Beiträge von Aladin

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    What occurred on Friday was as dramatic a market manipulation as we have ever seen. It defied common sense and cut across both the gold and dollar markets. The dust has cleared from Friday’s market nonsense and what we can now observe is the strongest of suggestions the US is under enormous financial market stress. As a result, they have pulled out all the stops to keep potential chaos from kicking into becoming reality.


    Let us lay out the scene first:


    *President Bush’s popularity poll numbers keep shrinking and are in the high 30’s across the board. Should the US stock and real estate markets be nailed, his numbers will disappear.


    *Unending problems in Iraq, the developing scandal why we went there in the first place, and growing deficit problems are finally seeing the light of day in toto and finally having their effect. The US stock market was propped up by the PPT last Friday and caught fire for an entire week. However, US intermediate/long-term interest rates are on the move higher. Efforts by the Fed and others to keep these rates from rising to problematical levels are failing as the rates of the key 10-year T note and 30-year bond have blown decisively through strong resistance. The move up in both has been orderly. Should they blow out from here, the ensuing higher rates are going to affect both the stock and real estate markets in a meaningful way, which will be anything but constructive.


    The US is desperate to keep the foreigners financing our debt. Without their support, our goose is cooked. There is an important US Treasury debt auction next week. To make sure the foreigners stay in the game, it is imperative they retain their confidence in the US and in our markets … not an easy task with what is going on in Washington. One simplistic way for the US to achieve its short-term goals was to ramp up the dollar and knock gold down. The scenario for the coming Treasury auction was laid out brilliantly by Mike Hartman at http://www.financialsense.com. From Thursday’s MIDAS:


    "Overall I don’t expect to see much from gold and silver over the next week or so until the Treasury auctions are out of the way. I have yet to see any noteworthy price movements during the three days of "quarterly refunding." Keep a close eye on gold to see a re-test of $460. In the past, the Friday and Monday just prior to the auctions have seen the short sellers come into the gold pit with guns blazing! I’m not saying it’s going to happen, just noting patterns from prior auctions…they have a tendency to repeat! It is absolutely imperative for the Treasury to sell all its debt…just watch next week while the markets appear to be in a coma until the debt is sold."

  • Juniors aus Kanada

    Also ich blick nicht durch worum es hier geht, sicher werden wir ueberwacht fuer welche Interessen wie auch immer.


    Es stoert mich herzlich wenig da es zu unseren Leben mittlerweile dazu gehoert, ich habe auch nichts zu verbergen.Es kann reine Fantasie sein was und wer hier was schreibt,wer abschaun will oder trends aendern moechte dem wuensche ich auch viel Spass dabei.


    Das Forum ist kostenlos, ein anderer profitiert vielleicht dabei.


    Ob das nun ABN oder Goldman Sachs oder wer immer ist oder der einzelne Leser ist doch egal.


    Wenn man eine zeitlang hier ist dann weiss man wer nun wer ist und kann sich den Menschen irgenwie vorstellen ohne seinen richtigen Namen zu wissen.


    Mir macht es soweit Spass ich habe auch meine Vorteile.
    Egal welchen Naehrwert nun meine Beitraege haben ich bin nur ein gleichgesinnter Gold und Silberbug der auch was beitraegt, selbst. wenn es nur schoene Bilder sind die ihr erstmal finden muesst.Es sind nur wenige die es schaetzen, ist ja auch Wurst.


    In diesen Sinne, macht mal weiter und lasst Euch nicht stoeren.


    Erhaltet den Teamgeist und haut die anderen Geister raus die Gift spruehen und die Moral schaedigen wollen bis alle verstritten sind.


    Wir wollen bestimmt hier Spass haben, Informationen austauschen und gleichzeitig etwas dabei verdienen, darum geht es doch im Endeffekt.


    Wir sitzen alle in einen Boot es sei denn wir sitzen auf Fiat Dollars. :D



    Mfg


    XAX

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK
    BEGINNING NOVEMBER 7, 2005


    Short-Term Geocosmics:


    With other markets, we note that both precious metals and currencies (against the Dollar) fell hard last week. Gold is already in our first support area of 450 +/- 10. But I think Gold can even fall below 420, 8o which would start to look like a great buy for the longer-term. It would kick in our “Crisis Market” portfolio (convert U.S. Dollars to Gold and other currencies).


