Beiträge von Eldorado

  • Kursverfall der Goldminenaktien

    valueman & yoyo


    Danke fuer die anworten, wir sollten mal eine Umfrage starten bei wie viel ist der HUI / XAU ende Mai. ?(


    Wir haben ja Umfragen fuer Gold aber nichts fuer den HUI.


    Ich habe ja schon einiges mitgemacht in 10 Jahren GM/SM und rein nach meinen gefuehl her sehe ich nun den max.Boden bei 174 und XAU bei 80.
    Fuer Ende Mai tippe ich auf 200 HUI und 92 XAU.ohne das der Dow faellt unter die 9950.


    Es kann extrem gefaehrlich werden fuer den HUI/XAU wenn der DOW crashed. Dann wird auch verkauft bei GM/SM, kurzfristig.


    Mal schaun, es ist ja wahnsinn wie die Aktien nun bewertet sind.
    Am Goldpreis hat sich nicht viel geandert und bis auf hoehere Energiekosten sollten die GM/SM aktien nicht so abfallen wie bisher.


    Gruss


    XEX

  • Kursverfall der Goldminenaktien

    @ alle


    Na, wie weit faellt der HUI eurer meinung bevor er wieder ueber 200 steigt.?


    These data points represent Price on a “Closing Basis”. For the High price of $256.84 and the Low price of $36.01 on the HUI, the retracement levels are:


    38% level = 172.48


    50% level = 146.43


    62% level = 120.37


    Meine 180 sind futsch und hoffe die 172 halten zumindest.


    Interessant mal zu wissen was ihr denkt, siehe auch link den Frr reingelegt hat.


    http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1114612247.php


    Ebenso vergleicht mit planspieler seiner posting:


    http://www.goldseiten-forum.de…d=&postid=46438#post46438



    mfg


    XEX

  • Harmony Gold Mining / HMY (NYSE), HAR (SA) und Gold Fields / GFI

    Ich habe Ferdi geschrieben und mich beschwert ueber all die dinge die Euch auch stoeren. Sagte noch er und Bernard sollten am besten kundigen und dahin uebersiedeln wo sie ihre auslandskonten haben und zum teufel gehen. Verwundert bekam ich eine antwort darauf :


    Hi .....


    Seems like a strange co-incidence, first Bernard had accounts, now I supposedly have them as well. Sounds like a nice little framing or setup by the opposition. I question people’s logic thinking if they believe such rubbish.


    Why would either of us have s many accounts, then transfer a 1000 pounds between them. We have better things to do, like seeing that the company survives the current rand strength.


    We are doing just that, and are doing it well. Follow our results and performance next quarter.



    Regards


    Ferdi

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    GOLD: CLOSE 4/2705: CASH GOLD: 433.00; JUNE GOLD 434.10


    1. Please review my posting of April 13 regarding gold since it still holds true today.


    2. On April 14th, cash gold went to a low of 421.70, in the upper range of the 415.00 to 422.00 mentioned in my posting of 4/13.


    3. Since then, it went pretty much straight up to a high of 438.20 basis cash ( 439.1 basis June ) on April 26th.


    4. At that point, on the daily momentum charts it was seriously overbought ( as was silver ) and had reached momentum points from which it usually gets turned back and I was very interested to see what kind of a correction would be coming up. As you well know, when the bull gets going, overbought can last for quite some time, even on the daily charts, with minor corrections, until the weekly gets also seriously overbought. As of tonight, the daily is still in overbought territory but all the other momentum periods are in neutral to oversold. What this means in the short term is that we may correct further down but I wouldn't expect a test of the recent lows of April 14th for a number of reasons which I will mention below.


    5. I view the move from the April 14 low to the April 26 high as constructive, i.e. positive, which means that we should be correcting that move and then move higher.


    6. The 50DMA on cash gold is 432.04 and the 200DMA 423.87, so we are sitting above both for now and I suspect the 200DMA +or- a few dollars would provide very strong support. This is all a technical plus.


    7. I will write about the cash dollar index below but let me say, as it pertains to gold, that just as the daily momentums for gold were significantly in the overbought category yesterday, the daily cash dollar index momentums were seriously oversold and thus the pop up in this morning's market for the dollar index. However, my analysis is that the cash dollar index has relatively little upside and is running out of time ( don't forget the dollar has been correcting for almost 4 months now ) to put on a show since with every passing day, as explained in the comments above, the twin deficits keep rising ever higher. In my opnion, we are getting ever closer to the tipping point.


    8. As mentioned in my posting of April 11, the demand for gold out of China is going to surpass anyone's expectations. On that score, it was reported in the People's daily, on April 22: " The China Gold Association ( CGA ) announced recently in Shanghai that the vocation of gold investment analyst had passed examination of the Ministry of Labor and Social Security and will become an authorized job shortly." It was also stated that: " About 700,000 people are working in approximately 10,000 gold ornaments shops across the country, constituting another footnote for the rapid growth of the industry."


    9. The US stock market is correcting a previous downleg and will soon break its recent lows on the way to 1124 to 1127 basis cash S&P. As the market breaks down once more, this will be a bullish event for gold as the dollar will be under pressure and it will become ever clearer, even to the most naive, that the federal deficit is going to surpass last years by a good margin as receipts to the US Treasury drop off like a lead balloon.


    10. In conclusion, the gold bull market is intact and is destined for much higher prices. My sense is that all major economic indicators to be released forthwith will show greater weakness than expectations, bearish for the dollar, bullish for gold and silver. Friday we get the Chicago PMI, and next week will be a barn burner: Monday, ISM Manufacturing Index, Tuesday the Fed meeting on interest rates, and Friday the Unemployment Report.


