Aus meiner Sicht recht interessante, allgemeine Informationen von "Gold Ventures"
***
Gold Ventures, the Silver junior miners PF
22. September 2022
Gold Ventures
Junior Silver Miners Portfolio
I changed the name of this PF as without a dynamic approach nobody survives a junior bear market. Parameters change all the time. A basket of well selected juniors with a focus on exploration will always outperform major producers, in upturns but even more in downturns. While majors keep making new lows juniors have bottomed and building a new base to launch. While for the 2020 leg (the 1st leg in the new Silver bull market) i focused mainly on proven ounces and development stories, i prefer for this next leg to focus on 1st optionality/proven ounces AND 2nd the most exciting silver discoveries = exploration and add to this some junior producers with agressive business development (Gsilver , Santacruz). Focus is newsflow.
i also like new stories with strong historical data at tiny Mcaps as they have a natural floor and provide a very assymetric bet for potential huge gains (CMC, Hercules, Equity, Finlay), these are higher risk and my advice is allways hold all positions.
Main criteria for selection:
- management team & business development
- share structure
- newsflow and possible dilution, cashed-up or not
- the asset
- grade & number of ounces
- the odds to become a mine
- takeover candidate
- jurisdiction (south america is not a problem for me as long as the overall PF has sufficient spread)
Since March 2021 Gold Ventures works with a due diligence team to scan & follow up on possible holdings: results during the last 18 month bear market have been stellar compared to peers & newsletters.
aim is to ride a Silver short squeeze in Junior silver mining stocks.
during the 2021 bear market, this PF managed a +11% gain (overall gold/silver/commidities result); when the bull resumes i am expecting a multibagger return.
how high can these go in the next bull leg? Let’s say #silver goes to $35 from $18
all these Junior companies would become 5-10 baggers in a very short period of time.
the list is ranked by current position size
first ticker is on Toronto Stock Exchange, second is on the pink sheets otc
CORE BIG POSITIONS (tier 6 - 5-7% position size)
1 AbraSilver Resources $ABRA.v $ABBRF ⛏️ pea + deposit + exploration ⛏️ salta argentina
2 SantaCruz Silver $SCZ.v $SZSMF ⛏️ producer ⛏️ mexico
3 Guanajuato Silver $GSVR.v $GSVRF ⛏️producer + exploration⛏️ mexico
4 Outcrop Silver $OCG.v $OCGSF ⛏️near term deposit + exploration ⛏️ columbia
5 CMC Metals $CMB.v $CMCXF ⛏️deposit + exploration ⛏️canada
6 Summa Silver Corp $SSVR.v $SSVRF ⛏️exploration ⛏️ usa
CORE NORMAL POSITIONS (tier 21 - position size 1.5 - 3%)
7 Kootenay Silver $KTN.v $KOOYF ⛏️deposit + exploration ⛏️ mexico
8 Silver Viper Minerals $VIPR.v $VIPRF ⛏️deposit + exploration⛏️ mexico
9 Eloro Resources $ELO.v $ELRRF ⛏️ exploration ⛏️ bolivia
10 Defiance Silver $DEF.v $DNCVF ⛏️ pea + deposit + exploration ⛏️mexico
11 Hercules Silver Corp $BIG.v $ ⛏️exploration ⛏️ idaho USA
12 Sable Resources $SAE.v $SBLRF ⛏️exploration ⛏️ san juan argentina
13 Minaurum Gold $MGG.v $MMRGF ⛏️exploration ⛏️ mexico
14 Eskay Mining $ESK.v $ESKYF ⛏️ exploration ⛏️ canada
15 Golden Tag Resources $GOG.v $GTAGF ⛏️ deposit + exploration ⛏️ mexico
16 Kuya Silver $KUYA.cn $KUYAF ⛏️near term producer + exploration⛏️ peru
17 Southern Silver Exploration $SSV.v $SSVFF ⛏️ deposit + exploration ⛏️ mexico
18 StrikePoint Gold $SKP.v $STKXF ⛏️deposit + exploration ⛏️ canada
19 Equity Metals Corporation $EQTY.v $EQMEF ⛏️ deposit + exploration ⛏️ canada
20 Pantera Silver $PNTR.v ⛏️exploration ⛏️ mexico
21 Canasil Resources $CLZ.v $CNSUF ⛏️exploration ⛏️ mexico
22 Finlay Minerals $FYL.v $FYMNF ⛏️exploration ⛏️ canada
latest transaction:
Outcrop Silver just published the closing of it’s private placement a week ahead of shedule so i am able to publish it in the PF.
Outcrop Silver
Top tier management team led by CEO Joe Hebert, vice president of exploration from the Lundin group and chairman Ian Slater.
Columbia ranks very high (approx 70) on the Fraser mining index ahead of most SA countries. Underground mining in Columbia gets permitted.
Timing is important here as we can expect lot’s of newsflow with a maiden resource coming out EOY.
Grade is extremely high, into the top tier worldwide Silver projects, with only Silvercrest exceeding.
Guidance for the 1st mineral resource is 45 to 55 M at a whopping average grade 550 to 750 g Eq Ag/t
FYI, Blackrock Silver put out a smaller resource at lower grades and trades 4x higher.
Outcrop has 3 rigs permantly turning. What is exciting is their last 2 news reports where the best untill now: 8.97 metres @ 1,651 grams EqAg/t and 6.93 metres @ 2,184 grams EqAg/t, these are AYA style intercepts (which gave us a 5.5x in 2021 during depressed sentiment)
16km of veins of which now 10% are explored
latest presentation https://outcropsilverandgold.c…entation_sept_13_2022.pdf
valuation proposition: Vizsla trades at 235M, Aya at 773M, Outcrop at 27M
if they can move towards the 100Moz of Silver mark, this becomes a mine and a 400M valuation (at $20 Silver) is a realistic assumption.
taking into account a 20% dilution to reach this goal, upside is 1135% with Silver NOT moving.
i owned this stock before in 2020, a small position.
give the upcoming maiden resource and the rare assymetrical opportunity, i decided to take a sizeable position.
as always, i am biased so DYODD.
owning approx 2.8% of all outstanding shares.
other juniors ranked in categories:
- juniors i liked a lot but where the 1st phase of the Lassonde curve may be behind us: Aya, GoGold
- juniors i like watchlist: Vizsla (serious Mcap but momentum seems gone since we sold, might have to wait for the MRI), Apollo, Sierra Madre, Silver X
- juniors blacklisted : Aurcana Silver corp, GR Silver, Silver Elephant, Excellon
- juniors i like less for various reasons: Discovery Silver, Avino, Silver One, Metallic Minerals, Dolly Varden, Bear Creek, Aftermath, Silver Hammer,
- juniors i follow without having FOMO for now: Brixton Metals, Reyna, Western Alaska Minerals, Core Assets, Prismo Metals
Silver NYSE traded midtiers.
i prefer juniors over majors. Many majors have been very dissapointing on meeting expectations/revenues.
in my opinion a strategy of quality juniors has the same or a bigger potential as buying leaps on majors, without expiration time value.
Expect averaged huge returns (100 bagger potential) over the total length of the bull market since the march 2020 lows. This portfolio is based on 1 simple fact: Silver will eventually exceed it’s highs ($50), i expect this to happen in 2024.
The ultimate high i project for this Silver Bull market is $350.
We want to be positioned in the very few silver penny stocks out there.
Notice while the Gold market has about 500+ possible picks, the Silver market hasn’t much more than 50-75.