Beiträge von Blue Horseshoe

    Ich habe gerade eine nicht allzu geile Wohnung verkauft, die jemand ganz, ganz unbedingt haben wollte und dafür einfach schlicht unfassbar viel zu viel bezahlen bereit war. Die Kohle soll morgen / übermorgen eintrudeln und ich hab die ganze Zeit gedacht... "könnten die EM-Kurse nicht bitte, bitte fallen...., ich möchte echt nicht der Idiot vom Dienst sein... "

    danke dir, ich lege jetzt euch nochmal günstiger bei den minen nach ua. ebenfalls mit erlösen aus einem immo deal.


    bg bh

    noch dazu ist der russische impfstoff ein vektor impfstoff.


    recht schön zusammengestellt wie im westen mal wieder alle lügen:


    https://www.anti-spiegel.ru/20…15.0298640727996826171875


    In Russland wurde der weltweit erste Corona-Impfstoff registriert, das hat Putin heute in einer Videokonferenz mit der Regierung mitgeteilt. Im Spiegel durfte Julia Merlot darüber berichten. Lesern des Anti-Spiegel ist sie für ihre fantasievollen Artikel bekannt, aber ihr Artikel ist eine gute Gelegenheit, über den russischen Impfstoff zu berichten.
    Erst am 4. August habe ich anhand eines Machwerks von Frau Merlot aufgezeigt, wie sie arbeitet. Von ihr stammen zum Beispiel Lobeshymnen auf Glyphosat oder auch auf Tierversuche. Bei Frau Merlots Artikeln hat man immer das Gefühl, da schreibe die Pressestelle der Pharma- oder der Chemieindustrie. Nun also durfte sie sich zum russischen Corona-Impfstoff äußern und wie üblich sind ihre Behauptungen leicht widerlegbar.
    ....



    Bei Frau Merlot klingt es jedoch so:
    „Erst wenn der Impfstoff zugelassen ist, will Russland ihn an einer größeren Gruppe Menschen testen. Laut der staatlichen Nachrichtenagentur Interfax hat der russische Gesundheitsminister Michail Muraschko angekündigt, dass rund 800 Personen teilnehmen sollen, um die Ergebnisse aus der ersten Studie zu bestätigen. Das widerspricht dem anerkannten Vorgehen bei der Impfstoffentwicklung.“
    [/quote]
    ...


    Nun muss man wissen, was tatsächlich in Russland geschieht. Der Impfstoff wurde heute nicht etwa zugelassen, wie Frau Merlot behauptet, sondern registriert. Das ist ein wichtiger Unterschied, denn das Wort „Zulassung“ suggeriert, der Impfstoff wäre ab sofort überall erhältlich. Die Registrierung des Impfstoffes ist jedoch etwas anderes, sie ist ein juristisches Prozedere in Russland und nötig, um in Phase III der Erprobung zu gehen.
    Impfstoffe werden in drei Phasen getestet. In den Phasen I und II werden kleine Gruppen von Menschen mit und ohne Vorerkrankungen mit verschieden hohen Dosen des Impfstoffs geimpft. Diese Phasen hat Russland abgeschlossen. Es ist übrigens bemerkenswert, dass die russischen Entwickler des Impfstoffs so sehr von ihm überzeugt sind, dass sich einige von ihnen selbst für die Phase I Tests zur Verfügung gestellt haben.
    In Phase III wird der Impfstoff dann einer sehr viel größeren Gruppe (hunderte oder gar tausende) von Probanden getestet, um auch Nebenwirkungen zu erfassen, die vielleicht nur bei einem von tausend Fällen auftreten. Und für den Beginn von Phase III muss der Impfstoff in Russland registriert werden, das ist heute geschehen und nun soll er an einer großen Gruppe Freiwilliger getestet werden, die Rede ist in erster Linie von Medizinern, um sie als erste vor einer Infektion mit dem Erreger zu schützen.


