Beiträge von Ulfur

    Ganz recht, Niemand wollte NW haben, der Wert war Null. Ungeachtet einer 300.000 Unzen Jahresproduktion.


    Leider kann Ohne-Rente die Folgerung daraus nicht nachvollziehen, daher noch mal langsam:


    Die Frage war: Wieviel ist DRDGold Südafrika wert? 500 mio?


    Meine Antwort: Möglicherweise nicht viel mehr als NW. Wenn es nicht gelingt, die SA-Operationen profitabel zu gestalten, ist es ziemlich egal, wie hoch die Jahresproduktion oder die Ressourcen sind.
    Wenn DRD Blyvoor den anderen SA-Konkurrenten anbieten würde, liefen die vermutlich schreiend davon. Wer will schon Drooys alte Gruben übernehmen.

    Solange die nicht ihren Laden in Ordnung kriegen, ist der ganze SA-Plunder nicht viel wert.


    Wenn Simmers Buffels wieder profitabel betreiben sollten, wird an der Bewertung nichts auszusetzen sein. MWW jedoch ist nicht in der Lage, Blyvoor in die Gewinnzone zu bringen. Naja, die Halbjahreszahlen kommen bald, lassen wir uns überraschen.


    Aus alten Postings:
    Not much value has been imputed to DRDGOLD’s South African gold assets. DRDGOLD’s 85% in Emperor Gold is worth about US$340m (A$450m) equal to $1.12/share. At DRDGOLD’s share price last week of about $1.30, a mere 18 US cents/share is given to the South African assets.


    This may be justified. The announcement on December 13 that DRDGOLD was to restructure its remaining major South African mine – Blyvooruitzicht – at a cost of nearly R6m is a worry. The cause of the mine plan change is seismicity affecting about 30% of its productive capacity.
    ...
    Management is putting a positive spin on developments but the impression is that DRDGOLD’s South African assets are creaky and need replacing with better quality assets.


    Nun ist Simmers das SA Marginal Gold Play:
    South African analysts said that DRDGOLD’s decision to liquidate its 300,000 oz/year North West province assets in March had removed most of the best leverage from the group.

    Simmers & Jack Mines, chaired by Roger Kebble, bought the North West mines in October for about R45m. According to analysts, Simmers & Jack Mines now takes on the mantle as South Africa’s marginal gold play.


    “They’ve sold off their gearing and would we’d rather buy a share like Simmers & Jack Mines,” said Leon Esterhuizen, an analyst for Investec Securities. “Somebody overseas is catching on to this.”

    Metorex


    Posted: Wed, 18 Jan 2006
    [miningmx.com] --METOREX’S headline earnings are to double to about 15c/share, a statement released by the company on Wednesday reported.


    Metorex, a junior mining company, announced that its headlines earnings for the six months leading up to 31 December 2005 are expected to be between 13c/share and 15c/share. This is almost double the 7.17c/share recorded in the previous year, said Metorex.


    The statement also showed that the company’s basic earnings would be up to between 20c/s and 22c/share from the 4.24c/share recorded on the 31 December 2004.


    Prices for base metals have increased in the last 12 months touching $4,000/t in the case of copper, a metal Metorex produces.
    http://www.miningmx.com/wts/817304.htm

    Längerer Artikel über GPXM


    Golden Phoenix Minerals: The Shoot-Out at Mineral Ridge
    By: D. Stewart Armstrong


    History and Background


    Golden Phoenix (GPXM) is really a page out of the old west in every sensing. It’s difficult not to have a little fun with the story (hence the title) now that the company is finally back on track and in my opinion it is back on track. I’m going to jump right in here at the beginning and then pick up the story line as we progress. I have absolutely no problem recommending the company at this time. I might be a tad early but I’d rather be early than late in this resource market. And my opinion is that GPXM is a buy up to $.50 US, even with over 140 M shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis.
    ...
    http://news.goldseek.com/StewartArmstrong/1137630142.php


    "The name “Golden Phoenix” is so appropriate and I don’t believe for a minute that the folks who named the company so many years ago would have ever dreamt how the company would fit into the mold of its namesake to such a degree of perfection." :rolleyes:

    Hallo Gogh,
    willkommen an Bord, ich hoffe, Du hast Glück mit der Entscheidung.


