Beiträge von bobelle21

    Lucky


    USEC ist wirklich interessant nach dem Rückgang.


    Cash Minerals (CHX.V) sehe ich nicht ganz so negativ, wäre aber als Einzelinvestment eher nicht zu empfehlen. Bei mir im Depot liegt sie in einem Urankorb von insg. neun Werten.


    Der Markt ist ganz Deiner Meinung und Cash hat sich nict mit den anderen Uranern erholen können. Dennoch ist sie einen zweiten Blick wert:


    Der verschneite Berggipfel gehört zu den Wernecke Mountains im Yukon und das Zauberwort, das hier einen großen Wert entstehen lassen kann, heißt IOCG (iron-oxide-copper-gold). Nach Ansicht von Geologen hat das Gebiet im nordwesten Kanadas früher zu Süd-Australien gehört und enthält die selben Mineral-Strukturen, die Olympic Dam entstehen haben lassen.


    Mit der Übernahmen von Signet Minerals haben sie sich weitere vielversprechende, aber noch zu entwickelnde Projekte geholt. Der momentane schwache Kurs kann auch durch die Signet-Aktionäre kommen, da die Übernahme komplett in Aktien (insg. 27,5 Mio. Cash Aktien) abgewickelt wurde.


    Grüße

    Bei einem Rekordölpreis wollt ich mal ein kurzes Update zu den Öl-Werten anstoßen.


    Zitat

    Original von bobelle21
    Gute Bohrergebnisse aus Thailand beflügeln den Kurs! Hört sich nach guten Wachstumsperspektiven an. MC steht bei noch geringen 194 Mio. CAD$, Kurs aktuell 4,85 CAD$.


    Pan Orient (POE.V) hat sich hervorragend entwickelt (siehe Chart, aktuell 10,90 CAD$), Position wird weiterhin konsequent gehalten.


    Sterling Resources (SLG.V) hab ich verkauft und Petrolifera (PDP.TO) kräftig aufgestockt.


    Grüße

    Tschonko


    ja, Kommentar ist von Doug Casey. Nach München werde ich nicht kommen, ich hatte bereits meinen Messebesuch in Düsseldorf auf der IAM. Eric Coffin (Hard Rock Analyst) und Doug Casey haben gute Vorträge gehalten. Bei Eric waren 15 Leute da, bei Doug ware es schon so 100. Konnte soagr noch mit ihm plaudern.


    Grüße

    Ich hab auch noch Doug-Kommentare zu IPT und GPR, aber Casey (vom 01.10.07!


    IPT (Best Buy)


    BUY— In spite of our usual reluctance to back explorers that try to become producers, our on-site inspection of this new junior Mexican silver producer convinced us that the IPT team is successfully making the transition. In addition, the company has multiple highly prospective targets on genuinely district-scale mineral concessions. Our thinking was that steady growth in production would provide a stable platform, over which discoveries could add a lot of upside.


    Market volatility has shaken our “stable platform,” but the company has been doing exactly what we hoped it would, so we’ve taken the weakness as an opportunity to average down. Specifically, in terms of steady growth, IPT has brought more stopes into production and refurbished much of its Royal Mines of Zacualpan mill, ramping production up to 300 tonnes per day (tpd), more than double the rate of January 2006, when IPT took the mine over from its previous operators.


    In terms of discovery, IPT has advanced its high-grade Chivo discovery (up to two kilos per tonne silver across some sections of the vein) to the point where the company has permitted and begun mine construction on the ore shoot. But there’s more to come. Just a week ago, IPT announced that thus far in the course of their current 10,000-meter drill program, they have discovered two new ore zones, one called San Patricio (with a best of four drill intercepts grading 242 g/t silver and 0.37 g/t gold over 4.6 meters) and one called the Cuchara Mine Extension (with a best of three drill intercepts grading 641 g/t silver, 0.02 g/t gold, 1.67% zinc and 0.53% lead over 2.2 meters, including 1,340 g/t silver, 0.02 g/t gold, 2.27% zinc and 0.8% lead over 0.6 meters). It’s early days yet on these discoveries, but they do give credence to the company’s contention that there are more economic ore shoots to be found along their many kilometers of regional vein structures.


