Beiträge von Eldorado

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    Hi guys


    Watch out , Full Moon on 13th April, I have a strange intuition and feeling guys..stage 1-4 ?
    Better be there at stage 14-18. :D
    Take cover or profits, I may be wrong on this one,so trade at your own risk.
    I went up all to fast to believe its true, I took some profits and play safe again.
    The 600 mark is a huge battleline.
    A 560 $ rock bottom pullback is possible,what goes up must come down.
    If that happens I buy more physical gold, I love the touch of it.


    Got to run, good luck and good trades, I'm back again in May. ;)


    Cheers and all the best to you all.


    Eldo

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    Economic and Market Commentary


    Silver Crosses $12 plus & Gold Soars beyond $600 Copper hits 2.64


    The Biggest Bull Market Ever


    Good Morning: Long-term readers will know that we have been calling the multi-decade bull market in stocks: "The Biggest Bull Market Ever" long before we coined the phrase in January 2004 that we were in what has unquestionably been "The Best Economy Ever." Even if not everybody feels that it is, it is and has been without historical equal in terms of record productivity, record corporate profits and record cash levels for many corporations. It's almost never looked better, and we likened the Global Bull Market as a 200+ car train representing each country being pulled along by the mega-economies of the United States, China, India, Latin America and Europe — and more recently Japan and Germany, now pulling along after being derailed for more than a decade.


    The Dow Jones Transportation Index itself is testament to what a great economy this truly is, because a staggering increase in the amount of goods being shipped over the past few years is driving the Transportation Index to dizzying heights like never before and is the engine behind the biggest Dow Theory Buy Signal in history, as predicted by the Dow Theorist himself, the famed Richard Russell. The theory is that the Transportation Index is a true barometer of economic health of the nation, because if record amounts of goods are being shipped, the economy is strong and likely to remain so. It also implies that a Dow Transportation Index and Dow Jones Composite Index streaking to new all-time record highs, as they did again just yesterday, means that it is only matter of time before the Dow Jones Industrial average itself also soon soars to new all-time record highs.


    The Biggest Bull Market Ever or Mother of All Bull Markets is not just what we have seen for three straight years, it is in our view a bull run that began by some counts as far back as 1975 or 1982, in what we have foreseen for some time as a 40-year bull market in the making. That would put the ultimate highs between 2015 and 2022 and it could even be a 50-year bull and stretch out into a Century repeat in 2029.


    We have felt for a while that from the origins of the Intel chip in the mid 1970's that Moore's Law, (a theory devised by Intel's co-founder Gordon Moore; it dictates that every 18 months or so, chip performance doubles. It's been adhering to this principle quite accurately ever since and according to industry experts, and Gordon Moore himself says this trend could remain constant until the year 2018 or thereabouts.) could potentially continue to drive this megabull market all the way until that time. The giant Elliot wave count tends to support this very view, in terms of the megawave structure. The primary 1 - 2 waves of which there were many, (a very long-term, very bullish sign) being: 1975 ~ 1977, 1978 ~ 1980, 1982 ~ 1984, 1985 ~ 1987 and 1988 ~ 1990.


    The third wave began in 1991 and lasted throughout the 1990s, peaking in 2000 and beginning the first of the 3 ~ 4 Wave corrections and subsequent upwave we are currently in. Another corrective wave is coming, but not for a while yet, although it is due this year and then we should see a very strong upmove from late 2006 thru 2008. This could either extend for years beyond, or we could have punctuated corrections into 2012 and then a dream run into 2015 ~ 2018, which could in essence be a 5th wave or even superwave of some dimension. Or, in the event that there are a series of many additional 3 ~ 4 counterwaves that balance out the 5 initial 1 ~ 2 formations — in terms of time being 15 years — then it could potentially take us to a point that might initiate the Grand Supercycle 5th wave that could start as late as 2015 and could potentially last as long as 10 years or more, taking us close to the anniversary of the previous Century's Dow high of 1929.


    Since the Dow rose almost 1000% from its early-Century low of 41, a high approaching 70,000 could be envisaged by that time, and that could prove to be conservative. As we have said here before, we are exceedingly bullish on the Japanese Nikkei, expecting that it could reach 100,000 by that time and even at a stretch by 2020, especially if it runs to new all time highs over the next few years. It is important to recognize how rapidly the Nikkei rose over just 40 years from 1950 to 1989 — nearly 100 times higher before peaking. It went from 10,000 to 40,000 during the latter part of the 1980s, so we don't want to underestimate the Nikkei's potential to run up very rapidly, since it bottomed a few years ago. The same can be said of the Russian market. It has risen faster than any market in history, and even today they are calling it cheap, up 100 times since the fall of 1998. Incidentally, two other mega-performers of recent years and of late, Brazil and Mexico, both set new all-time record highs just yesterday...


