseiten.de kommen die Übersetzungen teilweise innerhalb von 8 Tagen auf der Hauptseite.
Back to the specific canaries hopefully worthy of your vigilance in the here
and now. Below are a series of charts, but they are just thematic examples. If
there is going to be muni trouble ahead,
we hope to "see" it first in these
vehicles long before it hits the Wall Street Journal, so to speak. First,
levered closed end muni bond funds
are a watch point for us in terms of
hopefully foreshadowing the dawning of a change in investor perceptions
regarding the macro muni market. We happen to have some exposure to the Nuveen
Cal Muni Fund (NVX) and the PIMCO Cal Muni Income Fund (PCQ).
[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/18398/qe-canaries-in-the-coal-mine[/url]
[Blockierte Grafik: http://static.safehaven.com/authors/contrary/18398_c.png]
denkt nochmal zurück
als bei VW-Stammaktien eine Short-Squeeze begonnen hatte
der Preis ging von ca. 100 Euro auf ca. 1000 Euro
müsste halt mal bei VW short-squeeze suchen !!!
Anyone following the futures market for silver know that the large commercial
traders, banks such as JP Morgan Chase (JPM), always win. That is until now.
Jeder der den Future-Silber-Markt verfolgt ist bekannt, dass die grossen
Commercial-Händler, Banken wie JP Morgan Chase immer gewinnen. Das ist bis jetzt
so gewesen.
[url]http://seekingalpha.com/article/229283-silver-the-house-always-wins-until-now[/url]
Something has drastically changed in the silver market.
The banks that once controlled the price of silver
are now closing positions at a loss.
Traders may begin to speculate on what has changed and why.
Some traders have reported that a large buyer is entering the market. Regardless of the
actual reason the commercial shorts have begun to bleed money.
And when blood spills, sharks will circle. Hedge funds
and traders that never even thought of silver before will begin to squeeze the
shorts. If the big banks don't quickly regain control of the
silver market they may lose it forever.
Irgendwas hat sich extrem verändert im Silbermarkt. Die Banken die sonst den
Silberpreis kontrollierten schliessen nun mit Verlust ihre Positionen.
Händler beginnen zu spekulieren was sich geändert hat und warum. Einige
Händler haben berichtet dass ein grosser Käufer den Markt betritt.
Abgesehen von dem aktuellen Hintergrund dass die Commercial-Shorts angefangen
haben zu bluten. Und wenn Blut ausläuft, dann werden die Haifische anfangen zu kreisen.
Hedgefunds und Händler die niemals daran gedacht haben
Silber zu handeln werden beginnen die Shorts auszupressen.
Wenn die grossen Banken nicht schnell die Kontrolle zurückgewinnen am
Silbermarkt dann dürften Sie für immer verlieren.
habe hier mal einen Chart zum overbought-market silver
reingestellt
ihr müsst mal einige Wochen zurückblättern und euch die angehängten Bilddateien ansehen
im Moment halte ich noch meine Silberminenaktien
jedoch wäre es nett wenn ihr hier einige Charts als bildliche Darstellung reinstellt
und dann kommt natürlich das Gegenargument
dass bei einer short-squeeze z.B. bei VW-Stammaktien die Charttechnik nicht mehr funktioniert
auch in einem manipuliertem Silbermarkt kann die Charttechnik teilweise Fehlsignale liefert
dennoch finde ich die Charttechnik wichtig um einen overbought-market zumindest zu erkennen
ob ihr verkauft oder nicht diese Entscheidung ist schwerer als die Kaufentscheidung.
Vor kurzem hat hier einer das Beispiel vom crude-oil-market genannt
da ging der Preis pro Barrel auch von ca. 30 US-$ bis 140 US-$
sind alles nur grobe Angaben
mein Gedächtnis ist leider nicht das beste oder ich kenne Kollegen
mit einem besseren Aufnahmevermögen aber im Finanzbereich sind die total gescheitert
Jeder kann es lernen Aktien zu kaufen und zu verkaufen
Jeder kann es lernen seine Lebensversicherung zu verkaufen und sich Gold und Silbermünzen kaufen
decision-making-process
sowas haben wir in der Schule einfach nicht gelernt
am Do. 30.Sept-2010 ist der Ölpreis durch die 200-Tagelinie nach oben gestiegen
und wenn ich am Fr.01.Okt-2010 den Silberpreis beobachte dann steigt er
am Fr. 01.Okt-2010ebenso verliert wieder der Wert vom US-Dollar gegenüber dem Euro
der ganze Fr. 01.Okt-2010 dürfte sehr interessant für den Silberpreis sein
ich bin noch voll in Silberminen investiert
würde aber gerne Verkaufssignale erhalten um bei steigendem Silberpeis zu verkaufen und neu einzukaufen
( Momentum traden ) mit extremen Abstand zu 200-Tagelinie
Zinsen 1979/1980 gegenüber dem Jahr-2010
By: David Galland
| Tue, Sep 28, 2010
[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/18361/debtflation[/url]
that inflation is the biggest driver of interest rates - you can also see that gold's stunning rise in the second half of the 1970s occurred during a period of strongly rising interest rates. So, rising interest rates and rising gold prices are not mutually exclusive.
