Beiträge von Eldorado

  • Ölsand - Aktien , Ölsand

    Wieder in SSL eingestiegen, ebenso zwei ETF's .. IEZ und IEO weil bei CNBC nun Oil weiter fallen wird. :D


    Oilsand habe ich genug, auch COP TLM UPL OXY DVN BHI BQI nachgeladen bei der Chart.


    Cheers..sooner or later 120 $ Oil und 2 Euro der Liter Benzin.


    Lass es kurz fallen....so what !


    XEX

  • Das neue Südafrika

    Ich gehe mal davon as das die Produktion von Gold und Platinum um ca.10% zurueckgehen wird in RSA in den naechsten Jahren.
    Wenn der Rand dann um 15% faellt ist immer noch ein plus von 5-10% fuer die Aktionaere eventuell sogar hoeher durch den Hebel.
    IMO trotz der Misere sollte man 20%30% Gewinn erzielen bis Ende des Jahres mit RSA Aktien.
    Lohnt sich das ???? muss jeder selber wissen.


    SA’s mining sector employs about 460.000 people but indirectly supports about 5-million
    Darum bekommen die als erstes Strom, egal ob die anderen im Dunkeln sitzen fuer mehere Stunden am Tag sonst gibt es einen riesen Aerger und Gewalt wenn nichts zum essen da ist.


    XEX

  • Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

    CRASH IN COMMODITY PRICES AS WELL AS IN EMERGING MARKET IS ON THE WAY – BUY DOLLAR & BUY USA STOCKS FROM 21 JAN

    Dear Members,


    I mentioned that I am busy with my book so I will be unable to respond to each and every email so I decided to give a brief answer in the newsletter. Most of the emails were concerning weakness in stock market and according to many members the USA economy and the stock market look very scary in the coming days and months. Once again I went through 2008 planetary outlook for stock market and I got satisfied with my call of 2008 bull market any time after 21 Jan and may take few months but by year end it will reach around 15000 to 17000. The only concern that I have is that the international market and European markets will move down so much that it may put psychological impact on investor’s minds in the USA. In my yearly outlook I clearly mentioned that one should finish buying stocks by the third week of January and the stocks that I was talking about were the Banking, Financial, Technology and Alternative Energy. Once again I can reconfirm that I do not see any problem with the USA market in medium term or the longer term but I still do not have an answer why such a harsh weakness came during the last two weeks which may continue for this week as well.

    On the other hand commodities and the currencies traded as expected so let’s see what this week indicates for the World Financial Market.

    Financial weekly letter from 21 to 25 January

    GOLD & SILVER


    During last week, gold and silver traded in the range that was predicted. During this week gold and silver prices will remain stable and any weakness or sharp falling during any day should be taken as a buying opportunity.

    On Tuesday any correction should be taken as a buying opportunity as gold and silver will recover from the low.

    On Wednesday the price will trade in a narrow range but on Thursday upward trend should be taken as selling opportunity into gold and silver. Positive trend should be taken as a selling opportunity on Friday.

    There are two factors and that is why I am not recommending anyone to buy long term position at this stage. The first factor is that major planetary movements are not in the favor of commodity markets and they are giving indications that bull-run in the commodity has ended last week or are going to end this week. The second factor is the US dollar bull market.
    IMPORTANT NOTE!!!
    Members should book the profit in metal stocks and in metals because the coming trend is very uncertain and you are going to get a great opportunity later to buy the metals back.

    PLATINUM, PALLADIUM, ZINC, NICKEL & COPPER
    All these side metals remained weak during last week but during this week they will trade sideways except for platinum and copper. This week the overall trend in metals will remain positive but we will see that platinum is running out of strength because the planet Venus will stop supporting the bull market of platinum.

    COFFEE & COTTON


    Coffee and cotton prices have been trading stable. Oncoming weakness in commodity market will not be able to put any major weakness in both these soft commodities. During this week one can buy coffee and cotton on Wednesday because they will rise sharply from the last hour of Wednesday or from Thursday. My next target for coffee is $147.80 and for cotton it is $74.80.