    bg bh


    ps. ich habe es leider zeitlich nicht mehr geschafft alle neuen beiträge im faden eingehend zu lesen, sollte es schon gepostet sein bitte einfach löschen!

    kurzinterview mit john lewins


    John Lewins:“Mining is a game of numbers, and let me give you the numbers for the stage 3 expansion:
    Zero. That is the amount of external funding that is required to build stage 3.
    $489. That is the all-in sustaining cost per ounce of gold production.
    318,000. That’s the average annual gold equivalent production at the run rate.
    1,000,000. That’s the tonnes we treat per year in stage 3.
    $125 million. That’s our initial pre-production expansion cap.
    $1.5 billion. That is the after tax NPV at a $1,500 gold price.
    Those are the numbers for stage 3. And that’s what mining is about.”


    Eric King:“John, those numbers are staggering. Let me give you some numbers.
    $2,050 gold.
    $29.50 silver.
    We’ve talked cash flows in the past. What are we looking at going forward with the dramatic upside surge and the prices that we are seeing in the gold and silver markets?”
    A Staggering $450 Million Of Free Cash Flow Each Year


    John Lewins:“Well, if you take stage 3, and we are producing over 300,000 ounces of gold a year, and our all-in sustaining cost is below $500, at $1,500 gold we are making $1,000 an ounce. So that’s $300 million in cash flow. With the price of gold at $2,000, that becomes $450 million of free cash flow each year.”


    Eric King:“What are you going to do with nearly a half a billion dollars in free cash flow?”
    10 Drill Rigs On Site By The End Of The Year


    John Lewins:“We currently have 7 drill rigs operating but we are going to expand that to 10 drill rigs by the end of the year. We will have more drilling results out later this month and we have so many exciting targets to drill. And to go back to that first number, zero, that’s the amount of external funding that will be required to build stage 3 because we are generating so much cash flow that we don’t need equity and we don’t need debt. We are actually making cash while we are building stage 3 and expanding to what is effectively a tier-one mine.”


    bg bh

    wegen der chips, werden wir mittelfristig sehen, smic started in china in q4/2020 die eigene 7nm produktion!
    vorerst in kleinserie und ab spätestens ab q1/2021 in hohen volumen.


    "TSMC und Samsung werden in diesem Jahr bereits 5nm-Prozesse in für Massenproduktion nutzen, jedoch holt China bei den fortschrittlichen Verfahren ganz offensichtlich immer weiter auf. Der größte Wafer-Hersteller, SMIC, überführte erst Ende letzten Jahres einen 14-nm-Prozess in die Serie, der 1 % des Umsatzes und einen Umsatz von 7,69 Millionen Dollar brachte. Aber diese Prozesstechnologie kann zumindest bereits 95 % der Inlandsnachfrage decken. Die 14-nm- und verbesserten 12-nm-Prozesse sind die FinFET-Prozesse der ersten Generation von SMIC. Man entwickelte auch fortschrittlichere N+1- einschließlich N+2-FinFET-Prozesse, die in etwas den energiesparenden und leistungsstarken Versionen des 7-nm-Prozesses entsprechen."


    und btw. intel selbst scheitert momentan am 7nm prozess.


    bg bh

    Schweden: Sonderweg mit Erfolg


    Vor knapp 4 Wochen vertrat Querschuesse die These: “Schweden: Covid-19 ist durch”, dies erregte vereinzelt bei Lesern Widerspruch, aber auch 4 Wochen später ist die Zustandsbeschreibung faktisch richtig. Das Sterbegeschehen, wie auch die schweren Krankheitsverläufe sind nahe Null, der Sonderweg führt auf der längeren Zeitachse betrachtet zum Ziel! In den letzten 7 Tagen sind an und mit Covid-19 nur 4 Personen gestorben und es gibt nur noch 36 Intensivpatienten in ganz Schweden.


    https://www.querschuesse.de/schweden-sonderweg-mit-erfolg/


    bg bh

    In Real Terms, Gold Has Yet to Reach New Highs


    As I type, gold just rose above $2,010 and silver topped $25. Long-suffering gold and silver bugs can be forgiven for breaking out some champagne as monetary metals reach new multi-year highs.



