Beiträge von Eldorado

  • Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

    COMMODITIES:


    "I have decided to give an important message before I write the weekly prediction for each commodity: This week will be very negative for almost all commodities and I therefore recommend that you get all position from commodities like metals, grains, energy and soft. ;(
    Don’t add or buy any contract in commodities during the next.... Book profit". ;(


    Here is small part from this week letter:


    We are approaching the holiday season from this Friday, and volumes will substantially reduce till the first week of January. My advice is that please don’t trade aggressively or with a big number of contracts, as history shows that weak traders always lose money in false trends during the month of December.


    My advice is that one should take a holiday and spend time with family. I intend to do the same from Friday till the fourth of January 2007.


    Last week metals remain weak, oil traded in an uncertain direction, while currencies remained volatile and the market took a rest. Cotton, coffee and lumber traded very quietly and in addition, sugar went down and orange juice remained up.


    Indeed, planetary movements guided us quite well and we must give thanks for their guidance.


    The story of the dollar’s weakness has remained in the minds of every trader, as well as advisors and newsletter writers. They are all trying to analyze how low the dollar can hit and why it is going down. There is an attempt to discern whether it will go up or if indeed it will stay down, with everyone giving various reasons. Well, I am a predictor of the market as well and I give my views like all other people, including chartists, economists, analysts, etc. Like everyone else, I have great faith in my study and looking back, my opinion is that the longer term views and indications of planetary movements have been amazingly accurate.


    Commodities Bull Market and the CRB index went towards highs while the dollar went towards lows. The dollar going down and the CRB index going up was a clear sign that trillions of dollars moved in and out based on the old fundamentals. Many are asking how low the dollar can go from here, and my answer is “Not Much More!” However, it is necessary to say that anything is possible until the first week of January. Even if the dollar rises, the commodities bull market will remain hot for a few more years since planetary movements are in support.


    I shall write in some more detail concerning each market in early January 2007.


    GOLD


    The trend will be unconvincing even if gold attempts to go up on Monday and Tuesday, for Venus will be opposed to it. This may result in a sharp weakness in gold prices from Wednesday. Overall, the long-term cycle of gold is that it is trading in a very positive time frame and so we will buy it. However, we may have to wait for a some more time.


    This week’s trading range for gold will be $628.80 to $615.80. Gold shouldn’t break the $615.80 level, otherwise it can fall more than two percent.


    SILVER


    During this week silver prices will remain weaker than gold, therefore avoid taking any new position in silver. We are in a long-term bull market of silver but the short-term trend occurred last week on Monday and Tuesday occurred exactly as predicted. That confirms that for the next few weeks silver should remain weak, as major planetary movements are not very supportive.


    This week’s trading range for silver will be 12.82 to 12.38. If the prices break down side then prices could move further in that direction for around 3%.



    PLATINUM/COPPER/PALLADIUM


    All these metals are in the negative phase and during this week they could fall around 3%, which is a lot in the commodity market. No buying is therefore recommended.


    STOCK MARKET


    This week I recommend buying the DOW Jones and the S&P on Monday before closing, as from Tuesday the American market could go higher for the entire week. Do not short the American markets and if you want to hedge your positions, buy the American Market and sell the European Market. Expect the DOW Jones to move up around 200 points and around 15 points for the S&P.


    COFFEE


    Side way trend predicted with trading range of $130 to $119.


    COTTON


    BUYING RECOMMENDED.

    GRAINS


    I recommended selling grains except Wheat.

    CURRENCIES


    My advise was buying dollar and selling all major currencies. :rolleyes:

  • Das neue Südafrika

    Hi Lucky,


    es hoert nicht auf, es wird hier taeglich schlimmer und es geht schneller zur Anarchie als manche glauben.
    Irgend jemand gibt den Verbrechern gruenes Licht kommt mir vor.
    Viele haben keinen Respekt mehr fuer Besitz, Leben, und Gesetze.
    Sie wissen es passiert ihnen nicht viel wenn sie erwischt werden, sie lachen sich eines und machen munter weiter.
    Die Befreiung der Schwarzen und die Aufhebung der Apartheid hat nichts gutes gebracht, im Gegenteil, es gibt nun zigmal mehr Mord und Totschlag.
    Depremierend, ich poste nur einen Teil was taeglich passiert, da ist noch mehr Gewalt und Verbrechen im Land als das hier:


    Fleeing teen mowed down


    2006-12-20 23:13


    Modimolle - A late night chat in the park near her home with a friend has ended in the cold-blooded murder of a teenager.
    Yolandi Terblanche, 19, was shot three times as she tried to flee from two men who'd accosted her and Keith Schabort, 16.


