$GOLD:$SILVER Ratio u.a.

so nächste woche, also ab morgen versucht der euro anzugreifen jetzt kann man es dann vielleicht mal mit einem dollarshort versuchen aber erst abwarten bis das signal gegeben ist bis jetzt wird es nur versucht...

Und noch ein weiterer Kommentar zu FED und M-3.

Wie bereits erwähnt, wird die FED ab März 06 nicht mehr über die Geldmenge M3 informieren.
Für alle, die nicht wissen, was unter M1 M2 und M3 genau zu verstehen ist, gibt der folgende informative Artikel What's happened to M3? von David Chapman Auskunft:

Zitat

So what is M3? To understand what M3 is one needs to know what M1 and M2 are as well.

• M1 - Money supply that includes all coins, currency held by the public, traveler's checks, checking account balances, NOW accounts, automatic transfer service accounts, and balances in credit unions.
• M2 - Money supply that includes M1, plus savings and small time deposits of depository institutions, overnight repos at commercial banks, and retail mutual fund money market accounts.
• M3 - Money supply that includes M2, plus large time deposits, repos of maturity greater than one day at commercial banks, institutional money market accounts and Eurodollar deposits of US banks held at foreign branches and at all offices in the UK and Canada.

Note: These are the US definitions of M1, M2 and M3. The Bank of Canada's definitions of M1, M2, and M3 may vary.

Weiter wird im Artikel über Gründe der neuen Informationspolitik der FED gemutmasst:

Zitat

Some of the reasons we have seen floated around are as follows:

- History has shown that only failing economies e.g. Soviet Union keep data secret (Financial Sense - Toni Straka - Unpleasant M3 Trend, November 12, 2005). An interesting premise and a theme we saw woven amongst a number of writers is that they have something to hide. The claim is that the Fed should be transparent and by not publishing the number the Fed now lacks transparency.

- The end of publishing of M3 in March 2006 coincides with the start of the Iranian Oil Bourse. The premise here is that the with the oil bourse trading in Euros there will be a rush out of US$ into Euros and that M3 could drop sharply. A sharp drop in M3 would of course presage a recession as falling M3 is a characteristic of weak economic periods.

- M3 is a measure of inflation in the economy. A somewhat unproven rule of thumb is GDP + inflation = M3. Will be able to properly measure inflation going forward if we don't know what M3 really is.

- We are about to enter a period of hyperinflation and by eliminating M3 we will not know how much liquidity the Fed is pumping into the system. Remember the Fed doesn't really print money it is the banking system that expands money supply. But the Fed influences it through open market operations. We will have to watch daily Fed repo action very carefully irrespective of whether they are going to publish Repos (RPs) as noted in the bulletin above. The Fed doing repos puts money into the system and the Fed doing reverse repos takes money out of the system. Of course as well this is the exact opposite of the collapse in M3 premised with the oil bourse above.

- Further on the theme above a period of hyperinflation would occur as the Fed tries to save us from a collapsing housing market and softer consumer demand. The Fed adds more and more liquidity to the system to stave off a sharp economic decline. By not publishing Repos (RPs) as noticed in their bulletin above the Fed again is hiding what they do on a day to day basis. This will make it difficult for both currency traders and equity traders to know what the Fed is up to.

- The conclusion is that the Federal Reserve will be hiding a debasement of the US$.

Alles anzeigen

Am Ende wird das Fazit gezogen:

Zitat

Putting aside demand/supply conditions that favour gold right now the recent sharp jump in gold prices can only be explained in light of a realization that a monetary disaster is in the making. Gold is or has been breaking out in a number of currencies recently as well. Gold is the ultimate currency and when it is going up against all currencies it is telling us that something big is going to happen.

Habe mal in diesem Thread auf die neue Informationspolitik (oder eben nicht) der FED ab März 06 verwiesen.

Noch werden die Zahlen bekanntgegeben.
In den letzten Wochen scheint die M3 extrem erhöht worden zu sein wie letztmals im September 01.

Ein Ausschnitt aus dem Artikel
Whats the Fed Up To With the Money Supply?
von Robert McHugh:

...
M-3 has a direct but lagging impact on financial markets. Look at the chart at the top of the prior page. Whenever M-3 rises, the Dow Industrials rise. Whenever M-3 is flat or declines, the Dow Industrials decline. The Dow Industrials are a bellwether for the economy. If we can monitor M-3, we can better monitor the future path of equities and the economy. It is wrong for the Fed to stop its disclosure for this very reason. Investors need to know in a free market economy, because M-3 infusion is centrally planned intervention into a free market system. Investors need to know when the Master Planners have decided to intervene. Our buy/sell signals were designed to pick up the scent of Master Planner intervention by analyzing supply and demand forces underlying the markets. So with or without a fully disclosed M-3, we will be able to continue to identify coming multi-week trends.

So what about M-3 the past week? The latest figures show that on a seasonally adjusted basis, M-3 rose 27.3 billion last week, a 14.0 percent annualized clip, and is up $76 billion over the past month, a 9.8 percent growth rate. But those are the massaged numbers. For the raw figures, fasten your seat belt. Are you ready? M-3 was increased $58.7 billion last week (that does not include the huge Repo infusions noted above), a 30.0 percent annualized rate of growth. For the past two week, the Fed added $93.5 billion to the money supply, a 24.0 percent annual clip. Over the past 6 weeks it is up $192.9 billion, a 16.7 percent Banana Republic hyperinflationary pace. This is nuts, folks - unless there is an incredible risk out there we are not being told about. That is a lot of money for the Plunge Protection Team's arsenal to buy markets - stocks, bonds, currencies, whatever. This level of irresponsible money supply growth makes shorting markets hazardous, yet at the same time says markets are at huge risk of declining. Maybe M-3 growth doesn't stop the decline this time. Should be a fascinating storm in 2006.

The recent rise in Gold catalogued 74 points over about a month, a 16 percent rally from precisely the day the Fed announced it would hide M-3 from taxpayers and citizens of this great nation. That is no coincidence. Gold sees hyperinflation, monetization of debt, and intervention into free markets. Gold is telling us it expects Ben Bernanke to be an inflationist.

...

Noch ein Chart dazu für die letzten paar Tage:

http://www.bullandbearwise.com/FOMOOutChart.asp

der is verglüht

morgen edel

sag mal edel wo ist eigentlich der dollartreed hin ich such und such und kann nix finden ich wollte nochmal meine prognose zum dollar studieren

seit wann kannst du hier was verschieben
wieso kann ich nichts verschieben

und das als guru himmel hilf

und wie war die addy mit dem dollarindex?

ich find heute wiedermal nix

danke danke für die hilfe aber ich mein den dollarindexchart nich die rechnung die kapier ich sowieso nich