    We all know that inflation erodes fiat currencies, including the US dollar, every year. We refer to interest rates as “real” when adjusted for inflation. By that standard, the real price of gold has a long way yet to go to reach new highs.


    [Blockierte Grafik: https://independentspeculator.…thDailyPicks1970-2020.png]


    In “real” terms, gold has to rise more than $700 to beat the all-time, inflation-adjusted high of $2,722.18 in 1980.


    ...
    Just to match its 2011 peak, silver has to reach $55.78.
    To reach a “real” all-time-high, silver has to top $160.59.
    ..
    https://independentspeculator.…erms-gold-has-yet-to-peak


    bg bh


    Europe's Top Health Officials Say Masks Aren't Helpful in Beating COVID-19


    The top medical experts in the world can’t decide if masks are helpful in reducing the spread of COVID-19 or just make things worse.


    ...
    "From a medical point of view, there is no evidence of a medical effect of wearing face masks, so we decided not to impose a national obligation," said Medical Care Minister Tamara van Ark.
    ..
    Others, echoing statements similar to the US Surgeon General from early March, said masks could make individuals sicker and exacerbate the spread of the virus.
    ..
    “Face masks in public places are not necessary, based on all the current evidence,” said Coen Berends, spokesman for the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. “There is no benefit and there may even be negative impact.”
    ...
    “With numbers diminishing very quickly in Sweden, we see no point in wearing a face mask in Sweden, not even on public transport,” said Anders Tegnell, Sweden’s top infectious disease expert.
    ...


    https://fee.org/articles/europ…pful-in-beating-covid-19/


    bg bh

    China and Russia ditch dollar in move toward 'financial alliance'


    Greenback's share of neighbors' trade falls below 50% for first time


    In the first quarter of 2020, the dollar's share of trade between Russia and China fell below 50% for the first time on record, according to recent data from Russia's Central Bank and Federal Customs Service.
    The greenback was used for only 46% of settlements between the two countries. At the same time, the euro made up an all-time high of 30%, while their national currencies accounted for 24%, also a new high.
    Russia and China have drastically cut their use of the dollar in bilateral trade over the past several years. As late as 2015, approximately 90% of bilateral transactions were conducted in dollars. Following the outbreak of the U.S.-China trade war and a concerted push by both Moscow and Beijing to move away from the dollar, however, the figure had dropped to 51% by 2019.


    https://asia.nikkei.com/Politi…toward-financial-alliance


    -40% in 5 jahren.
    50% ist eine schwelle ab der es immer schneller geht.


    bg bh


    @Lexus


    das sehe ich anders, keine neuen contracte eröffnen zu können entpricht einem kaufverbot egal ob auf marge oder nicht. dies war der erste schritt zur abwärtsspirale, das andere hat dann hübsch mitgeholfen.
    nachfrage is schließlich eine der hauptkomponenten in einem markt zur preisfindung.
    es ging hier übrigens um die hunts, nicht um die jetzige situation, in der marginerhöhungen natürlich die kreditgetriebene und damit gehebelte nachfrage ausbremst.


    bg bh

    eric sprott & craig hemky



    August 7, 2020
    It’s been a great week, with silver up $3.50 and gold up $70. But is the surge over or will there be greater gains in the weeks ahead? Host Craig Hemke and legendary investor Eric Sprott break down all the gold and silver news you need to navigate this incredible period for precious metals.
    In this edition of the Weekly Wrap Up you’ll hear:

    • Why it’s “all about the silver”
    • What’s causing the shares to lag
    • Plus: the “hell of a deal” out there now

    “Let’s deal with the most important data that we had last week. Unfortunately for our listeners, this data came out at 3:30 in the afternoon on Friday. And it was the Commitment of Traders report that basically suggested that the commercials were buyers of gold and silver at nice, big fat losses for the first time ever in probably 35 years. And they still have a major short position. One of the guys I read, he describes it as an event that has happened ‘never times before.’ Like, it’s never happened before!”


