Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

Ja, ja, das mit dem stop loss war nicht sehr "elegant".
Aber die Position hielt sich in Grenzen...

Minos

Dear Members,

The official bottom for dollar: The most difficult task is to call the top or the bottom of any market. Finally I can confirm that dollar has bottomed out today and from now on a historic era for dollar will start. Don't trust any currency except dollar. I don't have a single reason that should make you think that the other currencies will still rise.

The end of the bull market in commodities: Grains, metals and energy will start moving down from Tuesday. They came down a bit after touching a new high on Monday. Once again I would like to confirm that the end of bull era for commodities has come.

I struggled with my prediction of technology bubble burst during the first quarter 2000 but when it started, people realized that they shouldn't have been greedy and they should have gotten out in early 2000.

Stop reading!!! For one week just stop reading all other stories and analyses reports on metals, energy and weak dollar. Just keep saying one thing to yourself, and that is There will be a bull market in dollar, you should also think in your mind that the bubble in the commodities is bursting. Thinking about these two things will give you self awareness and realization of what I am talking about. Follow the inner voice of the Moon!

We are at same stage today and I am giving you two great trends:

1. Bull market of dollar.
2. Bear market in commodities.

Zitat

Original von Aladin

We are at same stage today and I am giving you two great trends:

1. Bull market of dollar.
2. Bear market in commodities.

Hm, deckt sich nicht ganz mit meiner Prognose ...

Man macht am besten das Gegenteil, Mahendra ist IMO das Sprachrohr vom PPT.
Ein korrupter Guru von Santa Monica !

Abend Männer, war heute was aufregendes ?

Canada rate cut .50
US is very much expected to cut another.50
HUI down 3.5%, DOW down 0.37%

Alles egal, nur meine Explorer nerven halt tierisch.

smart money - big money - shit money

Zitat

Original von silverchiller
Abend Männer, war heute was aufregendes ?

ja wir sind richtige Männer

Heute gings mit Gold und Silber ziemlich heftig runter...da haben einige vor lauter Schreck ihren Turnbeutel vergessen.

Der bildet sich jetzt wohl ein, die neue Weltwährung zu sein.

Pedelt das wertlose Papier namens EURO die ganze Zeit um 0,006 Cent herum. Welche geisteskranken Typen veranlassen so etwas?

Ist echt nicht normal!

Ach und Butter kostet jetzt wieder 1,70.

Bin ja mal gespannt, wenn Buttler sich wieder äußert.

Buttler nicht zu verwechseln mit Butter (Deutsche Markenbutter).

Tausenden Kleinanlegern wurde heute versucht,beizubringen:
"Gold soll nichts wert sein, genausowenig wie Silber."

Verpisst Euch Ihr Betrüger vom PPT! Das Internet bringt die Wahrheit an's Licht. Und dann Gnade Euch Gott.

Zitat

Original von Dagobert
Der bildet sich jetzt wohl ein, die neue Weltwährung zu sein.

Hallo,

das wird sich schon noch ändern, spätestens, wenn wir von 15 auf 27 Staaten erweitern, dann haben wir nämlich nicht nur eine innere, sondern auch eine importierte Inflation. Vorausgesetzt, man (Sarko und Spanien) vernichtet ihn nicht schon früher.
Deutschland etwa 200 Mrd. Überschuss letztes Jahr, die ganze Euro-Zone 10 Mrd. (der Rest machte gemeinsam 190 Mrd. Miese), wenn noch ein paar Staaten hinzukommen, verflüchtigt sich der Rest gänzlich und wir drehen in den defizitären Bereich...

best regards
BAAL

Die Gold und Silberparty ist vorerst vorbei *zitter*

===

Gold was below Monday's record at $989.30 but analysts said the metal was still on track to hit $1,000 with oil hovering near an all-time high and the dollar's appeal declining on expectations of more interest rate cuts in the United States.

"The outlook for gold is obviously subject to uncertainty," said David Moore, analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney, referring to Tuesday's sharp drop to as low as $960.40.

"In my opinion, though, it is quite likely we'll see $1,000 an ounce at a certain point in coming months. Probably, this morning, you just saw people taking advantage of the dip in prices last night."

