Beiträge von Ulfur

    Silver Trust (SLV)


    Total Net Assets 263,651,152


    Ounces of Silver
    in Trust 20,999,769


    Shares Outstanding 2,100,000


    Tonnes of Silver
    in Trust 653.2


    NAV per SLV in Silver 9999.864



    "Die Frage ist doch ob die Cabal, darunter auch Barcleys, die eine der größten Miesemacher in Gold und Silberpreisentwicklung darstellen, das eingelagerte Silber nicht ausleihen, um den Silberpreis zu drücken. "


    Frage und Antwort
    Q: Will the Trust lend or have the ability to lend silver from the portfolio?
    A: No. The custodial agreement does not allow lending, and the Trust does not to intend to lend silver from the portfolio.

    Probleme plagen Goldminen
    Problems plague gold mines
    By: Jim Jones
    Posted: '28-APR-06 08:00' GMT © Mineweb 1997-2004


    JOHANNESBURG (Mineweb.com) -- DRDGOLD is finding that shifting the locus of its operations from its ageing South African mines to the wilds of Fiji and Papua New Guinea is no bed of roses. During this year’s March quarter gold production of 129,657 ounces registered a decline on the December quarter’s 130,257 ounces. But the overall figures hide a multitude of sins.


    In South Africa, overall production increased to 86,678 ounces from December’s 71,407 ounces. Those in the Pacific or Australasian area dropped to 42,979 ounces from the preceding quarter’s 58,850 ounces. And even these globular figures conceal some wide fluctuations at individual mines.


    In South Africa, where the Blyvooruitzicht mine is the great white hope following the abrupt closure of operations at the North West mines, production tumbled to 25,238 ounces from the December period’s 30,190 ounces. There were perfectly good reasons attributed to the fall by management – geological rather than managerial ?( as underground operations were affected by seismicity as well as by lower grades and the earlier-than-expected intersection of a barren underground dyke. It will be recalled that seismicity or, at least, a serious example of it led to the mine closures in North West province.


    So, the South African production increase was largely based on the veteran ERPM mine and to a lesser extent on the Crown dump reprocessing operations.


    In the process, South African operating costs barrelled ahead to $511/oz or R103,159/kg from the December quarter’s $463/oz or R97,532/kg. Of course, this was a better performance than that of the Pacific Ocean mines. [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif] These latter notched up a spectacular cost increase to $514/oz from $314/oz.


    Again, the poor performance of the Pacific area mines was not management’s fault. ?( At the Porgera mine there was a planned reduction in milling, but operations were also hit by strikes, sabotage of electric pylons and the disruption of fuel supplies when a bridge was washed away. [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]


    In Fiji Emperor’s Vatoukula mine was clobbered by water inflows and poor ground conditions.


    And at the Tolukuma mine operations were disrupted by losses of hydro-power, flooding and delays in the delivery of new pumping equipment.


    CE Mark Wellesley Wood has given no indication as to when the problems will be completely resolved [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif], though his report for the quarter provides some grounds for optimism [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif] as or when the various exploration activities outside South Africa bear fruit.


    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.tabaluga.com/dvg/charaktere/images/pechvogel.gif]


    Full details of the quarter’s operations can be found on the company’s website http://www.drdgold.com
    http://www.mineweb.net/sections/gold_silver/273973.htm

    Trotz erzielten Goldpreises von über 560 USD weiterhin rote Zahlen.



    Cast Operating Costs


    Australasien


    Vom Vorquartal 341US$ auf 514 $ gestiegen [Blockierte Grafik: http://img386.imageshack.us/img386/2363/happy8km.gif]


    Südafrika


    Von 463 $ im Vorquartal auf 511$ gestiegen [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]


    Cash Kosten in SA sogar besser als in Australasien !



    Gesamt


    Von 406$ im Dezemberquartal auf 512 $ gestiegen [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]


    Die Marge zum erzielten Goldpreis von 561 USD dürfte leider zu klein sein, um einen erneuten Verlust zu vermeiden.


    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif] [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif] [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]

    Nach den gestrigen EMP-Zahlen, folgen nun die Zahlen der Mutti.