    https://www.sprottmoney.com/Bl…rap-up-august-7-2020.html


    bg bh

    First Majestic Reports Second Quarter Financial Results


    https://www.firstmajestic.com/…inancial-results-20200806



    SECOND QUARTER 2020 HIGHLIGHTS
    (compared to Q2 2019)


    • Revenues of $34.9 million, representing a 58% decrease due to limited operations during the quarter in response to COVID-19 and the decision to stockpile metal inventory in an effort to maximize future profits
    • At quarter end, the Company held approximately 970,000 ounces of silver and 6,000 ounces of gold in metal inventory which were subsequently sold and will be recognized as revenue in the third quarter for $25.0 million
    • Reduced cash costs by 2% to $6.73 per payable silver ounce
    • All-in sustaining costs (“AISC”) of $18.57 per payable silver ounce, representing a 26% increase primarily due to higher fixed overhead costs being divided over less ounces produced due to the COVID-19 related shutdowns
    • Mine operating earnings of ($7.8) million after incurring $9.2 million in standby costs during the quarter, compared to earnings of $4.2 million in Q2 2019
    • Net earnings of ($10.0) million was impacted due to the suspension of operations and the decision to stockpile metal inventory
    • Adjusted EPS of ($0.10) after excluding non-cash and non-recurring items
    • Cash flow per share of ($0.08) (non-GAAP)
    • Ended the quarter with $95.2 million in cash and cash equivalents; as of August 4, 2020, the Company held $128.0 million in cash and cash equivalents

    --


    Short Interest (Shares Short) 36,870,000
    Short Interest (Shares Short) - Prior 37,150,000


    kaum shorts abgebaut - sind immer noch 19.92 % vom share float.
    wenn der squeeze kommt...


    bg bh

    Fazit: wer heutzutage noch einen Edelmetall ETF hält, der muss mit dem Klammerbeutel gepudert sein!

    und das, wo ich doch puder ganz und gar nicht abkann, habe doch im märz tatsächlich pslv mit überschussliquidität gekauft die dringend weg musste - und nein, keine indische pslv(polar satellite launch vehicle) sondern den sprott pslv ;)


    bg bh

    Die Schweine haben die Margin bei Silber wieder erhöht.
    goldseiten.de/artikel/460341--…g-der-Silber-Margins.html

    heute sind nonfarm payroll daten drann für den juli 2020 - 14.30 mez.


    das sind alles termine, wie die future verfalls termine wonach man den "wecker" stellen kann oder bzw konnte. mal sehen wie sich das weiterentwickelt...


    bg bh

    haywood zu knt mir price target von 10 cad


    Given our firm belief in the value of Kora, and the capacity of the geology to deliver further resource growth (underpinned by the 2020 PEA outcomes for the expansion) we have increased our target price to $10.00 (from $6.15).Our target is predicated on a 1.0x NAVmultiple to our Corp. NAV7% (Haywood Base Case), which following an update to our Kainantu mine model on the basis of the PEA update, increases to C$9.98/sh from $6.33/sh, previously. With the Stage 3 PEA now in hand, we now await the delivery of aFeasibilitystudy, which is expected to be completed by mid-2021.


    As ahighlight, we notethat the Phase 3 expansion study outlined a NAV >20% higher than our previous expectations. Published metrics came in ahead of our estimates on CAPEX, grade, and costs, driving a NPV5% of US$1.6 billion using a price of US$1,600/oz Au, which compared to our previous estimate of US$1.35 billion using a long-term price of US$1,650/oz.



    ..



    RECOMMENDED ACTION We recommend accumulating shares at current levelsWe reiterate our Buy rating and revised target price of $10.00/sh (from $6.15/sh). We believe K92 offers Tier-1 asset exposure through its high-grade Kainantu Gold Mine in PNG, which is progressing towards near-term production growth in Q3/20.We anticipate K92 will continue to garner interest from investors seeking a growing production base and near-mine resource expansion opportunities.Given K92’s cheap valuation relative to peers, we believe the Company is well positioned for share price appreciation.