[...]

Gold was previously fixed at a record high of $850 in January 1980 as high inflation linked to strong oil prices, Soviet intervention in Afghanistan and the impact of the Iranian revolution sparked heavy buying from investors.

After adjusting for inflation, the 1980 high was $2,119.30 an ounce at 2007 prices, while the real average price in 1980 has been calculated at $1,532.14, according to precious metals consultancy GFMS Ltd.

"Gold will try the lower end first and then see whether it can hold. If not, it will try the major support of $950," said Ronald Leung, director of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.

"The upside seems to be capped at $970. We are expecting some correction," said Leung.

http://africa.reuters.com/business/news/usnBAN522973.html

Lawrence Roulston BNN
gold - luna gold - farallon resources - geologix explorations - endeavour silver und, und, und...
Silver interessant

http://broadband.bnn.ca/bnn/?vid=35738

linar:)

...ich finde ihn sehr gut - überlegt und ein Kenner des Fachs

Zitat

Original von GOLD_Baron

Persönlich würde ich mir einen richtig harten Rückschlag wünschen, damit die zittrigen Hände rausgehen. Danach wieder "organisch wachsend" aufwärts.

Das wünsche ich mir auch... ich denke sogar das wir das bis Mitte/Ende April erleben werden.

Ich warte noch drauf, bis der erste Arbeitskollege ankommt und mir von Edelmetallen berichtet....

kaum gehts mit Gold und Silber runter ist hier nichts mehr los!

Ein Marc Faber Interview:

....As Michael Berry remarked, “Gold is no friend to the world’s central bankers. The printing press is their friend.” In fact, I would be very surprised if the Dow Jones Industrials/Gold Ratio didn’t decline to between 5 and 10 within the next three years. Therefore, I should like to reiterate my recommendation to accumulate gold.

Other commodities that could come to life this year are sugar, cotton, natural gas, and palladium. Moreover, uranium is unlikely to disappoint the longs. In general, some special situations aside, I am not positive on industrial commodities in a slow growth or recession type of environment.

Among commodities and currencies, my preferred asset remains physical gold held outside the U.S., for the simple reason that — depression or inflation — it is very likely to outperform financial assets. For gold, I believe the best is yet to come!

Best regards,
Marc Faber

http://www.howestreet.com/articles/index.php?article_id=5882

Ansich kein positiver report fuer investments in PM Minen.... es koennte auch anders laufen.

Take a bet or not ...darum sind die Minen so preiswert !

.......One old truism is that, in times of economic uncertainty, gold bullion tends to outperform mining stocks, as investors turn to the safe haven of physical bullion. Year-to-date, gold bullion is up by 11%, while XAU is up just 5% and the unhedged Gold Bug's index (HUI) is up 3%.

There are many reasons for the disparity between the share prices of gold mining companies and the price of the metal. First, gold stocks are typically valued using the rearview mirror. When Wall Street analysts come up with their price targets for the shares of gold mining companies, they're looking in the rearview mirror. They typically don't incorporate the full value for a commodity price that is pushing to new highs, because they assume that the metal will soon come down. So analysts, at least until recently, aren't using $1,000/ounce gold in their forecasts. Their consensus forecast for gold this year is in the $850/ounce range. At $1,000 an ounce, it's a different story, and gold stocks could get a boost of support if those price levels hold up.

Secondly, while gold is a stalwart in times of economic recession, gold stocks don't have a strong history during economic slowdowns. In fact, gold stocks have fallen an average of 12% during recessions. That being said, gold stocks are relative outperformers compared with the broader market, which typically falls 20%-25% during recessions.

During equity bear markets, however, mining stocks suffer along with the rest of the stock market. For example, in the 1987 stock market crash, the Dow declined by 35% and the XAU mining stock index declined by 42%, even as the actual price of gold rose.

