Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    Sean Rakhimov


    May 4, 2005
    Editor: Silver Strategies


    Silver is correcting again after a run to last year's high at $8.30. There seems to be a general consensus among silver gurus and commentators alike (David Morgan, Doug Casey, Jim Dines and others) that silver price has broken out of its 20 year downturn. Since silver equities typically outperform the metal, investor interest is slowly being drawn to silver mining stocks, which for variety of reasons aside from the rising price of the metal, present a unique investment opportunity.
    We are at the dawn of a new era for silver ...(and other "things" vs. "paper")


    more.....at


    http://www.321gold.com/editori…himov/rakhimov050405.html

    6 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    'Where is bin Laden?'.... where is Bin Adabei ? :D


    05/05/2005 16:51



    Islamabad - Interrogators questioning al-Qaeda's reputed No 3, Abu Farraj al-Libbi, have been repeating the same two questions over and over again: "Where is bin Laden?" and "What were your plans?", a senior Pakistani intelligence official said on Thursday.
    Al-Libbi remained silent for hours after his capture this week before finally confessing his identity to his interrogators, whose findings were passed on to US officials, a second intelligence official told The Associated Press.


    "Only two questions are being asked, over and over, and in different shifts: 'Where is bin Laden?' and 'What were your plans?"' said the first official, who has intimate knowledge of the interrogation.


    No intelligence or government official would speak about the questioning of al-Libbi on the record.


    Al-Libbi was arrested on Monday after a gunbattle with security forces in northwestern Pakistan.


    Information minister Sheikh Rashid confirmed to The Associated Press on Thursday that al-Libbi was still in Pakistan's custody and that he was being questioned, but declined to give details.


    Two days after al-Libbi's arrest, security forces raided two homes in the northwestern tribal region of Bajor and arrested 11 terror suspects - three Uzbeks, an Afghan and seven Pakistanis.


    Another intelligence official said some al-Qaeda linked militants had also been arrested in another tribal region during the past week, but refused to give details.


    Meanwhile, security officials said on condition of anonymity that a junior air force technician, Mushtaq Ahmad, who was convicted and sentenced to death last year for involvement in the 2003 attacks on Musharraf has been recaptured after escaping custody in November. It wasn't clear where he was caught or when.


    The attacks were allegedly masterminded by al-Libbi, but a number of military personnel have also been implicated.


    Al-Libbi, who is thought to use at least five aliases, ranked below only Egyptian Ayman al-Zawahri and bin Laden himself in the terror group's hierarchy, US counter-terrorism officials said, speaking on condition of anonymity.


    Commandos seized al-Libbi along with another foreigner on Monday after a firefight outside Mardan, Pakistani officials said.


    The arrests were announced on Wednesday.


    The other suspect was not identified.


    Witnesses said that armed Pakistani agents - some disguised in burqas, the all-encompassing garment worn by women in conservative Islamic families - ambushed two men as they rode a motorbike across a dusty graveyard on the outskirts of Mardan amid an exchange of gunfire.


    The unidentifed suspect was arrested there, but al-Libbi fled to a nearby private guest house, where he tried to hide.


    "I am a jihadi. Police are after me!" witness Bakht Munir quoted him as saying in the local Pashto language before the Libyan was tracked down by the commandos, who smoked him out of the guest house with tear gas and then led him away.


    News24/AP

    3 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    Historically, once gold stocks have become as weak as they are now in relative to gold, an important bottom has been made and the ratio has begun to rally. The only exception in the past fifteen years was in 2001 when a major bear market low was made. But we aren't in a gold bear market, so such an event is extremely unlikely at this point. Gold would have to go to below 350 for that to happen and that is not going to happen. The shares of the producers are now actually cheap on a valuation basis.


    The divergence between the XAU and gold has reached an extreme level only seen four times in the past five years. Each time the divergence has reached this level, the XAU has put on rallies of at least 70% started within three weeks of the time of the divergence.


    Although the downside is very limited, we may not have seen THE low in the XAU yet. I still think that gold is going to fall and catch up with the gold stocks. However, at this point, the weakness in the gold stocks relative to gold should be at an end. Any further drop in gold should see gold falling at a faster rate than the gold stocks and it is that type of action that marks important bottoms in both. Yesterday the stocks rose while the metal ended down. The bottom is in sight. ?(


    http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/swanson050405.html

    Is The Gold Bull Market Over?


    By Nick Barisheff ?(


    In an April 28, 2005 news release, GFMS announced that the year-end price of gold could reach a 22 year high of US$500. With the price of precious metals in a trading range and mining stocks experiencing double digit declines this announcement comes as a surprise to many gold bugs and analysts. It is particularly noteworthy, since GFMS is notoriously conservative when it comes to predicting future gold price trends.


    Of even greater significance are the two main reasons behind GFMS’s position.


    First, GFMS states first that growing US deficits, a weakening US dollar and the prospect of a marked US economic slowdown will push up the market value of gold bullion this year and next. Ally that with an event driven rally in the oil price then gold heading for the $500 mark no longer looks fanciful. Second, the downside for the gold price is negligible. This is because of a “robust demand” for physical bullion, and an increased willingness on the part of investors to buy gold on price weakness.


    In its Gold Survey 2005, GFMS mentions several developments that together show an increasing interest in physical gold ownership.