    Keith was shot in the leg.


    The men, who'd both been armed, wanted to know what the teens were doing in the park.


    Police say it isn't clear exactly what happened after that, but Yolandi and Keith tried to make a run for it.


    Yolandi, who wrote matric this year, had almost reached the safety of a house adjacent to the park, when she was felled down.


    The men fled the scene.


    Another couple who'd also been in the park, managed to hide from the attackers.


    Police spokesperson Gabasahane Moseki says nothing was taken from the teens, adding that there is no clear motive.


    He says there have never been problems at the park before.


    However, a policeman who didn't want to be named told Beeld there had been "strange" goings-on at the park.


    He wouldn't elaborate.

  • Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

    December 20 - Gold $620.50 down 70 cents - Silver $12.52 down 7 cents


    The Gold Big Picture Is Clear As Can Be


    "Live as if you were to die tomorrow. Learn as if you were to live forever." --- Mahatma Gandhi


    GO GATA!


    Analyzing a rigged market in the short term is brutal.


    In free markets there are normal ebbs and flows in which technical analysis and understanding the fundamentals can be very useful for predictive/trading value. When it comes to gold, the only thing which really counts in the end is how much gold The Gold Cartel is going to throw at the market and how well physical demand holds up to counter their price suppression activities.


    That does not mean that The Gold Cartel are the ones always doing the selling. Often it is just their price capping maneuvers and influence which gets the job done. For example, the AM Fix this morning was $623.40. Once again, that was basically it for the day. Gold held that level early once Comex commenced trading, but then it was all downhill. Once The Gold Cartel established gold was not going much higher than the AM Fix, traders and funds began to sell. However, the selling was not heavy. When gold failed to break down further, locals were forced to cover and the net loss on the day was minimal


    There is always a motive for The Gold Cartel doing what they do. That motive can change from time to time. At times it is clear why they are in there, and at others it requires a guess. Two potential reasons they are sitting on gold, IMO:


    *The gang on Planet Wall Street are salivating over the bonuses this year and don’t intend to have anything stand in their way. Gold is viewed as a barometer of the financial well being in the US. Thus, gold must be held in check until next year.


    *President Bush finally admitted, under the most pressure imaginable, that the Iraq War is not going well ... stating we are not winning. Talk about extended denial! Anyway, now that he is fumbling around in public, and trying to figure out how to counter the US generals who are publicly saying not to put more troops in Baghdad, the gold barometer must be held at bay.


    The PM Fix was a long one, coming in at $619.25.


    The tedium in the gold market can be seen in its chart action. In essence most of the trading the past many months has been between $618 and $640, so we are at the lower end of the trading range (in which most of the gold trading has occurred).


    Feb gold
    http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/GD/27


    While figuring gold out short term has not been easy, the bigger picture is clear as can be. Demand is going up, in good part due to the wealth effect in India and China, and mine supply will continue to trend down …Peru follows South Africa, and I believe Australia, in this mine supply regard.

  • Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

    GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM, PALLADIUM AND DIAMONDS


    http://news.goldseek.com/Inter…Forecaster/1166636202.php


    It looks like the Chinese took Henry Paulson’s advice and are thrashing silver. Mining shares held up reasonably well last week, and gold and silver ETF’s did well. Barclay’s IAU reported adding 0.73 tons of new gold and GLD adding 7.4 tons and SLV adding 46 tons of silver. There is no question the gold suppression cartel was at work selling off what is left of the leased gold they arranged to be sold a few weeks ago. The central bankers have to try to keep gold and silver in place as the dollar and other fiat currencies continue to fall against the only real money, which is gold. The bad part is gold is down – the good part is physical buyers will buy more cheaply. =)
    -------------------------------------------------------------------



