Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

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    Zitat

    Original von Aladin
    Crimex is back from Holiday


    Mal sehen.
    Wäre ja nicht so unlogisch, wenn erst mal Gewinne für das lange weekend dort glattgestellt würden.

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    Bei Bloomberg!
    ...............................
    Gold May Climb to $500 an Ounce Within Six Months, GFMS Says


    Sept. 2 (Bloomberg) -- The gold price may rise as high as $500 an ounce over the next six months as investors sell U.S. assets, said Paul Walker, chief executive of GFMS Ltd., a London- based precious-metals research company.


    ``The U.S. is in some serious trouble,'' Walker said today in an interview on the sidelines of a gold investment conference in Cape Town, South Africa. ``The real kicker for gold over the next six to 12 months is the dollar.''


    The price of bullion has surged 43 percent in the past three years. Gold gained $2.90, or 0.7 percent, to $446.15 an ounce at 10:38 a.m. in London.


    Rising energy prices may slow U.S. growth and boost the precious metal's appeal as a haven investment. The dollar headed for its biggest weekly loss in four against the euro.


    ``The floor for the gold price is $420 to $425'' an ounce, Walker told the gold investment conference. ``At these prices, jewelry demand is very robust.''


    Gold production in South Africa, the world's largest producer, is expected to decline this year as increased production costs and the strength of the rand against the dollar makes some mines unviable, Walker said.


    ``In 2005, we are on track to lose 50 tons of production,'' said Walker. Total production is likely to fall to under 300 tons this year, he added.


    South African gold output in 2004 was 342.7 tons, the lowest since 1931.


    To contact the reporter on this story:
    Mike Cohen in Cape Town at mcohen21@bloomberg.net


    Last Updated: September 2, 2005 05:55 EDT


    Click Here
    ©2005 Bloomberg L.P.

  • The floor for the gold price is $420 to $425'' an ounce, Walker told the gold investment conference.
    ``At these prices, jewelry demand is very robust.''
    :P


    Ich sage er ist nun bei 430 USD.


    XAX

    2 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Aladin ()

  • THIN ASIANS AND FAT AMERICANS


    By Eric J. Fry


    Thin Asians and Fat Americans crowded into Disneyland last
    Thursday, along with your editor and his conspicuously lean
    family. Each of us ponied up $76 apiece to enter the
    "Happiest Place on Earth." The food was not included, of
    course...But that did not prevent either the thin Asians or
    the fat Americans from consuming lots of it.


    In one particular eatery, we observed a diverse crowd of
    "thins" and "fats" chowing down the identical fat-laden
    grub. As your editor surveyed this scene, he imagined he
    was witnessing an epic shift in global consumption trends –
    a shift from West to East.


    Even if we Americans tried to stuff more junk into our
    over-stuffed bodies and homes, we could not possibly keep
    up with the Chinese. Since the Chinese outnumber us four-
    to-one, and since the Chinese economy is growing more than
    twice as fast as ours, the Asian nation is certain to
    overtake U.S. demand for many of the world's resources.


    As present, Americans represent only 5% of the world's
    population, but consume 26% of its resources. Purveyors of
    consumption, therefore, have prospered handsomely in the
    America of the last forty years - McDonalds and Disneyland
    being two notable examples. But we would expect the next
    forty years to belong to the purveyors of consumption in
    China.


    "Disneyland, like so much of America, is about consuming
    more than we need," observes Joel Beers in a witty "OC
    Weekly" column. "Anywhere in America is a perfect place to
    view the chunky, plump, rotund, stout and robust. But
    there are few places where you can witness the truly
    elephantine, corpulent, distended and gargantuan.
    Disneyland is one of them. Anyone who has hung out at the
    park can attest to this fact: fat people are all over Walt
    Disney's bucolic division of long-lost America."


    Disneyland, of course, does not discriminate against any
    guests, regardless of their nationality or socio-economic
    standing or weight or cholesterol count. To the contrary,
    Beers believes, the park actually attracts a
    disproportionately large percent of disproportionately
    large tourists. The reason, he theorizes, is that the
    implicit biases of the classic Disney stories project a
    fat-friendly ethos.


    "The happiest of the Seven Dwarfs is, duh, Happy. He's
    also the fattest," Beers writes. "The skinniest of the
    dwarfs is Dopey. He's also borderline retarded. Few Disney
    villains are as dastardly as the dog-napping Cruella De Vil
    or the terrible witch in Sleeping Beauty. They're also
    emaciated anorexics. Meanwhile, few characters are as
    lovable as the Jungle Book's Baloo, Dumbo or that honey-
    guzzling, potbellied Pooh Bear named Winnie. Clearly, in
    Walt Disney's wonderful world of imagination, thin is evil
    and manipulative...Fat and lumpy, meanwhile, is lovable
    warm goodness incarnate."


