Beiträge von gogh



    Ganz soweit ist es noch nicht.
    Und ein externes Ereignis kann alles aus dem
    Feuer reißen.


    Gibt´s das auch als Briefmarke?


    gogh

    PACIFIC ISLANDS REPORT


    With Support From Center for Pacific Islands Studies/University of Hawai‘i


    vom 28.04.05


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    LIHIR GOLD PLANS ANOTHER PNG GEOTHERMAL PLANT
    ==============================================


    By Baeau Tai


    PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea (The National, April 27) -
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



    Lihir Gold Ltd. says it is moving to rely heavily on geothermal power energy to save costs due to increasing fuel prices.


    The Papua New Guinea company has approved the construction of a 20-megawatt geothermal power station, which is an addition to the current 36 megawatt power plant already in place.


    The company has also announced expansion of its US$142 million (K461 million)


    flotation plant to increase production by agreeing to spend US$3 million (K9.7 million) for the Front End Engineering Design.


    Addressing the 2004 annual general meeting at Crowne Plaza yesterday, Lihir Gold Chairman Ross Garnaut said these two new announcements together with other significant developments should enable a very strong financial performance for the company this year, resulting in high return to shareholders in the future.


    The other significant developments will be the commissioning of the 30-megawatt power plant next month.


    Garnaut said this project is being delivered on time and on budget while construction of the 20 megawatt of geothermal power station is due to start shortly and expected to be commissioned early in the third quarter of 2006.


    "The company is also becoming confident that additional geothermal capacity will be available to dispense with all current carbon fuel generation needs and to provide capacity for processing expansion," said Garnaut.


    He said the company spent US$29.2 million (K94.8 million) on heavy fuel oil in 2004, even with the benefit of the 6-megawatt geothermal unit commissioned in 2003.


    "With oil prices continuing to rise, the cost reductions from this conversion are obvious," he said.


    Another major development will be the movement into high-grade Lienetz areas in the latter part of the year. This will allow production to exceed 700,000 ounces in 2005 for the first time, despite the anticipated slow start to the year.


    This will make the beginning of a period of at least 14 years during which annual gold production is forecast to average 710,000 ounces without any contribution from projects to expand mine processing capacity.


    "These production levels are materially greater than we have experienced to date and are expected to generate noticeable reductions in unit costs and increases in underlying profitability and cash flows," he said.


    "The flotation expansion is the next major step in our program to increase production capacity, reduce unit costs and release value from our extensive reserves," Garnaut said.


    The chairman said 2004 marked an operational turning point for the company, with a production result of 600,000 ounces, increased profits and cash flows from operations generated by increased production and a higher gold price.


    The "normalized" profit figure for 2004, before adjustments was US$43.8 million (K142.2 million) up from the 2003 figure of US$20.8 million (K67.5 million), while net cash flows from the company's operating activities increased from US$16.7 million in 2003 to US$30.3 million last year.


    April 28, 2005

    SIEGEL zeigt Nervosität.

    Ein solcher Abrutsch in der Wertschätzung

    geben die Q-Zahlen nicht her.

    Entweder war er vorher zu euphorisch oder

    er ist jetzt depressiv.


    Mir gefällt PEM weiter gut.


    Goldproduktion angelaufen.

    Feste Abnehmer in Süd-Korea für Zink.


    Das ist was.


    gogh

    @Eldo,

    die P/E Ratios von Sharenet, die Du reingestellt hast,

    sind alle 3 halbwegs plausibel.


    HMY -7.75
    DRD -1.4
    GFI 60.98

    Sie scheinen etwas geschönt; aber
    für alle 3 gleichmäßig.


    Wenn man sieht, daß GFI locker die schwarze Null schafft
    währen HAR substantielle Verluste produziert, müßte
    der Abstand im Kurs größer sein.
    Eine Erklärung ist wohl, daß die Börse HAR eine Besserung zutraut.


    Das P/E von DRD zeigt, daß die Börse DRD als Krawall-Aktie bewertet.


    Fühle mich mit dem Mix die 3 im Depot gleichgewichtet zu haben
    weiter wohl.
    Die Stimmung für die RSA - GM ist schlechter als die Lage.



    Gruss


    Gogh

    Soll egal sein wofür der Nick "Goodwin" steht.


    Nehmen wir die Behauptung:


    "It’s got very good assets overseas"

    Meistenteils Minderheits-Eigner.


    Reserevn/Resourcen Basis schmal.

    Und im Falle Emperor (Fidchijs)

    Cash-Cost = PoG.