    More results, including drill testing of more new targets, are pending.


    Absent the August correction, IPT’s discoveries would have sent the company’s shares much higher. Thanks to the correction, however, we have a chance to buy into this much-improved story at a lower price. That’s no reason not to try to get in at an even better price, however, and there are 4.1 million in-the-money warrants expiring this week, so don’t wait to place your stink bids; right now might be the best time to get the best price you’ll see on IPT shares before they take off. For stink bids this week, we’d suggest something in the C$1.40 range. If precious metals correct before there’s any more good news from IPT, another stink bid in the C$1.20 range could bring you some joy.



    GPR


    HOLD— GPR, an emerging Mexican silver producer, has had more than its share of setbacks this year, including grade issues and a frivolous lawsuit at its Guanajuato mine. The suit was dropped, the grade has improved, and GPR’s mining costs have dropped significantly, both at Guanajuato (US$3.82) and at the Topia mine (US$6.42) in the last quarter. Operationally, both mines were profitable, but other expenses resulted in yet another quarter of net losses.


    Nevertheless, the company is making progress and looks like it is winning the operational profitability battle. We’re not expecting bottom line profitability for some time yet, however, as the company is still a very active explorer, and that costs money.


    On that front, over 6,000 meters of drilling were completed this summer on the Mapimi open pit silver-lead-zinc project, which already has a 43-101-compliant resource of 22.3 million ounces silver equivalent (AgEq). Best results included 166 g/t AgEq over 19.46 meters, starting just three meters down. That and several other holes expand the known mineralized area significantly. A second phase of drilling is scheduled to get under way this month.


    Back at Guanajuato, deep drilling under known high-grade stopes is underway. Widely spaced historic holes returned intersections of 863 g/t silver and 4.33 g/t gold over 3.3 meters, 347 g/t silver and 1.69 g/t gold over 3.05 meters, and 377 g/t silver and 20 g/t gold over 0.4 meters. If GPR can prove up any tonnage of this stuff (200 meters below current workings), they will have a substantial new source of high-grade feed for the Guanajuato mill ready for immediate development.


    The company has excellent prospects and the cash to pursue them, albeit via convertible debenture and more cash headed in through the exercising of warrants. But those same warrants will put the shares under selling pressure – which could make for an excellent buying opportunity. We’d like to see management sort out the operational challenges at Guanajuato once and for all before we can recommend buying too enthusiastically. So, we’re not happy to be under water on this one, but we’re glad we have a stake in what happens next. For now, we’re holding.


    Grüße

    Tschonko


    ich bin von den Zahlen nicht begeistert, aber wie Du gesagt hast, der Umschwung ist erkennbar.


    Die Gross-Margin hat sich erhöht im Gegensatz zu Q3 (von 22,4 auf 26,5%), aber zu den Branchenfühern ist noch Platz nach oben.
    Eventuell ist ein Grund dafür, daß sie ja sich ihre Crews und Rigs hauptsächlich ausleihen für die Aufträge. ich denke bei eigenen Equipment liegt der Gross-Margin höher.
    Aber dafür ist Cabo noch zu klein. Sie haben aber investiert, im Vergleich zu 2006 Q4 sind die Anschaffungskosten für Drilling & field equipment von 6,8 auf 9,8 Mio. CAD$ gestiegen.
    Die Schulden werden hoffentlich bald reduziert.