    The week will begin with a Sun-Mars-Neptune T-square on Monday. Psychologically, this implies a very passive-aggressive characteristic. The Sun-Mars wants to fight, and appear courageous. But the square to both from Neptune implies that such aggression would be foolish, especially given that Mars is retrograde (through December 10). Under such a configuration, acts of aggression usually result in losses or embarrassment. They are not well-advised. It terms of equity markets, this can also coincide with a short-term and possibly sharp reversal, lasting perhaps 2-8 trading days.


    Next weekend, Mercury will begin its retrograde motion, joining Mars as “appearing” to move backwards through the skies. The planet of sales and communications will be in retrograde motion through December 3. With both planets retrograde, technical areas of support and resistance may be almost a joke. The rule of the day is more likely to be fake-outs, where the market looks like it is going to take off or fail badly, only to reverse again 1-4 days later. On November 15, Uranus will end its retrograde motion and start moving direct again. With Mercury and Uranus both changing directions within a day of one another, we can expect a lot of volatility and short but sharp price swings. We can also anticipate some very bizarre and incredulous ideas to be proposed by world or business leaders, for these two “intellectual planets” are in square to one another, from the restless mutable sign types, no less. There are no boundaries to what people can think! But ask yourself: is there any practical sense to this? Probably not. And the same will be asked of financial markets: is there any practical sense why markets are doing what they are doing now, given the news stories? Probably not. This will not likely be a time in which logic or common sense is rewarded. Acts of kindness could give way to acts of insanity and exaggeration in the next two weeks (if they haven’t already). And that in turn may give way to acts of aggression (not advised!), as Mars will square Saturn (November 18 ) , with Saturn turning stationary direct on November 22 (very cold or very hot).


    But the biggest signature we need to keep in our view is Jupiter in waning trine to Uranus November 27. That signature alone may be enough to keep equity prices up, with several big rallies, probably into early December. This is a huge 14-year signature that has a 78% correlation to primary or greater cycles within just 8 trading days. It could be a top of great importance. The historical odds of it being a crest rather than a trough are 3:1.


    Ps. Ich denke mal bei solchen POG wie er jetzt schon ist sollten genug Kaeufer auftauchen die baldige Unterstuezung geben.

  • Juniors aus Kanada

    Edel Man


    Kann schon sein das ich es war mit der haelfte vom Tagesvolumen.
    Ich habe noch keine Abrechnung wie viel ich bezahlt habe,bestimmt mehr als der Abschlusskurs. Die Order war aktiv zu Marketpreis eine halbe Stunde nach opening. Egal , war nur eine Rosine und erster Einstieg in Sabina. Silbertaler hat die schon durchleutet das reichte mir auf die schnelle. Bin froh das ich in der Wirtschaft war und nicht zusehen musste wie Gold gepruegelt worden ist am Freitag Abend. Ich hatte keinen Buchverlust bei den GM und habe gut geschlafen trotz dem Auftritt von Warren der um Mitternacht seinen Muell im War Thread abladen wollte. Er ist nun im Dies und Das gelandet, unter der Abschied. :D
    Solche Trolls braucht man bestimmt nicht besonders an Tagen wo Gold gehaemmert wird.Der soll nun endgueltig auf seine Silverinfo Webseite bleiben und uns nicht weiter stoeren falls er es kapiert hat was ich und HW ihm auf den Weg mitgeteilt haben.

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    Edel Man


    Kann sein, egal doppelt haelt besser, der Bericht ist ja vom 27 September. Gold auf 565, ?( da sollte man Gewinnmitnahmen machen.
    Interessant nun zu vergleichen wie die Vorhersage von Mahendra war bis Freitag letzter Woche.


    PREDICTIONS FOR THIS WEEK: 31 OCTOBER TO 4 NOVEMBER


    GOLD


    Last week gold remained range bound. On Monday this week, it will trade weakly while it should be positive on Tuesday. On the other hand, Wednesday should give way to a mixed trend while falling on Thursday. Friday will once more have a mixed trend. :(


    Overall, planetary movements indicate more negative force and gold will therefore trade in the weak range.


    For this week, spot gold will trade in the range of $474.10 to $462.80. I don’t recommend any long position in gold even if a negative situation arises with Syria.
    (Es ging sogar auf 456.20) :(


    AVOID TRADING - Tuesday to Friday does not have positive planetary movements and I therefore advise that you remain out of the market. No day trading is recommended as whenever there are negative combinations I try to finish my pending work- I recommend that you likewise do the same. REDUCE POSITION IN ALL AREAS AND WE SHALL START TRADING AGGRESSIVELY FROM NEXT WEEK.


