Beiträge von ThaiGuru

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    The John Brimelow Report


    Wednesday, March 31, 2004


    Indian ex-duty premiums: AM $3.31, PM $4.00, with world gold at $422.50 and $424.25. Below legal import point, in the afternoon only modestly. The rupee jumped again today, and has now risen 3.5% against the dollar in the past nine sessions. Official GDP data, released today, indicated India logged a 10.4% y/y expansion in the last 3 months of ’03. This is bigger than China. Should the Reserve Bank opt not to reverse the recent currency strength with the start of the new Financial Year tomorrow , India will support world gold on any correction at a much higher level than Western Bears expect.


    It is also the Japanese Financial Year close today. Perhaps this explains the big increase in TOCOM volume: up 131% to the equivalent of 40,689 Comex lots. The big news of the Japanese day, of course, was the jump in the yen to a four year high: uncomfortable news for those long yen gold futures, although possibly positive for physical bullion demand in due course. The active contract was down 8 yen and but open interest slipped the equivalent of only 102 Comex lots. (NY yesterday traded 104,095; open interest edged up 970 contracts: perhaps Monday’s shorts were covering.


    Yesterday in NY appears to have been a day of quiet, orderly resilience. Volume, of course, was actually heavy: in fact, the last nine days on Comex are probably the heaviest in the gold contract’s history. The most arresting comment came via Dow Jones from Commerzbank:


    "We have seen strong investment demand, which brought us up to the $420s," said Paul McLeod, vice president of precious metals trading at Commerzbank Securities. Additionally, "these folks are not short-term players and are not looking to take profits."
    JB


    The Paul McLeod quote is EXACTLY what MIDAS has been bringing to your attention for some time. It is a part of the structural change in the gold market I keep referring to.

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    March 31 - Gold $427 up $5.60 - Silver $7.91 up 16 cents


    Gold And Silver Close At 15-Year Highs / Superb Market Action


    Ramble On
    The leaves are falling all around, time I was on my way
    Thanks to you I'm much obliged, such a pleasant stay
    But now its time for me to go, the autumn moon lights my way
    But now I smell the rage, and with it hate, and it's headed my way.
    Ah, sometimes I grow so tired, but I know there's one thing I have to do.
    Ramble on. And now's the time, the time is now.
    Led Zeppelin


    The precious metal market action today was superb. Both gold and silver opened very strongly and went up from there to close on their highs of the Comex trading session. Both made news highs right near the close, a positive for tomorrow. Naturally, the $6 rule was enforced in the gold pits by the corrupt and increasingly impotent looking Gold Cartel. The high on gold was $5.80 up on the day.


    Both gold and silver made 15-year highs. The highest previous gold close was in late January at $426 and change.


    The big news of the day as far as I am concerned was the market action. Once gold and silver rallied, they just sat right around the highs very quietly. This is in complete contrast to the last time gold was up here in January. Then, the trading action was very frenetic. Today had more of the "uh-oh" feel as far as the gold and silver shorts are concerned. You can almost hear them talking to each other behind the scenes saying, "What the heck are we going to do? How do we cover our shorts without driving the prices to the moon?"


    They don’t! GATA stretcher-bearers: please stand by!


    It appears gold and silver are going to take out $430 and $8 respectively. When they do, the volatility should pick up noticeably. There is no real technical resistance for gold after $430 for a long ways up. We will start hearing talk about $500 gold when $430 is taken out and it might happen in short order. It is important to keep in mind what we know and few others are paying any attention to because they are clueless. And that is there is a massive gold short position out there. More than 16,000 tonnes of gold is owed to the central banks. Some of it may be paid back in cash settlements. But, certainly not most of it. The shorts cannot cover their positions in a major way in a market with a 125 tonne monthly supply/demand deficit without driving the price sharply higher. Then, you have the potential of the gold derivatives neutron bomb going off which could come at any time. At some point we ought to start hearing more about gold producer hedge book problems too.


    When it comes to silver, forget about it. The shorts are in deep doo-doo. There is no way they can cover without the price accelerating even more than gold will because THERE IS NOT ENOUGH PHYSICAL SILVER OUT THERE for them to get the job done except from silver scrap. And that will take a price spike to ferret out and will take a modicum amount of time. The Silver Streak is going to be a sight to behold!


