Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

    frr


    Thanks also for the great link to media Jim Puplava, I'm busy listening with a smile while I type and it's great Info what's going on and makes you wonder. How bizarre ! ?(


    The big picture:
    http://www.netcastdaily.com/fsnewshour.htm ;)
    I can believe it, its different to CNBC ! :D
    The US economy is rolling over.
    2006-2007 we'll smile all the way to the bank with gold in our hands.


    Have a nice weekend


    Cheers


    Eldo



    I would love to see the same doing with Bush. :D
    What a humiliation !
    The Russians and Chinese will stop them controlling the oil and the world, somehow.
    What an arrogant Nation on the way to their own selfdestruction.
    More bombers and inflated bubbles. A time bomb !!
    All I know buddy is when the shit hits the fan, the peasant will take the gold. It's very close to it 3-6 month we'll see who was right or wrong.



    More Saddam (Bush) pics released


    21/05/2005 12:59



    Baghdad - A British tabloid published more revealing photographs of Saddam Hussein in United States custody on Saturday, a day after it ran a front-page picture of the former Iraqi leader naked except for his underwear.


    Some Iraqis expressed anger, but US President George W Bush said he did not think the images would incite further anti-American sentiment. :D


    The new pictures published in The Sun including one of Saddam seen through barbed wire wearing a white robe-like garment, and another of Ali Hassan al-Majid, better known as "Chemical Ali," in a bathrobe and holding a towel.


    Alongside Saddam's photo in Saturday's editions, The Sun ran pictures of a man and woman. They were identified as al-Majid, who faces charges for his role in poison gas attacks against Iraq's Kurdish minority, and Huda Salih Mahdi Ammash, a biotech researcher dubbed "Mrs Anthrax," who got her nickname for her alleged role in trying to develop bio-weapons for Saddam.



    ??..

    We're dealing with probabilities, which hardly get any more clear.


    Siehst Du den Wald vor Bäumen nicht,
    so sind alle Prognosen des N. zu vergessen!
    Ebenso wie seine "snide" remarks, die scheinbar
    nur den Autor belustigen.


    Sour grapes from the source - and have a great
    weekend all - frr

    frr

    Kann sein das die ganzen ETF's und Gold's ein riesen Beschiss werden in der Zukunft. Falls der Staat Gold beschlagnahmt sind die am ersten dran.
    Ich halte lieber physisch als ein papier claim. Ich habe zwar ein paar aber ich traue der sache nicht ganz, wieder ein versprechen, sonst nichts.
    Wer weiss ob die wirklich 100% gedeckt sind ???... Der Bande traue ich alles zu, Amigos.

    9 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    Seems that way - as only the Central Fund of Cda moves according to its underlying price - yes, you bet the POG!


    Much more to the point -and I only can quote excerpts is "The Privateer" in his latest Gold this Week:


    We are fully aware that these are trying times for nearly everyone, and especially for those reading this analysis. We understand the anger and frustration that has been expressed to us by many subscribers (both Privateer and Gold This Week subscribers) in recent weeks. It is indeed galling watching those who are making an economic silk purse out of a worn out sow's ear seem to get away with it yet again.


    Politics and economics are indivisible. Gold is, as we state at the top of this page, the POLITICAL METAL. The more twisted the politics becomes, the more twisted the economics becomes. The more that happens, the more Gold reacts as an reverse barometer. Have you ever noticed that the "price" of Gold seldom if ever rises when it "should" be falling, but it very often falls when it SHOULD be rising? Have you ever noticed that the reverse is the case with most if not all "paper based" assets?


    The "numbers game" has always been an integral part of all interventionist economic systems. They form the "Potemkin villages" erected by Central Bankers and Treasurers - the false fronts behind which REAL life becomes more and more at variance with the "official" state of affairs. In such circumstances, the most important thing one can do is to keep one's gaze firmly fixed on what is REALLY going on. The times when it is hardest to face facts is precisely the time when it is most difficult to find any in the "information" being presented by government.


    That's how this numbers game works. It has broken out this month in all its "glory".



    Re-read Frank Barbera, Rob Kirby; GATA and a host of guys not buying what your mainstream is spewinfg forth.


    frr - ist einigermassen gefestigt, um auch eventuelle Angriffe von der Flanke - a la Nostradamus entgegnen zu können.


