Beiträge von Eldorado

    Momentaner Goldpreis 428 $ Silber 7.17
    Dann habe ich ja zum richtigen zeitpunkt gekauft, against all odds !!
    Wenn es so bleibt ! :D


    Ich habe gestern Gogh geschrieben das schlimmste sei vorbei
    Auch fuer die RSA aktien.


    Ich vermute das morgen eine gegenattacke kommt mit US employment figures.


    Mal schaun, ich kann mich auch irren, nobody is perfect.


    I'm just a contrarian cowboy ! ;)


    mfg


    Eldo

    @ gogh


    Ich hatte immer meine bedenken mit AFL und habe es mehrmals gesagt und hier gewarnt. Ein Freund von mir (62 Jahre) steckte so dumm wie er war alles was er sparte auf die AFL. Er hat sich fuerchterlich dabei verbrennt und ich weiss nicht ob er heil rausgekommen ist als das AFL fieber kam und jeder den Schrott/Uranium kaufte. Ich habe ihn geraten bei R 4.70 alles abzuladen und rennen. Ich hoffe er hat es gemacht !


    Ja, so gehts mit aktien, mal oben , dann unten !


    Sorry guys !


    XEX

    Fussball WM 2010 RSA :D :D :D :D


    Bei einem offiziellen Fussballspiel in Soweto wurde vor kurzen ein Schiedrichter von einen Zuschauer am Platz erschossen weil er glaubte er hat einen falschen Elfmeter gepfiffen. Einen Regenschirm Moerder hatten wir auch, ein neger auf der Uni in Kapstadt war unzufrieden
    mit dem weissen professor's bewertung stach ihn mehrmals nieder bis er starb. ...That's a University !! 8o


    Gester war ich mit meiner Thai freundin um ihr visa zu verlaengern.
    Zu 98% stehen dort weisse in der Schlange die etwas brauchen.
    4 Schalter, einer besetzt, 80 min hat das gedauert,plus R 420, ja und dass bei den vielen arbeitslosen ???
    Aber das ist normal bei Home Affairs ! :(


    Heute habe ich 45min gebraucht ueber die Telefon Auskunft die nummer von der Deutschen Botschaft zu bekommen, viel musik und werbung, dann ansage try later, etc. etc.
    Besetzt natuerlich von einen schwarzen den ich nicht verstand und er mich nicht, habe ich dann die nummer doch bekommen nachdem ich buchstabiert habe. :D


    Meiner meinung kann die WM schon alleine aus organisationsgruenden
    nicht stattfinden, geschweige von den oeffentlichen transportmitteln die bis heute noch nicht existieren.


    But its a sunny day in RSA ! 8)


    Gruss


    Eldorado

    Nicht nur Gold ist in trouble !!!



    SA fruit industry in trouble
    30/03/2005 21:24 - (SA)


    Cape Town - More than 100 000 permanent workers in the deciduous fruit industry and at least 400 000 of their dependants could lose their livelihood as a result of the devastating effect of the drought on the export market in particular.
    The gross turnover of the deciduous fruit export market is expected to drop by an estimated R2bn this year from last year.


    This warning comes from professor Daan Louw, lecturer in agricultural economy at the University of the Free State and Agri Western Cape spokesperson for the fruit industry.


    He said the gross returns for export grapes alone would drop by about R1bn from the previous year.


    Louw said more than half of the country's 2 500 deciduous fruit farmers were battling because of the drought.


    "People have not lost jobs on a large scale yet, but it could happen within the next few months. This industry is very labour intensive and up to 40% goes into production costs - workers could definitely be affected," he said.


    To export fruit, the fruit has to be of top quality and to ensure this quality, orchards have to be irrigated. However, water restrictions have been introduced at most government water schemes.


    When fruit is not properly irrigated, the quality is not only poorer, but the fruit is also more susceptible to diseases and damage from the sun.


    Many farmers are cutting down on their post-harvest irrigation and this will have an effect on the next year's harvest. The new harvest therefore does not begin with a good reserve.


    "Even if we get good rains, the next harvest will also not be good because of the post-harvest cuts," Louw said.


    The areas that are worst affected are Olifant's River, Ceres, Tulbagh, Wolseley, Berg River, Hex River and Villiersdorp.


    The Elgin-Grabouw area is in a better position and the Langkloof is not affected.

    Hi



    A stronger rand drove the JSE into the red yesterday, after worse-than-expected US GDP data saw the dollar lose ground. Further euro strength against the greenback could see the rand back below the 6.28 level.


    A currency trader told I-Net Bridge that 6.28 remained the key level – and if that breaks, the rand could strengthen to 6.24-6.25.


    "At the moment, the euro is still bid and it is the only factor to drive the rand through 6.28. If the euro strengthens towards $1.30, the rand should go below 6.28 again," he asserted.


    However, should the rand fail to break 6.28, it would likely bounce towards 6.35 again and possibly test its recent worst level of 6.39 reached on Tuesday, the trader said.


