Beiträge von DrK

  • POG und POS kacken ab - ES DARF GEJAMMERT WERDEN!

    Robert Shiller in der NZZ vom 26.01.22 :


    Sind die Zentralbanken mit ihrer Geldpolitik nicht etwas sehr weit gegangen? Sie schafft schliesslich viele andere Probleme wie beispielsweise niedrige bis negative Zinsen . . .


    „Wenn Milton Friedman noch leben würde, wäre ich gespannt, was er zur massiv vergrösserten Geldmenge sagen würde. Die Zentralbanken haben die Möglichkeit, dass die Inflation steigen könnte, unterschätzt. Sie hatten Wunschvorstellungen, die sich nicht erfüllten. Zentralbanken wollen nicht alarmistisch sein, doch langsam ist die Höhe der Inflation etwas alarmierend. Andererseits wird eine erhebliche Arbeitslosigkeit die Folge sein, wenn die Zentralbanken auf die Bremse treten und die Zinsen hochschrauben.“


    Arbeitslosigkeit oder Zinsen ?


    Keynesianer Helmut Schmidt sagte ja vor Jahren auch schon einmal : „Lieber 5% Zinsen als 5 Millionen Arbeitslose ...“
    Kurze Zeit später hatte er beides ...


    Grüße

  • Bitcoins und Cryptos kacken ab - ES DARF GEJAMMERT WERDEN!

    Sohale Mortazavi :
    “The majority of cryptocurrency mining is now conducted in commercial mining farms, essentially huge warehouses running thousands of high-powered computer processors day and night. The electricity expended mining Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is rapidly approaching 1 percent of global usage, which is famously greater than the total electricity consumption of many smaller developed nations.
    Given that cryptocurrencies don’t produce anything of material value, this enormous waste of resources renders the whole enterprise a negative-sum game. Investors can only cash out by selling their coins to other investors — but only after the miners and various cryptocurrency service providers take the house’s rake. In other words, investors cannot — in the aggregate — cash out for even what they put in, as cryptocurrencies are inefficient by design.”

  • Woernies Grabbelkiste.

    "1971 hatte ich genau 1 Unze , von meinem Patenonkel zur Erstkommunion bekommen...die habe ich irgendwann in Wein, Weib und Gesang investiert. [Blockierte Grafik: https://www.goldseiten-forum.com/wcf/images/smilies/biggrin.png] Hat sich gelohnt ! [Blockierte Grafik: https://www.goldseiten-forum.com/wcf/images/smilies/thumbsup.png] )"


    1971 ... da war dein Patenonkel aber ziemlich knauserig ...


    Meine erste stammt von 73.
    Heute noch im Fundus.


    Kelsey lese ich ab und an, bleibe dadurch immer aufm Teppich.


    Grüße


    Ende OFF Topic.

  • Gold ... Meinungen und Diskussionen

    Ich war gerade im Jammerfaden, vielleicht wrong place,
    daher hier noch einmal :


    Wolf Richter am 5.1.22 :



    Cryptos, the new inflation hedge, failed to hedge against anything.


    At first, years ago, cryptos were supposed to be this new currency that would leave the hated “fiat” currencies in the dust. And then, when that didn’t pan out, they were supposed to be assets whose prices would endlessly boom. And when that didn’t work out in 2021, they were supposed to be a hedge against inflation.
    Well, OK, it started out with Bitcoin, and now there are nearly 9,000 of these cryptos, and it turns out they’re just gambling tokens. For example, the largest hedge against inflation, Bitcoin, has plunged by 36% in the two months since November 7, to hedge again 7% inflation over a 12-month period or whatever. So that didn’t work out either. Well, OK, the jury is still out, I can already hear it, it’s going to a gazillion by March.
    But if the Fed – at the core of the hated fiat dollar – is tightening, and if cryptos are supposed to be the force that is independent and outside of the hated fiat, why did cryptos plunge today when QT is showing up on the near horizon? People running for the exists suddenly? Another crypto narrative gone down the drain. In the end, they’re just gambling tokens with which people are trying to get rich quick. And it works for those that can get out in time.


    Falls OT bitte löschen/verschieben.


    Grüße

  • POG und POS kacken ab - ES DARF GEJAMMERT WERDEN!

    Wolf Richter am 5.1.22 :



    Cryptos, the new inflation hedge, failed to hedge against anything.