    Wos solls, de Deppen werdn a no afwochen, oder? Jo hearst, des was i net, oba wemas probiern werns scho no draufkemma, das wirkli folsch liagn - die Deppn.
    Moanst nit das de z'deppert san. Mei, sho, oba nur bis um ir oagens Gerstl geht! Geh weida, moanst des wirkli - na, net i probier mir aussizurechna wia i mit a Inflation leben ko, de mir die Koschten fur mei
    Bier und mein BMW aussedividieren.
    Konns des sei? Mei Komputer is allewei guat gnua um net murgen an neuchen za brauchen und za wos brauch i an SUV. Saffen tua i selba und Sport betreib i a.


    Wos glabst wüfül Mass i stemm and Weisswürstl i vatrag - ja da schaust , oba Du hast jo ka Ohnung dass des Oktoberfest af da Wisn
    a Ablafdatum hat.


    Mass für MASS, wer sich's leisten kann ... got gold?


    Wieder ein Fragezeichen - frog den frog - oida oder los mi anglehnt!

    frr

    Interesting Interviews in English( Multi Media) at:


    http://www.howestreet.com/fbn/index.php


    A gateway to financial news and Gold Radio.


    I liked a lot the Interviews of:


    Dr.Marc Faber (Swiss) ....A must watch ! http://www.howestreet.com/fbn/…161cc8eab78313c2adade1f1f


    Lou Paquette z.B. (Goldmarket) http://www.howestreet.com/fbn/interview.php?fbnId=52


    Ian Gordon (Kontratieff Waves & Winter) http://www.howestreet.com/fbn/interview.php?fbnId=53


    Worth to watch and listen guys. ;)


    Gruss


    Eldorado

    8 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    http://www.goldmoney.com/en/commentary.php#current


    Interessant auch Frank Veneroso zu dem Thema. Immerhin betreut Frank einen neuen Goldfond deutscher Provinienz mit ca. 100 Mio Dollar ausgestattet. Sein hauptanlagegebiet - Juniors in Nevada


    Reg Howe und Mike Bolser analysieren die jüngsten BIZ Zahlen für Goldderivative, die um rund 16% im 2. HJ 2004 von 318 auf 369 Mrd. $ angestiegen sind. Und dies trotz de-hedging von rd. 250 Tonnen der Goldproduzenten in diesem Zeitraum.


    Der physische Goldmarkt ist besser denn je; Kein Wunder, da insbesonders Indien und Fernost alles was angeboten wird aufnehmen.
    Wenn wir in der EU und in den aufwachen werden wir wesentlich höhere Preise bezahlen, zumal die BIZ Zahlen auf einen rapiden Ausverkauf der westlichen Goldreserven hindeuten.


    Gold - get you some ...

    frr

    Guten Morgen, (glaube nicht fuer Gold) :(


    Leider habe ich keine guten Nachrichten fuer die Goldbugs.


    Ich habe heute folgende Prediction erhalten,nennen wir es erstmal ein Geruecht bis es eintrifft. Meine Theorie waere somit falsch das Gold die 415 Dollar haelt, was der HUI macht sehen wir noch. Die Gefahr besteht fuer weitere 10% runter. Der Dollar bleibt weiterhin stark in dieser Woche und erreicht ein neues Jahreshoch.
    Die Wahl in Deutschland und das Referendum in Frankreich am 29.Mai tragen dazu bei. Der Fed wird die Zinsen bis 5% hochschrauben danach bricht der Dollar ein.
    Falls China in die Enge gezwungen wird werden sie ihre Dollars und T-Bonds auf den Markt werfen und der Schaden ist dann enorm fuer USA.
    Die meisten Asiatischen Waehrungen sind unterbewertet gegenueber dem USD. Der Singapore Dollar z.B wird in der Zukunft steigen.
    Es ist keine Utopie das Der Singapore Dollar gleichstand mit dem Dollar erreicht in wenigen Jahren.


    Die meisten Leser wissen woher die Prediction kommt darum lasse ich sie nicht in den selben Text und schreibe es nur kurz ohne den Autor zu aergern und gebe sie Euch gratis egal wie wertvoll diese ist.


    Gold:


    Diese Woche soll angeblich die low trading range zwischen 408.70 - 412.20 USD liegen , nach oben max. 418.50 Dollar.
    Im Juni sollte es besser aussehen aber dann kommt leider ein weiterer Tsunami fuer Gold.


