Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

aber waves ist doch eine welle oder?

.

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/chan/chan090205.html

02.09.2005 - 12:43

SILBER - "Fulminantes Comeback!"

http://www.godmode-trader.de/)


Silber: 7,03 $ pro Feinunze

Aktueller Wochenchart (log) seit 08.08.2004 (1 Kerze = 1 Woche)

Kurz-Kommentierung: SILBER macht den bärischen Ausbruch der letzten Woche wieder komplett rückgänging und erobert die zentrale Horizontalunterstützung bei 6,80 - 6,84 $ und die Dreiecksunterkante bei 6,94 $ wieder zurück. Im bisherigen heutigen Verlauf übersteigt Silber sogar wieder wichtige GDL auf Tages- und Wochenbasis. Die aktuelle Wochenkerze ist unter dem Aspekt eines sauberen "False Break" als extrem bullisch zu werten. Damit wechselt das mittelfristig Chartbild wieder auf bullisch. Das kurzfristig noch neutrale Bild wird mit dem Überschreiten der Widerstandszone des Abwärtstrend seit Juni 2005 bei 7,09 $ und dem Horizontalwiderstand bei 7,12 - 7,15 $ wieder bullisch. Kurzfristig ist mit einer Korrektur spätestens an besagter Widerstandszone zu rechnen. Negativ zu werten wäre ein Rückfall unter 6,80 $.

Crimex is back from Holiday

Well, if gold is truly in a generational bull market, eventually they will be right.

The floor for the gold price is $420 to $425'' an ounce, Walker told the gold investment conference.
``At these prices, jewelry demand is very robust.''

Ich sage er ist nun bei 430 USD.

XAX

THIN ASIANS AND FAT AMERICANS

By Eric J. Fry

Thin Asians and Fat Americans crowded into Disneyland last
Thursday, along with your editor and his conspicuously lean
family. Each of us ponied up $76 apiece to enter the
"Happiest Place on Earth." The food was not included, of
course...But that did not prevent either the thin Asians or
the fat Americans from consuming lots of it.

In one particular eatery, we observed a diverse crowd of
"thins" and "fats" chowing down the identical fat-laden
grub. As your editor surveyed this scene, he imagined he
was witnessing an epic shift in global consumption trends –
a shift from West to East.

Even if we Americans tried to stuff more junk into our
over-stuffed bodies and homes, we could not possibly keep
up with the Chinese. Since the Chinese outnumber us four-
to-one, and since the Chinese economy is growing more than
twice as fast as ours, the Asian nation is certain to
overtake U.S. demand for many of the world's resources.

As present, Americans represent only 5% of the world's
population, but consume 26% of its resources. Purveyors of
consumption, therefore, have prospered handsomely in the
America of the last forty years - McDonalds and Disneyland
being two notable examples. But we would expect the next
forty years to belong to the purveyors of consumption in
China.

"Disneyland, like so much of America, is about consuming
more than we need," observes Joel Beers in a witty "OC
Weekly" column. "Anywhere in America is a perfect place to
view the chunky, plump, rotund, stout and robust. But
there are few places where you can witness the truly
elephantine, corpulent, distended and gargantuan.
Disneyland is one of them. Anyone who has hung out at the
park can attest to this fact: fat people are all over Walt
Disney's bucolic division of long-lost America."

Disneyland, of course, does not discriminate against any
guests, regardless of their nationality or socio-economic
standing or weight or cholesterol count. To the contrary,
Beers believes, the park actually attracts a
disproportionately large percent of disproportionately
large tourists. The reason, he theorizes, is that the
implicit biases of the classic Disney stories project a
fat-friendly ethos.

"The happiest of the Seven Dwarfs is, duh, Happy. He's
also the fattest," Beers writes. "The skinniest of the
dwarfs is Dopey. He's also borderline retarded. Few Disney
villains are as dastardly as the dog-napping Cruella De Vil
or the terrible witch in Sleeping Beauty. They're also
emaciated anorexics. Meanwhile, few characters are as
lovable as the Jungle Book's Baloo, Dumbo or that honey-
guzzling, potbellied Pooh Bear named Winnie. Clearly, in
Walt Disney's wonderful world of imagination, thin is evil
and manipulative...Fat and lumpy, meanwhile, is lovable
warm goodness incarnate."

When Disneyland opened for business in the summer of 1955,
it featured 19 attractions and a family of four could walk
in for less than five-dollar bill. The present-day
Disneyland features many more attractions and costs about
60 times more money to visit.