    STOCK MARKET


    I am not in favor of buying any international markets and emerging market (sell international market and if you want to hdge than buy USA market slowly). For the last few weeks I have been advising that one must book the profit in all the hot rising market as the fall in these markets will be quite a nasty one. Emerging markets mean all major Asian market including Australia, New Zealand, India, Korea, China, Russia and Hong Kong etc. among all these markets Russia, Korea and India will perform ok but at this stage they look very scary to me.

    My outlook is also very negative on European markets in short, medium and longer term and the only market that I am very optimistic on is the USA market. Billions of dollars of inflow will come into this market and what I have been saying for the last two months should be taken very seriously. If you don’t remember, then I have been saying that the big investment houses would find that international markets are overvalued in terms of stock price and also in terms of currency. On the opposite side USA market stock valuation will attract investor community in terms of stock prices as well as in terms of currency.

    Today we are standing at a stage where what I was talking about is starting to make sense because dollar is not falling further and the stocks have come down to a very attractive valuation and my third week of January call for “buying call” is there.

    During this week I see a sharp correction in Asian market and European markets and on the other hand we will see some recovery from lower level in DOW Jones from Tuesday but do not make any mistakes by buying international markets thinking that the turning around of USA market will push international markets higher. Buy in small quantity Banking, Technology and Alternative Energy stocks this week. I am very optimistic about the future of alternative energy stocks and I see them rising in many folds in the coming three years. December we recommended booking profit in alternative energy and at the high and from the high, the alternative energy stocks have lost 50% of their value in the last three weeks and at this stage they are at a great buying point.

    Short term and Medium term: All major international market will turn in to BEAR MARKET except USA market (which shall stablize thsi week). BUY DOW AS IT IS LIFE TIME OPPORTUNITY. European and Asian economy (Bad GDP) report will surprise every one in the first quarter of 2008.

    IMPORTAND NOTE:
    I am too much worried about Asian market so please trade carefully. They can fall 30% in the month of January. Indian market can come down to around 14000 or even it can fall to 12000 and same for other Asian markets.

    SUGAR, LUMBER & ORANGE JUICE
    During last week sugar prices went limit up and our aggressive buying recommendation of December have made substantial amount of profit for many members. This week sugar prices will remain stable but soon they will rise again so wait for my buying recommendation. Avoiding lumber and orange juice has saved a lot of money for my members for the last few months and I am still not recommending any buying in both of these commodities.

    TREASURY BONDS
    During this week, 30 year Treasury bond will start moving down after touching $120 but they are not in the bear market so take a buying opportunity if they fall to $118. In a few weeks time the Bond prices will move to $125.

    OIL
    Last week oil traded weak in our predicted trading range, our selling recommendation have made us great money. During this week I see oil trading in narrow range. One can buy oil on the weakness of Wednesday and sell back the positions on rising trend of Thursday. This applies to heating oil and RB gas as well. During this week natural gas will trade in a very narrows range so I am not recommending any short term trading in both oil and gas. It will move to $87.80. Wait my update on it during week.

    GRAINS
    Grain prices came down sharply after opening limit high on Monday. In the last few months all major grains have been trading in a huge trading range every day and this is very scary for small time traders if I am wrong for three days and if your account is not well funded then account can close down. If you see the history of grains, whenever they act aggressive they remain aggressive for a few weeks. In the past, many people have made and lost fortunes in grains so please trade very carefully with very low leverage and if it is possible then take options positions.

    This week I see weakness remaining in grains so one can take a short position but make sure that you are covering back your prediction before they close on Thursday. We will see weakness particularly in soy bean areas meaning bean, bean oil and soy meal. Any rising trend in wheat should be taken as a selling opportunity and any fall in corn should be taken as a buying opportunity because I see corn prices coming higher in the coming weeks.

    The best hedging of this year will be selling soy bean products and buying corn and wheat against them.

    CURRENCIES


    During last week we have seen some recovery in the dollar index as predicted. All major currencies remained weak against the US dollar except Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc. Even during this week we will see stable trend in Swiss Franc compared to all other currencies so I hold my prediction not to short Swiss Franc and Japanese yen against US Dollar for now.