    The gold open interest only rose 970 contracts to 295,044 on yesterday’s rally. This suggests some shorts are beginning to run for the hills.


    The silver open interest gained 721 contracts to 119,147. To me this is good from a technical point of view. The price is going up steadily without the specs pouring in. Another sign that silver has become a PHYSICAL market.


    April Gold
    http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/GD/44


    Love, love, love this one – from a highly regarded hedge fund manager:


    Hi Bill. I was visiting today with a friend who runs a Comex warehouse. In reference to your hypothesis that (new) buyers are going directly to producers, it sounds like those buyers are mainly the dealers, themselves, and they are definitely contracting at an increased rate with "producers" (which can mean refiners, a combination of mining companies and refiners, and other upstream handlers of the metal). It seems that they are concerned about their own delivery commitments, so they are arranging physical purchases and trucking the refined bars to the warehouses themselves. Pretty interesting, isn't it?


    -END-


    Sure is! This confirms other silver information sent your way the past months from various Café sources. The plot thickens.


    May silver
    http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SV/54


    JUST IN LATE from another extremely well-connected and highly regarded Café source who is very knowledgeable about the precious metals, someone who loaded the boat years ago with gold/silver physical and the shares. A month ago he bought 500,000 ounces of silver and did not have much of a problem doing so and with immediate delivery assured. This afternoon he was told the maximum order he could place is 100,000 ounces and he would have to wait a few days.


    It gets better. Turns out he learned the bullion dealers are sneaking around with armored cars making deliveries. They are trying to give the perception everything is normal in the silver world. IT IS NOT! The buggers are going to get buried. Second line of GATA stretcher-bearers: please stand by!


    It’s the funds versus The Gold Cartel in the gold pits. Money is pouring into various commodity funds and these new funds are usually put to work at the beginning of the month, which is tomorrow. This could be supportive for both gold and silver in the near-term.

    @ludopata


    Diese Pause kommt schon noch, spätestens in diesem Sommer.
    Weil irgendwann muss ich auch einmal etwas Geld ausgeben.


    Würde Dir gerne mal eine Frage stellen


    Wann, und aus welchen Beweggründen, oder Erkenntnissen, bist Du selbst zum Entschluss gelangt in Gold/Silber zu investieren. Noch viel mehr würde mich interessieren wieviele Prozente Deines Vermögens (Beträge sind unwichtig) Du in Gold, oder Silber Anlagen investiert hast.


    Falls meine Frage zu direkt sein sollte, ignorier sie bitte.


    Gruss


    ThaiGuru

    Kommt wohl auch nicht ganz von ungefähr?


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    http://money.iwon.com/jsp/nw/n…&alias=/alias/money/cm/nw


    Mexico silver output soars 17.8 pct in January


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    Wednesday March 31, 3:36 PM EST


    MEXICO CITY, March 31 (Reuters) - Silver output in Mexico, the world's largest producer, rose 17.8 percent in January from a year earlier to 275,854 kg, the government said on Wednesday.


    It also said gold output rose 14.9 percent to 2,006 kg in January compared to the same month in the previous year.



    ©2004 Reuters Limited.

    Kehrtwende!


    Habe mich wohl etwas zu früh gefreut als die Meldung über meinen Ticker lief, dass die russische Zentralbank unter Chairman Sergei Ignatiev, ihre Gold und Devisen Vorräte "considerable" ausbauen wolle.


    Nur einige Stunden später eine andere Story!


    Sergei Ignatiev will nun plötzlich bereits genug Gold Vorräte haben.
    Gleichzeitig gibt er aber etwas ebenfalls hochinteressantes, eine bislang nicht bekannte Information preis.


    Teile der russischen Gold Bestände werden anscheinend nach Chairman Sergei Ignatievs neuen Zitierungen nicht in Russland gelagert, sondern bei mehreren Dutzenden ausländischen Banken.


    Das wird ja immer schöner!!


    Schade nur, dass uns der Chef der russischen Zentralbank verschweigt, wieviel Gold der gesammten 300 Tonnen russischen Goldbestände den nun im Ausland "gelagert" werden. Da Sergei Ignatiev von mehreren Dutzenden Banken spricht, müssten es sich nach meinem Verständnis ja dann mindestens um 24 verschiedene ausländische Banken handeln.