"But one thing," Beers relates, "has stayed eerily
consistent: the grub. Although the original park has
expanded greatly, there are still only six more places to
eat. And the food offered in 1955 is still, by and large,
the food offered now: hot dogs, hamburgers, fries, candy,
ice cream, fried chicken, cookies, sugar-saturated soft
drinks, potato chips."

Disney-style junk-food may not have changed much over the
last 50 years, but we Americans are eating more of it than
ever. Over the last 35 years, the average American woman's
daily intake of calories rose from 1,542 to 1,877 and the
average American man's from 2,450 to 2618.

Not surprisingly, therefore, the "fats" are getting fatter.
"In 1963," Beers notes, "the Center for Disease Control
reported that 44.8 percent of the American population was
overweight. In 2000, that number had risen to 65.2
percent. In 1963, 13 percent of Americans were obese; in
2000 it was 31 percent. In 1970, 4.5 percent of American
children were overweight; in 2002 it was 15.8 percent."

And yet, we continue to consume ever-growing quantities of
everything - from Big Macs to SUVs to home-equity loans.
Clearly, we cannot help ourselves. Nothing short of an AA-
style "intervention" could halt our over-consumption. But
even as we try to gorge ourselves, we cannot possibly keep
up with Chinese consumption trends.

In 2002, for example, the US consumed more copper than any
other nation. China now claims that distinction. Then, last
year, China consumed twice as much steel as the U.S. The
Chinese have also become conspicuously large oil consumers.
World oil demand since 1988 is up 25%, but Chinese demand
has rocketed 175% over the same time frame. Looked at
another way, China's absolute consumption has risen more
than the US since 1998. American consumption grew by 3.08
million barrels a day while China's grew by 3.98 million
barrels a day. China now consumes more oil than Japan, 7.6%
of the world total compared with 7.4% for the world's
second largest economy.

The increasingly prosperous Asian nation has also become a
voracious consumer of agricultural products. While we add
calories to our diets, the Chinese are adding protein, a
phenomenon that drives demand for poultry products, for
example. The recent successes of Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM)
illustrates the trend.

"Thanks partly to China," the Economist notes, "Yum! is
making about two-fifths of its operating profits outside
America, up from one-fifth in 1998...With 1,378 KFC
restaurants in China, and 201 Pizza Huts at mid-2005, Yum!
owns two of the best-known brand names in the world's most
populous market." Business is booming, which is why the
company is on pace to open about one new restaurant per DAY
in China.

The feeding (and fattening) of America over the last three
decades contributed mightily to the prosperity of companies
like McDonalds. History is in the process of repeating
itself: the feeding (and fattening) of China will provide
opportunities for innumerable companies. The appetite of
1.3 billion individuals is not easily satisfied.

Zum mitsingen: Precious Metal Music

"History Repeats Again"

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/dore/dore090205.html

The US Dollar Index: The Bear Market Rally should be over!
Follow-up No. 6/September 2, 2005

The short-term picture certainly reveals a change of sentiment. My mid-August, the US Dollar Index had in fact fallen to less then 87 points from where a rather feeble counter-movement got under way which ended at 89 points.

Once the Index falls through the 87 point level and stays there, it will take likely drop to the 84 point level.

Major support can be found around the lows of the beginning of the year.

"After analysing many other indicators, we conclude that the dollar cannot sustain this surge - in our opinion, it is just a bear-market rally.", we said on June 20 and added: "We think that it wise at this stage to take profit if you are long. If you are short, remain so even if you need courage to go against the flow."

For the time being, we would remains short.

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/zihlmann090205.html

Plus a Radio Interview with Lou Paquette about Gold:
Er erklaert was passiert ist letzte Woche und wie er die Situation fuer die naechsten Wochen sieht. Vorsicht und Geduld ist angesagt, die Specs haben eventuell noch nicht ihre Positionen abgebaut. Er glaubt das die naechste Woche sehr volotile wird, er ist long mit Gold. Was machen nun die Shorts naechste Woche ?
Battle week, for sure !

http://www.howestreet.com/goldradio/interview.php?audioId=93

Bob Hopper mit seinen Mining Report:
Mit David Bond, der ebenso erklaert was mit Gold und Silber passiert ist in den letzten Wochen.

http://www.silverminers.com/pu…ns/M%20&%20M%20REPORT.mp3