    Innerhalb 3-9 Monaten trading zwischen 375 - 441 USD 8o
    Momentan waere das der Durchschnittskurs von 408 Dollar.
    Ich befuerchte die 375 USD koennen bis mitte August erreicht werden durch Dollarstaerke und weiteren Manipulationen, danach gehts auf die 441 USD bis ca. 2005/2006. Bis der Boden unter 400 erreicht ist sollte man Cash halten und dann zuschlagen.


    Der Dow beginnt bald die grosse Talfahrt bei 10.000 und kann GM Aktien kurzfristig mit runter ziehen.


    In den naechsten 2-5 Jahren steht Gold zwischen 1000 - 1200 USD


    Suedafrika GM sind jetzt am steigen da der Rand nun seinen Abstieg macht.
    Die kann/sollte man jetzt kaufen und sollten den jetzigen Kurs trotz Goldschwaeche mindestens halten.


    Silber:


    Kurzfristig sind 6.75 - 6.54 USD nach unten moeglich.
    Innerhalb wenigen Wochen von diesen Wert kommt ein grossen Aufstieg und Silber kann innerhalb drei Jahren ca. 18-27 Dollar erreichen.


    Vielleicht sollte man in wenigen Tagen seine Silberposition erhoehen und erst viel spaeter ca. Fruehjahr 2006 zusaetzlich Gold/Aktien kaufen.
    Die Vorhersage ueber Gold hat mich geschockt , ich nehme sie zur Kenntniss und verhalte mich dementsprechend.


    ....So schön der kurzfristige Erfolg auch ist, im Endeffekt zählt nur, was langfristig unter dem Strich übrig bleibt."
    Gregor Gielen



    Gruss


    Eldorado

    23 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    Frr hat einen link reingelegt,der geht aber nur als member von LMC.
    Ich erlaube mir diesen reinzulegen wen es nicht interessiert der kann ihn ja ueberfliegen. In einen anderen Interview mit Dr.Marc Faber sagte dieser Mann man sollte nicht Goldmuenzen und Barren in den USA horten sondern er empfehlt eher die Schweiz,Singapore, und speziell in Indien weil man dort Gold am wenigsten beschlagnahmt im Fall einer Krise. Also seid vorsichtig wo ihr Euer Gold lagert, man weiss nie was der Staat damit machen will.
    Laut Faber's Meinung erreicht der Goldpreis mit Dow Jones Index und S&P 500 einen Gleichstand innerhalb von 10 Jahren,momentan sollte man auf Cash sitzen fuer einen Zeitraum von ca. 6 Monaten und erst dann in Gold einsteigen fuer die naechsten 5-7 Jahre.


    Professor von Braun
    The Rocket School of Economics.
    May 21, 2005


    Since 1932 the US dollar, currently the pre-eminent reserve currency of nearly all central banks, has been losing purchasing power, estimated by some as being as much as 95%, or put another way what cost a $1.00 in 1932 now needs $19.00 to acquire. From a purchasing power point of view it has already collapsed. During that 73 year period much has happened when it comes to financial markets, currencies, debt, taxes and the concept of wealth.


    The actuality of a currency that was redeemable in gold and or silver by the issuer of the paper notes is of course, long gone. Ownership of gold by U.S. citizens was outlawed on April 5, 1933 when President Roosevelt issued an executive order "forbidding the hoarding of gold coin, gold bullion and gold certificates." This made it a felony to own the metal punishable by a fine of up to $10,000 or 10 years imprisonment. Gold was handed in and the holders received $20.67 per ounce. President Roosevelt issued a proclamation under the Gold Reserve Act on January 31, 1934 permanently ‘fixing’ the price of gold at $35 per ounce, a substantial increase on the price paid to ‘citizens’ who had, several months earlier been forced to return their gold for a lesser price.


    President Nixon’s decision to activate the right given earlier by Congress and remove the US off an international gold standard on August 15, 1971 ended the convertibility of the dollar by foreign holders into gold and set free US central bankers to essentially issue as much paper as they thought necessary


    What is often overlooked is that, as of January 1, 1975, when private ownership by US citizens of gold was allowed, the U.S. dollar indirectly went back onto a gold standard, though that return was only partial due to legal tender laws. Nonetheless, the option for individual U.S. citizens to convert paper currency to physical metal and take delivery had, after 42 years, been restored. Obviously, as gold is priced in US dollars the holders of these dollars now had the ability to convert them into a gold instrument, either coin or bullion and once again become "hoarders" if they so wished.