    SILVER: CLOSE 4/27/05 CASH SILVER: 7.14; MAY SILVER: 7.135; ALL PRICES BELOW BASIS CASH SILVER


    1. As I mentioned above, the daily momentums of silver were seriously overbought in the last few days and a correction was to be expected. This happened just as the option expiry for May silver occurred on April 26 and the First Notice Day is this Friday for May silver - we all know what usually happens during this time period.


    2. As I have mentioned on numerous occasions, silver is not mentioned once on either Bloomberg or CNBC - it just doesn't exist. I view this as extremely bullish for this previous metal.


    3. The 50DMA stands at 7.235 and the 200DMA at 6.97 so silver is right in the middle of these moving averages.


    4. I have two technical analysis on silver:


    i. One is extremely bullish after we relieve this daily overbought momentum condition.


    ii. The other is also bullish but allows for more time before we launch upwards.


    In both cases, we are going to 9.00 to 9.12 minimum.


    5. I'm a buyer should silver drop between 6.80 tol 7.04.


    6. A look at the weekly chart shows a huge wedge formation since March 2004 which I expect will be resolved by a take out to the upside.


    It's getting quite late once more and I like to be up early for the european markets. You already have an idea of my view of the stock market and the cash dollar index which I referred to above. I will discuss both tomorrow ( I promise ) in greater detail along with crude oil. All the pieces are falling into place.To those who have emailed me, I will contact you shortly.


    Wishing you successful investing,


    Michel de Chabert-Ostland

  • Das neue Südafrika

    AnGold Ashanti digs for DRC gold


    Apr 26 2005 03:25:22:817PM



    Kinshasa - South African gold mining giant Anglogold Ashanti has entered into a partnership with the Democratic Republic of Congo to explore and mine the yellow metal in the mineral-rich country's northern Ituri region.
    A source in the mines ministry late on Monday said the joint venture, Ashanti Gold Kilo, would be based in Mongwalu, near the gold-rich area of Kilo.


    Ashanti Gold Kilo is sinking between $30m to $40m to explore and mine gold from an 8 000km² site, thought to contain gold reserves of up to 100 tonnes.


    The South African company had started prospecting in the area in May last year but stopped soon after due to the lack of security in the turbulent region.


    Since 1999, inter-ethnic violence and attacks by various militia have claimed more than 60 000 lives in Ituri, according to humanitarian sources.


    A spurt in violence between December 2004 and April saw some 100 000 people fleeing their homes.


    However, the return of UN peacekeepers abut 11 days ago have served to calm investors in an area boasting one of the richest gold reserves in central Africa.

  • Kursverfall der Goldminenaktien

    Fuer mich ist der Boden erreicht, ausserdem in and out kostet wieder ca. 5% Gebuehren. Da muessten die noch 10% fallen damit es sich rentiert, aber das glaube ich nicht. Heute geht der HUI wieder ueber 180 !

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    House Approves $1 Gold Coin


    Wednesday April 27, 2005 10:01 PM



    By LAURIE KELLMAN


    Associated Press Writer


    WASHINGTON (AP) - The House on Wednesday approved a new gold-colored coin bearing the faces of presidents to join the unpopular $1 Sacagawea coin in circulation, hoping a new design will spur use of dollar coins.


    By a 422-6 vote, the House approved a plan for the U.S. Mint to begin selling the coins early next year.


    The bill also creates what would be the nation's first investment-grade 24-karat gold bullion coin. Intended for collectors, it would carry portraits of first ladies and a have a face value of $10 :D but sell for many times that amount at fluctuating prices based on the price of gold.


    The new dollar coins would be the same shape, size and makeup of the gold-colored $1 coins now bearing the face of Sacagawea. The coins imprinted with her face would remain in circulation.


    Sen. John Sununu, R-N.H., is expected to introduce a similar bill in the Senate.


    The Sacagawea coin, named for the Lemhi Shoshone Indian who helped Lewis and Clark find their way to the Pacific Ocean, was introduced in 2000 but never caught on with the public.


    Officials at the Mint estimate said the new $10 bullion coin could help the United States grab a bigger share of the global market in gold collector coins. They estimate that the potential world market for 24-karat gold coins is about $2.4 billion annually.


    That market is dominated now by Australia, Austria, Canada, China, Singapore and Mexico, whose 24-karat coins account for about 60 percent of global gold coin sales.


    Since 1986, the Mint has produced 22-karat American Eagle gold bullion coins for collectors in $50, $25, $10 and $5 denominations.

  • Kursverfall der Goldminenaktien

    April 27 – Gold $432.10 down $4.90 – Silver $7.12 down 12 cents


    Sickening


    "A cynic is a man who knows the price of everything and the value of nothing." -- Oscar Wilde


    Having been at this a long time I just don’t have much to say today. All that I have been blabbering about was set back. The Gold Cartel declared they will have nothing of a gold rally in other currencies, one which might take down the US financial market system.


    The euro gold price fell all the way back to 334.70. US interest rates were lower and the economic news was anything but robust. What is there to say? If you own bullion, you are fine. If you own shares, you are slaughtered. Mining costs have accelerated to such a degree they are bleeding mining companies severely.


    Gold was taken down last evening and battered from there on. The big picture is still the same, however, the likes of you and me having a good time at this are not to be tolerated.


    John Brimelow reports a huge open interest increase yesterday on the $3 higher break out. Today’s $5 drop put the specs back in their place. All that represents is The Gold Cartel capping the price, going after the shares in coordinated fashion, and then taking the price right back down again. Who could blame any one for not being involved in the gold share sector. You have a rigged market and one that the gold company CEO’s could care less about is going on. They could give a rat’s butt about their shareholders.


    From a technical standpoint little damage has been done. $430 support held.


    The dollar rose .16 to 84.10 and the euro fell slightly on poor US economic news?