    When Disneyland opened for business in the summer of 1955,
    it featured 19 attractions and a family of four could walk
    in for less than five-dollar bill. The present-day
    Disneyland features many more attractions and costs about
    60 times more money to visit.


    "But one thing," Beers relates, "has stayed eerily
    consistent: the grub. Although the original park has
    expanded greatly, there are still only six more places to
    eat. And the food offered in 1955 is still, by and large,
    the food offered now: hot dogs, hamburgers, fries, candy,
    ice cream, fried chicken, cookies, sugar-saturated soft
    drinks, potato chips."


    Disney-style junk-food may not have changed much over the
    last 50 years, but we Americans are eating more of it than
    ever. Over the last 35 years, the average American woman's
    daily intake of calories rose from 1,542 to 1,877 and the
    average American man's from 2,450 to 2618.


    Not surprisingly, therefore, the "fats" are getting fatter.
    "In 1963," Beers notes, "the Center for Disease Control
    reported that 44.8 percent of the American population was
    overweight. In 2000, that number had risen to 65.2
    percent. In 1963, 13 percent of Americans were obese; in
    2000 it was 31 percent. In 1970, 4.5 percent of American
    children were overweight; in 2002 it was 15.8 percent."


    And yet, we continue to consume ever-growing quantities of
    everything - from Big Macs to SUVs to home-equity loans.
    Clearly, we cannot help ourselves. Nothing short of an AA-
    style "intervention" could halt our over-consumption. But
    even as we try to gorge ourselves, we cannot possibly keep
    up with Chinese consumption trends.


    In 2002, for example, the US consumed more copper than any
    other nation. China now claims that distinction. Then, last
    year, China consumed twice as much steel as the U.S. The
    Chinese have also become conspicuously large oil consumers.
    World oil demand since 1988 is up 25%, but Chinese demand
    has rocketed 175% over the same time frame. Looked at
    another way, China's absolute consumption has risen more
    than the US since 1998. American consumption grew by 3.08
    million barrels a day while China's grew by 3.98 million
    barrels a day. China now consumes more oil than Japan, 7.6%
    of the world total compared with 7.4% for the world's
    second largest economy.


    The increasingly prosperous Asian nation has also become a
    voracious consumer of agricultural products. While we add
    calories to our diets, the Chinese are adding protein, a
    phenomenon that drives demand for poultry products, for
    example. The recent successes of Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM)
    illustrates the trend.


    "Thanks partly to China," the Economist notes, "Yum! is
    making about two-fifths of its operating profits outside
    America, up from one-fifth in 1998...With 1,378 KFC
    restaurants in China, and 201 Pizza Huts at mid-2005, Yum!
    owns two of the best-known brand names in the world's most
    populous market." Business is booming, which is why the
    company is on pace to open about one new restaurant per DAY
    in China.


    The feeding (and fattening) of America over the last three
    decades contributed mightily to the prosperity of companies
    like McDonalds. History is in the process of repeating
    itself: the feeding (and fattening) of China will provide
    opportunities for innumerable companies. The appetite of
    1.3 billion individuals is not easily satisfied.

    Einmal editiert, zuletzt von Aladin ()

    • Offizieller Beitrag

    .......+30% in Riyadh


    Nun, mühsam bewegt sich was.
    Die Jungs merken wohl etwas!!
    Hoffenlich auch Gold andernorts. ;)


    Grüsse
    .................................................
    Friday, 2, September, 2005 (28, Rajab, 1426)

    Gold Sales Up by 30 Percent in Riyadh
    Arab News


    RIYADH, 2 September 2005 — Experts in the gold market in Riyadh have reassured that the prices of gold are stable despite the high increase in oil prices, Al-Riyadh reported. The price per gram of pure gold ranged between SR45.5 and SR46. An expert in the gold market told Al-Riyadh that the prices were stable since the beginning of summer. He also said that the sales of gold were up this summer season by 30 percent compared with same period last year.

    • Offizieller Beitrag

    Steve Doré
    Sep 2, 2005


    "Well, I'm gonna buy me a big ol' gun
    But I don't want to hurt no one
    And I'm gonna grow some veg'tables
    So's I can eat when the foodstores close..."


    Nice ,and
    Gnight!