    LONG-TERM DEBT (continued)
    The required annual principal and interest repayments on long-term debt are as follows:
    1 – 12 months $ 916,718
    13 – 24 months 646,679
    25 – 36 months 361,926
    37 – 48 months 179,090
    49 – 60 months 145,000
    Thereafter 392,568


    Total $ 2,641,981
    Less: imputed interest (399,600)
    Principal payments $ 2,242,381


    Die Körperschaftssteuer beträgt satte 34,1%! Cabo hat aber noch verrechenbare Steuerverlustvorträge von 3,6 Mio. CAD$.


    Als letztes ein kurzer Überblick über die Warrants:


    zum 30.06.2007 standen noch 8.663.867 Warrants aus, die zu 0,50 CAD$ ausübbar sind. Davon wurden bis Oktober 6,4 Mio. ausgeübt, 0,8 Mio. sind verfallen.


    Grüße

    Es ist die Entscheidung gefallen:


    Exeter to Acquire 100% of High-Grade Cerro Moro Gold-Silver Project Link


    Auszug:


    Exeter's Chairman, Yale Simpson, stated: "We are delighted to be able to acquire outright ownership of Cerro Moro. Located in "mining friendly" Santa Cruz Province, proximate to the coast, Cerro Moro has returned unusually high grades of gold and silver in our exploration to date. We are now in a position to expedite exploration and project infrastructure with a view to the possible development of a high-grade open pit gold-silver mine.


    "Drilling at Cerro Moro, is continuing using two multi-purpose rigs with a third rig due in early November. Since passing the 10,000 metre drilling milestone, we have completed some 50 additional drill holes. Results from portions of this drilling are expected shortly and will be released on an ongoing basis as they become available.


    "In early November, Exeter will host mining analysts from major North American securities firms in site visits to both the Cerro Moro project in Argentina and its Caspiche gold porphyry project, near Kinross Gold's Refugio mine, in Chile. The interest shown by these analysts reflects the current investor interest in Exeter's South American exploration portfolio."


    Der Kursverlauf hat es erahnen lassen. Das meiste aus der Nachricht steckt im Kurs schon drin, denke ich. Bin trotzdem erfreut.


    Grüße

    Werd morgen erste Position kaufen, Danke für die Anregung Eldo. Hab übers WE nochmal die Lage analysiert und denke das der rumänische Schatz doch noch gehoben wird ;).


    aus der aktuellen Wirtschaftswoche Nr. 44, spekualtive Empfehlung Gabriel Resources:


    "Gegen Soros spekulieren. [...] Von ursprünglich 21 Protestgruppen schwenkten mittlerweile 18 um.
    Einige unterstützen das Projekt gar, auch wegen der ökonomischen Bedeutung für eine der ärmsten Regionen Europas. Geblieben ist eine Radikalopposition, die sich ausgerechnet speist aus Mitteln von George Soros. Der aus Ungarn stammende Großspekulant (das Gebiet um Rosia Montana gehörte einst zu Ungarn) hat sonst weniger Probleme mit Goldminen.
    So besitzt der Soros Fund Anteile an Goldcorp. Auch Goldcorp setzt Zyanid in seinen Minen ein. Soros besitzt auch Aktien von Newmont Mining. Pikant hier: Der zweitgrößte Goldkonzern der Welt ist mit gut 18 Prozent an Gabriel beteiligt. Im April schrieb Soros dem damaligen Newmont-Chef einen Brief mit dem sanften Hinweis, er solle sich die weitere Zusammenarbeit mit Gabriel sorgfältig überlegen. Will Soros vielleicht selbst ran an das Gold in den Westkarpaten?"


    Grüße

    Bei URE mach ich mir keine Sorgen. hab die erste Position zu 3 CAD$ gekauft und hab noch ein Stinkbid im Markt. URE hat durch die letzte Finanzierung (insg. 82 Mio. CAD$, 4,75 je Aktie!) ca. 88 Mio. Cash in der Kasse, super Gebiete (Wyoming) und ein erstklassiges Management. Zum jetzigen Kurs würd ich aber auch ohne zu zögern kaufen, aber 1-2 Wochen versuch ich sie noch günstiger aufzustocken.


