Beiträge von Gerald

Bzgl. $URA bin ich am Überlegen, wohin die Reise noch gehen könnte. Hier meine Findings und Überlegungen ...

• In der Vergangenheit hat $URA immer wieder mal den 200 weekly EMA getestet und 2025 sogar um -20% unterboten
• Dann haben wir einen Trendkanal wo der 200 weekly EMA und der obere Trendkanal bei $35,6 gerade zusammenlaufen

Mein Plan ist bereits heute eine kleine Startposition $URNJ mir in das Depot zu legen.

P.s.: Justin Huhn von Uranium Insider ist mit seinem Dynamischen Modell seit 1-2 Wochen bereits ALL-IN. Lobo Tiggre der normalerweise recht konservativ auftritt, macht aktuell auch recht aktiv Werbung.

DIVIDEND KINGS

There are 52 Dividend Kings right now. These are companies that have increased their dividend for 50+ consecutive years, surviving recessions, the Dot-Com crash, the GFC, COVID and inflationary cycles without breaking the streak. They aren't automatically "safe", but they're a great hunting ground for quality income stocks. Unlike Dividend Aristocrats, they do not need to be members of the S&P 500.

Note: Some published Dividend King lists vary slightly depending on treatment of spinoffs, predecessor dividend histories, and non-U.S. companies.

Zitat von Caldera

Das war wohl nun die obere Wende !

Jetzt kommt die nächste Schwierigkeit, wo die ausgedünnten Werte wieder aufstocken ?

Das ist jetzt charttechnisch noch nicht eindeutig ...

Passend dazu meint Jonathan Mergott heute:

"Mean time, on the buying front, i think NEAR the 200ema on hourly is not a bad target area ...General rule of thumb: when gold stops going up, as time goes on miners bleed out more so 4420 today with gdx at 88.60 now next week 4420 could be 86. so as long as were not going higher, the longer the time, the more likely miners shed some more even if gold doesnt."

Dies könnte zumindest eine gute zusätzliche Orientierung sein.

Ja, Weizen sieht sehr spannend aus. Danke woernie

Palobar ist der Meinung, dass 620 bereits ein Geschenk sind. Der 200 SMA ist gerade bei 576. Bei einem aktuellen Kurs von 638 wären dies -10% und dabei würde der ganze letzte Anstieg komplett korrigiert werden.

Hier die aktuelle Sichtweise von Palobar, welchen ich sehr schätze …

Zitat

CONCLUSION

In my opinion, the consolidation/correction is not over yet. A retest of the recent lows is still possible. I could be wrong (I have been wrong many times), but I think ~$3800s (gold) and $54 (silver) are still on the table.

This is a healthy correction after the massive moves we saw.

Long-term, much higher.

NASDAQ im Begrenzer?!

The Upcoming Uranium Supply Crunch

Adam Rozencwajg

April 29, 2026

"Over the past two years, the positive narrative around uranium has been driven almost entirely by demand but this could be about to change. Supply challenges may soon become the dominant force.

...

For 2026, we estimate both uranium mine supply to be down and reactor demand to be up, producing an outright deficit in the global uranium market before investment demand is factored in."

The Upcoming Uranium Supply Crunch

Dundee Corporation

Home - Dundee Corporation

dundeecorporation.com

Der bishige Verlauf aus 2011 sieht verdammt ähnlich aus. Den Ausgang wünschen wir uns anders.

Avi Gilburt, 24.03.2026

"This brings me to my next perspective about gold and silver. When I provide my analysis, I often tell my clients when I have a high probability expectation or when I am uncertain. And, due to my adherence to an intellectually honest perspective, I am not afraid to admit when I am not sure. When it comes to the bigger picture in gold and silver for the rest of 2026, I am a bit uncertain. Allow me to explain.

While I view a drop down to the targets I outlined above as a potentially great buying opportunity in gold and silver (depending upon the structure with which we strike those targets), I am unsure whether the rally I expect thereafter will be a bigger corrective rally, ultimately leading us to even lower levels or whether it will take us to new all-time highs.

You see, if we mirror the correction we experienced in silver in 2011, we would recognize that another drop in the metals will only complete the first larger wave down in a 3-wave longer term correction. And, such a correction can easily take us a few years. That would mean that the rally I expect after we complete the next drop would only be a corrective rally, as was seen in silver in 2011, thereafter leading to another sizeable decline.

Unfortunately, I will not be able to make that determination until I see the nature of that intermediate term rally. If it takes shape as a 5-wave structure, then we will likely be on our way to new all-time highs. However, if it takes shape as a corrective structure, then we can be mired in this correction for much longer, as was seen in 2011.

So, for now, I am seeing a nice opportunity developing to buy back into the complex. And, I will need to see the nature of the next major rally phase to know which path the market is going to take for the rest of 2026 and potentially much longer."

Source: https://www.elliottwavetrader.…For-2026032410156876.html

Key Message von Palobar

Zitat

Long-term, I remain very bullish.

Short-term, today's low might give a bounce. However, I remain cautious. [Unless] gold turns $4649 into support, there is a risk gold will test the $3800s. If gold turns $4649 into support, that will be a strong signal that the bulls have taken control again.