    Wieviel physisches Gold denn nun wirklich bei Gold Bullion Banken im Ausland "lagern" dürfen wir zur Zeit nur raten. Das sind wir ja von anderen europäischen Zentralbanken her, fast schon gewöhnt.


    Gruss


    ThaiGuru


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    Rosbalt, 31/03/2004, 18:03

    Central Bank Chairman: Gold Reserves Are Adequate


    http://www.rosbaltnews.com/2004/03/31/66177.html

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    Kingsgate upgrades profit by 36%


    By: Peter Gonnella

    Posted: 2004/03/31 Mi 17:26 ZE8 | © Mineweb 1997-2004

    PERTH (minewebaustralia.com) – Leading Australasian gold miner Kingsgate Consolidated [ASX:KCN] is set to eclipse its fantastic first-up full financial year (FY) performance from its flagship Chatree operation in Thailand after factoring in the expected impact of exploiting new higher-grade reserves.
    The Sydney-based company today (Wednesday) announced that it had raised net earnings and gold production estimates for the current FY ending 30 June by 36 percent and 15 percent respectively to about US$30 million (at an average realised price of US$400 per ounce) and about 155,000 ounces respectively, while anticipated average cash costs for the 12 months were reduced 11 percent to US$120/oz.


    All these revised forecasts amounted to increases and improvements on already recently upgraded targets of US$22 million and 135,000oz at US$135/oz respectively.


    weiter.....


    http://trinity.mips1.net/MGGol…6E680033C893?OpenDocument

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    http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmp…an_040331160910&printer=1


    Federal Reserve says Greenspan fine, denies heart attack rumor


    WASHINGTON (AFP)


    The US Federal Reserve (news - web sites) denied a rumor that 78-year-old chairman Alan Greenspan (news - web sites) had suffered a heart attack, after the traders' gossip pounded the dollar.


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    Zitat

    "There is no truth to the rumor," said Federal Reserve spokesman Andrew Williams.



    Zitat

    "Greenspan is fine."



    The Federal Reserve usually refuses to comment on market rumors, but its silence had appeared to fuel the talk.



    The euro had surged against the dollar -- spiking at 1.2312 compared to 1.2168 late Tuesday -- on the rumor that the central bank chief had suffered a medical crisis.



    Zitat

    "The euro has been rising strongly against the dollar on the back of news that Greenspan has had a heart attack,"


    ABN Amro economist Paul Mackel said, noting the Fed's silence.



    Greenspan had cancelled a speech on March 26 because he had a cold.



    He had surgery for an enlarged prostate, which tested negative for cancer, on April 22 last year.



    The sharp swing on the dollar because of the heart attack rumor is an indication of the massive sway Greenspan has over financial markets.



    Greenspan, appointed to the Fed in 1987, is widely credited with helping keep the US economy on an even keel with a monetary policy that kept inflation in check with enough stimulus to avert a deep slump.



    Greenspan's fourth four-year term as chairman expires June 20 this year, but President George W. Bush (news - web sites) said last year -- on the same day of the prostate surgery -- that he would re-appoint him.



    Zitat

    "I think Alan Greenspan should get another term," Bush told a group of business journalists.



    The central bank chief's 14-year appointment as a member of the Federal Reserve Board runs through February 2006.

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    31.03.2004 19:11



    Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited: Convertible Bond Issue


    LONDON, March 31 /PRNewswire/ --


    Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa (Registration number 1950/038232/06) Share Code: HAR ISIN:ZAE 000015228


    Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd ("Harmony") today announces that it intends to issue ZAR1,700 million (c.US$270 million) of convertible bonds (the "Bonds").


    The proceeds of the issue will be used primarily to refinance Harmony''s existing South African Rand debt, hence benefiting from the attractive financing opportunities currently available in the convertible bond market.


    weiter....


    http://www.finanznachrichten.d…04-03/artikel-3224880.asp

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    http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/040331/315523_1.html


    King's Bay Gold Acquires Bissett Area Gold Property


    Wednesday March 31, 11:06 am ET


    WINNIPEG, Manitoba--(BUSINESS WIRE)--March 31, 2004--King's Bay Gold Corp. (TSX VENTURE:KBG - News) is pleased to announce that it has entered into an option agreement with Falcon Crest Resources Inc. to acquire up to a 50% interest the Gold Horse claims located in the Bissett area, Rice Lake Greenstone Belt, Manitoba.