    But that's not the whole story we wanted to write about today. As we first proclaimed yesterday, this megabull market in stocks could now be giving rise to what may become a new Greatest Bull Market Ever: the recently emerging bull market in Gold and Silver that is beginning to go into hypergrowth. It is very important to keep in mind what happened in the 70s where after decades of inactivity in the Precious Metals arena and after a super strong 20-year stock bull market run reminiscent of the near 20-year bull run in stocks of the 80s and 90s, Gold and Silver emerged from a slumber to rise 20 fold and 50 fold respectively — within just one decade, The 1970s.


    Gold and Silver have been rising similarly with stocks over the past few years, just as they did in the early 1970s, and if Gold and Silver continue to rise as happened 30 years ago, it could mean Gold rising from a low of $255 to a high of $5,100. Sounds unreal, but Never say Never...


    As you may already know, our objectives are somewhat more tame, expecting a peak of around $1,785 by 2009 ~ 2010 and we have very compelling reasons to believe this could happen, with prices first going to new all-time record highs within one year and $925 ~ $1,050 by sometime in 2007. Thereafter, we would expect a one-year pullback or consolidation and then we would expect a strong upsurge to begin, in late 2008, taking prices to our projected levels of $1,785. The wild card is the rapidly growing 1,000 to 1,500 tons per annum deficit in Gold production against sharply increasing demand approaching 4,000 tons per annum. With production dwindling between 2,500 ~ 3,000 or so, this situation is untenable and getting worse, and it is really starting to take its toll. That is why we're seeing substantial price increases of late.


    As we mentioned yesterday, the world is just now coming to grips with the fact that Oil is a finite commodity and that we really could run out of Oil within a few decades — or at least run desperately short. In just the same way, we could run desperately short of Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium and Copper, as well as some exotic metals. By some measures there's only 10~15 years of mineable Gold left in the World, and that is going to play havoc with prices, especially as greedy speculators horde supplies and corner markets as the reality of what we are forecasting here today becomes mainstream and investors start diving into Gold stocks like never before.


    Over recent weeks, we are hearing increasing numbers being proffered on the price of Gold within ever-shortening time frames, from $850 per oz by Merrill Lynch to $900 per ounce from senior analyst Emanuel Balarie at Wisdom Financial, to John Hathaway's (of the Toqueville Fund) very matter-of-fact assertion yesterday that we are heading for 4-digit pricing in Gold; i.e. $1,000 plus per ounce — and soon and fairly easily in his view. Finally, and as one of the most astute players in the Gold World, Rod McEwan is saying Gold will hit $2,000 by 2010.


    In Conclusion


    After calling the major lows in the US Equity Markets, virtually to the day in 2002 and 2003, we were among the very first to call for new all-time record highs in the broadest indices as early as exactly three years ago, in April 2003, noting the exceptional strength in the broadest of US indices such as the S&P Midcap 400 Value Line and Russell 2000 and Banking Indices and looking for new records within 2003.


    Astonishingly, those records were made by fall of that year, and records have been set ever since, almost right up until yesterday.


    So once again we are sticking our necks out and declaring that new all-time record highs in Gold of $875+ will occur very possibly within the next twelve months and most definitely in the outer months in the futures market through December 2010, which yesterday touched $750 per ounce. Furthermore, in a world running out of Gold we're not putting any limits on Gold's upside. One thing seems certain: it'll be the Greatest Bull Market ever. :]


    John Savant

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    Jo Mei Lupo, naechsten Donnerstag bin ich wieder in Siam zur Neujahrsfeier (Songkran) und Wasserfest. Dann wird aber mit Wasser rumgespritzt das kannst Dir gar nicht vorstellen. Eine super Katz genuegt mir,das ganze ist wie ein grosses Tierheim, wenn man eine ueber ein paar Tage von einer Bar rausholt dann ist es schwer sie wieder ins Heim zu schicken. Aber alle ""Farang"" sind happy und haben eine... good for me, good for you,.. sagt man dort.
    In Minga sah ich hauptsaechlich nur alte Leute bei grauen Himmel,da fehlt eine Generation von jungen Leuten.
    Kein Wunder, bei 8000 Menschen in Deutschland nur mehr ein Kind in 2005 geboren.
    Deutschland, bzw. die Deutschen sterben nun aus, das Land wird verfremded.
    Da lerne ich lieber gleich Thai als Turkish und hab eine Mordsgaudi unter tausenden jungen Frauen dort.
    Aber wie ueberall haben die auch einen Rucksack voller Probleme, es kommt halt darauf an wer ihn traegt. :D
    Wir als Gold und Silberbugs sollten bei den Preisen und Aktienkursen keine mehr haben.
    Du solltest dort auch mal hinfliegen, aber alleine oder mit einem Spezi. :D...... dann gehts Dir so wir mir.
    Ab in den Kurort, mal was anderes als Bad Wiessee wo sie mit dem Gehstecken um den See rumlatschen.
    So was sollte es auf Krankenschein geben. :D
    Junge Menschen halten einen jung, alte machen einen aelter.