    XEX

    The same bad news for silver, I guess they all play in the movie
    Wag the POG, see poster from afm, above.



    Now wag the POS !


    3 Month Silver Outlook
    (Below is an alert issued on March 21)


    Silver
    Right now I am seeing dollar rebounding and silver down 12 cents trading at $7.23. Could silver stage a 30%+ decline like April 2004 and Dec 2004? The reasons it could are the fi=ollowing:


    The past has shown the 30% decline (P1 and P2) happened in days after a peak. Silver has hanged around mid-7's for way too long.
    Commercials shorts at P1 and P2 peaks have been 95k and 104k respectively. Currently commercial shorts are at 80k, not close to level where the price will be thrashed.


    Read on : :( :( and let it snow !!! $$$$$ :D


    http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/lee033005.html

    James Mound on Gold: :( :( :( :( Let it Snow, let it Snow !!, $$$$$$


    Gold's Pending Collapse (friday comes a new, fake report) :D


    My gold customers must be quite upset with me at the moment. I have been a gold bull for over two years, but recently the merging of short, intermediate and long term technical views have indicated a large increase in the potential for a bear break in gold. Moreover, the dollar supported out at a critical fundamental and technical price point and appears prime to correct in the near term. With the upcoming Employment Report this Friday one must look at this as a potential catalyst to determine the near term trend in the dollar and in turn metals. I cannot help but be a metals bear and owe my readers what I always provide - an honest view. Gold will be well below $400 by mid-summer and here's why:



    http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/mound033005.html

    @ lancelot , ich editier a lot ! :D aber blitzschnell, wie im duell ! ;)


    Eine konservativere anlage anstatt optionen ist SSRI oder Silber Standard Resources, die ist wie eine Option auf Silber die aber nicht auslaeuft ! ;) Sie gehoert zu jeder Anlage wenn man Silberbug ist und wird bestimmt mal 30 USD wert sein. Einfach kaufen und die Schublade stecken und ruhig schlafen fuer weitere Jahre. 8)


    Hurra, dieses mal ohne zu editieren ! :P


    Ciao


    Eldo

    Call finde ich auch richtig, wie 8 Dollar strike in 12 monaten. ;)
    Wenn man glueck :)) hat, verfuenft sich der einsatz !
    Sei mit drei zufrieden und renne vor den hippos, sonst wird vielleicht brenzelig. 8o


    Options handel ist ein ganz heisses geschaeft und eigentlich nur fuer profis gedacht. Da muss man aufpassen, den letzten beissen die hippos ! :D


    Hoher Gewinn aber auch Verluste und geringer der Zeiraum, geringer der preis dieser calls. :(


    Up to you, its your risk ! ?(


    Go for it...



    Adios 8)


    Eldo

    Mahathir: US dollar collapsing


    B.K. SIDHU, MUGUNTAN VANAR and RUBEN SARIO at the International CEO conference in Kota Kinabalu
    THE US dollar is facing an imminent collapse, Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad warned yesterday.
    The former prime minister told a conference of some 650 chief executives from 30 countries in Kota Kinabalu that a standard gold currency was the best alternative for international trade.


    The dollar was only retaining some value because of fears of a global economic catastrophe if it was rejected as a currency of trade, he said in his keynote address, Leadership in the Age of Uncertainties – The Effect of Global Events in Business.


    “But the catastrophe will come one day, because even the most powerful country in the world cannot repay loans amounting to US$7 trillion,” Dr Mahathir said at the closing of the three-day international CEO conference.


    “The uncertainty is with the timing, not whether it will collapse.”



    Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad taking a closer look at handicraft exhibited at the International CEO's Conference 2005.
    Noting that the dollar had devalued by as much as 50% against the yen, he said it was doubtful if the greenback could recover to its old strength. Instead, it would continue to slide, as the present American administration under President George W. Bush did not consider deficits worth reducing.


    Dr Mahathir said, due to America’s huge deficit, the US currency had no backing, but continued to be in use because some people still accepted payments in dollars.


    “But there will come a time when we will switch away from the dollar, and we have suggested the use of gold for international trade,” he said.


    He added that if companies did not want to be “short changed”, they should insist on payments in alternative currencies such as the euro, or be paid in US dollars but in euro-equivalent in value.


    Dr Mahathir later told reporters that he was giving his personal views after having studied the current depreciation of the dollar.


    “Unless they (Americans) change their president and have a more responsible president who will try to reduce the deficit, they will have serious trouble with the US currency,” he said.


    On whether Malaysia should reject the use of the greenback for trade, he said it was up to the Government to decide.


    “But it has to be seen if the US will be responsible enough, and start to reduce its deficit,” he added.


    Dr Mahathir said he believed central banks worldwide were reducing their US dollar reserves, and he suspected that Bank Negara was also switching to other currencies.


    He also said that local companies going abroad should form an association open to credible members who can deliver the job.