    Und lest mal was die Insulaner

    in den letzten 4 Jahren mit Emperor

    gemacht haben. Dagegen ist RSA

    wie Elysia. Die Fidschijs sind

    strategisch wichtig für USA.

    Deshalb bekommt die "Adelskaste"

    dort Zucker hinten rein geblasen.


    Wie gesagt, Recherchiert mal!


    Aloah!!!


    gogh

    SACCARD hat heute, 25.04.05, bei W+O folgendes gepostet,
    ========
    unkommentiert hierher kopiert:



    "Endlich kann man Harmony und DRD vernünftig vergleichen:
    Harmony hat 3.6 mio Unzen Produktion, 395 mio Aktien und Kosten von 445 US$.


    DRD .56 mio Unzen, 317 mio Aktien und 310 US$ Kosten.


    Gehen wir mal von einem Goldpreis von 530 US$ aus (womit die Berechnung massivst in Richtung Harmony verschoben wird).


    DRD damit price cash flow von:
    (317*.78 ) / (.56 * (530-310)) = 2


    Harmony:
    (395 * 6.53) / (3.6 * (530-445)) = 8.43


    Sollte der Goldpreis kurzfristig auf 530 steigen, dürfte Harmony so zwischen 6.50 und 10 US$ rangieren und Durban so zwischen 3.20 und 4.80 US$..


    Mittelfristig gehe ich aber von 10 bis 20% weiterer Kostensteigerung in SA aus, so daß DRDs Kosten sich zwischen 330 und 350 einpendeln dürften (weniger als die Hälfte aus Südafrika..) und Harmony bei 490 bis 530 liegen dürfte..


    Längerfristig dürfte die Produktion bei Durban somit bei jetzigen Goldpreisen zwischen 500 und 600000 liegen udn Harmony auf ca. 2 mio Unzen absinken bei gleichbleibnden Kosten.


    30 cent für DRD entspricht cash flow bereinigt 1.55 US$ je Harmony Aktie. Bei jetzigem Goldpreis macht Harmony gar keine Gewinne, so daß man nur nach Reserven bewerten kann, entspräche 1.20 US$.


    Der jetzige Kurs von DRD, 78 cent, ist sehr sehr günstig. Harmony ist ebenfalls ein Kauf auf vergleichbarem Niveau, also zwischen 2.50 US$ und 3 US$ aktuell..


    Gruß
    S."

    Ulfur,

    insgesamt gefallen mir die März-Quartal-Zahlen von HAR.


    Und was den geplatzten Merger mit GFI angeht.
    Da zitiere ich Dich mal:


    "Full und fair value und sogar noch ein Premium!
    Bei den Zahlen kann Harmony niemand mehr hinters Licht führen"


    Bis heute hat HAR satte 10% der GFI-Aktien von "Silly GFI-Aktionären" eingesammelt.
    Die "Umtauschwilligen" waren nunmal so einfältig und haben
    schlechte terms of trade geschluckt.


    Ein Bombengeschäft für HAR!


    Der einzige Nachteil, die werden dadurch nicht schlauer
    und sind jetzt dumme HAR-Aktionäre. Die "paniken" sobald
    jemand laut in die Hände klatscht.




    gruss


    gogh

    die Original-"Rechnung" ist 45 engbeschriebene Seiten lang.


    hier eine Zusammenfang, die man als sachlich bezeichnen kann


    Es läuft letztlich auf die persönliche Bewertung raus:


    Ist das Glas halbleer oder halbvoll?


    In meinen Augen ist es halbvoll.



    gogh



    Aus Africa.com vom 25.04.05


    Harmony reports March quarter loss
    ==============================


    World number six gold miner Harmony Gold on Monday reported a headline loss of 107 cents for its March 2005 quarter compared with a loss of 88 cents in the December 2004 quarter.


    A survey of seven analysts conducted by I-Net Bridge showed that they expected the gold miner to report a March quarter headline loss per share of 106 cents.


    Forecasts ranged from a 76 cents loss to a 130 cents loss.


    The group also reported a basic loss per share for the March 2005 quarter of 432 cents from 80 cents in the December 2004 quarter.


    Gold production for the quarter declined 14 percent to 21.126 kg from 24,604 kg in the December quarter. In imperial terms, Harmony's gold output fell 14.1 percent to 679 251 oz in the March quarter from 791 033 oz in the December quarter.


    Harmony also announced a R1.513-billion impairment of fixed assets in South Africa, which resulted in the group reporting a net loss R1.697-billion from a R277-million loss in the December quarter.