    SILVER


    This week you should avoid trading silver as I see major volatility on the way and prices may sharply fall on some occasions and strongly rise once again. I don’t see it trading above $7.95 and you should therefore trade accordingly. It may actually fall to $7.52, 8o but if it crosses $7.95 and trades above it for the first three days, then I shall give a new recommendation.


    PLATINUM/PALLADIUM/COPPER


    From this week, a negative period is starting for platinum, palladium and copper. For the last one month copper has been going down and bouncing back but not crossing $183.80 - that is a negative sign.


    TRADE CAREFULLY IN ALL METALS BECAUSE THE CURRENT TIME IS NOT VERY POSITIVE.


    TREASURY BOND


    This week the bond price should remain positive from Friday. I recommend gradual buying of the thirty year bond.


    STOCK MARKET


    The stock market remained weak in the previous week and I expect the same from Tuesday this week. The Indian market fell sharply and many other markets did the same. This week European and USA market should remain weak from Tuesday and should touch another quarterly low. Asian market may try to gain but they will also start losing battle against bear from Wednesday.


    OIL


    Last week recommended it buy for few weeks. I recommend that one avoids trading oil this week as prices will be very volatile. Even if they are stable, avoid trading oil and wait for my recommendation or alert.


    CURRENCIES


    The Dollar index has been trading range bound. It has been trading at a very important level with the financial community very closely watching all technical support and resistance levels. A big fight is going on and it will be quite interesting to see how the dollar triumphs over other currencies. All currencies will remain very volatile from Tuesday to Thursday and the dollar will finally rise strongly. Wait for next week as I shall also write on the future of the Euro.


    This week, the Australian dollar, Rand and other side currencies will move onto a downward trend. One should therefore trade accordingly. The Euro and Pound should also similarly fall sharply.


    Important note: Once again, let me say that the current week is not a positive one according to planetary movements. You should therefore trade cautiously or even no need to trade markets, currencies and commodities. This is also a good time to conclude all pending work or accounts.


    During this I am also expecting bad news for world financial market as well as related to all areas of it. I can hear the negative wave but unfortunately unable to see clearly, if get it; I will put it in alert.


    @ Insterburg


    No Problem, hier noch eine Bubble, ich bin so weit suedlich wie moeglich :D

  • Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    Ich habe mir gerade zwei Radio Interviews von Paul van Eeden und Lui Paquette auf Goldradio angehoert. Paul van Eden hat keine Idee wohin der Goldpreis nun geht da die Lager momentan geteilt sind. Er meint das die Goldinvestoren sich seelisch auf einen Preisrueckgang zwischen 430-440 USD einstellen sollte was aber nicht heisst das es nun zutrifft. Lui Paquette sagte das ein guter Support bei 450 liegt und dieser nun ganz wichtig ist. Ueberraschenderweise hat der HUI sich sehr gut gehalten letzte Woche, man sollte die 220 Grenze im Auge halten naechste Woche. Paul van Eeden hat auch Dr. Martin Murenbeeld erwaehnt der meisten bis auf einen Dollar genau den Goldpreis meistens vorrausgesagt hat fuer jedes Jahr. Ich habe hier einen link fuer Euch fuer seine Vorraussage/Analyse fuer 2006. Es ist eine PDF File die ihr erstmal runterladen muesst.


    http://www.murenbeeld.com/Down…50927-DenverGoldGroup.pdf


    Er glaubt an einen Durchschnitt von ca. 500 Dollar im Vergleich zu 462 von diesen Jahr. Verschiedene Scenarios: 381 -470- 565 USD


    Martin Murenbeeld hat auch einen Report von Oktober bezuglich anderen Voraussagen wie USD bis Maerz 2006 welcher ebenso lesenswert ist.
    Im Maerz 2006 sollte der USD/IDX wieder auf 83.85 sein und der Dollar/Euro bei 1.275. :)


    http://www.murenbeeld.com/Downloads/0510-EconomicMonitor.pdf



    Hier noch der Link fuer die Interviews von Lui und Paul.


    http://www.howestreet.com/goldradio/index.php



    Mfg


    XAX