Beiträge von keepitshort

Note that GDX mirrors the HUI which
is about 10% comprised of silver stocks.
The
XAU is comprised of 20% silver stocks
and base metal stocks (FCX) while
SIL,
the silver stock ETF is 100% silver stocks.
XGD is 100% in gold stocks and is
priced in Canadian Dollars.

wer will kann bei http://www.stockcharts.com die Kürzel eingeben
und bei indicators ---> chaiking-money-flow (CMF) oder money-flow ( MFI ) nutzen

[url]http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/trendsman/2011/2011/12/07/why-gold-stocks-have-underperformed-and-what-lies-ahead[/url]

der XGD.To zeigt charttechnisch nach einem Boden einen kleinen Aufwärtstrend

der SIL hat einen time-lag und hat erst den Boden ausgebildet

die Charts sind ganz interessant anzusehen

One "card" worth counting is the
Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which
measures the manufacturing strength of any given country. A rising PMI indicates
a growing economy and is considered a leading indicator. There are three
different types of indicators: coincident, lagging and leading. PMI is
considered a leading indicator, meaning its movement historically occurs three
to six months before the market reacts.

http://www.safehaven.com/artic…s-have-an-ace-in-the-hole

Starting May 2009, the source has fixed the first day of each
month as the release date of these indices. This will be so irrespective of whether it will fall on weekend
or public holiday. This is set up by the China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing and National Bureau of Statistics and was first launched in July 2005.

aktueller Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
update-data: ---> http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CPMINDX:IND/chart

SIL_to_FXI_volume.png
silver_vs_China.png
oil_Chinas_stockmarket.png

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http://www.commodityonline.com…-investing-44003-3-1.html
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The reason that the supply of silver is shrinking is because it has
become the second most used commodity in our society. Currently there
are around 10,000 applications for silver including but not limited to;
electronics, photography, jewelry, mirrors, and solar panels. The only
commodity with more applications is oil which currently has about 30,000
applications.

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http://www.imf.org/external/pu…andd/2011/06/reinhart.htm
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Keeping rates low

One of the main goals of financial repression is to keep nominal interest
rates lower than they would be in more competitive markets. Other things equal,
this reduces the government’s interest expenses for a given stock of debt and
contributes to deficit reduction. However, when financial repression produces
negative real interest rates (nominal rates below the inflation rate), it
reduces or liquidates existing debts and becomes the equivalent of a tax—a
transfer from creditors (savers) to borrowers, including the government
(Reinhart and Sbrancia, 2011).
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 [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2011/06/images/reinhar_1.jpg]

horizontale X-Achse entspricht real-interest-rate
vertikale y-Achse entspricht share of observations in percent ??? from what ???
ich würde sagen --> percent of the observed countries
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Real interest rates in both advanced and emerging economies were markedly
negative—whether on treasury bills (see Chart 1), central bank discount rates,
deposits, or loans—and remained consistently lower (negative on average) in the
ensuing three and a half decades. Binding interest rate ceilings on deposits
(which kept real deposit rates even lower than the negative real rates on
treasury bills) induced domestic savers to hold government bonds. That this was
occurring nearly everywhere at the time helped delay the emergence of leakages
from investors seeking higher yields.
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Although another era of freer capital mobility began around 1980, the
outbreak of the recent financial crisis again sent real interest rates
in advanced economies increasingly negative. In the past four years,
real rates in 21 advanced economies have been negative about half the
time and below 1 percent about 82 percent of the time.
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im Orginal noch ein weiterer interessanter Chart !!!

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Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced last week that the Federal
funds rate will stay near zero for now. He reasoned that the "low rates of
resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run" would
likely "warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least
through mid-2013."
This will likely translate to the real interest rate (which is the
rate of interest an investor can receive on a U.S. Treasury bill after allowing
for inflation) remaining negative for at least another year and a half.
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http://www.safehaven.com/artic…ers-2-months-1-gold-rally
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http://www.321gold.com/editori…llan/mcclellan102811.html
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[url]http://news.coinupdate.com/multiple-financial-events-could-trigger-volatility-in-gold-and-silver-prices-1018/[/url]
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The Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC) regularly meets eight times a year. Their next
meeting will be held November 1-2.
For the past several years it has
been a common pattern for precious metals prices
to be knocked down
right before and during these meetings.
Several times in the past year,
the announcement at the conclusion of this meeting has then
led to a price spike upward.
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und weitere interessante Novembertermine

The Five Myths of Silver Investing

in englischer Sprache

http://ryanpjordan.com/?p=340

in deutscher Sprache

[url]http://www.propagandafront.de/188810/silber-investments-funf-mythen-uber-den-silbermarkt.html/print/[/url]

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[url]http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Business_%26_Finance/Investments/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_S/forumview?bn=86655&tid=22091&mid=22142[/url]

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[url]http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_S/threadview?m=tm&bn=86655&tid=23979&mid=23979&tof=1&frt=2[/url]

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[url]http://uk.ibtimes.com/articles/20111028/silver-price-rising-on-increased-investment-demand.htm[/url]

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Since 1999, silver consumption among end users in the electronics industry
increased by 120%. This development is based on the ongoing miniaturisation of
electronic components, to which silver significantly contributed due to its high
versatility.

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Silver holdings accounted for 0.34% of worldwide assets held by investors in
the record year 1980. This is theoretically providing silver with a further
upward potential of 48 times from its current price level in order to reach the
same figures recorded in 1980.