    Die Aktie ist im Verhältnis zum Goldpreis zurückgeblieben – kein Wunder, denn der Goldausstoß ist zur Marktkap. gesehen noch recht niedrig. Kurstreibend ist da eher die Erreichung der Unternehmensziele, Beseitigung der Probleme mit Nalunaq, Anlaufen der Apexproduktion, Mindorofrage.



    Vielleicht noch ein paar Links zu Infozwecken:


    Obwohl nur Sekundärlisting spielt die Musik an der Osloer Börse mit täglich bis zu 15 Mio gehandelten Aktien, Handel von 9 – 16:20 Uhr:
    http://www.oslobors.no/ob/aksj…se.CRU&menu2show=1.1.2.1.


    Infos bietet folgende, von norwegischen Aktionären gepflegte Webseite (teilweise englische Texte):
    http://www.crewgold.no/


    Norweg. Boards werden aus Sprachgründen weniger interessant sein:
    http://forum.hegnar.no/respons…ew.asp?tickerid=31#TopRef
    http://php.imarkedet.no/cgi-bi…bb=get_topic&f=1&t=004955

    Avocet Mining Up As Gold Contracts Please


    Wednesday, January 18, 2006 4:56:36 AM ET
    Dow Jones Newswires


    0837 GMT [Dow Jones] Avocet Mining (AVM.LN) higher as it announces a renegotiation of contracts that'll result in an improvement in earnings. Analyst Charles Kernot at Seymour Pierce says "one of the issues depressing Avocet's earnings and share price in the past has been the low price at which it sells some of its gold production into forward contracts" thus sees it as good news. Apart from a rise in earnings, the new contracts should additionally provide protection should the price of the metal fall below $450/oz, he adds. Reiterates buy rating. Shares trade +6.1% at 143.75p. (PBA)

    Zitat

    Ist es nicht schön, umgerechnet auf die ausstehenden DRDGold Aktien sind die abgestossenen Minen plötzlich 75 cent an der Börse und nach Goodwin US$2,12 wert


    Das ist der Bewertungsunterschied zwischen erstklassigem Management und Chaosmanagement a la MWW. Ohne die Gurkentruppe könnte DRD ganz woanders stehen.

    Interessant, daß Nick Goodwin Simmers für unterbewertet hält. Sonst tritt er doch, meiner Erinnerung nach, mit der These auf, daß die SA-Goldminen wie GFI und HAR überbewertet seien.


    Simmers worth R5 a share?
    By: Gareth Tredway
    Posted: '17-JAN-06 15:00' GMT © Mineweb 1997-2004


    JOHANNESBURG (Mineweb.com) -- If you think Simmer & Jack looks expensive with a market capitalisation of R1.5 billion, hold on. According to Nick Goodwin, gold analyst at T-Sec in Johannesburg, the share price could just be getting started.


    According to Goodwin, the company’s gold business alone is valued at R2.50 per share, with its uranium prospects valued at another R2.50 per share. Which would give Simmers a value of R4.25 billion.


    “All these things have got to come to pass, they have actually to produce the gold and produce the uranium, but they have got a very good management team there,” Goodwin told the Moneyweb Power Hour, “I think Gordon [Miller] is one of the best managers in the country, and I think they are going to do it.”


    Not worth much last year, Simmers entered the spotlight when, early last year, it bid for and later won the right to purchase for R49 million the DRDGold North West operations that had been liquidated a few months before.
    ...
    On the gold side, Simmers has set itself targets for the middle of this year. They include cash costs at R79,000/kg and production of 230,000oz of gold per year.
    ...


    http://www.mineweb.net/sections/gold_silver/812024.htm

    New SA uranium play formed
    David McKay
    Posted: Tue, 17 Jan 2006


    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.miningmx.com/cm_pic…ent/1540-0-0-0_199811.jpg]
    Gordon Miller, CEO, Simmer & Jack Mines


    [miningmx.com] -- SIMMER & Jack Mines (Simmers), the junior South African gold miner, has established First Uranium Pty Ltd, a company that wants to complete a feasibility study in June ahead of capital raising. The uranium company, South Africa’s second since 2004, is backed by private Canadian firm, First Uranium Corp. (FUC).