    The Gold Horse prospect consists of 4 contiguous mining claims (1000 acres) where gold occurs in quartz veins and stringer systems, within shear faults and fractures. The Bissett area is host to a gold mine (historically known as the San Antonio Mine), which produced 1.36 million ounces of gold from 4,876,000 tons. It is located approximately 100 km west of Red Lake on the extension of the Uchi Lake Greenstone Belt. It consists of a mill, complete with a tailings management area, hoist, shaft and surface infrastructure that was newly installed in 1996-1997.


    Exploration Potential


    Prior trenching, stripping and channel sampling on the Gold Horse claims has identified many gold bearing quartz veins and revealed some significant results to date.


    The east vein was found to be 100 metres long and averaging 0.50 ounces gold per ton over 0.30 metres.


    Detailed sampling of another vein called the Eleanor established 32 metres in length, 1.34 metres in width averaging 0.21 ounces gold per ton. Some selected grab samples assayed over 2 ounces of gold per ton.


    The west vein was found to be 36 metres in length, 2.5 meters wide and gave an average 0.223 ozs. gold per ton.


    The south vein was discovered on the edge of a swamp, a grab sample carried 3.86 ounces gold per ton and has been exposed for only a few metres along strike.


    Structural Geology


    A pervasive regional foliation was observed in all outcrops, averaging 280 to 290 degrees/80-85 degrees. This is parallel to the main contact between the granodiorite to the south and all other rock types, to the north. This contact was not observed in the outcrops. It runs underneath a prominent swamp. Shearing was observed in several locations across the property, and generally runs parallel to the main foliation. Occasionally it runs at a low angle to the main foliation. The shear zones are typically narrow, at 1-10 metres wide. At the Eleanor Vein the shear is reported to be 40 metres wide. The frequency of shear zones increases towards most swamp edges. This indicated that a major shear is likely to exist under the main swamp (at Gold Horse 1), with secondary splay faults and shears on the smaller, branching swamps.


    Source (J.W.Campbell, P.Eng, 1999 Report)


    King's Bay has agreed to pay Falcon Crest $5000 on signing. To earn the 50% interest King's Bay must incur exploration expenditures on the project to the sum of $200,000 over a three-year period. Upon the company earning the 50% interest, King's Bay and Falcon Crest shall enter into a joint venture agreement under standard industry terms. The option agreement is subject to regulatory approval.


    Area News


    The area has seen an increase in activity lately. Our neighbors San Gold and Gold City just announced on March 29 the completion of the acquisition of Harmony Gold (Canada) Inc, which gives them the Bissett Mine and other claims. It is understood from their web site that the partners will attempt to return the Bissett Gold Mine to production in the very near future.


    Richard Rivet said, "We believe that to date King's Bay Gold has assembled a significant number of quality exploration projects. It is our plan to continue with an aggressive acquisition strategy and a long term thinking approach that will allow us to continue moving forward and accomplish our goal of becoming one of the emerging leaders in the Canadian Mining Industry.


    "We have distanced ourselves from the industry core by purchasing our own drill rigs, bulldozers and most of the equipment required to carry out all of the various phases of exploration, it is our belief that this in-house exploration and drilling capability will allow us to move in a moments notice when opportunities present themselves.


    "We wish to thank our supporters who continue to believe in us going forward and look to the future with great enthusiasm."


    About King's Bay Gold


    King's Bay Gold Corporation (TSX.V - KBG) is a fairly new Canadian mineral exploration company with a specific focus on prospective gold properties in Ontario, Canada. The company is well financed and has assembled a portfolio of precious metal prospects, including strategic locations in the Red Lake, Pickle Lake, Wawa and Kenora gold districts. Most of the company's properties are located in close proximity to present and past producing mines. The company also owns its diamond drill rigs and most of the equipment required to carry out all of the various phases of exploration.