    During this week all major currencies will gain some momentum on Tuesday so I recommend not adding any new short position in all these currencies (only this week). Dollar index will remain in a narrow trading range or bit weak and $76.30 will be the best buying level. After Thursday onwards dollar will rise sharply so those who want to take a short term positions can buy Dollar Index during weakness on Thursday after New York market .

    Commodities currencies will remain stable but Euro will fall sharply after Thursday reaching high. On Monday and half day of Tuesday, Euro will remain weak but from Midday on Tuesday, positive trend will start for Euro which will end on Thursday. British Pound will remain weak.

    Note: Those who don’t want to take short term buying and selling can hold just buying position in Dollar as US Dollar trend is very positive for short term, medium term and longer term. Dollar index is moving towards $81.80 within next three weeks. :rolleyes:

  • Das neue Südafrika

    Kenya ethnic clashes continue


    2008-1-28 08:38


    Naivasha - Hundreds of people from rival tribes confronted each other on a main road of Kenya's flower capital on Monday, hefting machetes, clubs and rocks and retreating only after a handful of police between them fired live bullets into the air.
    It was unclear whether the officers would be able to keep them apart.
    Ethnic clashes were continuing to convulse western Kenya, as gangs fought with crude weapons and set homes ablaze in this tourist gateway, pushing the death toll from a month of violence over the country's flawed presidential election to nearly 800.
    The bloodshed - with Sunday marking exactly one month since the December 27 vote - had transformed this once-stable African country, pitting longtime neighbours against each other and turning towns, where tourists used to gather for luxury holidays into no-go zones.
    Scale of violence 'worse'
    It also complicated the task of former United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan, the latest international mediator trying to bring together President Mwai Kibaki and his chief rival.
    While ethnic clashes had accompanied past Kenyan elections, the scale of the violence this year had been far worse. It had mainly pitted other ethnic groups, which supported the opposition because they felt marginalised, against Kibaki's Kikuyu people.
    "We have moved out to revenge the deaths of our brothers and sisters who had been killed, and nothing will stop us," said Anthony Mwangi, hefting a club in Naivasha on Sunday. "For every one Kikuyu killed, we shall avenge their killing with three."
    Kikuyus were the main victims in the initial eruption of violence, with hundreds killed and more than half of those driven from their homes belonging to Kibaki's tribe. Now, however, it appears the Kikuyus are looking for revenge.
    Nine people killed
    Some 55 bodies were counted on Sunday at the morgue in Nakuru, the provincial capital of Kenya's fertile Rift Valley, where ethnic clashes erupted late on Thursday, said a morgue attendant who asked that his name not be used because he was not authorised to speak to the media.
    Bodies were still arriving on Sunday, although the running battles had largely cooled off. A local newspaper reporter saw another five bodies on Sunday in two slums on the outskirts of Nakuru.
    The fighting spread on Sunday to Naivasha, 90km northwest of Nairobi, a previously quiet tourist town with a stunning freshwater lake. At least nine people were killed here by gangs with machetes and clubs, according to the count of a local reporter.
    Five others burned to death in their homes, said Willy Lugusa, a police official.
    The latest deaths brought the toll to nearly 800 killed in ethnic violence and clashes with police since Kibaki was sworn in for a second five-year term. About 255 000 people had been forced from their homes. International and local observers said the vote tally was rigged.