    Grüße

    PMC.V (früher Azure Resources Corp.) - erster Eindruck ist eher negativ, hier das was ich auf die kürze zusammengetragen habe:


    - Madagaskar steht nicht gerade für ein vorzeigbares Bergbauland, schlechte Infrastruktur
    - ausgegebene Aktien ca. 35 Mio., FD ca. 46 Mio., MC 14 Mio. CAD$, Cash ca. 2 Mio. CAD$
    - Longview Capital hält seit dem 23.04.07 5 Mio. Aktien und 5 Mio. Warrants (ausübbar zu 0,25 CAD$) Link und ist gleichzeitig als IR-Firma beauftragt (seit dem 04.07.07) Link II
    - letztes PP zu 0,55 CAD$ mit Warrants zu 0,75 CAD$
    - Management und Properties kann ich nicht einschätzen


    Grüße

    Cerro Moro liefert weiterhin gute Ergebnisse. Anfang 2008 gibts hoffentlich die erste Resourcenschätzung. Die 10000m-Grenze beim Drilling wurde erreicht und CVSA hat nun 45 Tage Zeit zu entscheiden, ob sie sich 60% des Projektes zurückkaufen. Falls CVSA sich dazu entscheidet erhält Exeter ca. das 2,5 - 3fache der bsiher finanzierten Aufwendungen in Zusammenhang mit Cerro Moro und CVSA übernimmt die Kosten für die Machbarkeitsstudie.


    Währenddessen, nicht zu vergessen, wird auch am Caspiche-Projekt gearbeitet.


    Grüße


    EXETER DRILLING EXPANDS HIGH-GRADE MINERALIZATION AT CERRO MORO - ESCONDIDA ZONE FOUND TO BE CONTINUOUS OVER AT LEAST 950 METRES

    Wie schon vor längerer Zeit erwähnt (siehe Beitrag 18.07.07)


    Grüße


    Alberta should hike oil sands royalties: report


    KATHERINE HARDING and DAVID EBNER


    Tuesday, September 18, 2007


    Edmonton — Albertans are not receiving “their fair share” from the province's energy industry and the government must significantly hike royalties in the oil sands, according to a much-anticipated report released Tuesday afternoon.


    “Albertans do not receive their fair share from energy development and they have not, in fact, been receiving their fair share for some time,” said Bill Hunter, chair of the six-person expert panel that wrote the surprisingly blunt report that investigated whether the debt-free province was receiving adequate oil and natural gas revenues.


    The panel found that the government's royalty tax take “ranks very low” against competing jurisdictions, especially in the oil sands arena. It recommended that royalties and taxes be raised by around $2-billion a year, a 20 per cent increase.


    In recent weeks, various warnings have been issued from oil patch executives against the provincial government tinkering with the royalty restructure, which hasn't been updated since the mid-1990's.


    The Progressive Conservative government is expected to provide a formal response to the 104-page report by mid-October. In 2006-07, Alberta collected $10-billion in energy royalties.


    “Albertans made it clear that examining the province's royalty regime was a priority to ensure they are receiving their fair share from energy resource development,” said Premier Ed Stelmach. “Albertans, as owners of the resource, now have the opportunity to examine the details of this report as government thoroughly reviews the recommendations.”


    The royalty review process started in February when Mr. Stelmach's government appointed the panel, which included experts in resource taxation and the royalty system. The panel held five public meetings across the province and received 300 submissions.


    The panel concluded that it's fair to hike royalties for oil sands projects because the area is a “production powerhouse.” It is also recommending businesses operating in the oil sands pay a new tax.


    It rejected essential industry arguments that higher costs, which have plagued all oil sands projects, are a reason to keep royalties the same.


    Mr. Hunter has urged the government against grand-fathering in any hikes “on the grounds of fair treatment for all participants.”