    Die erste Gurke hat das Schiff verlassen - Supi


    Wann findet endlich das Kielholen von MWW statt?


    Ncholo verläßt DRD, nachdem Afrikaplan steckenbleibt
    Ncholo quits DRDGOLD as Africa plan stalls
    Brendan Ryan
    Posted: Fri, 28 Apr 2006


    [miningmx.com] -- DRDGOLD shares have under-performed badly in the current gold bull market and some obvious reasons are to be found in the poor set of March quarter production results released April 28.


    Not only has there been a string of poor operating performances at mines in both South Africa and Australasia, but the haemorrhage of long-serving, senior executives also continues.


    The latest to jump ship is Paseka Ncholo who heads up DRDGOLD’s Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) partner Khumo Bathong. Ncholo follows in the footsteps of former financial director and CEO Ian Murray who left DRDGOLD in November last year and is now resident in Perth, Western Australia.


    Ncholo was the executive chairman of DRDGOLD South Africa (DRDSA) and he was the executive tasked to head up DRDGOLD’s diversification strategy moving into the rest of Africa.


    DRDGOLD CEO, Mark Wellesley-Wood, points out Ncholo remains a non-executive director of DRDSA representing the interests of the Khumo Gold SPV (special purpose vehicle). He describes Ncholo’s departure as "a blow" and says Ncholo left because of increasing demands on his time from other businesses commitments.


    Niel Pretorius as been appointed as acting CEO while a job search is carried out to find a replacement for Ncholo.


    Wellesley-Wood says the planned diversification into Africa has not being going as well as planned [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif] and it’s something he intends tackling as a priority - just as soon as he has the Emperor Mines situation bedded down in Australia.


    The March numbers show sharp cost increases at mines in both South Africa and Australasia and, in particular, a worrying trend of problems with local communities having severe impacts on operations in Papua New Guinea (PNG).


    According to Steve Shepherd, an analyst at JP Morgan, the operational results were “... the worst DRDGOLD overall operating performance we can recall having analysed. [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000116.gif] Forecasting risk is extremely high”.


    “It must be said though, that we think this set of numbers should reflect the group’s nadir (Tiefstpunkt),” Shepherd said. :rolleyes:


    The Tolukuma mine lost ten days of production because of action taken by landowners to block the hydro pipeline. The mine has previously had problems resulting from sabotage of its facilities by local villagers.


    Wellesley-Wood says the Porgera mine - in which DRDGOLD has a 20% stake - lost seven days of production after power pylons were blown up.
    Operations at both mines were also badly affected by the unusually heavy rains which have been hitting most of South East Asia since the beginning of the year.


    Wellesley-Wood reckons the main impact on DRDGOLD’s results comes from the problems at Porgera which is now run by Barrick following its takeover of Placer Dome. DRDGOLD has no input into the management of Porgera.


    Porgera is battling to counter the impact of last year’s collapse of part of the open pit wall. The March numbers show a 26% drop in gold output from the December quarter and an accompanying, horrific 58% jump in cash operating costs to $455/oz from $288/oz previously. [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]


    Back in South Africa, forecast problems at Blyvoor turned out to be worse than expected [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif] as the move of mining operations away from areas of dangerously high seismicity promptly ran into the Alpha Dyke earlier than anticipated. That negatively affected production.


    Underground grade plunged 26% to 4,59g/t (previous quarter - 6,18g/t) while cash operating costs were 15% higher at R109,914/kg (R95,564/kg).


    The only good news came from ERPM where both production and grade from underground sources is rising with the result that cash operating costs dropped 5% to R98,045/kg (R103,518/kg).


    The DRDGOLD share price hit a 12-month peak of 1210c in mid-January at a time when the gold price then sat at record levels around R110,000/kg.


    At current, higher record levels around R123,000/kg the DRDGOLD share price has dropped to around 940c which is 22% down on the January high. That’s a strange situation given the way DRDGOLD has performed in prior bull markets.It’s difficult to believe this company was once known as the "Roodepoort Rocket." [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]


    Wellesley Wood reckons part of the reason is that the market is not seeing the value in DRDGOLD’s Australasian assets which are now held through ASX- listed Emperor Mines in which DRDGOLD has an 88% stake.


