Literaturangaben zu diesem Thema:
- Oil-gold ratio is out of whack
By: Tim Wood
"Patrick Chidley, a New York based sell-side analyst for Barnard Jacobs Mellet, said, in a recent note to clients, that since 1971, the number of ounces of gold required to buy one barrel of oil has averaged 0.06oz/bbl."
http://www.mineweb.net/events/…es/2004/nyigc/oilgold.htm
- Gold/Oil Ratio Extremes
Adam Hamilton
"This chart highlights the four-decade GOR average line in white, which happens to be at the level where an ounce of gold will buy 15.4 barrels of oil."
http://www.zealllc.com/2004/goldoil4.htm
- Gold/Oil Ratio Extremes 2
Adam Hamilton
"To better define GOR extremes, we overlaid this chart with the ratio’s four-decade average of 15.3 as well as standard deviation bands."
http://www.zealllc.com/2005/gorex2.htm
- Oil-Gold Ratio Hits All-Time High
By Tim Wood
"The 35-year average is 0.065 ounces of gold per barrel of oil, or 15.3 barrels of oil per ounce of gold"
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=10843
- Breach! Gold Buys Less Than 7 Barrels of Oil
By Tim Wood
"To resolve the latest ratio, gold has an "expected" price of $1,072/oz whilst oil should be trading at $24.19/bbl."
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=11055
- Bullion Tame as Oil-Gold Ratio Hits 3-Decade High
By Tim Wood
"If the Goldman Sachs oil price spike of $105/bbl is realized by the end of this decade, but gold did not move, the ratio would more than double from its current level which seems highly improbable. In the $105/bbl scenario, gold would have to be trading higher than $1,300/oz to revert to the projected mean."
http://www.investoffshore.com/blog/archives/000359.php
- Gold versus Oil
Steve Saville
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/saville/saville062905.html
- Gold Oil Ratio
http://goldprice.org/news/2005/04/gold-oil-ratio.html
- THE GOLD, OIL AND US DOLLAR RELATIONSHIP
Nick Barisheff
"Over the last 50 years or so, gold and oil have generally moved together in terms of price, with a positive price correlation of over 80 percent. During this time, the price of oil in gold ounces has averaged about 15 barrels per ounce. ...Some experts are suggesting that, in two or three years, US$100 per barrel oil is very possible. At that price gold should be US$1500 per ounce."
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/barisheff042205.html
- Alan Greenspan on Gold
27th of June, 2005
by Mark O'Byrne
The long term average historical ratio of oil to gold is 15 to 1 and were there to be a reversion to the mean which seems likely one would then expect higher prices for gold or lower prices for oil. Higher gold prices are likely as most oil and commodity analysts do not believe there will be any meaningful drop in the price of oil. Were gold to reach to 15:1 gold/oil ratio it would have to rise to $900 per ounce. Were it to reach the 30:1 ratio it was at in 1974 and again in the late 1980's it would have to rise to a price of $1,800 per ounce.
http://www.gold.ie/Alan_Greenspan_on%20Gold.htm
Die Gegenargumente sollten nun hinreichend bekannt sein und sollten nun auch bitte!!! nicht mehr in diesem Thread wiederholt werden Ich bitte hiermit die Kritiker diese Texte selbst einmal persönlich zu studieren und sich ein Bild zu machen oder sich mit den oben genannten Autoren direkt in Verbindung zu setzen.
Ich setze persönlich nur die aktuellen Werte in die Formel von Patrick Chidley ein!
mfg