    The panel has asked the government not to increase more than half of convention oil and gas royalties on the grounds that this sector of the industry is on the decline.


    Mr. Hunter said that during the review process, the panel found the province's royalty regime was complex and “almost impossible to follow.” The panel also discovered that government bureaucrats couldn't answer many questions because “useful information is not adequately collected in the first place.”


    The panel is recommending in the “strongest possible terms” an accountability package that forces both industry and government to regularly publish data about the energy industry.


    Mr. Hunter estimated that the Alberta government has been missing out on more than $1-billion annually from royalties they were entitled to.


    The report is being released at a time when the Progressive Conservatives and its new leader, Mr. Stelmach, are struggling in the public opinion polls.


    Political observers are closely watching how the 36-year-old government handles this delicate file.


    Faron Ellis, political scientist at Lethbridge College, said it's unlikely that Mr. Stelmach will do anything dramatic because it's not his political style. “He does his homework. He's not Ralph Klein…The ‘Steady Eddie' approach demonstrates that he has no intention of being Ralph Klein.”


    Prof. Ellis also said he hasn't seen a huge public appetite in Alberta to dramatically reform the royalty regime to get a lot more money from the oil patch.


    Alberta Liberal Leader Kevin Taft disagrees.


    “There's a genuine interest at street level amongst citizens about this issue,” he said in an interview. “There's a mood out there as the owners of the resource that they aren't getting a fair share.” The Liberals want the government to collect up to 25 per cent of total value in royalties.


    He said this is a “big issue” for Alberta and a major moment for the Stelmach government, which has “struggled to be decisive on virtually everything it has faced.


    “It's very, very important for the government to handle this one effectively,” Mr. Taft said. “It's much more important to them than us in a way. You've seen their [polling] numbers.”


    A quick look at Alberta's current energy royalty system:


    History: Concept of royalties dates back centuries. They are a way for the owner of a resource to exact a payment from the person developing that resource. What the specific rate should be is the tricky part.


    Government Revenues: Energy sector paid Alberta government about $10-billion in royalties in fiscal 2005-06, not including lease sales. Industry says royalty-related revenues account for 40 per cent of total provincial revenues.


    Lease sales: Companies bid against competitors for right to explore and develop oil and gas on parcels of land. These fees, paid whether energy reserves are found or not, generated a further $2.4-billion in provincial revenues last year.


    Provincial royalty goal: Fluctuated over the years, but currently sits between 20-25 per cent of total energy industry revenues. Critics charge current take is below 20 per cent and far less than other producing jurisdictions, including Texas and Norway.


    Conventional oil and gas: Production-based royalty paid on a sliding scale based on price and productivity per well. Formula enables government to get a higher take if well is more prolific than expected or if price rises significantly. Industry says producers are left to shoulder any unexpected higher costs.


    Oilsands: Companies pay just 1 per cent of gross revenues until all project construction costs are recouped, then the rate climbs to 25 per cent of revenues, minus costs. Industry says that when federal and provincial income taxes added, the share of revenues between government and industry is close to 50-50.


    Other provinces: In Saskatchewan, oil and gas royalties and taxes are forecast to top more than $1.2-billion, or about 17 per cent of total provincial revenues. Like Alberta, royalties are collected on a sliding scale based on the age of the wells, quality of oil, etc. In Newfoundland, royalty rates differ on the three producing offshore oil projects. The province also recently announced small equity stakes in the latest offshore project, Hebron, as well as the White Rose expansion.


    Link

    Hier ein kurzes gestriges Marktupdate (aus Casey's Daily Resource Plus von heute) zu dem Gebietsspekulanten um NOT:


    On the junior front, almost all the heavy trading action was focused on the area players surrounding Noront Resources’ Double Eagle copper-nickel project in northeastern Ontario. For its part, Noront remained halted for the second straight trading session while Spider Resources added C$0.06 to close at C$0.155 on over 38 million shares traded, Macdonald Mines gave back C$0.045 to close at C$0.37 on 28 million shares crossing the floor, KWG Resources added C$0.01 to close at C$0.135 on more than 14 million shares traded, UC Resources closed at C$0.56 for a C$0.01 loss and Fancamp, the closest land holder of the lot to Noront’s find, saw its shares surge C$0.60 to C$2.20.