    AP

  • Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

    Schablonski


    Wie waere es mit Ueberleben mit Miese... :D
    Grossvater fragen falls er noch da ist, vielleicht weiss er noch wie man durchkam durch den Kontratiff Winter und Rambo Filme anschaun.
    Buecher gibt es genug, also macht mal am besten jeder seinen Notplan.
    Am Land hat man eher Chancen zu ueberleben wenn man in einer Gemeinschaft lebt die zusammenhaelt.
    Bei uns koennte man noch in die Karoo gehen die Staedte rund um die Supermaerkte werden Sammelpunkt der verzweifelten wie damals in New Orleans bei Katrina.
    Aber das dauert noch bis es soweit ist.... Pluto im Steinbock bis 2023, eine Phase der drastischen Veraenderung die auch Gelegenheiten bieten wird.
    Wer das Buch Voraussagen fuer 2008 von Merriman hat der soll mal lesen Seite 7-11 was es bedeutet, das Buch ist nun ausverkauft.
    Wir bewegen uns jetzt vom Zeitalter Fisch auf Wassermann zu in den naechsten 15 Jahren wo die Menschheit aufsteht und sich gegen die Fuehrer wehren wird die uns zum Roboter machen will mit ihren Polizeistaat und Einschraenkungen sowie totale Ueberwachung. Gottseidank, viele wachen auf und kapieren was die Freimaurer mit uns machen wollen um die NWO zu erschaffen.
    Ganz kurz er sagt der Euro koennte bis auf 1.705 USD/Euro ansteigen bis 2009, das duerfte wohl die Decke sein.


    Erstmal weiter wie gehabt, ohne moos nichts los, Selbstversorger wie Walker gibt es nicht viel, die meisten leben in der Stadt und wissen wenig ueber Pluto/ Gold/ NWO.


    Interessante Zeiten, schwierge Zeiten, und wieder eine Woche die man nicht einschaetzen kann wie der POG und POS abschliesen wird.


    Einige Analysten machte dieses Wochenende keine Interviews stellte ich fest, anscheinend wisssen sie auch nicht wie es bei den PM und USD weiter geht. Das Geruecht geht rum das durch die Liquiditaets Krise viel Cash fehlt und viele USD zahlen muessen. Dadurch koennte der USD steigen bis zur Wahl und die EZB Zinsen senken was dem USD wieder gut tut.


    Der Fed hat die Wahl, Dow oder Dollar zu retten, beide zusammen funktioniert nur kurz.


    Have a nice day


    XEX

  • Das neue Südafrika

    Wie meistens jeden Sonntag sehe ich carte blanche, das thema heute ist elektrizitaet.
    Eskom, hatte oder hat ein monopol mit ueber 70%, andere waren nicht interessiert wegen dem monopol und der ANC wurde schon 2002 gewarnt das ein Chaos kommt ab 2007 das man ignoriert hat.
    Die guten Leute kuendigten bei Eskom da man sagte es gibt keine Befoerderung mehr als weisser Mann.
    Dann brach Eskom zusammen und die Regierung verliess sich das Eskom weiter liefert.
    Es kann sogar 15 Jahre dauern bis man wieder genug Strom hat, der Wirschaftswachstum mit 6% der die halben arbeitslosen unterbringen sollte ist nun in Gefahr.
    Der Energieminister sagts jeder muss nun 25% Strom einsparen oder die blackouts gehen weiter.
    Auch eine Loesung, klappt aber nicht.
    Die Minen werden als erstes wieder Strom bekommen und wenn man Johannesburg das shopping center in Rosebank jeden Tag fuer Stunden lahm legt und wir Abends mit Kerzenlicht auskommen muessen. 40.000 MW sollte Eskom liefern, ein 6.4 billion Rand Geschaeft p.a. und nichts ging in weitere neue Kraftwerke aber in fette Loehne und Bonus fuer die Managers die heute faule ausreden haben.


    Langsam wird es finster und noch schwaerzer hier als es schon ist.
    Freefall, bis 2013 braucht hier keiner mehr investieren sagte ""versehentlich"" ein schwarzer Minister.
    Der musste sich spaeter entschuldigen, stimmt aber.



    Well done...[... del.] X(.no power , no money, more crime, sagte ein Arbeiter.
    760 MW gingen nach Maputo (Mocambique), 476 MW nach Botswana, 51 MW nach Zimbabwe, und die anderen in Swaziland und Lesotho 250 MW waerend man in Johannesburg die Stadt lahm legt und Minen schliessen in der letzten Woche und der sechsfache Verbrauch der Stadt ist was nun teilweise unbezahlt in die Nachbarlaender exportiert wird.
    Ich hatte hier schon 2006 gesagt das ich teilweise keinen Strom habe, jetzt wird es noch schlimmer.
    [... del.]


