Beiträge von Eldorado

""Still another way is my personal favorite, “Operation Rolling Plunder.

Every so often, we rain terror from the skies. We bomb the trading pits and exchange posts with massive sell orders. Without letup; all the way down. At the same time we pull all bids, blocking the exits. The refugees get trapped like rats, then panic and dump their holdings. We snarf up their discards and reload, all the while bombing and shorting the stragglers. By the time we finish, the only survivors are a few miserable deadenders and nutcases.

All they can do is piss and moan about “market manipulation,” and hatch their kooky conspiracy theories. They call themselves “gold bugs.”

.....das gibt aber ein Nachspiel, das haben sie vergessen diese Gangster !

What goes round comes around !.. die Derivitive Bombe wird eines Tages platzen und etliche Banken in die Krise werfen.IMO
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gold Watch: A bear raid?

By Jon Nones
11 Sep 2006 at 02:44 PM

Gold for December delivery fell $24.30, or 3.9%, to $593 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

According to CBS MarketWatch, gold fell today as intermediate bearish signs in the market continued to draw investor away.

"The precious metal has quickly and effortlessly breached the $600 level, and is frantically trying to uncover whatever support levels there may be available to it, but appears unable to find them just yet," said Jon Nadler, an investment products analyst at bullion dealers Kitco.com.

"Intermediate bearish signals are lighting up one after the other, as traders probe lower and take the market from oversold conditions (just one week ago) to the bargain basement level, today," he said.

"The calendar however, will not wait, and the wedding season will be upon India within a month," he said, so "some will have to decide whether $580 or $590 gold is enough of a bargain to go ahead and load up on bullion."

Analysts with TheBullionDesk.com cited “productive” negotiations between Iranian and European officials over Iran's uranium enrichment program, according to Dow Jones Newswires.

"The improvement of geopolitical tensions between the EU (European Union) and Iran, as well as the ongoing correction in the oil market, seem likely to keep gold under pressure for the time being, with gold now potentially looking at a pull back to the $585 support should support fail to hold around the 200-day moving average ($594.20)," TheBullionDesk.com added.

Investors weighed bullion's longer-term prospects in the face of a declining oil price, according to Reuters.

"Some are asking about the need to hold gold as an inflation hedge if oil's going down," a bullion dealer said.

"We had expected more support at $600, but it didn't hold," another dealer said. "The dollar's not helping gold much this morning.”

According to Bloomberg, gold tumbled after negotiators reported progress to resolve a dispute over Iran's nuclear research.

“There's weakness across the board, and there's some talk that this could be the beginning of the end” for the five-year rally in commodity prices, said Ron Cameron, a resources analyst at Ord Minnett Ltd. “Tensions seem to be softening, and that's giving the traders an excuse” to sell.

“The Iranian talks and lower oil prices support a less attractive picture for gold,” said Jonathan Barratt, head of foreign exchange and metals at Tricom Futures Pty.

“People were playing gold up in the past two months on the basis of oil, and now it's on the way down,” said Mark Pervan, research head at Daiwa Securities SMBC.

The gold price dipped below $600/oz as investors sold out in anticipation of a stronger dollar, according to Business Day.

"The onslaught has continued in the Far East this morning where gold traded down to a low of $597, as investors panicked to liquidate their positions in anticipation of further dollar strength and a weaker oil price during the week ahead," said the Standard Bank daily precious metals note.

"The market will now be heavily focused on the 200-day moving average located at $593 where a breach and close below this major support level will certainly encourage further unwinding of gold positions as investors peer into a black hole," said Standard Bank.

December silver futures were last down 86.5 cents at $11.43 an ounce. October platinum lost $36.50, or 3%, to $1,196 an ounce and December palladium traded down $17.40, or 5.2%, at $316.20 an ounce. December copper fell 13.3 cents to trade at $3.438 a pound. Crude futures fell under $66 a barrel to touch their lowest level since late March.