    Grüße

    Wünsch Dir einen erholsamen Urlaub Linar!Hoffe Du hast auch einen ähnlichen Eldo-Urlaubseffekt auf den Uranpreis ;)!


    Sieht nach Bodenbildung aus. Hätte ich das auch früher bei FRG gewusst, wäre ich nicht wieder ausgestiegen, aber aus solch turbulenten Zeiten kann man viel Lernen.
    Bin jedenfalls froh, daß ich nun eine sehr klare Depotstruktur besitzte und seit langen mal wieder über erhöhte liquide Mittel (25%) verfüge.


    Grüße


    Anbei noch der Kommentar von Canaccord:


    We were wondering the other day if natural gas stocks may have finally bottomed and whether natural gas has a future or not. It looks like at the same time, uranium stocks which have been absolutely bashed over the last few weeks, might also be putting in a bottom.
    Canaccord analyst Toni Wallis has put in an awful lot of miles over the last six weeks. She’s been down in the middle of nowhere in South America to Paraguay visiting CUE Capital (CUE) and their Yuty uranium project, shortly followed by a visit to the jungle in Guyana visiting U308 and then just this past while, off into the wilds of Canada’s Labrador, where you are virtually in the middle of nowhere.
    The geologist does get opportunities for wide travel and seeing projects just about anywhere, but they tend to be a long way away from five-star hotels or luxury resorts. You are usually out in the middle of nowhere.
    Wallis is suggesting that as we get closer to the big utilities having to make purchase commitments again and with uranium spot prices having held solid for four weeks in a row, she is thinking a bottom has been set and when we ask her for her three favorite stocks at this time, the list has changed somewhat with her Uranium One (UUU) having moved up nicely over
    the last while.
    Her new list has Aurora Energy as number one, Tournigan Gold number two and Crosshair Exploration in the third spot. But look at the charts, because it does look as if the worst is over...

    Ich konzentriere mich hauptsächlich auf die führenden Explorer im Athabasca Basin*. Dazu gehört auch Hathor. Ebenso JNN.V, TXM.V, IEC.V, ABN.V (durch JVs mit Triex und Denison) und PXP.V. Die großen laufenden Bohrprogramme gehen so gegen Ende des Jahres auf die Zielgerade. Ich halte die Wahrscheinlichkeit auf einen großen Fund im Athabasca Basin für hoch.


    Grüße


    *
    The Athabasca Basin


    The exploration properties of UEX are in the Athabasca Basin of northern Saskatchewan (the "Athabasca", or the "Basin"), which contains the most significant high grade, low cost uranium deposits in the world. Mines in the Basin produced approximately 28% of total global uranium during 2005. The deposits defined to date collectively contain, or have produced, almost 1.5 billion pounds U3O8, which corresponds to a total value of over US$100.0 billion at a uranium price of US$70.00 per pound U3O8. Total value of Athabasca uranium deposits is of a similar order of magnitude to, or exceeds that of major gold camps globally, including the Carlin trend (US$42.2 billion at US$550 per ounce gold) and the Timmins gold camp (US$38.5 billion), and larger than many other world class camps, such as Hemlo (US$12.1 billion). Compared to other mineral deposit types and to other uranium deposit districts globally, value per tonne of Athabasca uranium deposits is extremely high (values as of January 2007), ranging from US$470 to over US$2,800 per tonne in the lower-grade deposits which have been mined by open pit methods, to values of more than US$38,000 per tonne in the giant, high-grade McArthur River and Cigar Lake deposits.