    Simmers CEO, Gordon Miller, said in an interview with Miningmx that First Uranium would begin evaluating uranium prospects at gold mines it rescued from liquidation last year.
    ....
    "Our preliminary assumptions of 68 million pounds have been confirmed.” A revised estimate is likely to confirm this figure. A pre-feasibility study into extracting the uranium is underway and should be completed before the end of March
    ...
    http://www.miningmx.com/energy/802767.htm

    Martin Siegel im Chat letzter Woche:


    Frage: durban entwickelt sich in letzter zeit sehr gut.Bruno Bandulet rät bei dieser Aktie zum Verkauf. Teilen Sie die Meinung?


    Martin Siegel: DRD Gold ist ein schwieriges Investment. Nach der Ausgliederung einiger Interessen in die Emperor wird eine Analyse und Bewertung noch schwieriger. Die Aktie wird jedoch von US-Investoren geliebt und zu über 70%! gehalten. Sie verhält sich daher wie ein Zockerwert und wird in solchen Aufwärtsphasen wie aktuell nach oben gerissen. Für mich bleibt die Aktie ein Kauf.

    Deutsche ups S.African gold firms
    Fri Jan 13, 2006 5:54 PM GMT


    JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank upgraded South Africa's three major gold producers Gold Fields Ltd, AngloGold Ashanti Ltd and Harmony Gold Ltd to "Buy" from "Sell" on Friday.


    They were upgraded on the back of increases in Deutsche Bank's gold price forecasts, and Gold Fields was also singled out as the sector pick, a Deutsche official told Reuters in Johannesburg.


    Midcap South African gold producer DRDGOLD was also upgraded to "Buy" from "Sell", he added. [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000116.gif][Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000116.gif][Blockierte Grafik: http://www.smiliemania.de/smilie132/00000116.gif]


    Deutsche earlier said in London it had upgraded its gold price forecast by 16 percent to $570 an ounce for 2006 and by 26 percent to $660 for 2007. To see gold price story, double click on.
    ...
    http://za.today.reuters.com/ne…S-GOLDFIELDS-20060113.XML

    GOLD ROARS BACK TO LIFE


    The market has been attracting ever more money since the start of the year, as more funds diversify their portfolios into commodities for better returns compared with stocks, bonds and currencies.


    Gold surged 18 percent in 2005 while silver was up by 30 percent from the previous year.


    Spot gold <XAU=> rose to $556.50/557.25 an ounce in late trade, sharply higher than New York's previous $547.80/548.50.


    Silver <XAG=> was hot on gold's heels, rising to $9.10/9.13 from $8.99/9.02 previously.


    "I hear there is some quite good buying in investment products and we are seeing very good demand for bars here," one German trader said.


    Investor interest in exchange-traded gold funds has soared since the end of 2005. These products, traded on some of the world's major stock exchanges, give investors a share of a bar of gold.


    Analysts estimate the five ETFs now hold some 384 tonnes of gold -- equivalent to the gold reserves of Russia.


    "Gold is more and more becoming an insurance policy against any type of disruptive risk and most portfolio managers believe that gold is an asset which should not be missed in their portfolios," Frederic Panizzutti, senior vice president at MKS, said in the firm's outlook report for 2006.


    (Additional reporting by Zach Howard in New York and Atul Prakash in London)
    Aus:
    http://today.reuters.com/inves…icle.aspx?type=goldMktRpt

    Interessanter Bericht über den Streik in der größten Kupferlagerstätte der Welt, Codelco´s El Teniente (Der Leutnant) sowie die miserablen Arbeitsbedingungen. Reguläre Arbeiter werden durch Leiharbeiter, die zu Mindestlöhnen arbeiten müssen, und zunehmend durch Maschinen ersetzt. Die Profite durch den Kupferboom steckt sich der Staat ein.


    Aufruhr im Kupfer-Imperium
    http://www.handelsblatt.de/psh…6/SH/0/depot/0/index.html!200007,203855,1017586/SH/0/depot/0/index.html