  • Juniors aus Kanada

    Hallo Gogh


    Schoen, nun bist du auch eine Legende geworden, eigentlich ja mehr mit Tambok's Hilfe. 8)
    Orgie, ja die haben wir alle im Moment, was ist das eigentlich? . :D
    Die ganzen Lacher und Exoten des Jahres 2005 erstaunen nun alle.
    Ich habe nur mehr eine Niete, die SPZ.V im Regenwald von Papua.
    Die haben noch nicht die richtige Mannschaft um fuendig zu werden damit auch dort die Kasse klingelt. :]

  • First Majestic Silver Corp./ FR,AG (TSX,NYSE)

    Hallo


    Wir hatten ja oft ueber die in meinen Augen unterbewertete FSR geschrieben. Wahrscheinlich war der Hauptaktionaer fustriert ueber den Kursverlauf und verkaufte seinen Anteil. Das es einen gibt der 63% der Aktien hat wusste ich nicht erklaert aber das wenige Handels Volumen bei FSR im allgemeinen. Ich habe beide Aktien und halte selber sehr viele wie bei FSR.
    Ich denke mal ich trenne mich mal in den naechten Tagen von einigen FR.V und behalte den Stock von FSR.


    Es kommen sicherlich noch mehr Merger's,.... gut so !. :]


    Salut, Silverbugs


    XEX

  • Juniors aus Kanada

    Hallo Value


    Erstmal herzlichen Glueckwunsch zum Kaiser.
    Ich muss erstmal einiges hier lesen was ihr alle geschrieben habt nach einen Monat. Der Urlaub tat uns alle gut. :D
    Es laeuft alles besser als erwartet,trotzdem nehme ich mal einige Gewinne mit so wie bei ARU.V und hebe Fiat auf fuer eine eventuelle Korrektur beim POG die in physisches angelegt wird oder mehr von CEF fuer die einzige Rentenversicherung an die ich glaube.

    Ich wuensche Euch allen einen schoenen Tag,mal schaun wie es heute weiter geht.


    Gruss


    Eldo

  • Juniors aus Kanada

    Hallo Freunde


    Habe eine Woche in Kapstadt zu tun, na was sagt ihr zu ARU.V :D
    Der Hammer des Tages (+240.45%), wie schoen sie liegt im Depot...bis morgen aber nur mehr . :D
    Der gesamte Jahres Urlaubsgeld ist damit eingespielt. :]


    http://www.aurelian.ca/


    AURELIAN RESOURCES INC. (Tier2) (CDNX:ARU.V) Delayed quote data

    Last Trade: 3.03
    Trade Time: 4:00PM ET
    Change: 2.14 (+240.45%)
    Prev Close: 0.89
    Open: 2.35
    Bid: 3.02
    Ask: 3.03
    1y Target Est: N/A

    Day's Range: 2.00 - 3.30
    52wk Range: 0.40 - 1.00
    Volume: 5,273,518
    Avg Vol (3m): 70,304.6


    Mein Einstieg war bei 0.67 CAD, ich habe die hier oefters erwaehnt.
    Was sich alles so im Dschungel abspielen kann.
    War jemand von Euch mit dabei ??...ein schoener Gewinn mit 350%.
    John Embry bestimmt,von dem hatte ich diesen Tip.



    Ich wuensche die hupfen alle so weiter, so gut gings mir noch nie, eine wahre Junior Party ist das nun was sich z.Zt. alles abspielt.


    Cheers


    Eldo

  • Erdgas

    Danke Bobelle ;)


    Ich habe mir hier wieder ein paar neue Aktien rausgefischt. :]


    Mit Euch kann man profitieren und sich gut unterhalten.


    Alle fuer einen, alle auf einen. :D


    Tschüss


    Eldo

  • Batavia Mining Ltd. WKN 813 531 ISIN AU000000BTV7 BTV

    Danke Ulfur


    Noch nicht aktiv, ich hab nur mal kurz hier reingeschaut um mich bei Gogh zu bedanken.


    Ja ein wenig Sehnsucht hatte ich auch nach Euch, der Dialog mit Euch fehlt mir ein wenig . ;)


    Heute noch die Beerdingung in München um 13Uhr , dann wieder zurück nach Phuket fuer 4 Tage.


    Immer noch kalt in München,hoffentlich regnet es nicht.


    Ich wuensche Euch alles Gute, bis bald.


    Gruss


    Eldo