My answer :

Gold and Terrorism Five Years After 9/11

By Stephen Clayson
11 Sep 2006 at 04:10 PM EDT

http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=23630

Jack's Oil Analyse:

http://www.321energy.com/editorials/chan/chan091106.html

Summary

When I first published the upside target of $80 on crude oil a few weeks ago, I received a few nasty emails from those who disagreed. They presented me with arguments on peak oil, the Mideast crisis, China, India, etc etc…..What these folks do not realize, or fail to accept, is the fact that the futures markets are the trading place where some of the most knowledgeable traders make their living, and many if not all of these “fundamental issues” have been taken into consideration and priced into the current markets. Price is the most effective and efficient indicator, and should not be ignored, regardless what the story of the week is.
Based on our current analysis and trading models, there are only two viable positions for traders and investors: cash or short.

09/11/2006

Jack Chan

Secret to cheap petrol is coal

Jason Dowling
September 10, 2006

A $5 BILLION proposal to turn some of Victoria's abundant brown coal into diesel moved a step closer after the State Government revealed it was about to grant a mining licence to the company behind the project.

Energy Minister Theo Theophanous told The Sunday Age that the project aimed to produce about 60,000 barrels a day of high-quality diesel fuel at a much lower cost than present world prices.

He said an announcement on a mining licence for Monash Energy was likely to be made before the November 25 state election.

The mining licence approval would include details of the total investment and when the plant would be operational.

The first stage, which will cost between $300 million and $400 million, would be a demonstration plant that could be up and running in six years.

The entire project should be operational in 10 years.

The project has the backing of Shell and the big mining company Anglo American.

A key aspect of the project, promoted as "clean energy", would be the minimising of greenhouse gas emissions by separating the carbon dioxide from the brown coal and storing it underground — a project known as geosequestration.

About $1.5 billion of the $5 billion project would be spent on the geosequestration process, Mr Theophanous said.

The project would be one of the world's biggest carbon dioxide capture and storage projects, with the gas stored deep underground in the offshore oil and gas fields in the Gippsland Basin.

Mr Theophanous told The Sunday Age that a trial geosequestration project near Warrnambool had received $4 million in State Government money and would likely begin depositing carbon dioxide underground next year.

"We have to find out — does it work and how safe is it?" he said. It would be selfish to not worry about global warming, leaving it to our children.

Victoria is estimated to have about 500 years of brown coal reserves in the Latrobe Valley.

Mr Theophanous said that if geosequestration was successful, Victoria could cut to "close to zero" the emissions from new brown coal power stations in the future.

He said Victoria would need a new base-load power station in the next decade, but he did not expect the geosequestration technology to be ready until the power station after next.

Mr Theophanous said it would also be unlikely the geosequestration technology would have much impact on emissions from Victoria's existing power stations.

Peter Cook, chief executive of the company CO2CRC, which is behind the geosequestration trial at Nirranda, near Warrnambool, said its success was "absolutely crucial" to the future of the Monash Energy coal-to-diesel project.

Dr Cook said there had been keen interest in the geosequestration trial from around the world.

He said representatives from other countries and the International Energy Agency would be in Melbourne next month to examine the geosequestration trial.

He said they would look at how the carbon could be monitored once it was stored underground.

The project is expected to be the first geosequestration trial in Australia when up and running next year.

Opposition Leader Ted Baillieu said he supported any project that tackled carbon dioxide emissions at their source.

But a Greenpeace energy campaigner, Mark Wakeham, said geosequestration was untried and expensive.

"We don't know whether the CO 2 can be stored for the long term," he said.

Good luck, hast a dusel dast noch cash hast.
I envy you Hpopht

IMF to discuss world defiance of expensive oil

Paris, Sept 10: The "third oil shock", as some have dubbed the tripling of oil prices since 2002, has been remarkably well-absorbed by the world economy, analysts say.

Contrary to past experience, the sharp rise in prices has not sent the world tumbling into recession, revealing a number of key shifts in the past 40 years that explain the new-found resilience.

The subject of how growth has been sustained with the price of a barrel of oil hovering at about 70 dollars is to figure prominently at a meeting of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Singapore on September 19-20.

With the world economy set to power into another year of high growth next year, .... a number of factors have been cited to explain its vitality. These include greater energy efficiency, lower dependency on oil as a power source.

