Beiträge von Eldorado

    ;)... a good move Edel Man, wer z.B. auch keine PAAS fuer 18-19 USD oder GG fuer 28-29 Dollar schnappte der hat meinesachtens was versaeumt.


    Obwohl man Nevada nicht mit GG vergleichen kann.
    Ich habe genug Nevada's fuer 78 cents und kaufe keine mehr nach.


    Der Schnitt SLW ist 5.33 CAD.. ;)


    Sabina und Fortuna sollten sich gut erholen, habe davon auch genug.


    Apogee wird das Ueberraschungsei.


    Wie waere es mit IPT .V ?.... wer Impact braucht. :D ;)


    http://www.impactsilver.com/s/Home.asp


    Gruss


    Eldo

    Es ist schon komisch...... :rolleyes:


    BACKFIRE ON CORRUPTED PRICE INDEX


    Jim Willie CB
    May 24, 2006


    SIGNIFICANT TURNAROUND MONDAY


    A telephone call awakened me on Monday, a friend from Zurich of Irish descent, a bright, well-informed, kind, and colorful man. He told of a gold and currency drubbing, led by a tepid USDollar recovery of sorts. By the end of that call, both gold and the opposing (non-US$) currencys had staged the early makings of a recovery. After the noon hour, the recovery and reversals were clear. One day does not a trend make, but it sure was a day with significant notables. The metals all three reversed and held their highs. The currencys all finished on daily highs, enough to erase USDollar gains in Europe.


    Gold might have plumbed too low when it descended below 640 intraday, too low to claim an equilibrium of demand against supply.


    It reversed to close at 658.0, a full 21 bucks above its low, within a buck of its high, and over 3 bucks above its open, for a nice reversal. Silver overcame its 30-cent drop at the open, then extended for a 32-cent plus day, another nice reversal. Copper climbed 10 cents off its low to finish near even, a good recovery. Unclear is whether the metals are leading the currencys, or vice versa. My personal view is that gold leads. However, in the last couple weeks the currencys lead and the metals follow. Only a meaningful USDollar bounce will justify and sustain a continued gold selloff. The entire world is engaged in a global rejection of the USDollar, and a vote of no confidence in USGovt and USFed leadership.


    The euro finished up 89 basis points, a hefty 104 bpts off the low, closing at the day's high. The yen finished up 26 basis points, a hefty 90 bpts off the low, closing at the day's high. The swissy finished up 78 basis points, having climbed all day to close at the day's high. The Canadian dollar finished up 48 basis points, a hefty 90 bpts off the low, closing at the day's high. Even crude oil, the cantilever to the petro-dollar, finished up 70 cents, a hefty 1.68 off the low, holding the majority of the day's gains. The USDollar is bloated, corroded, and mismanaged. Gold cannot hold a much lower price without confirmation by the currencys led by a bonafide recovery in the USDollar.


    The follow through on Tuesday is underway. Gold has added 12 bucks. Silver has added 50 cents. Crude oil has jumped 1.40 upward. The euro is even, but the yen is up 30 basis points. We have early signs of a confirmation that Monday saw indeed a turnaround event.


    One must deem as irreconcilable and inconsistent the long-term interest rates at work. Do long-term rates rise to respond to a ground swell in the Corrupted Price Index? Recall that the CPI runs now at an annualized 6% to 7% rate. Do long-term interest rates fall in realization that the Fed has already tightened too much, and broadly pinpricked the housing bubble? The entire USEconomy has been dependent upon the $12 trillion housing market, which used to be half that size before Greenspan urged its inflated condition in 2001 and 2002. Do long-term interest rates continue upward in order to attract foreign credit suppliers?


    They are in a dangerous state of international rebellion, and have begun their rejection of the USDollar as world reserve currency.


    http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/willie052406.html

    Klar das waere der Wunschtraum fuer die warten, so bei 270 Huiiiii. :D X(


    Die glauben halt wenn sie ein lineal auf die unteren punkte legen dann kommt der HUI sicher wieder hin. :D.....