    Gnight,noch geht der TV und das Adsl modem.


    XEX

  • Wasser

    gutso


    Die koennten noch mehr abheben,auf meine Kaufliste kommt auch ITT und MMM obwohl die nicht nur im Wasser stehen.


    For the long run... ;)


    Just give me cash...or fiat $ :D

  • Wasser

    Unsere Freunde von GS kaufen auch Wasser, gleich 50m $ bei CWDK.OB
    Der beste Wasserstrahl bei dieser Aktie wenn man die Chart anschaut.:D
    Zu hoch um dort einzusteigen ?? :rolleyes:

  • Sino Gold - wie gehts weiter?

    Liberty01


    Bis sie sich Taiwan schnappen ist noch genuegend Zeit. :D
    Laenderrisiko haben wir ueberall, siehe nun Argentinien mit 15% Tax obwohl was anderes versprochen wurde. Vor kurzen Equador dann Evo, Hugo, Mbeki, Bush, alle sind sie da als Risiko.
    Selbst bei den Amis koennten die Minen so hoch besteuert werden das es uninteressant wird, in Kanada gehts noch und in New Guinea beissen einen die Moskitos.
    Australien, da habe ich nichts, ich habe keine Lust in der Nacht zu traden.


    Darum sind die meisten in physischen, da weiss man was man hat, es kann keiner mehr reinfunken.


    XEX

  • Das neue Südafrika

    Mine blackout: No end in sight


    2008-1-27 11:06


    Johannesburg - Gold and platinum mines in South Africa could remain closed until well into this week while industry and government discussed ways of reducing power, the minerals and energy department (DME) said.


    This follows a meeting between the mining industry, labour representatives and government ministers on Saturday in which a "joint industry and government task team was formed" to tackle the severe energy crisis.
    On January 25, it emerged that Eskom, the South African energy utility, had told mining bosses it could not guarantee the supply of electricity. Mining firms were effectively forced to stop mining, mostly on the grounds of safety.
    The task team will meet again on Sunday January 27, but a further meeting, this time involving all industry deemed heavy power consumers, has been scheduled for Tuesday, 29 January. It's only at this meeting that a schedule for reopening mines might be agreed, said Bontle Mafuna, spokesperson for the DME.
    "It could be sooner, but it's likely that only from Tuesday will the industry know when they can start mining again," said Mafuna.
    This comes following almost four weeks of rolling blackouts by Eskom throughout South Africa as it struggles to supply power amid refurbishment of old facilities and bad weather which has interrupted the supply of coal to the power stations.
    The effect has been to harm business and dent South Africa's reputation as an attractive investment destination. Government said industry had to seriously reduce its energy consumption as Eskom's lack of reserve capacity had become a "national emergency".
    Harmony Gold estimated that it would lose R60m a day in lost revenue while its mines remained idle; make that R300m by Tuesday. The opportunity losses for Gold Fields and AngloGold Ashanti, which produce more gold, would be heavier.
    However, the DME said in a statement that government had agreed mines should have power to prepare for the resumption of mining: "The ministers also agreed to an industry request that there would be sufficient power supply to enable employees to continue with essential underground operations, particularly in deep level gold mines, to ensure the safety of the workplace for mineworkers."
    'Constructive'
    Roger Baxter, a senior economist for the Chamber of Mines of South Africa described the meeting today as "very constructive". He said a lot more guidance would be provided to the industry at Sunday's meeting. "I wouldn't want to comment any more than that," he said.
    There were a series of announcements by mining companies late on January 25 as one after another said it would not be sending teams underground. These included Anglo Platinum, AngloGold, Northam Platinum, Impala Platinum, Harmony and Gold Fields. BHP Billiton had stopped mining at its ferroalloy mines but its smelters, that cannot afford to stop operating for more than three hours, were keeping going.
    The outcome was heavy losses for mining companies with heavy exposure to South Africa including Gold Fields (down 8.5%), Harmony (-7.3%) and Kumba Iron Ore (-5.9%).


    - Fin24