There's also the actual business of mining to consider. Mining for gold is an expensive activity, and it's gotten more expensive in recent years, as energy and labor costs have outpaced gold's rise. So as miners pull more expensive gold out of the ground, they are paying more to do so. Furthermore, even as the price of bullion is rising, gold mines and mining companies are still affected by a host of factors such as geopolitics, environmental issues, management capability, financial strength, mine life, productivity, energy supplies and hedging policies. Ultimately, mining stocks are only as good as the company and its management team's ability to navigate these obstacles. Bullion, on the other hand, does not rely on a management team to retain its value.

Moreover, production has actually declined even as prices have gone up, crimping the miners' ability to capitalize on higher prices. That reflects in part on a long period of underinvestment when prices were low, and the long lead time for new mines to be created.

Of course, gold mining companies can provide great upside if they execute well. If your heart is set on buying shares of gold mining companies, the safe bet is to invest in companies with proven resources already in the ground, as opposed to pure exploration plays. This second group of companies sometimes relies on nothing more than geologist findings to justify their valuations. Companies that have the goods already in the ground can be analyzed and researched and offer more correlation to the price of gold.

One example of a company with the golden touch is El Dorado Gold (AMEX: EGO). It mines for gold in places where other companies don't go, regions such as Turkey and China.
El Dorado's cost of production is only $186 per ounce.:D :P..................more

http://seekingalpha.com/articl…s-have-not-seen-the-glory

Hier David Morgan, das Thema neue Minensteuer fuer USA...wieder negativ falls es realitaet wird.
Die ETF sind schlecht fuer die PM Minen, die Leute wollen kein Risiko bei Minen und halten sich fern.

Nur wenige kaufen, ich gehoer dazu. :D..entweder spinni oder bin bald im Himmel....alte Leier...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BD0r0BWhTns&feature=related

Hier David Morgan :

http://www.howestreet.com/audio/davidmorgan04032008.mp3

Kommentar aus dem Casey´s Daily Resources Plus:

It was time for a breather, some would say past time. Gold fell for the first time in six sessions yesterday, silver for the first time in eleven. That said, there was a fair amount of buying as New York moved into the Access Market, indicating that dips are still being treated as opportunities to get in.

Also, notably, platinum was barely affected by the sell-off, a powerful signal that the other silver metal is well supported, even at these lofty levels.

Kevin Kerr, editor of Global Resources Trader, who just the day before was talking $1000 gold, reversed field and backed off a bit yesterday.

In Kerr’s view, yesterday was all about “Big profit-taking, position squaring and an overdue correction.”

Though he believes that, “It's healthy,” he added that the correction “probably has much further to go and then we will see some very good buying opportunities.”

Zachary Oxman, of Wisdom Financial, was not about to buy into the idea of an extended correction. “I think you're seeing fund liquidation, which is bringing in more selling,” Oxman wrote.

The ever-optimistic Oxman added that, “I'd be careful to start liquidating now, because this looks more like a cash call type of liquidation, and I'd be adding to longs on this dip.”

Grüße

Zitat

Eldo, Merriman lag wieder 100% richtig. Erst mit letzter Woche. Die Turbulenzen diese Woche auch.

Sowohl 1000 als auch wieder ein erneuter Turnback auf 960 sind innerhalb dieser Woche nicht unbedingt auszuschließen.

[Blockierte Grafik: http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/gold/t24_au_en_usoz_2.gif][Blockierte Grafik: http://www.weblinks247.com/exrate/exr24_eu_en_2.gif][Blockierte Grafik: http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/silver/t24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif][Blockierte Grafik: http://www.weblinks247.com/indexes/idx24_usd_en_2.gif]

SILBER ÜBER 20$ - "nuuu genäu" sagt das sächsische Volk!

[Blockierte Grafik: http://freenet-homepage.de/ferien-bei-voertlers/umgebung/morizburg00.jpg]

Ich bekomm noch `nen Brechreiz Jetzt sah der Chart gestern Abend und heute Früf so schön aus - und jetzt geht die ganze Schose schon wieder nach oben

ausbruch.

Kreisch! Eine Stunde nicht hingeschaut und Silber steht statt bei 19,5 schon wieder über 20$! Liegt es am schwachen US-Arbeitsmarktbericht?
Minus 23.000 Jobs im Februar, die Rezession drüben gewinnt an Fahrt...