    In den Sommermonaten kann noch einiges passieren, aber wenn ihr mich fragt, hoffe und denke ich es geht eher sideways bis in den Herbst.


    Und dafuer brauche ich keine Chart.


    330-360 HUI.......ich wuerde mich freuen. :)


    Dann habe ich meine Ruh wenn ich auf Urlaub bin.


    Ok, dream on.


    We'll see !


    XEX

    Lucky ich war schon lange nicht mehr in Kirstenbosch und lange nicht wandern.


    Beim naechsten mal, Tafelberg von unten. :D


    Ich denke mir gerade das die Gefahr nach unten nun geringer ist als es nach oben gehen koennte.


    Wer den Mut hat kurzfristig einen Loss von 10-15% in Kauf zu nehmen fuer den waere es ein guenstiger Einstiegspunkt nach diesen grossen Fall der Aktien bis jetzt.


    Its just an opinion !


    XEX

    'SA heading for dictatorship'


    2006-05-25


    Johannesburg - The Congress of SA Trade Unions (Cosatu) voiced fears on Thursday that South Africa and the African National Congress (ANC) were drifting towards a dictatorship.
    "Dictatorship never announces its arrival," Cosatu general secretary Zwelinzima Vavi said in Johannesburg.


    "It won't, like drum majorettes, beat drums and parade down the street to announce it has arrived."


    Vavi was briefing reporters on the outcome of a Cosatu central executive committee meeting.


    "The main concern of the committee centres on signs that we may be drifting towards dictatorship. This appears in the use of state institutions ... in narrow factional fights," he said.


    "We see it in the use of sections of the media to assassinate the character of individuals through off-the-record briefings and the leaking of sensitive information in the hands of those charged to investigate crimes."


    Cosatu will also investigate the link, if any, between security sector employers and ANC leaders.


    Vavi said such a link, if found, "may help explain the apparent indifference of political leaders to the plight of security workers, in contrast to (their) eagerness to condemn them (strikers) at the slightest provocation".


    Vavi was briefing the media in Johannesburg on the outcomes of a Cosatu central executive committee meeting which ended on Wednesday.


    He said the CEC noted with disapproval that the public debate had focused on violence surrounding the strike, rather than the deplorable conditions in the security industry and other issues that had led guards to strike.


    Cosatu called on all workers to support the SA Transport and Allied Workers' Union security industry strike, which is now in its eighth week.


    News24/SAPA

    Lucky


    Z.Zt blauer Himmel bei 21 grad in Kapstadt.
    Eine cold front kommt am Nachmittag.


    Hpopth sagte noch vor kurzen das es noch genuegen Einstiegsmoeglichkeiten geben wird.


    Ich denke mal erst bei HUI 340 plus kann man sagen die Korrektur ist vorbei.


    Unter 300 wird die Panik noch groesser, ich hoffe es kommt nicht soweit.


    Heute und Morgen bleibt es weiter kritisch und eiskalt.


    Cheers


    Eldo


    Hier noch ein paar Bilder von meiner Rundfahrt gestern>....


    Keine Panik bei den Pinguines... :D

    @mesodor


    Ich habe es gelernt mit Verlusten zu leben und bisher habe ich riskant mit leihen und kaufen gut gelebt sonst waere mein Depot nicht z.Zt aufs 8 fache gestiegen in 10 Jahren.


    Ich bin mir dem Risiko von Investment Krediten voll bewusst, bis jetzt hatte ich Glueck und einen Schutzengel sowie eine Bank die da mitmacht.
    .....die wird halt wieder nervous zur Zeit, ich brauche von denen nur Zeit.
    Zum Glueck ist heute Feiertag. :D


    Die Banken verdienen immer egal wie es ausgeht und was man macht.


    Im Moment bin zu 61% in PM's und Minen wie BHP z.B investiert. (144)


    3 % in Solar (34)


    12% in Oil/Gas Aktien (70)


    10% Uran (40)


    10% Diverses (46) wie Suez .etc


    14 % in physischen Gold...das ist mehr als mein Startgeld ist.