[Blockierte Grafik: http://static.safehaven.com/authors/casey/18361_a.png]
The second difference between now and then becomes clear in the next chart showing that
while there certainly was an inflation problem during Volcker's reign,
there definitely was not a debt problem. At least not compared to today.
[Blockierte Grafik: http://static.safehaven.com/authors/casey/18361_b.png]
The implications of the nation's current debt load loom large in this discussion.
Aggressively raising interest rates, as Volcker did back in the day (1979),would not just dent today's U.S. economy, it would destroy it. As it would evaporate a significant amount of the trillions of dollars now sitting in government debt, much of it held by pensioners.
der Ansteig vom Silberpreis und Goldpreis
oder der Wertverfall vom US-Dollar
kommt zum richtigen Zeitpunkt
eben dann wenn der US-housingmarket nicht mehr steigt sondern weiter fällt
ist aber nur eines von mehreren indicators.
den Chart vom housing-market bekommt ihr bei http://www.stockcharts.com
Kürzel: $HGX
By: Reggie
Middleton | Fri, Sep 24, 2010
More Doom and Gloom Fire: Homebuilders
Making Better Money as Hedge Funds than Home Builders
[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/18311/more-doom-and-gloom-fire-homebuilders-making-better-money-as-hedge-funds-than-home-builders[/url]
Now, operating a hedge fund is the new Home Builder?
42% of profit from financial services! More than a quater of the profit from distresses loans and REO workouts? Leveraged distressed asset trading is the fastest growing
and most profitable segment!
HEY, WHAT ABOUT BUILDING THOSE HOUSES!
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/18310/yes-housing-prices-have-much-farther-to-fall-were-talking-years[/url]
Yes, Housing Prices Have Much Farther to Fall. We're
Talking Years.
By: Reggie
Middleton | Fri, Sep 24, 2010
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vor kurzem hat hier einer geschrieben
beim Rohölpreis dachte man auch dass der Preis pro Barrel nicht über 30 US-Dollar gehen kann
jedoch ging der Rohölpreis dann auf ca. 130 US-Dollar pro Barrel
By: Chris Mack |
Mon, Sep 27, 2010
[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/18350/how-realistic-is-5000-gold[/url]
http://www.mineweb.co.za/minew…d=111928&sn=Detail&pid=38
Silver per ounce in US-Dollar
Current SGS inflation adjusted high 2015 with 6% inflation... $ 594
Current SGS inflation adjusted high.............................. $ 447
1980 Dow to silver ratio of 25 to 1............................... $ 434
80% dollar devaluation and return to 1/16 gold..................$ 410
Adjusted by growth in money supply/gold supply................$ 276
Silver 1975-1980.................................................... $ 200
Current CPI adjusted high 2015 with 6% inflation............... $ 184
Current CPI adjusted high....................................... $ 139
Nasdaq 1995-2000, 6.66 factor................................... $ 136
80% dollar devaluation.............................................. $ 102
Nikkei 5yr 1985-1990, 3.63 factor............................... .. $ 74
Average,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,..... $ 272.36
While most of these statistics use the 1980 highs in gold and silver as a
proxy, there is much more potential for a greater move in precious metals now
because currency and economic imbalances are not confined to the U.S. but are
global. If the US dollar is devalued, it is likely that the Euro, Yen and other
currencies would also be devalued.While the 1970's bull market in gold and
silver was largely driven by U.S. buyers, a panic to buy precious metals within
the next 5 years will be driven globally.
da gibts noch so einen Spezialisten
Tom Szabo
aber da musste mal die anderen Forenmitglieder fragen
ist ganz einfach
Du stellst gute Infos hier ins Forum rein
und stellst dann die Frage.
Es reicht wenn Du mir sagen kannst
ob der US-Dollar oversold or overbought is.
Natürlich kannst Du Deine Chartanalyse mit Graphik verdeutlichen
Bilder mit Sprechblasen funktionierten schon bei den Mick-Maus-Heftchen
und dann sind wir schnell bei Donald-Duck wie er in seinen Goldmünzen badet.
Aber die Panzerknacker wollen Dir wieder Dein Gold abjagen !!!
Hier wirds schon etwas interessanter
Man muss nicht gleich alles verstehen.
Es ist wie in der Schule da lernt man auch manchmal 2 Wochen vor der Schulaufgabe !!!
http://www.resourcestockguide.com/comparison_table_page.php?p=4|4|4|0|0|33|0
Enterprise Value Per Unit (EVPU) shows how the stock market values each
unit of resource (ounce or pound) held by a company. To calculate this
value, Enterprise Value is divided by company in situ resources in
ounces or pounds.
Einfach mal EVPU anklicken
und ein bischen lesen
P.S.: Solche links und Internetadressen bekommt man wenn man hier im Forum ein bis zwei Mal die Woche
mitliest.
and don´t forget
sharing is caring
pass-it-on
Canadian Silver Mining Company Valuations For 2010-May-12
[url]http://www.goldminerpulse.com/silver-mining-valuations.php[/url]
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Canadian Silver Stocks List
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