    For several years after that date the ‘price’ of gold increased dramatically as commodity inflation ruled the day, culminating in January of 1980 in the mid $800’s.


    Since that time we have witnessed the expansion of financial markets to a degree never seen before. Asset inflation has been taking place at a very rapid rate, with the Federal Reserve printing ‘money’ – essentially swapping paper for paper, IOU’s for IOU’s, creating the appearance of ‘value’ merely by inflating prices by creating more IOU’s.


    The perceived value of an individual’s assets has of course risen dramatically during this period with hardly a market being missed out. Stock prices, house prices, gas prices, new car prices, art prices, meal prices, education prices, medical costs, etc, all have risen in either value or cost.


    In fact the ‘value’ of these increased assets is not dissimilar from the decline in the purchasing power of the instrument used to denominate them. In other words, as the quoted price of something goes up it appears to be nearly the exact opposite of the decrease in the purchasing power of the instrument used to transact business. While the individual may have more of the ‘units’, effectively the purchasing power has decreased to the same degree that the value of the asset has increased.


    After August 15, 1971, when, as previously mentioned, the US dollar was no longer convertible into gold, a decision that followed the ongoing redemption of large amounts of US $’s (IOU’s) for bullion by the French, Italian, Dutch and German banking systems (from 1950 through to 1973 official US gold reserves decreased by 11000 tonnes, most of which ended up in Europe) the US was now able to run what President de Gaulle’s economic advisor, Jacques Rueff had called the ‘deficit without tears."


    In other words, a deficit could be maintained with no accountability since there no longer was anything to convert the dollars into other than to deposit them with US banks, which is where they came from. The recipients of these dollars were basically stuck with them and that is the situation today. The only way to maintain this rather neat trick is to continue to inflate assets via the creation of more paper ad infinitum. As long as the illusion of wealth in the form of rising asset prices is maintained via the process of re-inflation and every major central bank agrees to play the game, then obviously given the rise in value in recent years of assets denominated in dollars, it works very well.


    It should come as no surprise that the gold market has been manipulated during this period, as the entire asset inflation game is a manipulation in its own right, designed to maintain the illusion of wealth, while producing little of value and gold can not be excluded.


    What is worthy of note is that the gold price today has also increased from 1932 by a factor similar to the decrease in the purchasing power of the dollar, about 20 fold actually, which suggests a constant at work here, albeit an often unrecognized one. When it comes to gold and currencies one could well ask the question, "which came first, the chicken or the egg?’ Or perhaps, more precisely, it might be useful to ask "Which is the chicken and which is the egg?"


    The convertibility ratio of the dollar into gold remains similar to what it was in the early 1930’s from a purchasing power perspective, in spite of obvious attempts to remove it from the role as the benchmark by which all currencies are measured. Obviously there have been fluctuations in both the value of the dollar and the quoted price of gold but gold, unlike paper currencies, can’t become other than what it is.


    The one big advantage it has is this simple fact, that gold is gold and it never will be anything else. Gold is not a promise to pay a promise to pay. The value, when compared to the purchasing power of the dollar has remained relatively constant for 72 years (since 1933 when gold ownership by an individual was illegal) and during the 34 years (since 1971 when the US went off the gold standard) that the now unconstrained US $ has been the financial world’s pre-eminent reserve currency. Indeed gold’s value has been constant over millennia; a well known example being today’s cost of a serviceable man’s suit compared to a Roman outfitting expense; an ounce of gold.


    Today citizens of the U.S., along of course with the rest of the world, have the ability to go neutral on the dollar and hold gold as a hedge against a collapsing or depreciating currency.


    Recently there has been much chatter about the imminent collapse of the US dollar, as well as talk of other Central Banks diversifying there reserves into something other than US dollars. Warren Buffet has been short the dollar, as have other notable holders of US dollar denominated assets. These assets are of course the same ones that have risen in value as a result of the aggressive asset inflation scheme led by the Federal Reserve and now adopted by most Western nations. It should not be surprising that rising real estate prices are common to the countries involved, while stocks are, since 2000 a tad more subdued and not as volatile to the upside.


