Beiträge von Eldorado

    Astro Merriman:


    This a holiday week in the United States (Independence Day, July 4), and Mercury is retrograde. :(


    The combination implies a lightly-traded but unpredictable week ahead. Holiday markets are usually more bullish than bearish, but with Mercury retrograde, price movements tend to reverse every 1-4 days. However, right in the middle of the retrograde period (usually about the 8th trading day), some markets make a bigger than anticipated reversal of what appears to be a short-term trend. That is what happened in many stock indices last week. They were down from shortly after the time Mercury went retrograde on June 15 until last Wednesday, the 8th trading day. Then they abruptly started to rally again. The same thing happened with precious metals. Crude Oil, however, was the star last week, moving above 70.00/barrel for the first time in 9 months. With Uranus still in the middle degrees of Pisces, the possibility of 100.00/barrel remains in effect. Uranus coincides with multi-year highs or lows in signs of commodities or stock sectors ruled by the sign it is in. Pisces rules crude oil. The high usually occurs while Uranus is in the middle degrees, and then the bottom falls out as prices oftentimes decline 50-80% off those highs before it leaves the sign. Uranus remains in middle Pisces into 2008.


    In other markets, Silver prices dropped significantly last week as the final Saturn-Neptune opposition unfolded. Prices then rallied smartly in to the “Sagittarius Factor” lunar cycle, Wednesday-Friday, a bullish phenomenon discussed in one of the chapters of our recently released-book on short term trading of Silver.


    Because this is Mercury retrograde, and a holiday week, there is not likely to be a favorable trading week.


    Mercury retrograde coincides with unpredictable market behavior, as prices tend to swing back and forth every 1-4 days, with little respect for technical buy or sell signals, or support-resistance. In fact, they are more likely to exhibit “fake out” patterns than anything else. The same tends to happen in holiday markets. Nevertheless, it is interesting that the market behavior of the past two weeks was remarkably right in line with what geocosmic signatures suggested, even with Mercury retrograde. Once you adapt to the “Mercury retrograde rules” and think very short-term, the odds seem to shift in your favor.


    ---------------



    Sickening ?


    "Because the dollar is the reserve currency of the world, hyperinflating the dollar will be fundamentally different in two ways from all hyperinflations in history. On the one hand, there are tens of trillions of dollar-denominated debt and hundreds of trillions of dollar-denominated derivatives. Given that the ratio of currency to debts and derivatives is tiny, the coming hyperinflation must be necessarily of epic proportions. On the other hand, central banks around the world will fight tooth and nail to support the dollar, so that world financial system does not collapse and that their reserves do not evaporate into the nothingness. Many central banks will choose willy-nilly to support the dollar by inflating their own currencies. Thus, these two powerful forces will drive the dollar in opposite directions. Its inevitable demise may be swift and sudden, or it may be protracted and painful."


    Krassimir Petrov



    Gold and Silver is totally undervalued metal in comparison to copper, zinc, lead, etc. and will increase from now.


    Doug Casey
    ---------------------------------



    Gold is looking very good here. The market force indicator is at its lower support representing a low risk entry point and has been in this denomination for two months. Gold has dropped $20-30/oz since the force first defined this new low risk entry level but that is irrelevant compared to where the next upleg will take gold. As soon as the force launches convincingly off the lower support level the rally will commence in earnest (take a look at the crude oil chart below to see how it is rallying and how the force is now in mid-channel).
    I fully expect the next upleg to be the most spectacular so far in the bull to date.



    US DOLLAR


    The force shows the US dollar went into a bear market in 2001 (as gold started a bull market). With a little help from its friends it tried to transform itself into a new bull market as it changed trend in early 2003. But even a pig with a wig and lipstick is not very pretty and the best it could manage was an almost horizontal but still downward sloping force channel. Sorry, Gold Cartel, no cigar; that is still a bear market! In March 2007 the dollar gave up on the use of stem cells to try to engineer Bear DNA to look like Bull DNA. The force has declared the USA dollar to be once again in an unequivocal bear market. Based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics theory that when the price of something is too high consumer will buy a cheaper substitute, I would recommend toilet paper instead. It is manufactured from the same stuff ! :D