The current round of high prices, although partly driven by supply fears linked to Iran, Iraq and Nigeria, also reflect growth in demand from China and the United States, as well as from other emerging countries such as India and Brazil.

"We are resisting basically because what is ramping up the price of oil is China -- and china is fundamentally a driver of the world economy," said an economist at French Investment Bank Credit Agricole, Jean-Paul Betbeze.

Betbeze's comments illustrate the difference between the current oil price spike, which has been driven partly by demand, and those of 1973 and 1979-80.

In 1973, the Yom Kippur war between Israel and Syria and Egypt prompted an oil embargo by oil-producing Arab nations, which sent prices spiralling. The second crisis in 1979-80 was sparked by the Iranian revolution.

Bureau Report

del

Saccard. nobody is perfect and nobody hits at the right point to sell or to buy.

Cést la vie

Darum sollte man die sehr preiswerte Dynasty im Moment kaufen IMO.
Die ist extrem gefallen in letzter Zeit, ich habe sie im Depot aber mir fehlt das Cash wie bei vielen anderen Schnaeppchen im Moment.
Das nochmals ein Tsunami kommt nach Juni damit habe ich nicht gerechnet.

Del

Del

For many people, the best solution is to diversify your problems as well as your investments.

Individually, each parent voiced one significant issue; collectively, they might have been able to combine into one really solid, conscientious investor. To see why, consider what the group members fessed up to, and see how a little of each may be healthy, but too much of any one could be trouble.

•"I'm too scared to invest right now" or "I'm waiting for the right time to invest."

Fear is one of the two big demons for typical investors. Mild worry is both appropriate and good, but paralyzing dread panic is over the top.

That's especially true when you add in an element of timing. The market can be scary in all conditions. Investors may not worry about upside volatility — no one complained that stocks were rising too fast during the 1990s — but they should accept the danger that a market that rises quickly can fall equally quickly.

Moreover, a scared investor is likely to wait, allowing the best opportunities to pass while trying to get a sense that the time is right.

•"No fund seems to be good enough."

This problem stems from setting expectations improperly. Funds should meet two primary performance goals. They must deliver the returns that you expect from the asset class and perform in a way that is equal to or better than the competition.

If absolute returns are down but the fund remains above average in its category, chances are it has met reasonable expectations. Investors who expect top-of-the-pack, always-positive absolute returns tend to be demanding too much and are likely to always be disappointed with their holdings.

•"It seems like whenever I buy a fund, it stops doing well."

Typically, this comes from the other big bugaboo, greed. If you wait until a fund has tremendous performance to buy it, you are almost certain to be disappointed. Momentum lasts for a while, but when returns slide back to the pack, investors wind up experiencing the fall from grace without having gotten much of the rise.

This is a problem with how the investor selects funds, rather than with the funds being picked.

•"I'm making all the right moves . . . although my performance doesn't quite show it."

Investors tend to think they are making the right decisions, but anyone who makes a lot of moves needs to guess right most of the time. It's not just making one great timing call; you have to make the right move again and again and again.

Most people can't do that and tend to focus on their successes and ignore their defeats. If your portfolio doesn't show the "right moves" panning out, the problem may be that you're making too many moves. For most investors, that's a problem.

•"I'll change my habits when I have more money to invest." This is an excuse for not setting aside enough money, or for not worrying much about financial planning because you don't think you have "enough."

People with less money have less to lose, and they tend to feel the pinch more severely than someone with a lot of money. While many people eventually have enough money to feel they should hire a financial adviser or learn a lot more about investing, the truth is that they may have waited too long — and wasted a lot of opportunity — by treating their small nest egg as if it were "no big deal."

•"I'm not doing what experts suggest, but my way works for me."

Confidence is good, until you go over the top with it.

Think back to the bull market, when investors loaded up on tech stocks and forgot about diversification, ignoring downtrodden asset classes such as real estate or bonds. It was a successful strategy, right up to the point where it failed, when the market turned and the investors got killed for ignoring conventional wisdom.

Traditional financial planning is not perfect, but it typically works better over the long run than most other "systems." The problem overconfident investors have is that if their systems ever stop working, it may be too late to recover.