    Real estate is of course the deadlier manipulation as there are more participants, home owners and would be home owners than there are participants in the stock market and they all need a roof over their heads after all. It should not be a surprise that the current real estate boom follows the heady days of Nasdaq at 5000+, as the bankers needed something to keep the asset inflation game going and homeowners generally have reliable cashflow from income, although that too is getting pushed to the limit.


    What is surprising is the idea that other Central Bank’s can diversify into something other than the US dollar as a reserve, when the dollar already constitutes 70% of the reserves of all other Central Banks. What would they diversify into? By holding dollars they can’t redeem they too have been locked into the asset inflation game which has to continue for it to continue. The concept of going neutral on the dollar is not an alternative they have.


    Could the Bank of Japan diversify? Could the ECB diversify? Diversify into what one has to ask, since they are all holding US dollars as a large percentage of their reserves, who would buy them?


    One answer I have heard from a well known dollar bear is that they would buy gold. From whom I asked? How could a Central Bank convert $100 Billion of reserves into gold, which even at today’s prices equates to approximately 8000 tonnes of physical metal? It is an impossibility, since a) the metal is not available and b) who would be the buyers for the US $. If the US still has its reported 8000 tonnes of gold reserves, how could it, with gold at $420 an ounce, go back to redeeming dollars for gold, given the trillion dollar numbers of debt instruments out there?

    7 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

    Sunday, May 22, 2005, 11:27:00 PM EST


    Jim’s Mail Box


    Hi Jim:


    I thought I would turn the tables on the “expert pundits” who never seem to weary of extolling the wisdom and supposed superiority of the commercial category of traders when it comes to being on the correct side of the market.


    Time after time these past few years, we have been treated to the comments of those who should know better, that when it comes to the gold market, the “smart” commercials, who continue to amass huge net short positions on each leg upward in the gold price, are always right and the speculators who are long are always overloaded on the long side and are wrong. Of course such punditry is a lot like so much of modern-day technical analysis in that it is self fulfilling prophecy which increasingly is becoming disconnected from fundamental reality.


    Take a look at the following chart I put together from the COT data on the dollar index beginning in 2001 and including the most recent data through Tuesday of this past week.


    You will notice that the “savvy” and always correct commercial category (I am of course being facetious here) have used this most recent bear market rally in the U.S. Dollar to build the largest net short position they have held for at least 4 years. The speculators on the other hand have managed to build the largest combined net long position for the same period. In other words, we have a classic setup of commercials entirely on one side of the market against the speculators who are entirely on the opposite side of the market - and both camps with sizeable positions at that.


    If we follow conventional wisdom, we can predict that the dollar is being set up for a hard fall as the entire spec community is overwhelming bullish and has become so in a matter of less than 2 months. Well, here’s a chance for the “experts” to take a dose of their own medicine. Let’s see whether or not we hear the same clarion calls for a top in the dollar and talk about the overextended spec long position as we inevitably hear about gold.


    This also calls for a comment. I am still reading punditry from “experts” who continue to talk about the overwhelmingly bearish attitude towards the dollar that exists out there as reason for the continuance of the dollar rally from a contrarian standpoint. I am not sure what these whiz kids are smoking, but any claim that global dollar sentiment is bearish is completely and utterly preposterous based on the data detailed in this chart.


    Let me change gears a moment and get a bit less sarcastic and simply state what is obvious from looking at this chart – dollar sentiment has shifted to an almost overwhelming bullishness among speculators who continue to run after the dollar and chase it higher and higher as we now observe the effects of today’s generation of pure momentum trading. Meanwhile, the commercial camp is meeting every bit of spec buying with increased sales at subsequently higher and higher levels.


    Eventually the spec buying is going to wane and upward momentum will slow. At that point, somewhere, somehow, from some quarter, something is going to precipitate a barrage of selling as specs look to book profits before the next guy does and they begin to trip over each other in an attempt to find the exit sign. When that occurs, the selling will begin to feed on itself and seeing that it is coming from such high levels and huge position sizes, we will see a swift and hard fall in the dollar.


    Gold will take its cue from the dollar cascade lower and will rip violently upward forcing the new spec shorts that have been put on at these low levels in that market to run for cover and in the process giving them a painful lesson in selling weakness in gold.


    Very best



    Gruss
    Eldorado

    Einmal editiert, zuletzt von Eldorado ()

Schriftgröße:  A A A A A