    Gold Derivatives: Elephant in the Boardroom
    http://www.goldensextant.com/commentary33.html



    Commodities and Islam, the start of something big


    ...Not all metals can support Islamic finance: gold is out because Islam treats it as a form of money, just as it was 15 centuries ago in the time of the Prophet Mohammad.
    Under sharia law, money per se is not an asset that can be traded. :rolleyes:


    http://today.reuters.co.uk/new…ml&WTmodLoc=HP-C8-Funds-3

  • Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

    The Rise of Russia and the Coming Resource Wars



    Nur ein Teil.......von
    http://news.goldseek.com/TacticalInvestor/1166644103.php



    Putin made the following comments on May 10, 2006


    Our goods are traded on global markets. Why are not they traded in Russia?" Putin said. "The ruble must become a more widespread means of international transactions. To this end, we need to open a stock exchange in Russia to trade in oil, gas, and other goods to be paid for with rubles," Putin said Wednesday.


    In his Wednesday's address, Putin urged work on achieving ruble convertibility sped up and completed by July, six months ahead of the original January 1, 2007 deadline.


    If this exchange comes into existence it could have the equivalent effect of several Iraqi/Afghanistan style wars occurring simultaneously. The dollar will pull back dramatically as all this excess paper that was used to buy oil will now find its way back to the United States. This means the rate of inflation will rise significantly and commodities such as oil, natural gas, Gold, Silver, Platinum etc will experience huge price surges.


    Many resource rich nations are tired of being paid for good in worthless dollars and many of them want to do something about it. The only nation in a position to seriously challenge the US in this area is Russia. Even though there are other nuclear nations out there none of them have an arsenal that is significant enough to threaten the US. When we mean none we are referring to nations that are not allies of the US, hence the entire western European hemisphere can be ruled out and Israel which is rumored to have over 200 war heads can also be ruled. So that really leaves China, India, Russia, Pakistan etc. Even though China is in the midst of a massive military build up it cannot single handedly challenge the US? The only nation that has enough firepower to take on the US is Russia. Note they are the largest producers of oil (they do not hold the biggest reserves) and they have the worlds largest supply of Natural gas. They also control over 70% of the worlds Palladium and the list goes on. Hence Russia is in a position to challenge the Dominance of the Dollar and actually go out there and start asking for payments in other currencies. When this is done a lot of worthless dollar based paper will be left out there which means that prices of natural resources will accelerate even more when priced in dollars.


    What Russia is effectively doing right now is attacking the US where it hurts?


    The cold war between Russia and the United States never ended it just took a different course. Putin is determined to teach the West a lesson and bring Russia to the forefront of world matters. They are busy exerting their influence over all the countries that made up the former soviet union, forming military relationships with the Chinese, supplying the Iranians with weapons and know how, supplying the Venezuelans with weapons and the list goes on. Note how both Russia and China are both embracing rogue nations but nations that are loaded to the gills with natural resources.


    One can see how Russia and China have both changed their stance and attitude towards the US in the last few years; as two permanent members on the security council they openly oppose any strong action that comes from the US regardless of whether the threat is credible or not. Two examples; they have opposed the US policy on North Korea and Iran every single step of the way and when they do agree its only because the original decrees are so watered down that they are insignificant at best.


    Conclusion


    It appears that Russia is looking for means to deal a severe blow to the United States. One way of doing this is to place all the majority of the assets under state control and then use these assets as a weapon. The other means is to go out and strategically and purchase controlling interests in commodity based companies all over the Globe. Russia has slowly been doing this; one example is they very cunningly purchased controlling interest in Still Water mining at an incredibly low price. They paid a measly 7.50 per share and thus assumed full control of North America’s largest Palladium producer. If the new commodities exchange goes into effect Russia will effectively deal the dollar a death blow and we could very well enter into the first leg of a hyper inflationary move. Emboldened by Russia’s move nations such as Venezuela and Iran will soon follow suite and further erode the value of the dollar. In the precious metals sector the biggest benefactors are going to be Gold and Silver.