Meine Vorraussage steht von gestern 14 Uhr das innerhalb 40 Stunden der PoG wieder ueber 600$ ist.
Jetzt sollten wieder Kauefer auftauchen nachdem die Lemminge verjagt wurden.

Saccard kriegt schnell eine Allergie wenn er Avocet hoert.
Anscheinend kauft und verkauft er diese Aktie immer zum falschen Moment.
Irgendwie reizt die ihm immer noch sonst wuerde er die nicht sie so oft analysieren. :D...Love and Hate
Ich habe nicht viel und halte die mal weiter, Valueman.
Jedenfalls besser als ein Kack- Bond.

Hier was anderes:

Canadian Crude Oil Production Drops, While Profits Soar
By James Stevenson
11 Sep 2006 at 12:01 PM EDT

CALGARY (CP) -- Canada's oil production dropped in 2005 for the first in six years as conventional supplies wane, but that should change as oilsands operations continue their rapid ramp-up.

According to a Statistics Canada report released Monday, companies pumped out 858 million barrels of crude last year, down 2.3% from the year before.

About two-thirds of Canada's crude in 2005 came from Alberta, with oilsands accounting for 42% of the province's total production.

Saskatchewan was a distant second, contributing 17.8% of total crude production, while Newfoundland and Labrador's offshore oil rigs accounted for 13%.

As such, StatsCan says the outlook for Canada's oil production is particularly strong, with estimated Canadian energy reserves at more than 28 billion cubic metres - second only to Saudi Arabia's reserves.

Last year, Canada supplied almost 10% of America's crude-oil needs with 99% of oil exports heading south of the border. Canadian oil is expected to continue to push further into U.S. markets in the future, reaching refineries in California and the Gulf Coast.

Despite large oil production in Alberta, Canadian refineries still relied on foreign oil imports to supply 55% of its refining needs - particularly to feed refineries in Ontario, Quebec and the Atlantic provinces.

And while the proportion of imports has been declining since the start of the decade, crude imports rose 7% last year alone.

http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=23635

Was soll daran verdaechtigt sein, fahr doch mal Taxi in der dritten Welt, da schwitzt man oft wie die fahren und mit welchen Kisten die rumfahren.
Da gibt es Laender da fahren die obendrauf ueberladen wie die gesenkte Sau.
Die Frau hatte eben Pech, that's it !

Wenn die Menschen oder Regierungen sehen das ihr Geld wertloser wird dann kauft man alle TANGIBLE ASSETS (Sachanlagen) um den Wertverlust zu vermindern.

Viele sind still und heimlich jetzt schon dabei, die grosse Panik und Flucht aus den Fiatwaehrungen hat noch nicht begonnen, die kommt aber !!

Irgendwann kapieren die Leute das eine Goldmuenze oder Oil mehr bringt als Fiatgeld das taeglich an Kaufkraft verliert.

Da kommen noch turbulente Zeiten auf uns zu.

Got Gold ???

XEX

So etwas ist eben ein Berufsrisiko

Schau doch bei den Musterdepot's rein vielleicht findest du etwas.
Ich kenne dein Anlageprofil nicht, deine Risikobereitschaft, wieviel Kohle du hast, ob Gold oder Silberaktien, Uran, Kohle, Gas, Oil, etc. etc.
Ich habe 350 welche willst du denn ?

Es gibt konservative Aktien die blue chips, mittlere Producer, und die Juniors.

Z.Zt ist Sommerschlussverkauf !

Servus

Eldo

Gmorning Saccard

Bist mal wieder sehr positiv was USD angeht, der ist doch 30% ueberbewertet. Mit China mach da keinen Fehler, die sind schlau !

Sollte wohl so geschrieben sein:

2009 dann werden die Probleme in USA so groß sein, daß man sich dort nur noch per Inflationierung zu helfen weiß. Die Zentralbank wird versuchen den Wechselkurs stabil zu halten.

USA ist der wahrscheinlichste Kandidat für eine Hyperinflation.

US$ wird fallen durch die SKS mit Kopf Ende 04/Anfang 05. Damit Preisziel 1.50 ca. Ende 2007.

Gruss

Eldo