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Als Ergänzung zur Fort-Knox:

der US-show-master, das Spielcasino in LasVegas, der Hütchenspieler in
New-York oder eben einfach Fort-Knox und der US-Papier-Dollar

Hütchenspieler gibts eben auf der Strasse und auch in Fort-Knox
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http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Hauptseite ---> Suchewort: Hütchenspiel

Hütchenspiel
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Eine weitere Manipulation besteht darin, dass während einer Runde, in der ein
Opfer Geld einsetzt, die Kugel sich während des ganzen Spiels in der Hand des
Spielers befindet und in dem Moment, in dem das Opfer auf eines der Hütchen
zeigt, unter ein anderes geschoben wird.
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das video zu Fort-Knox ist empty
war sehr interessant

da wurde die Bedinung in einem Restaurant interviewed, die Kellnerin sagte ihre Mutter war in der Army
und hat im Bereich Fort-Knox gearbeitet und die Mutter sagte, da ist keine Gold mehr drin im Tresorraum von
Fort-Knox.

Dann der Typ der den Sicherheitsdienst von Fort-Knox mit Waffen belieferte, der sagte
die hatten damals nicht mal Munition in den Waffen weil einfach kein Gold mehr in Fort-Knox lagerte.

Wer die Macht über eine Währung hat der kann andere Staaten für sich als Sklaven arbeiten lassen.
(China arbeitet und bekommt US-Dollar, Rohöl muss man in US-Dollar einkaufen)

Einer sage Fort-Knox wird heut gut bewacht was eine Menge Geld kostet
deshalb vermutet er das da Gold in Fort-Knox lagert.

So wie ich die USA kenne machen die gerne Werbung und eine ganz grosse show.
Viele Menschen lassen sich von einem show-master oder einer Spielbank faszinieren
und dann spielt man eben in der Spielbank mit.

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http://www.gotgoldreport.com/2…in-eight-years-.html#more

[Blockierte Grafik: http://treo.typepad.com/.a/6a0120a6002285970c015392256e8a970b-800wi]
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The last time that the relative commercial net short positioning was
below a very low and very bullish 18.7% was also in that April 1, 2003 COT
report, when the LCNS;TO came in at 17.8% (with $4.43 silver)

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[url]http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=SVM[/url]
call/put-Optionen

04.Okt-2011 yellow ist im Geld
expiration-date beachten

options expiring Friday 21st October 2011

http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/q/os?s=SVM&m=2011-10-21

http://www.wallstreet-online.d…t-geht-s-hier-richtig-los

Hab im Moment Urlaub
und suche gerne für euch einige interessante Artikel
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Silver Shorts Cover Nearly Half Their Position
In One Week

[url]http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/chris-mack/2011/10/03/silver-shorts-cover-nearly-half-their-position-in-one-week[/url]

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Stunning Plunge in COMEX Commercial Silver Net Short
Positions

[url]http://www.gotgoldreport.com/2011/09/stunning-plunge-in-comex-commercial-silver-net-short-positions.html[/url]

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[url]http://www.safehaven.com/article/22780/gold-and-silver-speculators-have-left-the-building[/url]

In Silver, we see that the commercials are are net short only 24K contracts.
This is the lowest since December 2008. Open interest is 35% off its high and at
its lowest point since the end of summer 2009.

 [Blockierte Grafik: http://static.safehaven.com/authors/trendsman/22780_b.png]

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Hier der Chart (Frühindikator in rot, Kupfer in blau, Rohöl in schwarz und
Silber in grau):

Charts mit key-indicators copper, chemische Industrie, deutsche
Exporte

Zunächst zeigen wir nochmals den Frühindikator der OECD für die 34
Mitlgiedstaaten sowie für Brasilien, Russland, Indien, Indonesien, China und
Südafika, der 83 Prozent der globalen Wirtschaft abdeckt. Werte unter 100
signalisieren Rezessionsgefahren

[url]http://www.goldseiten.de/content/diverses/artikel.php?storyid=17476&seite=1[/url]
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Are Silver & Copper Predicting Global Recession?
Chris Vermeulen and J.W Jones
Published 10/3/2011
bei diesem link sind einige interessante Charts z.B. FXI (China), copper, silver

http://www.resourceinvestor.co…g-a-Global-Recession.aspx

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es folgen im Dateianhang die selbstgenerierten Charts von "keepitshort"

der US-Dollar und der Rohölpreis sind sehr wichtig

ratio TIP:IEF kann mal als Inflationsindikator nehmen und Abstand zu 90-Tagelinie beachten PPO(1,90,1)
der Ölpreis ist natürlich auch ein guter Inflationsindikator

[url]http://news.silverseek.com/SilverSeek/1317399972.php[/url]

Measuring the Growth of

vom Chart sieht die Sache für SVM.To ganz positiv aus (in CAD-Dollar)

jetzt muss der Silberpreis aber auch noch steigen
sonst werden die short-seller
nochmal einen Angriff starten

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[url]http://www.wallstreet-online.de/diskussion/1099579-1751-1760/silvercorp-metals-jetzt-geht-s-hier-richtig-los[/url]
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ein bischen Einblick zu Experten im shorten von Aktien

[url]http://www.metalaugmentor.com/analysis/shorting-the-best-performing-silver-producer.html[/url]

[Blockierte Grafik: http://www.metalaugmentor.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/SVM_versus_9.13.112.gif]

Indeed, those looking for downside exposure in the silver market could have
literally made money anywhere else but Silvercorp during the past few
weeks. Even if we measure from the close of trading on September 12, 2011, the
day before Alfred Little’s report was published, Silvercorp has still been the
best performing silver producer over this period:

hier kommen noch zwei interessante Charts auf der Orginalseite !!!
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P.S.: Im Aktienmarkt sollte man emotionslos handeln, dennoch verspüre ich eine gewisse Schadensfreude !!!

meine Zeichnungen enthalten Fehler
aber als "incentive" zum Nachdenken
sind die Charts vielleich geeignet

( You will never live in a perfect world )