    The group's March quarter gold price received was R83 273 per kg from R84 031 per kg in the December quarter.


    Harmony's cash costs rose dramatically in the March quarter to R85 863 per kg from R77 415 per kg in the December quarter.


    The group attributed the increase the sharp increase in operating costs to a number of operational disruptions.


    The company reported a cash operating loss of R54.7-million from a cash operating profit of R163-million in the December 2004 quarter.

    "The main driver behind the lower costs at Blyvoor was the decrease of


    the more-expensive underground operations."


    Geht es darum in Nordwest, den "Abraum" von Jahrzehnten nochmal

    durch Heap Leach Becken laufen zu lassen?


    Dafür braucht man kaum Personal.


    Die Recoveries waren bis vor kurzem so um die 60-70%.


    Da ist noch genug Grade in den halden.



    gogh

    "the company’s North West operations were put into liquidation"


    Zitat aus Artikel unten, nix von "selbständigem anderen Unternehmen" in Nordwest.


    Es sind nicht nur die Pumpkosten,
    da kommt als nächstes der "Konzernbetriebsrat"


    sowas vorher abzustreiten, meine ich mit "bekloppter Geschäftsleitung".


    Es sei denn man meint das nicht Ernst und hat ganz was anderes vor.


    Was abzuwarten ist.


    gogh




    aus Mineweb vom 21.04.05


    DRDGOLD’s Blyvoor restructuring shows results
    =======================================



    JOHANNESBURG (Mineweb.com) -- DRDGOLD, a South African and Australasian gold producer, has managed to lower the cash operating costs at its Blyvooruitzicht operations west of Johannesburg to R81,606/kg. Essentially, it means that during this year’s March quarter Blyvoor operated profitably at the prevailing rand gold price.


    In DRDGOLD’s interim results presentation back in February, management announced that the Blyvoor mine had been successfully restructured and was able to survive in the strong rand environment.


    The numbers, however, did not show it, as cash costs for the quarter to end-December were R87,520 per kilogram of gold produced, well in excess of the R82,000/kg that management had previously stated as a target.


    Total cash operating costs at Blyvoor only decreased by a little over R1 million in the March quarter, but more gold was produced this time around.


    Further west, towards the town of Klerksdorp, the company’s North West operations were put into liquidation last month even though management had earlier said the mines there would undergo a similar restructuring process as Blyvoor. Underground earthquakes ended up tolling the death knell, with an entire shaft collapsing after one set of seismic events. DRDGOLD had injected R200 million into the North West mines for no return, and decided enough was enough.



    The main driver behind the lower costs at Blyvoor was the decrease of


    the more-expensive underground operations.



    Production from the


    cheaper reprocessing of low-grade, gold-bearing increased marginally,


    and the overall result was the lower average cost per kilo of gold.





    In March last year, underground operations were contributing 209,000 tons to the total ore milled of 959,000 tons. In the three months to March 2005, only 140,000 tons were mined at a grade of 7.36g/t compared to 7.49g/t previously.


    Management says it managed to increase the total tonnage processed from underground and surface sources to 920,000 tons in the March quarter from the 897,000 tons of the December quarter. This resulted in an increase in the quarter’s combined gold production from underground and surface to 39,995 ounces from 37,680 ounces in December.


    Ilja Graulich, a DRD spokesman, says there are still seven years left of above-ground reserves at Blyvoor, while underground ore still holds 26 million ounces of gold. Whether all of the underground gold will be extracted remains to be seen and will depend largely on the rand gold price.


    Management says other measures are being taken to improve underground productivity further. These include improved temperature control from the installation of spray chambers and a campaign to increase face advance per blast.


    “A mine call factor strategy applied underground during the quarter involved tighter water management, the upgrading of mud settlers, and increased sweeping and vamping, with consequent improvements in efficiencies,” said a company release.


    Management is also looking at re-establishing mining operations at


    Blyvoor’s number 2 shaft for R50 million and increasing throughput on


    surface by 33% at a capital cost of R7 million.



    Graulich says that, previously, money was being spent on Northwest with no result, but now funds could be allocated to local and foreign operations where they can be put to better use.


    Market watchers are withholding judgement on whether these lower


    costs are sustainable especially after the North West incident. The share


    price has reflected this loss of confidence making it South Africa’s worst-


    performing gold share over the last year currently trading 75% lower than


    its 52-week high of R20.40 a share.


    The shares remained unchanged at R5 by lunchtime (SA time) on Thursday