    Adrian Douglas

    @Dau


    Ich habe nun so ziemlich alles abgeschoepft was geht und musste mir dabei auch einen Puffer bis HUI 305 schaffen sonst habe ich Probleme.
    Ich war noch so frech und holte mir noch ein paar SLV bei 123.00 USD.
    Die Zeit heilt die Wunden, warte noch 6 - 8 Wochen ab bevor du dir neue Moebel kaufst. Benutze mal die alten weiter bevor du es spaeter bereust.
    Am besten mache Urlaub und lasse dich ueberraschen denn mehr kann ich oder du nun eh nicht mehr tun als zu hoffen das die PM Aktien wieder ansteigen.
    War schon eigenartig wie heute auf einmal alles bei $ 647.50 und $ 12.30 zum stehen kam und seitlich ueber Stunden so geblieben ist. :rolleyes:
    Erwarte nich zu viel in einem Tag, diese Korrektur ist seit mitte April, eine lange im Vergleich zu den anderen zuvor.
    Lange kann es nicht mehr dauern, also schmeiss die Flinte nicht zu frueh ins Korn. Geh raus und have fun, sonst machst du dich nur krank damit.


    Servus, machst gut... over and out for a while.


    Eldo


    Ps.


    Schau mal zwischendurch auf die Chart :D

    Muuuahhaaa.... :rolleyes:


    GS is back X(...give me cash Johanna. :D


    The metal really needs to regain all the investor confidence it can as the second half of the year gets underway," said Jon Nadler, an analyst at Kitco Bullion Dealers.


    But from here, "traders may not want to take large positions before the weekend as it is the end of the month and the quarter in the spot and futures market," he said.


    And "for the moment, sub-$650 should be viewed as a good buying opportunity by physical players as well as investors," Moore said. "However, as we move into the summer, a time when physical buying traditionally slows, gold will remain vulnerable to further bouts of weakness."


    http://www.marketwatch.com/new…ED773C794%7D&siteid=yhoof

    USA als Minenland (Nevada, Idaho, etc) wird vom Wechselkurs USD interessant werden wie RSA einmal als der Rand unten war.
    Schwacher Dollar hoher Goldpreis, Profit passt ! :D


    Was die Situation angeht gebe ich dem recht.: ;)


    "" My bullish case for gold right here is fairly simple, with two main components. First, I believe that gold prices have been largely manipulated in recent months by the central banks, which have effectively capped the price at $700. This was enough to turn the technicals for gold bearish, and so the technical traders have fled the market. However, having expended a lot of gold reserves to keep gold prices in check, European central banks are now left with startling little ammunition with which to fight off another attack on the $700 mark. Meanwhile, central banks of developing countries (the BRICs and the Middle East) will begin buying gold to diversify away from the dollar. Thus, I believe the trend toward central banks being net sellers will reverse itself over the second half of this year, putting upward pressure on gold prices"" :]

    Ich sehe den Vollmond schon ueber den Berg vor mir in Richtung Osten. :rolleyes: :D


    Da holte ich mir gleich ein paar Southwestern SWG.TO die IMO total unterbewertet sind.
    Die haben vor kurzen einen neuen CEO (Besen) bekommen der nun aufraeumen soll , mir der Webseite hat er zumindest schon mal angefangen. :D
    Die SWG ist mehr als nur ein Junior, Boka kann eine tolle Sache werden wenn produziert wird.
    Die Combination China und Peru gefaellt mir gut, nur nicht der Kurs im vergleich zum Durchschnitt.


    Depotleichen koennten wieder aufwachen, das hatten wir oft.
    Hopefully it was a good pick, Cheers XEX