    Leider hat es alle erwischt, im ganzen sind es 334 Aktien die ich anschaue.


    Erzaehle mir darueber besser auch nichts, das man auch diversifizieren muss um sich zu schuetzen. :D


    Its a nowhere to run and nowhere to hide market !


    Oh, mein Einsatz bzw. Depotwert z.Zt . ist nur 25 millionen ""Vietnamese Dong"", damit keiner Kopfweh bekommt.


    Trotzdem bin ich eine kleine Nummer auf dem Markt.


    9.5m davon sind beliehen, ich zahle 1400 ""Dong"" Zinsen jeden Tag !.


    Die Belehnung stieg von 20% auf 37% in den letzten Tagen, ich kaufte jeden Tag und habe nicht kapituliert oder nur zugeschaut.


    Wenn alle Stricke reissen sollten dann gibt es ein paar Notverkaeufe, so what !


    Jetzt weisst du bescheid, mit so einer kraeftigen Korrektur haben wenige gerechnet.


    Auch du nicht !


    Have a nice day ;)


    Gruss


    Eldo


    Fasten your seatbelts and stay an the bull heisst es nun.
    .

    sidha.... thanx ! ;)


    Koennte man auch mit einen Boxkampf vergleichen, oft tut es weh.


    Vielleicht sollte man weniger die Berichte der Analysten und Gurus lesen, CNBC abschalten und mehr auf die einzelnen Charts schauen, die verraten eigentlich alles wo der Trend, Einstieg, Ausstieg, nun wirklich ist.


    Plus eigene Intuition und Glueck dabei sollte es besser klappen.


    Ich weiss nur eines, die Saison der Cabale hoert auch wieder auf und dann sind die Goldbugs wieder dran ihre Schlaege auszuteilen.


    Es darf halt nicht zu lange dauern so wie die Cabale uns momentan einheizen.


    Ein riesen Auswaschmanoever und Psychokrieg der momentan herrscht.


    Dafuer braucht man einen guten Magen, Standhaftigkeit und Nerven.


    Gottseidank habe ich die noch, obs mein Banker hat weiss ich nicht. :D


    Auf zur naechten Runde, live from NYSE tonight.


    Gold vs Dollar



    Cheers


    Eldo

    Gmorning Edel


    Ich kann mir nicht vorstellen das vor der Wahl in der US sowie gerade Ben at work $$$$$, dieser riesen Stockmarket Crash ala 1929 vorher kommt.
    Bush will die Wahl gewinnen, eventuell braucht er einen neuen Krieg mit Iran, jedoch keinen Crash IMO.


    Wer weiss wie viele PM's Aktien die Cabale wieder geborgt und verkauft haben, natuerlich um sie spaeter wieder guenstiger zurueckzukaufen wenn ihr Bulldozer ueber alles gefahren ist..


    Wir sind eben nur ein Sandkorn auf dem Strand und sind fast machtlos dagegen was die Gangster mit uns treiben.


    GS und friends fahren nun alles auf ihren ""Psychokrieg"" weiter zu fuehren damit selbst die letzten Goldbugs ebenso kapitulieren.


    Du hast Recht :



    Damit müssen wir leben

    Rick Ackerman


    Top Bears Capitulate:



    Two of them, Rich Bernstein and David Rosenberg, work for Merrill Lynch, and their capitulation could be taken as a result of a common conclusion. The other two, Stephen Roach of Morgan Stanley and Bill Gross of PIMCO, have given up their bearish outlook for the U.S. and the world economy.


    I believe that the capitulation of the four noted pundits, over a very short time frame, can be taken as a sign of something big to begin in the coming months and quarters.


    If my prediction of the next recession to begin in 2006 were to come true, it would be preceded by a significant drop in the stock market before the end of August. For all we know, it could have begun already.




    http://news.goldseek.com/RickAckerman/1148569200.php

    Posted On: Wednesday, May 24, 2006, 10:37:00 PM EST


    Market Commentary From Trader Dan


    Author: Dan Norcini

    Dear Jim,


    The dollar looks like it is bear flagging to me. It will take a convincing close over the .86 level to change the technical picture and disabuse me of this notion.