  • The US Dollar Index: The Bear Market Rally should be over!
    Follow-up No. 6/September 2, 2005



    The short-term picture certainly reveals a change of sentiment. My mid-August, the US Dollar Index had in fact fallen to less then 87 points from where a rather feeble counter-movement got under way which ended at 89 points.


    Once the Index falls through the 87 point level and stays there, it will take likely drop to the 84 point level.


    Major support can be found around the lows of the beginning of the year.


    "After analysing many other indicators, we conclude that the dollar cannot sustain this surge - in our opinion, it is just a bear-market rally.", we said on June 20 and added: "We think that it wise at this stage to take profit if you are long. If you are short, remain so even if you need courage to go against the flow."


    For the time being, we would remains short.



    http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/zihlmann090205.html


    Plus a Radio Interview with Lou Paquette about Gold:
    Er erklaert was passiert ist letzte Woche und wie er die Situation fuer die naechsten Wochen sieht. Vorsicht und Geduld ist angesagt, die Specs haben eventuell noch nicht ihre Positionen abgebaut. Er glaubt das die naechste Woche sehr volotile wird, er ist long mit Gold. Was machen nun die Shorts naechste Woche ?
    Battle week, for sure !


    http://www.howestreet.com/goldradio/interview.php?audioId=93


    Bob Hopper mit seinen Mining Report:
    Mit David Bond, der ebenso erklaert was mit Gold und Silber passiert ist in den letzten Wochen.


    http://www.silverminers.com/pu…ns/M%20&%20M%20REPORT.mp3

    7 Mal editiert, zuletzt von Aladin ()

    • Offizieller Beitrag

    Bemerkenswert der Schlussabsatz aus vorerwähntem Artikel:


    Finally, the dollar should fall and gold should rally, due to the poor immediate response of the U.S. government to this building human tragedy. The U.S. Dollar Index should fall to 84.40 and Gold should initially rise to 453.17. A rise in bonds, commodities, and gold is an Intermarket anomaly, but that combination is the likely outcome during the current crisis.


    ***

  • @ALADIN/EDELMANN


    Nach Katrina sind viele viele Amerikaner auf billiges Baugeld angewiesen.....das macht Alan vielleicht einen Strich durch die Rechnung bei seinen Tippelschritt-Zinserhöhungen.


    Sollten diese nun eine Weile ausgesetzt bleiben wird dies den Dollar nicht gerade stärken :D :D :D

  • Hi Valueman


    Da hast du Recht und der Markt nimmt das auch an, aber wer weiss was Alan wirklich macht. Am Montag Feiertag in Canada und US, danach kommen alle vom Urlaub zurueck und es geht dann richtig los. Naechste Woche wird bestimmt interessant auf den ganzen Maerkten und wird die Richtung anzeigen wo es nun lang geht.



    Gruss


    XAX

    • Offizieller Beitrag

    @valueman/Aladin

    Genau so denke ich auch.
    Das würde der US - Wirtschaft den Rest geben!
    War wohl auch der Grund für den $-Absturz vor Tagen.
    Aber aufgeschoben ist nicht aufgehoben.


    Richtig: richtungsentscheidende Woche.


    Bin auch gespannt,wie es bei den PM weitergeht.
    Habe eben gelesen,daß einer der zurückhaltendsten Kolumnisten in 321gold,
    Jeff Kern, nach langer Hasenfüßigkeit auf die andere Seite wechselt.
    Über dessen Eiertänze habe ich mich öfter amüsiert (dessen Frau ebenso :)) )


    Grüsse

  • Rice defends Bush's response


    04/09/2005 20:23



    Mobile - Secretary of state Condoleezza Rice defended President George W Bush on Sunday against charges that the government's sluggish response to Hurricane Katrina showed racial insensitivity.
    "Nobody, especially the president, would have left people unattended on the basis of race," :D. the administration's highest-ranking black said as she toured damaged parts of her native Alabama.


    Some black lawmakers, the Reverend Jesse Jackson and other black leaders have complained bitterly about the slow response to the disaster, whose victims have been disproportionately black and poor, particularly in New Orleans.


    They have said racial injustice was a factor in the government's slow relief effort.


    "I just hope that when people stop and think about it, they will just see that that's just not the case," Rice said.


    "How can that be the case?


    "Americans don't want to see Americans suffer."


    Since Katrina struck, an estimated 70 nations - from Azerbaijan to Venezuela - :D had offered more than $100m in cash donations to the American Red Cross, Rice said.


    Many countries had also donated supplies, ranging from helicopters to food, to help the victims.


    After outlining the influx of international support, Rice said she had told Bush: "If there's anything I can do outside of my responsibilities as secretary of state, I'd be happy to do that too." :D

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