    Issued and outstanding shares 14,394,082


    The TSX Venture Exchange has not reviewed and does not accept responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release




    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Contact:
    King's Bay Gold Corporation
    Richard Rivet, 204-253-4653
    Fax: 204-224-0306
    info@kingsbaygold.com
    http://www.kingsbaygold.com
    or
    Current Capital Corp.
    John Robinson, 416-860-0211
    Fax: 416-361-6228
    john@currentcapital.com




    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Source: King's Bay Gold Corporation


    ****


    Wird auch in Deutschland gehandelt, jedoch nur bei sehr kleinen Umsätzen.

    Die freudigste aller Meldungen des Tages zum Gold Geschehen für uns
    Gold Bugs kommt aus Russland!!!!!


    Von der russischen Zentralbank


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    http://www.rbcnews.com/free/20040331161935.shtml


    Russia should have considerable gold and currency reserves


    RBC, 31.03.2004, Moscow 16:19:35.


    Russia needs to have considerable gold and currency reserves, Russian Central Bank Chairman Sergey Ignatyev declared in the State Duma today. He specified that Russia depended strongly on conjuncture on foreign markets and taking into account this condition "it is better to have more reserves". "The situation on foreign markets may worsen for us and currency reserves will help us in such a situation," the banker said. He mentioned that the current gold and currency reserves were $84bn and the gold reserves amounted to 300 tons.


    Ignatyev pointed out that there had been a tendency of a decrease in the volume of the net private capital outflow in Russia over the past several years. Some $3bn in private capital left the country in 2003, compared to $8bn in 2002 and $16bn in 2001, he specified.

    Wie so oft schon, wenn's hoch geht mit Gold, und Silber!


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    Zitat

    "We are experiencing technical problems with our charts. We apoligize for any inconvenience."



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    http://www.finanznachrichten.d…04-03/artikel-3224506.asp


    Mittwoch, 31. März 2004


    GOLD, GOLD und nochmals GOLD


    GOLD (aktuell 424,9 $):


    - Gold befindet sich nach wie vor in der mehrwöchigen regelkonformen Ausbruchbewegung aus dem mehrmonatigen bullishen Keil.


    - Das erste charttechnische Ziel bei 416 $ wurde erreicht.


    - Das nächste Ziel liegt bei 430 $. Heute bricht Gold über die beschriebene ältere Pullbacklinie aus, die einen zu steilen Anstieg und eine kurzfristige Überhitzung entgegengestanden hatte.


    - Bei 430 $ wird sich die weitere kurz/mittelfristige Ausrichtung entscheiden. Gelingt der Anstieg über 430 $, wird das große übergeordnete bullishe Ziel von 480 $ getriggert. Gelingt der Anstieg über 430 $ nicht, besteht die Gefahr einer großen mittelfristigen Doppeltopformation; letzteres erachten wir als nicht wahrscheinlich.


    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.godmode-charts.de/c…bcortical/MH3/tgo5613.gif]


    Chart erstellt mit Tradesignal



    © GodmodeTrader

    Beim Euro Gold Chart kann man die Auswirkung wegen dem heutigen Dollar Wechselkurs Abfall deutlich erkennen.


    Wünschen wir denjenigen Marktteilnehmern Glück, die gerade einen Machtkampf gegen das Gold Cabal austragen, dass sie den Goldpreis heute noch möglichst nahe an, oder sogar über die 430.- Dollar Marke bringen kann, ohne dass gleich das Gold Cabal in der letzten halben Stunde vor Goldhandelsschluss wieder 100, oder mehr Tonnen Papiergold einsetzt, die ihnen noch gar nicht physisch zur Verfügung steht, um den Goldpreis wie so oft schon gesehen, kurz vor Schluss abstürzen zu lassen.


    Gruss


    ThaiGuru


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    Apollo Gold Reports Completion of Warrant Exercise


    DENVER, COLORADO--(CCNMatthews - Mar 31, 2004) - Apollo Gold Corporation (AMEX:AGT) (TSX:APG) is pleased to report that most of the 7.9 million warrants issued on the conversion of
    outstanding debentures effective on the founding of Apollo Gold
    in June 2002 have been exercised.


    weiter....


    http://www2.ccnmatthews.com/sc…pl?/current/0331006n.html