    Even though in our most recent article we stated that if Gold is unable to stay above its main trend line it could test its recent lows again; the geopolitical situation is such that everyone should at least have a portion of their assets in Gold and Silver bullion.


    By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

  • Juniors aus Kanada

    Unterschaetzt die SXG.V (Los Zorro(i)s) :D und Paramount nicht, ich erwarte einige Resultante und Kursgewinne von beiden........
    Peru, Chile, Argentinien, etc. die koennten den Jackpot dort finden wie MMM SVM SWG ELD in China.
    Keine Ahnung ob der Typ was bringt, die SXG und Parabello sind IMO unterbewertet, da heisst es warten Cowboys !.......well.....


    Nichts aufregendes... nur ein paar lifter news....


    Paramount Gold Strengthens Management Team with Appointment of Senior Mining Executive


    Wednesday, December 20, 2006, 3:00 am ET


    Ottawa, Canada – (BUSINESS WIRE) – December 20, 2006 –


    Paramount Gold Mining Corp. (OTC: PGDP) (Frankfurt: P6G, WKN: A0HGKQ) is pleased to announce that Jean Depatie :rolleyes: has joined the company’s management team as a Senior Advisor. Mr. Depatie is a well respected senior executive with over 30 years of experience in the mining industry. He sits on the board of a number of public resource companies and was the longest serving director of Glamis Gold at the time of their recent acquisition by GoldCorp (NYSE: GG, TSX: G) in an $8 billion transaction.


    Commenting on the appointment, Chris Crupi, President and CFO, stated, "Paramount is fortunate to have such an experienced, well-respected mining executive like Jean join our team. As the longest serving director of Glamis Gold, his knowledge of both Mexico and South America will prove invaluable as we position Paramount for its next phase of growth."


    Mr. Depatie has over 30 years of national and international experience in economic geology. He has worked in over 30 countries and acted as a consultant for organizations such as: The United Nations, The World Bank, The Commonwealth Secretariat, The Asian Development Bank, Banco Intermericano de Desarollo, The Canadian International Development Agency and Quebec's Ministry of Natural Resources. In addition to being a past Director of Glamis Gold, Mr. Depatie is a Director of Richmont Mines Inc. (TSX & AMEX), and has been a Director of a number of other mining companies listed on both the U.S. and Canadian exchanges.


    Since 1981, Mr. Depatie has been president and vice-president of several companies. He was the recipient of an award of excellence by the Quebec Department of Energy and Resources in 1990. Further, he is the former President of the Quebec Professional Association of Geologists and Geophysicists.


    Mr. Depatie comments, "I have been watching the progress of Paramount for sometime, in particular their exploration program at San Miguel, a gold belt in Mexico where Glamis and others have seen considerable success. I also have a lot of experience in Peru and look forward to helping Paramount in their Andean Gold Alliance, which is a strategic alliance with Teck Cominco."

  • Edelmetall sucks!

    Jo mei, des is hoalt a Bayer...die reden so, das ist ganz normal.
    Mich stoerst nicht, wer das nicht vertragen kann der darf in Bayern in keine Wirtschaft gehen.
    Lupo reiss di zamm, die Preissn vastehn des net. :D

  • Wie geht es auf dem Goldmarkt weiter

    :D Was mir Bei OS nicht gefällt, ist der eingebaute Zeitfaktor.


    Genau das ist das Problem und 90% der Zocker verlieren dabei.


    Ich bin mit der halben Position raus bei 13.95 und wieder rein bei 12.60.
    Von 1.40 E auf die 2.40 E und raus mit der haelfte.


    Beim letzten mal klappte es, mal schaun wie die neuen OS laufen.


    Milly du machst das schon richtig, nur nicht gierig sein sonst verbrennt man sich schnell.


    Ich glaube es ist ratsam min. 4-6 Monate vor dem Ablauf zu verkaufen, egal wo der Preis liegt.


    Meistens kurz vor dem Expire Datum haut die Gegenpartei auf die Preise und die OS werden wertlos.


    OS sind gefaehrlich, nicht mehr als 5% vom Depotwert einsetzen.
    Am besten gleich abschreiben, dann aergert man sich nicht.


