As a result of the last many years of my ownership of Golden Star Resources, a substantial number of Café members own the stock. The joy of 2003 turned nasty the last 14 months with the stock falling from $8.64 to $2.90. UBS downgraded the stock after their last earnings report. However, Trevor Turnbull of Harris Partners Ltd and David Thomas of First Associates have just written the firm up in a very favorable light.
I met with GSS Treasurer Alan Marter in Vancouver and asked him to tell it like he sees it, which in turn is the way I see it and why I am staying with my position:
"(1) 2005 will be a good year with production expected to be 85% higher than in 2004; (2) the Wassa mine will be a great producer for the company, and this year’s production of 100-120,000 ounces will be modest compared with what the mine is capable of in the near future; (3) the turnaround has started, and results for the fourth quarter are better than the third, and the results in 2005 will be better still; (4) Peter Bradford, having relocated with his family to Ghana will be very close to the action and where the money is being spent, and this will be important for the redevelopment; (5) the delays in receiving permits at Bondaye were part of the drivers to review expansion plans, but the permits for Bogoso will be much easier to obtain (being an expansion of an existing processing plant, compared with permits for a new mine and plant); (6) the expansion at Bogoso is using very well accepted technology and will "unlock" seven or eigth years of reserves – all permitted; (7) the Bogoso production this year will equal last year’s but the expansion will amount to a 75% increase in production levels in future years."
GSS closed at $3.01, up 4 cents. Yesterday’s close below $3 set off margin call selling all over the place, which affected my other holdings like Samex (46 cents, down 4 cents), which has been pummeled for no reason other than forced/panic share dumping. Both of these firms should return to their 2003 form as 2005 progresses.
Speaking of my friend John Anderson, who also called the last gold market bottom almost to the tee, he is also an advisor to IMZ (International Minerals) which also re-tested their low from last year at $3.50, closing today at $3.70 Cdn, down 20 cents. According to John, IMZ "should trade back thru $5.00 on the next move and try $6.50 based on its 6.5 million oz of gold reserves."
The gold shares still cannot get out of their own way. The XAU went .05 to 88.64, while the HUI managed only to rally .27 to 192.64.
The gold and silver sentiment is about as bearish as it gets. We are due for some relief here and soon.
GATA BE IN IT TO WIN IT!
MIDAS