    Hier die Presentation :


    http://www.swgold.com/i/pdf/SWG_may_2007_AGM.pdf


    http://www.swgold.com/s/home.asp

    Ganz kurz , gestern kaufte ich einige IAU.TO nach die ich nun mit Durchschnitt 0.59 CAD gekauft habe.
    Ich blicke bei der nicht durch warum die so gefallen ist.
    Ich bin auf die Webseite auf die schnelle und falls ich mich nicht geirrt habe ist der NAV bei 33 cents USD/Aktie = 35 cents CAD :rolleyes:
    Der Hund ist wahrscheinlich irgendwo auf Seite 8 begraben im Maerz financial report wo die Liabilities 24m USD ueber den Assets stehen die aber durch die Produktion der Mine in Australien gedeckt wird wen ich es nicht falsch verstehe:


    http://www.intrepidmines.com/p…ts/QuarterlyMarch2007.pdf


    Die haben eine produzierende Goldmine in Australia die eigentlich fuer die jaehrlichen Kosten aufkommt der ganzen Firma und genuegend Cash hat.
    Nach dem Merger mit Newstar fiel die aus weiss ich welchen Grund.
    Vielleicht haben die einen grossen Hedge ?
    Was mir gefeallt ist das sie global vertreten sind und in erster Linie Explorer sind die irgendwann aus dem Kurstief rauskommen sollten.


    Der Kurs ist z.Zt. bei 0.40 CAD, das koennte ein Schnaeppchen fuer Neueinsteiger sein zu dem Preis. :rolleyes:
    Geht mal auf deren Webseite und schaut ob ein Wurm versteckt ist, ich konnte keinen finden auf die schnelle.
    Die Aktie Intrepid Mines wird auch in D gehandelt, heute bei 23-25 cents.
    Soweit ich mich erinnern kann ist Gogh ein Fan von Intrepid die er ueber Newstar ins Depot bekam.
    Ich lasse die nun liegen und denke mir das der Kurs ungerechtfertigt zu stark gehaemmert wurde.


    http://www.intrepidmines.com/html/index.html

    Auratico ;)


    Da gibt es noch einen Valentin von Wien, den Song kennst wahrscheinlich auch. ...der in der Pestgrube.


    Besser sind die Schnaeppchen beim HUI als beim Bier. =)
    Nur nicht zu frueh freuen, mal schaun ob mein Bauchgefuehl richtig war und der grosse Druck nach unten ist erstmal weg.


    Was der Vollmond nun macht ist eine andere Sache in den naechsten Tagen vielleicht wird das der Befreiungsschlag morgen oder Montag.


    Wie gesagt ich freue mich ueber alles ueber 320 und hoffe innerhalb 8 Wochen dann auf 380 >..... wenn ich mich nicht irre. :D


    Bei 300-310 trinke ich bestimmt mehr von dem Bier, das halte ich dann nur im Suff aus.


    Mal schaun, heute kam ein wenig Sonne raus, es kann ja nicht immer regnen.


    Das PPT kocht auch nur mit Wasser das verdampft.


    Cheers, der Bear Markt falls er nicht schon vorbei ist muss nun ohne mich stattfinden, ich habe genug Goldella gekauft.



    XEX

    Mal schaun ob die Chinesen Papiergold schaetzen.


    SHANGHAI GOLD EXCHANGE/INDUSTRIAL BANK


    Individual gold bullion trading to be launched in China in July


    Appropriately, during China’s year of the Golden Boar, the Shanghai Gold Exchange announced that it will offer gold bullion trading for retail investors next month.


    Author: Dorothy Kosich
    Posted: Tuesday , 26 Jun 2007


    RENO, NV -


    The Shanghai Gold Exchange is launching individual gold bullion trading next month through a partnership with China's Industrial Bank.


    The Shanghai Daily reported Tuesday that the gold bourse has scheduled a joint briefing in early July with Industrial Bank about the service.


    The exchange will also subsequently launch trading through Huaxia Bank. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China is likely to be the third entity to join the bullion trading scheme.


    China's central bank, the People's Bank of China, gave approval for the gold bourse to start nationwide gold trading services at the end of 2006, the Shanghai Gold Exchange said Monday.


    Under the new trading scheme, individual investors will be able to trade in gold from a minimum threshold of 100 grams, which would cost roughly 16,000 yuan (US$2,099). Investors can take home the bullion at lower prices than those of jewelers and coin makers. For example, investment-grade bullion fetches more than a 10% premium in the market.