    Emperor shares went up 20% on the ASX today after release of the latest, high-grade exploration results from the Tolukuma mine. DRDGOLD shares did not respond.


    Wellesley-Wood comments: "On current share prices Emperor accounts for about 85% of DRDGOLD’s market cap and we’ve got $30m in cash which means that the SA operations are being thrown in for nothing in terms of the current DRDGOLD share price."


    One way of tackling that value problem is the possible split of DRDGOLD into a separate, listed African and Australian operations.
    http://www.miningmx.com/gold_silver/274059.htm

    Produktion von Emperor, also Vatukoula,
    um 15% zurückgegangen. :rolleyes:



    Cash Cost


    Von 762 A$ auf 918 A$, ca 695 US$ gestiegen [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000116.gif]



    Total Cost


    Von 862 A$ auf 1029 A$, ca 778 USD gestiegen [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]


    Würdige Abschiedsvorstellung der alten PEM [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000285.gif]
    (Im nächsten Quartal werden Porgera und Tokuluma zahlenmäßig integiert sein.)


    MWW im Oktober 2005:
    Still, Wellesley-Wood cautioned that he doesn't expect to see significant signs of turnaround at the Australasian operations before June next year.


    MWW hat sein Versprechen bislang gehalten. Auch bis zum März ist noch keine Verbesserung zu erkennen, bei Vatukoula gehts weiter bergab. :D

    Gefahr, daß Droopy Gewinn ausweist, immer größer!


    Advantage Asset Management deputy MD Wayne McCurrie said on Friday that, in the December quarter, the average rand gold price was R3,100/oz compared with R3,400/oz in the first quarter of this year. With costs relatively stable between the two quarters, this could translate into an average 20% rise in profits for gold miners, assuming production was maintained.


    A second analyst, who asked not to be named, said DRDGOLD’s reported production and profits would also benefit from an internal reorganisation. From December 1, 100% of production from ERPM and Crown Mines was attributable to DRDGOLD, which means DRD-GOLD would report the higher percentage ownership for a full three months in the March quarter.


    However, there was a strike at DRDGOLD’s 20%-held Porgera mine in Papua New Guinea during January, which was expected to have affected production, he said.
    Outlook Shiny as Mine Reporting Starts
    http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=19077

    I dagens rapport fra Orion Securities omtales følgende tre aksjer som dagens case:


    Crew (14,30). Legger vi til grunn en gullpris på dagens nivå ($636), viser våre modeller en P/E på 15 for i år fallende til 3,0 neste år og 2,8 i 2008. Med slike multipler er det åpenbart at oppsiden fortsatt er formidabel.
    ...


    >Im Tagesrapport von Orion Securities werden folgende drei Aktien besprochen:


    Crew (14,30). Legen wir den heutigen Goldpreis (636$) zugrunde, weist unser Modell ein KGV von 15 für das Jahr aus, fallend auf 3,0 im nächsten Jahr und 2,8 in 2008. Mit solchen Zahlen ist es offenbar, daß das Aufwärtspotential weiterhin beachtlich ist. <


    Tolles Modell.

    Metorex chairman sells himself short
    Brendan Ryan
    Posted: Thu, 20 Apr 2006


    [miningmx.com] -- SIMON Malone, chairman of diversified junior miner Metorex, sold 5m shares - equivalent to 25% of his total holding in the company - on April 12 and right now must be kicking himself for that decision.



    Reason is the Metorex share price has carried on up driven by the rocketing copper price as well as rising prices for coal, gold and fluorspar which are the other main commodities produced by the group's mines. =)


    Malone sold his shares at 970c each to realise a total of R48,5m. But the Metorex share price hit 1,190c during trading on the JSE today - April 20 - before pulling back to close at around 1,160c level. Had Malone sold at 1,160c he would have made R58m on the trade and pocketed an additional R9,5m.


    Malone describes the situation as "embarrassing." He adds there was "nothing sinister" in his decision to sell which he says was driven by a desire to balance his personal investment portfolio. Malone says it had taken him some six weeks to reach his final decision to sell the stock.


