Beiträge von Edel Man

    Zitat

    Original von Tschonko
    (....)
    Bei EXM ist leichter Aufwärtstrend festzustellen.
    (....)


    Naja, bischen untertrieben: +26 % in knapp 2 Wochen können sich sehen lassen. :]

    Zitat

    Die MAR.AX Meldung keiner gelesen? )Mar Thread - ist nicht uninteressant).


    Aber Tschonko!! Es genügt doch, wenn einer kommentiert. =)


    MAG ist wirklich Klasse, hab die vor einigen Tagen zugekauft.


    EDR haben wir auch vorhin im EDR Thread diskutiert.


    Grüsse
    Edel Man

    Mark Hulbert / Marketwatch leitet aus relativ schwachem (!) Sentiment weitere Stärke des Goldmarktes ab.


    Es wird interessant, ob seine "Contrarian Analysis" auch momentan zutrifft.



    "For the first time in quite a while, a bullish conclusion emerges from a contrarian analysis of what the gold-timing newsletters are saying....."


    ".... Consider the latest readings of the Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index (HGNSI), which reflects the average recommended exposure to the gold market among a subset of short-term gold timing newsletters tracked by the Hulbert Financial Digest. As of Monday night, the HGNSI stood at 33.9%..


    To put this into perspective, consider that at the end of July, when gold bullion was trading just above the $660 level, the HGNSI stood at 51.8%..."


    "....Sentiment is not the only thing that makes the markets move.
    But it is a powerful force. And unlike the situation that prevailed in May 2006 when gold was at the same level as today, the sentiment winds today are definitely blowing in the gold market's sails. End of Story "



    http://www.marketwatch.com/new…%2DB1E4%2DB2C6720111A1%7D



    Grüsse

    Dazu paßt Maund mit seinem aktuellen Silver Market Update:



    "....Despite all this the outlook for silver is now considerably more bullish than that for gold, even though the price chart is less impressive. This is because the Commercials have slashed their short positions to a remarkable degree in recent weeks, so that they are now at their lowest for more than 4 years, and although their short positions did increase last week, it was only by a modest amount. From this we can infer that a major uptrend is brewing in silver, and it may be that the supply deficit in silver, which Ted Butler has written about so persistently for so long, is about to make itself felt. This would explain why the big shorts forced a breakdown last month in order that they could clear out their short positions at a nice profit and get out of the way before a big uptrend gets going....."




    http://www.silverstrategies.com/story.aspx?local=1&id=9157



    Grüsse

    Roslin sieht das so.


    Tatsächlich ist die Stimmung im Markt für Silber sehr schlecht.
    Wiederum gut zum Antizipieren und antizyklischem Handeln......



    "....In fact, the only signal I got from the latest COTs report was a renewed bullish signal in my silver setup. This setup is based on fading the small traders, who’ve hit an extreme bearish position in this market.


    Otherwise, my existing signals all still hold: bullish gold, gold stocks and silver; bearish copper and the U.S. dollar index....".



    http://www.kitco.com/ind/roslin/sep172007.html



    Grüsse

    Zitat

    Original von bobelle21
    ....she is thinking a bottom has been set and when we ask her for her three favorite stocks at this time, the list has changed somewhat with her Uranium One (UUU) having moved up nicely over
    the last while.
    Her new list has Aurora Energy as number one, Tournigan Gold number two and Crosshair Exploration in the third spot. But look at the charts, because it does look as if the worst is over...


    Jo.
    Interessanter Mix


    Habe nb. nach längerer Zeit auch wieder ein Schwergewicht im Depot: Denison /DML


    @bobelle
    Stell doch bitte bei dieser Info den Link mit rein.



    Grüsse
    Edel Man

    Zitat

    Original von auratico


    Der gute Peter Grandich ist vor allem immer sehr bullisch für alle Minenwerte, die er publizistisch betreut und durch die er ein feines monatliches Einkommen generiert.......


    Naja, "Nobody is perfect." ;)
    Irgendwie kann man ihn verstehen, Schlüsse muß nunmal jeder für sich allein ziehen.


    Zu Bloom :
    Seine Schlußsequenz gefällt besonders:


    "....No one has a monopoly on brains. If it was that easy to call the direction of the markets, we would all be rich. If you want "certainty" then investing in the markets is not for you." :]



    Noch ein Rückblick zu dem Beitrag in Gold und Silber über Lease Rates.


    Da hast Du dankenswerterweise die Erläuterung von Szabo reingestellt.
    Aber:
    Selbst diese Koryphäe war auch schon im unklaren über deren Ausdeutung, sh.14.09.:


    "...I must say that at times I have been completely ignorant of the fact that this was not commonly understood by most people, including many professionals, and I myself have made a major mistake by not factoring this "secret" into the equation on a number of occasions, including my comments on silver lease rates on August 6. In reading those comments over, I can see how they might be extremely confusing as alleged by more than one reader.
    I had referred to both the published lease rate (being the discount from LIBOR) and the actual lease rate in the same breath without really separately identifying the two, which is actually a major mistake that makes much of what I say self-contradictory.


    I hereby apologize for this mistake :)and going forward, I will not refer to the published "lease rate" (representing the discount from LIBOR) as the "lease rate" anymore, but rather as the "lease rate basis".


    http://www.silveraxis.com/



    Grüsse
    Edel Man

    ...ist Peter Grandich.



    "....Peter is more bullish on gold than he’s been since 2003. He says all the bearish forces against the metal have been in play lately, but it’s up around $700 now, even despite widespread pessimism. Peter calls that a “stealth bull”, and he believes it indicates that when the broader audience notices the resilient gold price, they will begin to accumulate and push the price higher yet...."



    http://www.kitco.com/ind/Hunt/sep142007.html



    Als ob der Goldpreis ihn erhört : :)



    Grüsse

    Moin


    Diese Prognose topt die bislang bekannten "Kursziele"!


    Ergänzend aus den sehr interessanten Überlegungen von Peter Schiff seine Gegenüberstellung der Gesamt GDP.



    Selbst bei Annahme großer Unzulänglichkeit derartiger Prognosen bzw. Kalkulationen:


    Der Trend ist sehr eindeutig, die Rolle der USA als Weltwirtschaftslokomotive schwindet beständig.


    ".....Factoring in China's enormous population means that such a significant rise in its per capita GDP would have a profound impact on global consumption. Consider the following table, in billions of U.S. dollars, of the GDPs of the G-7 nations plus China:
    Now consider the table with my assumptions regarding exchange rates and a 20% decline in U.S. GDP.
    Under this scenario, China supplants the United States as the world's largest economy, not in 30 or 40 years as is commonly believed, but perhaps as soon as before the end of this decade....."



    Grüsse