    Seh gerade, die auf der Crimex sind wieder in Aktion den POG unter die 620 zu druecken.


    XEX

  • Schnäppchen Eck..welche Aktie ist preiswert im Moment

    Atze, ich habs gelesen, keine Ahnung warum Siegel die so mag, ehrlich gesagt ich schau mir nicht an was er schreibt.
    Ich habe die SVL seit Anfang 2005 im Depot, die hat einiges durchgemacht und kommt auch da durch.
    Ich bin auf beakeven z.Zt., ich hatte schon mal Gewinne eingefahren beim ATH. Ich habe genug Aktien, die reichen mir in El Salvador... :D
    Die letzten PP's gingen fuer 95 cents, der Kurs ist 1.15 z.Zt.
    Nachkaufen oder halten, up to you !


    http://www.americanbulls.com/S…VL&MarketTicker=VSE&Typ=S


    Gruss


    Eldo

  • Wie geht es auf dem Goldmarkt weiter

    Habt ihr Jeff Kern am letzten Sonntag gelesen ?


    http://www.321gold.com/editorials/kern/current.html


    According to the SKI indices, the precious metals markets (stocks and bullion) are "on the brink" , directly on the brink, right now, of the commencement of a major move.


    Note that I have not stated the direction of that move because the SKI indices are perfectly uncertain. The indices are marking last Friday (12/15/06) to this coming Monday (12/18/06) as the critical point.


    The direction of this major move should (really, "will"; he states with unusual confidence) be determined this coming week.(diese Woche)
    Hence, you can read the bullish articles and you can read the bearish articles, but here's a rather unusual one stating supreme uncertainty that is about to be resolved in a major way as the indices have marked the critical point. I am prone to writing in a melodramatic, as well as a highly analytic/technical manner, but I'm telling you, a critical point is upon us! Silver, for example, just dropped a dollar in a day into a SKI index signal.


    I sold at USERX 16.23. THE 92-96 INDEX HAS SOLD AND ENDED THAT POTENTIAL BULL MARKET SIGNAL, BUT THE SKI SYSTEM IS ONCE AGAIN NOW OPEN TO A NEW AND TRUE BULL MARKET BUY SIGNAL.


    Consistent with the 32-year history of SKI bull market signals, this one has sold quickly at basically some small profit or loss. PRICES ARE GOING TO EITHER PLUNGE OR THE INDEX WILL RE-BUY for what should be a tripling in prices over the next yearly SKI bull market.


    The market still hasn't negated the May 2006 "death run", but if the index gives its rare bull market buy signal,
    I'll have to follow its signal (and have to open a second website for the next bull market!? [bad joke])........


    So und nun die Frage die man sich selber stellen muss, wohin gehts jetzt, rauf oder runter auf die Richtung 500 die EW's Voraussagen.


    Ich sage die Korrektur die bei Vollmond begann ist vorbei, es geht wieder rauf, das schlimmste ist vorbei, IMO.


    Its new moon....today ;)


    Ride the Right Bull!
    Puru Saxena
    20 December 2006


    ...More importantly, if my assessment about the markets is correct, commodities (especially gold and silver) will advance over the coming months and test their highs recorded earlier this year in May and the US dollar will decline to its low recorded in December 2004.
    Such an outcome will cause inflationary fears to return with a vengeance and the Federal Reserve will raise its interest-rate.


    The prime objective of any central bank is to protect its merchandise (the currency it issues) and the Federal Reserve will do everything in its power to prevent a total collapse of the US dollar. In theory, a higher yield is supposed to make a currency more attractive, so the Federal Reserve is likely to increase the interest-rate at the cost of the US economy.
    Such an unexpected move will probably send the financial and property markets into yet another painful correction phase during the next summer.


    On a brighter note, we still have a good stretch ahead of us and I expect the markets to remain strong until towards the end of the first quarter next year.
    At this stage, our managed accounts are fully invested in the commodities complex and emerging-markets.
    However, depending on the market conditions prevalent early next year, we will start to lock-in our gains by going into money-market funds and bonds for a few months. :rolleyes:



    http://www.321gold.com/editorials/saxena/saxena122006.html