    He's not alone in selling too soon. An inability to anticipate the full extent of what's about to happen in their particular business sectors and to their stock prices is not unusual amongst chairmen and CEO's. The most recent example, apart from Malone, is that of Impala Platinum (Implats) CEO Keith Rumble.


    In September last year Rumble sold 8,884 of his Implats share options at a price of R690.31. No sooner had he done so than the Implats shares started to run hard setting a series of all-time highs until they peaked at R1,270 on April 6.


    Rumble realised R6,1m from the sale of those options. Had he held onto the shares and sold at the peak he would pulled in R11,3m equivalent to 85% more than what he sold for.


    It's worth noting that prior to the September sale Rumble had disposed of another 22,000 of his Implats options at even lower prices in the financial year to June. Metorex has been one of the top performing commodity stocks on the JSE over the past two years and has risen to current levels from an all-time low of 190c which it hit on September 15, 2004. =) =) =)


    The group operates the Chibuluma mine in Zambia which produces around 15,000t of copper annually and is developing the Ruashi-Etoile copper/cobalt project in the Democratic Republic of Congo.


    Phase 1 of Ruashi-Etoile is due to start up in May/June this year producing around 10,000t/year copper and about 1,000t/year of cobalt.


    Phase 2 of this project is forecast to be completed by the first quarter of 2008 and will push total annual copper production to 45,000t and annual cobalt production to 3,500t.
    http://www.miningmx.com/mining_fin/250131.htm


    -----------------


    Das südafrikanische Rechtswesen bietet immer neue Überraschungen. Eine Firma, die Forderungen gegen den Kongo hat, diese aber nicht durchsetzen kann, kann die Bezahlung dieser Forderung von Firmen einklagen, die mit dem Kongo Handel treiben. So fordern jetzt zwei Firmen, die mit Metorex an sich überhaupt nichts zu tun haben, Geld von Metorex. MTX bestreitet die Forderungen, da nicht der kongolesische Staat selbst , sondern nur eine staatliche Firma ihr Handelspartner ist. Erst wars nur eine Firma, die ihre Kongoforderungen von Metorex bezahlt haben wollte, bald sinds zwei; zu hoffen, daß nicht noch andere Schmarotzer kommen. Zum Stand der Auseinandersetzung:
    Congo's Creditors Go After Adastra?
    http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=19001

    Zitat

    THE temporary closure of the gold mine at Vatukoula in Fiji .... would not affect DRDGOLD as the mine was quite small within the group and has been making losses...


    Wenn man jede loss-making Mine bei DRD geschlossen hätte :rolleyes: :D



    Inspektor Closeau lt. Zeitungsartikel vom 28.10.2005:
    Wellesley-Wood announced yesterday that he would be spending more time in to Australia in order to devote a greater portion of his time to the Australasian interests, and the struggling Emperor mine in particular.
    ...
    Still, Wellesley-Wood cautioned that he doesn't expect to see significant signs of turnaround at the Australasian operations before June next year.
    http://www.miningweekly.co.za/?show=76611


    Ein halbes Jahr später wird Fidschi geschlossen, die Wiederaufnahme der vollen Produktion soll erst nach weitern 6 Monaten erfolgen.


    Mit anderen Worten, die bisherigen Restrukturierungsmaßnahmen waren nicht durchschlagend, so daß nach einem Zeitverlust von einem halben Jahr radikale Maßnahmen erfolgen. Die angekündigten "significant signs of turnaround" wird man für die Fidschimine auch im Junibericht nicht entdecken können, es sei denn durch die Stillegung selbst. :D

    [Blockierte Grafik: http://images.amazon.com/images/P/6305308748.01.LZZZZZZZ.jpg]
    In der Hauptrolle: Mark Wellesley-Wood



    Gerade gestern überlegte ich, mich bei Droopy wieder umzuorientieren. Goldpreis im ersten Quartal dauerhaft über der Gewinnschwelle des 2.Hjs 05, inzwischen mehr als 100 $ drüber: Gewinne erscheinen selbst für Droopy unvermeidlich zu sein.


    Aber wenn Du meinst, es geht nicht mehr, kommt irgendwo ein Lichtlein her!