    The Bank of China and China Construction Bank are among the lenders that already offer virtual gold trading betting on prices through a special bank account. However, investors can't actually hold the gold bullion. :rolleyes:


    Earlier this month, the Shanghai Gold Exchange said it will work with more commercial banks to offer gold to retail investors. The Chinese have traditionally kept gold bullion as a safe haven to hedge against inflation and as a symbol of gold fortune, according to the Shanghai Daily.


    The Shanghai Exchange now trades gold, platinum and silver.

    @GB


    Klar, hier gibt es keine Kastanienbaeume, nur Chestnut trees.
    Drei Wochen Europa, ich hoffe es laeuft so wie ich mir es vorstelle.
    Eine Woche in Muenchen und zwei in Austria.
    Wer braucht schon Drama nach dem Drama noch dazu im Urlaub.
    Heute noch drei deals und dann ist Feierabend mit dem shopping.
    Solange der HUI ueber 320 steht schmeckt auch das herrliche Bier in Bayern.
    Die Sparerips und Brezen schmecken dann noch besser. :)


    Gruss


    XEX

    Lucky


    Seit wann empfehlt Marc Faber Staatsanleihen ? :D
    http://www.goldseiten.de/conte…/artikel.php?storyid=4691
    Der macht sich immer lustig ueber die T-Bonds und nun empfehlt er die ?
    Er meint wahrscheinlich die von Singapore und Vietnam bestimmt nicht T-Bonds der Amis.
    Ein Kontraindikator wie bei den anderen Analysten die nun negativ Gold und Silber sind. Nechste Woche schreiben sie dann das Gegenteil.
    David Morgan sagte, I am not afraid to buy in this market now, auf der anderen redet er von einen moeglichen 600 USD Goldpreis.
    Mahendra der sonst negativ Gold ist nun positiv waerend die Goldbugs zittern und Analysten Dr.Doom Berichte schreiben.


    Das stinkt doch zum Himmel.
    Wein saufen und Wasser predigen. ;(
    Verkauft alle, ich kaufe es auf solange mein Pulver reicht wollen die eigentlich ausdruecken..


    Mfg


    XEX


    Strong Nerves Required
    Brian Bloom
    Jun 27, 2007


    ...Gold is therefore a three way bet for me.


    1. If the Central Banks are successful in their game playing, inflation will be upon us and the gold price will soar.


    2. If they are unsuccessful, the dollar will collapse and the gold price will hold its value and maybe even soar upwards - because it is an insurance policy against systemic failure.


    3. In time, if the system does fail, gold will form a foundational cornerstone in a new era. If we still have an affinity to the concept of amassing riches, then the gold price will soar.


    Short term, the gold price may weaken further.


    Long term, the Primary Trend is UP.
    Nowadays, the short term is very short indeed. :D


    http://www.321gold.com/editorials/bloom/bloom062707.html

    Keine Ahnung wo der Yamana tread versteckt ist, Yamana und Northern Orion brauchen noch die Zustimmung von Meridian dann kann der grosse Merger in die Tat umgesetzt werden. :] Nach diesen Merger ist neben der GG die Yamana gleichwertig der groesste Brocken im Depot mit ca. 2.5% Anteil.


    Wed Jun 27, 2007


    Yamana Announces Agreement With Northern Orion and Proposal to Meridian Gold to Create Pre-Eminent Mid-Tier Gold Producer


    The contemplated terms for the three-way transaction are as follows:


    Meridian shareholders would receive 2.235 of a Yamana share plus C$3.15 in cash which, based on Yamana's closing share price of C$13.02 on June 27, 2007, equates to total consideration of C$32.25 per share. The cash and share consideration represents a spot premium of approximately 23% over Meridian's closing share price on June 27, 2007, and a premium of approximately 24.4% based on the 20-day average closing price.


    Northern Orion shareholders would receive 0.543 of a Yamana share which, based on Yamana's closing share price on June 27, 2007, equates to a value of C$7.07 per share. Holders of Northern Orion warrants and other convertible securities will be entitled to receive, or will receive a security in exchange that will entitle them to receive, on exercise 0.543 of a Yamana share in lieu of a Northern Orion share and otherwise on the same terms as the original security. The share consideration represents a spot premium of approximately 21.3% over Northern Orion's closing share price on June 27, 2007, and a premium of approximately 28.3% based on the 20-day average closing price.