    At first, years ago, cryptos were supposed to be this new currency that would leave the hated “fiat” currencies in the dust. And then, when that didn’t pan out, they were supposed to be assets whose prices would endlessly boom. And when that didn’t work out in 2021, they were supposed to be a hedge against inflation.
    Well, OK, it started out with Bitcoin, and now there are nearly 9,000 of these cryptos, and it turns out they’re just gambling tokens. For example, the largest hedge against inflation, Bitcoin, has plunged by 36% in the two months since November 7, to hedge again 7% inflation over a 12-month period or whatever. So that didn’t work out either. Well, OK, the jury is still out, I can already hear it, it’s going to a gazillion by March.
    But if the Fed – at the core of the hated fiat dollar – is tightening, and if cryptos are supposed to be the force that is independent and outside of the hated fiat, why did cryptos plunge today when QT is showing up on the near horizon? People running for the exists suddenly? Another crypto narrative gone down the drain. In the end, they’re just gambling tokens with which people are trying to get rich quick. And it works for those that can get out in time.


    Falls OT bitte löschen/verschieben.


    Grüße

  • Woernies Grabbelkiste.

    Meine bescheidene Meinung :
    Wir sind auf dem Weg zu einem (neuen) ATH. Es dauert halt etwas länger als gedacht.
    Danach folgt sicherlich eine erhebliche Korrektur.
    Das Establishment wird nicht tatenlos zuschauen.
    Der Ethikrat wird für ein Goldverbot plädieren ...


    Grüße

  • Woernies Grabbelkiste.

    Hier ein Chart aus meinem Fundus zum 8-Jahres-Zyklus beim Gold.
    Leider kann ich den Verfasser nicht mehr zuordnen.


    Vielleicht interessiert er, anderenfalls löschen.


    Grüße


    PS Jedenfalls hatte 1999/2000 ein gewisser Herr Bogen das 8-Jahrestief seinerzeit nahezu punktgenau prognostiziert.
    Aber, das ist alles Geschichte ...




  • EWA nach Captain Ewave

    CaptainEwave am 15.12.21 :


    "Short Term Update:


    Gold was lower in yesterday’s day session reaching a low of 1766.10. In the overnight session we have moved sideways currently trading at the 1771.70 level.

    We continue our long correction in our wave -iv- bullish triangle as shown on our Daily Gold Chart. Within wave -iv- we completed all of wave .c. at the 1675.90 low and we are now rallying in wave .d.


    Wave .d. cannot rally above the wave .b. high of 1919.20 for this current triangle pattern to remain valid. Remember that legs of triangle formations are full of overlapping waves, so the internal wave structure is sometimes difficult to analysis in real time.


    Wave .d. ended at 1879.50.


    We are now falling in wave .e., and within wave .e. it looks we are falling in an incomplete wave ^a^ of .e..
    We need one more drop below the 1762.40 low to complete the minimum requirements for all of wave ^a^.
    After wave ^a^ ends we expect a wave ^b^ rally that will be followed by another drop in wave ^c^ to complete all of wave .e. and our bullish wave -iv- triangle.


    After wave .e. and -iv- end we can expect a huge thrust higher in wave -v-, which will take gold to all time new highs.


    Bulls should still be using this setback to add or go long gold.


    Another plausible possibility is still that all of wave .d. ended at 1836.90 and all of wave .e. at 1721.10. This would mean that all of wave -iv- is complete and that the next rally in gold will be a substantial thrust higher in wave -v.


    This would create a very non-symmetric triangle, although triangles do not have to look pretty. This will be our alternate count for now.


    Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.

    Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!"



    Finis CaptainEwave
    Aufgrund des heutigen Updates habe ich mich entschlossen, Jamie Dimon ins Exil zu folgen.
    Von meiner Seite aus wird es weitere Updates vom Captain nicht geben.

    Ich wünsche allen eine gute Zeit.

    Grüße

  • POG und POS kacken ab - ES DARF GEJAMMERT WERDEN!

    US Thanksgiving Holiday Schedule
    Nov 25, 2021
    Here is the Thanksgiving holiday schedule for US and Canadian markets.
    Thursday 25th November
    US markets will be closed.
    Canadian markets open as usual.
    Friday 26th November
    US markets will be open in the morning but closing early for the day... at 1pm ET
    Canadian markets open as usual.
    We wish you and yours a Happy Thanksgiving.


    Irgendwo heute gelesen und viel treffender :
    Inklusion in Schland geglückt.
    Claudia und Robert werden Minister.


    Grüße

  • EWA nach Captain Ewave

    Thanksgiving-Weekend in USA, deshalb vom Captain nur ganz kurz :


    "Why would we say that gold dropping $50 is a bullish development?


    Well, with wave .d. not ending much sooner than we had thought we are now falling in wave .e., which is the final leg is this long drawn out wave -iv- correction.


    After wave .e. and -iv- end we can expect a huge thrust higher in wave -v-, which will take gold to all time new highs.


    A likely place for wave .e. to end would be on our purple uptrend line that is shown on our Daily Gold Chart.
    Wave .e. has already satisfied its minimum condition so we need to be on guard for the completion of this wave -iv- bullish triangle at any time now. Bulls should be using the setback to add or go long gold."


    Im Augenblick sieht es gut aus !


    Grüße


    PS Inklusion in Schland geglückt : Claudia wird Ministerin !