    Gold coin fabrication rose 7.0 percent in 2004. :)
    Bar hoarding rose a whopping 38 percent in 2004. :))
    Producer de-hedging rose to record levels of just over 440 tonnes in 2004. :]
    Gold mine production fell by 5 percent. 8o
    Net official sector sales dropped 23 percent to a five-year low. :D
    Scrap gold supply fell to a three-year low of just 828 tonnes. ;)

    4 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    Hallo Eldorado,


    ich werde demnächst bei meinem Buchmacher eine Wette abschließen, ob Du Schwabenpfeil mit den Beiträgen überholen kannst. Gibt es hier eigentlich auch noch was in deutscher Sprache? Liest Du das ganze Zeug von Zeit zu Zeit, oder geht es dir nur darum, Beiträge zu sammeln? Ich denke, letzteres trifft zu. Armer Eldo... geh mal zum Psychiater!!!


    Grüsse


    Warren

    DEITSCH, JAWOI DEITSCH, aber wie kann ich das alles schreiben ?(


    ...Heisst Warren ?( und kann kein Englisch ? :D


    Schreib doch du weiter.......oder besser lerne Englisch in der Schule !
    Hoast mi, Oberlehrer Warren,fahr dir selber in den Karren ! :rolleyes:
    Du passt ja sehr gut zu deinen Avantar......hast wohl Duck on the Table mit F ausgesprochen und siehst jetzt so aus. :D
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Und ich distanziere mich von solchen Menschen wie Du....

    *** The biggest number of booms in 30 years sweeps over ???..a site of idiotic geniuses...****


    This information is provided by the USGS
    National Earthquake Information Center.
    (Address problems to: sedas@ghtmail.cr.usgs.gov)


    These parameters are preliminary and subject to revision.


    A magnitude 2.7 earthquake SOUTH OF MUNICH has occurred at:
    5.10N 82.34W Depth 1m Thu May 6th 00:28:53 2005


    Somebody farted again from http://www.silberinfo.de ! :D
    Nur in die falsche Richtung !!

    Le Metropole Members,


    Hans Schicht has served commentary at The
    Toulouse-Lautrec Table entitled, "Mightier than all
    the Nations."


    "After only a short interlude, Russia and the USA are
    again confronting one another. But with the difference
    that this time the stakes are higher than they were during
    the cold war. It is not just ideological strife. It is
    the basic hunger for energy and raw materials, needed for
    plain survival, which lies at the root the present conflict. Besides direct war, the odds favor Russia, being rich
    in oil and minerals."

    Warren


    Wie waere es mit Taliban ? :D
    Hast du noch keine Nachbarn ?(
    Manchen Deutschen kann man gar nichts Recht machen.
    Naja, das Bild von Dir beim Computer passt aber zu deinen Kommentar.
    Besser Du gehst zum Doctor,hast du vielleicht Minderwertigkeits Komplexe, erst Schwabenpfeil und jetzt Eldorado ??
    Wohl nur 1.62 gross ? :D Oder scheiss Vatertag hinter sich ?


    Gruss von Fallujah


    B A

    darkjedi


    Ob dein bild nun die Rettung ist ? (bei nummer 12 gibt es wieder stoerungen).....
    Ich will mich bestimmt nicht nochmal wiederholen.
    Gegen Krebs hilft auch kein Rueckzug, es ist leider immer das selbe in diesen thread speziell. Da faengt sogar meine Festplatte an zu brummen wenn ich manche kommentare anklicke. Ich glaube es ist besser ich schone mehr meiner Computer und lasse andere nun rumhacken. Ausserdem soll das Forum nicht kaputt gehen,das wuede die Konkurenz sicherlich freuen.


    Alles Gute and good luck to all who hate me ! :D

    2 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    Einsicht ist der erste Weg zur Besserung, allerdings die worte hör ich wohl, allein mir fehlt der Glaube.
    Eldo, auch wenn es jetzt ein Schock für Dich ist, ich kann das Board nicht retten auch nicht mit dem Bild, da ich nicht an Selbstüberschätzung leide.


    Ich hab extra ein Buntes rausgesucht , weil Du ja offensichtlich auf bunte Pix stehst. Mit Zahlen wollte ich dich nicht überfordern.


    Glück auf

    Meine Annahme dass der Goldpreis irgendwann sein historisches Hoch knackt und sogar übertrifft basierte rein auf der Betrachtung des Goldpreises.
    Was dann 800US$ noch wert sind steht natürlich auf einer anderen Seite.


    Meine Marschroute wird daher sein, mindestens 65% meiner GM-Bestände (so ca. ab 600US$/Oz.) sukzessive in steigende Notierungen hinein zu verkaufen und in physisches Gold und Silber zu tauschen. Ab einem gewissen Zeitpunkt steigt nämlich nur noch der Gold/-Silberpreis und die Minen nicht mehr (wenn man auf die historischen Kursmuster schaut). Das wäre dann Phase 3 der Hausse die wir uns alle erhoffen.

    Zitat

    Original von darkjedi
    Einsicht ist der erste Weg zur Besserung, allerdings die worte hör ich wohl, allein mir fehlt der Glaube.
    Eldo, auch wenn es jetzt ein Schock für Dich ist, ich kann das Board nicht retten auch nicht mit dem Bild, da ich nicht an Selbstüberschätzung leide.


    Ich hab extra ein Buntes rausgesucht , weil Du ja offensichtlich auf bunte Pix stehst. Mit Zahlen wollte ich dich nicht überfordern.


    Glück auf


    Schocken tut mich gar nichts mehr hier,ich kenne mittlerweile die meisten ""Pappenheimer"", egal ob in farbe oder schwarz-weiss.
    Deren Zahlen sind leicht zu berechnen,dass kannst Du mir glauben.


    RETTE DAS BOARD, ABER VON LEUTEN DIE HIER NUR AERGER MACHEN WOLLEN......

Schriftgröße:  A A A A A