    Sugar is basically trading the crude oil market right now as is bean oil. Both of them are trading the alternative energy play. When crude rallies, they rally. When crude moves down, they move down. Fundamentals have given way to the day to day vagaries of the energy complex.


    Heating oil is trading hurricanes already but natural gas is not. Go figure!


    I have mentioned to just about everyone I have spoken with today that the volatility we are seeing is indicative of the nervousness, confusion and uncertainty that exists in the market. We have also seen something that we have not seen in a very long time, the presence of FEAR. In times past, this sort of environment would see money move into gold as the ultimate safe haven.


    Today’s current crop of lemming investors have been conditioned that the safest place in the world to park money is US Treasuries. This is why bonds moved up today and is the excuse du jour given for the strength in the dollar. Money was flowing into bonds and out of everything else. Personally I find this quite laughable and can only wonder if that philosophy will still look sound when the dollar is knocking on the door from beneath the .70 level.


    This kind of volatility does however usually presage some substantial moves. Currently there is absolutely ZERO conviction among the vast majority of players. The giant hedge funds have no investment strategy that they are even attempting to follow right now. Instead, button pushers are reacting to emotional swings which range from euphoric one day to panic the next as automated trading programs wreak havoc on these markets.


    The result has been a large number of players in the gold pit at the Comex simply throwing in the towel, choosing to get out of the way of the wild swings while they wait for the market to calm down.
    This includes both longs and shorts who are exiting, in the process dropping the open interest to 316,143 as of yesterday. With today’s estimated volume at 155,000 there is little doubt we will see a significant decline in open interest again tomorrow.


    This is the lowest reading since September 8, 2005 (an eight month low) where the open interest was 307,933. Front month gold closed at $447.70 that day. The next day it jumped to 317,409 as gold moved up to the $450 level once again.


    I find this current decline in the open interest quite remarkable to say the very least, since we are getting down to levels where I believe we can expect to see prices stabilize fairly soon.
    The reason: the fuel for further significant declines simply is not there unless we see a wholesale entrance of hedge funds on the short side of the gold market, something which I believe is highly unlikely.


    My point in what may seem like some meaningless rambling is that I view this situation as extremely bullish for the gold market. I was never of the opinion that this recent leg up to over $700 was due to “speculative froth” as has been parroted ad-nauseaum, but there is no doubt a huge number of players have exited the gold market. The fact remains that open interest levels are where they were when gold was last trading at $450. We have had what by any standard of measure could be considered a sizeable exit of traders and yet here we are sitting with the gold price $190 higher than the last time we were anywhere near this level of interest by the general trading public. This correction will give us a new point from which to consolidate and build the kind of base we need to see a further substantial price rise which will take out the recent peak near $730.


    Your pal,


    Dan


    ----------------------------


    Dear CIGAs,


    The day they found the first hedge fund manager the population of mental institutions began to increase. These people have to burn themselves out until only one is left. The new “gold bulls in a china shop” create total havoc when they enter and even more havoc when they try to leave. Not one of them has figured out the gold market is a tiny affair. This type of gold action is going to favor the gold shares because survival in the highly leveraged paper gold market is rare, even among professionals. The battle of algorithms not only increases volatility, it also leads to increased consumption of Maalox and Imodium.


    When I say yesterday’s $20 rise means as much as today’s $36 drop, you might gasp. Neither does anything but prove my long term goal of $1650 may turn out to be much too conservative. It also proves if the Sultan of Bahrain was to chase gold strength and run away from gold weakness the market would gladly eat his money.


    Can you imagine how gold will range when the dollar is in the .7000s USDX? In time it will be.


    The only protection the aggressive gold investor has is to sell 1/3 of their position into gold strength too early and buy gold back too early while not using one cent in margin.


    For investors I recommend the above medicine, a brisk walk and a glass of cold water. You will be very right but gold always requires a deep understanding, which results in courage.