    ...



    Blue Lake Porphyry Au-Cu targetThe Blue Lake porphyryAu-Cu target represents one of several porphyry targets on the Company’s property (e.g., Yompossa, A1 and Yonki; see Figure 3) and was initially drill tested last year. The target exhibits spatially overlapping geochemical anomalism (Au-Cu) together with the presence of enargite-bearing breccia and vuggy silicarock in outcrop,and a diagnostic EM signature. Early drilling tested to 600 metres and revealed a Au-Cu mineralized propylitic altered zone below an advanced argillic lithocap (see Figure 6). This drilling commonly ended in Au-Cu mineralization with follow up drilling this year looking to test for potassic ‘core’ of the system.



    ..


    Valuation and Target PriceOur target price of $10.00per share is based on a ~1.0x multiple to our fully financed after-tax corporate net asset value (NAV)7%of $9.98per share. In deriving our corporate NAV7%, we have outlined two mining scenarios, the first (Stage 2) is based on the nearly completed mine expansionto a capacity of 400,000 tpa, and the second (Stage 3) is based on a conceptual mine plan that outlines a much larger mining operation utilizing a new 1 Mtpa processing plant. We have modelled the start of production for Stage 3at Kora and Kora North toin early-2023. Stage 3will include the construction of a new and larger processing facility using a similar flow sheet with throughput capacity of2,750tpd producinggold, silver, and copper concentrate andgold and silver dore.We anticipate a ~14-yearlife of mine for the overall production of 3.4Moz gold, 5.9Moz silver, and 265.6Mlb copper (~4.0Moz gold equivalent). K92currently has ~C$28.7million in cash and trades at a 0.68x multiple to our fully financed after-tax corporate NAV7%estimate of $9.98per share. Comparatively, other gold/copper-developer peers in Haywood’s coverage universe trade between 0.63x and 1.27x corporate NAV estimates.



    http://cdn.ceo.ca.s3-us-west-2…m/1fip82q-KNTAug62020.pdf



    bg bh

    ein artikel von fitzgerald



    Barry FitzGerald: $US3,000/oz gold not looking so far-fetched after all


    ...
    anaccord recently allowed itself a bit of whimsy on the subject of
    what Aussie gold stocks would like at $US3,000 gold, emphasising it was
    not a piece of research, i.e. there is nothing to say gold will in fact
    get to $US3,000.
    Using a much higher exchange rate of 85c as a mid-point, the key findings were that valuations for Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) and Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) double, while rising four times for Perseus Mining (ASX:PRU), Resolute Mining (ASX:RSG) and Red 5 (ASX:RED).
    The impact on developers like Bellevue Gold (ASX:BGL), Breaker Resources (ASX:BRB), Kingston Resources (ASX:KSN) and Matador Mining (ASX:MZZ) is even more telling. Their current share prices, with the valuation at $US3,000 and an 85c exchange rate in brackets, is as follows:
    Bellevue 59.5c ($1.80), Breaker 23.5c (91c), Kingston 16c ($1.14) and Matador 24c ($1.84).
    As it is, Canaccord’s real-world price target on Bellevue is $1.30 as the company prepares to release a maiden indicated resource for its project of the same name, a precursor to a development of the high-grade deposit neat Leinster in WA.
    Breaker is busy chasing the “camp-scale’’ potential of its Lake Roe project near Kalgoorlie where it has already outlined a 1-million-ounce open-cut resource at the Bombara deposit.
    Kingston is working towards a revival of the Misima mine in PNG, once one of the region’s most profitable mines in a $US350-an-ounce gold environment.
    Matador owns the Cape Ray project in Newfoundland. A recent scoping study pointed to a development producing 88,000 ounces annually in the first four years at an all-up cost of less than $US800 an ounce.


    https://stockhead.com.au/resou…so-far-fetched-after-all/


    bg bh