...und im Winter Inzest in den Bergtälern
Beiträge von Atze
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jetzt wirds mal wieder Zeit das Gold zu rocken anfängt!!
Gruss Atze
kommt heim ins Reich!
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Wenn du das Teil gelesen hast dann gibs doch in ner Kurzfassung an uns weiter!
Bin da jetzt zu faul zu
Gruss Atze
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Weshalb?Was schliesst du daraus?
Gruss Atze
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Aus Casey`s Gold Stock Companion
BORING GOLD
If gold doesn’t seem very exciting right now, it’s not just because your thoughts are focused more on holiday fun. We’ve just been through an exceptionally dull 31 days in the gold market.
It’s not as though nothing has been going on in the world. There’s been news of a record U.S. trade deficit ($226 billion in the third quarter – a rate of a trillion dollars per year), the release of the Iraq Study Group report (summary: abandon all hope), an accelerating body count in Iraq (work for the next study group), the beginnings of a big U.S. naval build-up in the Persian Gulf, a 2% jump in U.S. wholesale prices and something or other about Britney Spears. Every one of those items (except the Britney one) might have carried a big punch for gold. But none of them did. After bumping around for 31 days, the price of gold was only $4 different from where it started – a change so small there’s no need to ask whether it was a plus or a minus.
Stick around
The last giant bull market in gold took nine years from start to finish, from the final abandonment of the gold standard in 1971, at $35 per ounce, to the $850 peak in 1980. It was a spectacular ride, but there were many dull months along the way. And sometimes the excitement was the unwelcome kind, such as an 18-month bull market intermission that began in 1975 and cut the price of gold nearly in half. The investors who held on so profitably did so because they understood the compelling reasons to expect gold to go higher -- much higher.
This time around, the reasons are different, but just as compelling. You’ve heard them all before, and they seem indisputable when gold is rising. But now is a good time to review them, when gold is quiet and you may be asking yourself why you own all those stocks that almost no one else cares about. You own them because:
1. Record trade deficits mean record increases in the holdings of dollars by foreigners, who can easily do business in other currencies and are growing more and more uncomfortable keeping so much of their wealth in dollar assets. Their eventual exit from the dollar will underscore the vulnerability of all paper currencies; the movement of wealth will be from the dollar and into non-paper money—gold.
2. Record federal budget deficits add to the political motive for inflation, which is always a dandy way for politicians to get out from under the government’s accumulated debt. The bigger the debt (and it keeps getting bigger), the bigger the motive.
3. Fighting wars isn’t just risky for American soldiers, now, without a gold standard, it’s risky for the U.S. dollar. For people on the other side, and for their sympathizers as well, the dollar deteriorates from a (formerly) useful reserve asset into an unwelcome reminder of the enemy’s power. The alternatives, including gold, look better and better. And the cost of war adds to U.S. budget deficits. And the prospect of more and wider war is the prospect that those deficits will be more and wider. The U.S. has never before fought a protracted war while the dollar was purely a paper currency.
4. Those three factors make the dollar vulnerable on foreign exchange markets. Faced with a choice between raising interest rates to protect the dollar and lowering interest rates to stave off the next recession, the politicians will let the dollar drop into the trash compactor.
5. Most investors don’t own gold stocks – yet. Most can’t even tell you the name of a gold stock – yet. But when the significance of 1, 2, 3 and 4 become obvious to the general public, all investors will want gold stocks. There won’t be nearly enough to go around – except at much higher prices. When the time arrives, the wave of newcomers to gold stock investing will have no choice but to buy yours.
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Moin Eldo,
ein klasse Artikel!
Wenn jetzt meine Kopfschmerzen noch weg wären dann könnte es prima Tag werden!
Gruss Atze
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jetzt mal ordentlich den Nachbrenner anschalten und Gegenschlag
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halten sonst wirds doch langweilig!
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das kannst laut sagen.Zum Glück hab ich die erst seit 2 Wochen.
Der Siegel steht auf die...warum nur
@Eldo
Hast PN
Gruss Atze
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Auf was willst du hinaus??
Gruss Atze
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Moin Eldo,
dann bewegt sich ja hoffentlich mal wieder was.
Die charts sind grad etwas langweilig!
Gruss Atze
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...na ja so langs nicht weiter runtergeht.
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interessanter Gedankengang.
wobei ich auf eine 50%ige Korrektur verzichten könnte.
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da macht mal jemand die Rohstoffe richtig schlecht!
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da macht mal jemand die Rohstoffe richtig schlecht!
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was ist da denn los
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is doch erst 10.30 in New York.
Bin Optimist,das wird schon wieder!!
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so langsam muss denen doch mal das Pulver ausgehen
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Hi Leute,
mein Bauch sagt mir das langsam der massive Ausbruch nach oben fällig is!
Abgesehen davon müssten wir schon längst mehr als 730$ stehen haben bei dem $ Index
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...heut wirds scho nochmal hochgehen.Der Hui hats gestern vorgemacht!
Tara ging gestern auch noch richtig ab!
Gruss Atze