Beiträge von GOLD_Baron


    Die letzten Warrents laufen Ende der Woche aus! Danach gehts dann langsam und stetig aufwärts.


    Wer das Potenzial hier nicht sehen mag ist selber Schuld!

    Zitat

    Original von silverchiller
    Du machst es dir echt immer einfach. So lange drehen bis es passt.
    Ich sag dazu nichts mehr, soll jeder seine eigenen Research machen.


    Das klang gerade sehr kritisch. Kann sein, dass ich das mache, aber findest du denn, dass ich Unrecht haben muss...


    Wir können uns auch jeden Tag unterhalten, dass der POG nochmals massiv runtergehen wird, bevor wir die oft gennanten Kursziele von 1000 USD sehen werden.


    Es tut mir auch Leid, dass ich etwas optimistischer bin für die Minen. Sollte es so sein, dass Dein Depot voller Explorer ist, würde ich allerdings auch besorgt darein schauen...


    Schönen Abend! ;)


    AUFHOLPOTENZIAL! ANSCHNALLEN...


    ;)

    Aktuell: US Anstehende Hausverkäufe März


    01.05.2007
    terminecheck.de


    Uhrzeit: 16:00
    Ort: Washington, D.C.
    Land: Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika
    Uhrzeit vor Ort: 10:00


    Veröffentlichung der Zahlen zum US-amerikanischen Index zu den anstehenden Hausverkäufen ("Pending Home Sales Index") für März 2007


    Der US-amerikanische Index zu den anstehenden Hausverkäufen ist im März um 4,9 % auf 104,3 gestiegen. Erwartet wurde ein Plus in Höhe von 0,4 % nach zuletzt +0,7 %.


    http://www.aktiencheck.de/artikel/news-Termine-1522946.html


    AUGENWISCHEREI? BEWUSSTE MANIPULATION VON ZAHLEN?


    Hallo Edel Man,


    es ging ihm glaube nicht um das Ende des Hype, sondern eher um den Aspekt einer bevorstehenden massiven Konsilidierung / Meltdown / ein neues 1987 an den Märkten. Das Ende des Hype bei Gold ist nicht absehbar meines Erachtens - dazu braucht es wirklich das immer öfter genannte Beispiel, dass Gold auf der Titelseite der TIMES angeprießen wird. Meines Erachtens nach nicht vor 2009/2010.

    Zitat

    Original von silverchiller
    Um Gold und Silber mach ich mir kene Sorgen, aber um die Miningshares. Am Ende könnten die Gurus wie Sinclair, Butler, etc recht behalten und das physische Investment ist der Gewinner. Erst recht, wenn die Mainstream Märkte auf die große Tauchfahrt gehen.


    Woher zum Teufel kommt das Gold und Silber denn? Aus den Märkten oder aus der Erde? Selbst wenn alle Mining Shares im beginnenden Krisenszenario wegen Angst und Panik kurzfristig runtergehen sollten, so wird sich Qualität rauskristallieren: Producer, Cash-Flow, gute Ressourcen als Merkmale u.a.!
    Explorer überstehen eine Krise nicht - diese Investments kann man dann getrost abschreiben. Aber warum sollte bspws. eine produzierende Mine untergehen? Bei einem POG von 1000$ liegen selbst bei schwerster Inflation die Kosten nicht höher als 400 USD/Unze (basierend auf dem Dollar auf aktuellem Wertelevel!). Etwas differenzieren muss man dann schon. Die Gefahr der Enteignung sehe ich bei den meisten Minen als größeres Problem. Eine Kernschmelze an den Aktienmärkten werden die guten Mining Shares im Nachhinein überstehen, wenn nicht sogar outperformen!

    Größte Bank der Welt fürchtet Zerschlagung


    Die Citigroup fürchtet, zum Ziel von Hedgefonds zu werden. Um sich gegen feindliche Übernahmen zu wehren, dringen Top-Manager der weltweit größten Bank nun darauf, den Wert des Konzerns zu steigern. So soll eine Zerschlagung verhindert werden.


    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.spiegel.de/img/0,1020,844110,00.jpg]
    Citigroup: Mit einem Börsenwert von aktuell 261,65 Milliarden Dollar der teuerste Finanzkonzern der Welt


    [URL=http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/0,1518,480214,00.html]http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/0,1518,480214,00.html[/URL]

    America for Sale


    Clive Maund
    Apr 30, 2007


    Many investors have been taken by surprise by the sudden strength in the broad US stockmarkets, especially given the severe structural problems of the US economy. The breakout to new highs by the Dow Jones Industrials was predicted in a Marketwatch article on 13th April, based on volume studies. The S&P500 index has not as yet broken out to new highs, but is close to doing so and is expected to shortly. What are the reasons for this sudden strength and to what extent is it an illusion?


    http://www.321gold.com/editorials/maund/maund043007.html

    THE ROAD TO HYPERINFLATION


    by Captain Hook
    http://www.treasurechests.info
    April 30, 2007


    Below is an excerpt from a commentary that originally appeared at Treasure Chests for the benefit of subscribers on Thursday, April 5th, 2007.


    Private equity deals have replaced the consumer in continuance of expanding the macro-credit cycle, where the deals just keep getting bigger and bigger in the race to become more efficient operationally. This is how bankers are currently managing growth in the credit cycle, but with deflationary forces now bearing down on macro credit growth trends on the commercial side of the equation too, to go along with an exhausted consumer, it must be recognized the larger cycle is set to wind down in coming days. This of course would not be good for inflation bulls if not replaced with something else to keep the larger monetary base growing.


    http://www.financialsense.com/…ials/petch/2007/0430.html

    Andy Xie warns of China crash


    By Wee Sui Lee


    SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley former star economist Andy Xie warned of an imminent stock market crash in China -- but still hopes to raise money to invest in the country.


    Xie, who attracted a wide following while he was at Morgan Stanley (MS.N: Quote, Profile, Research because of his often contrarian views on China's economy and stock markets, also warned that the global boom in equities would be over by 2008 and that this would coincide with a worldwide recession.


    The recession would start from the United States and spiral down into Asia where exporters would be hit, Xie, 46, told Reuters in a telephone interview.


    http://www.reuters.com/article…dge/idUSSIN15117620070430

    Inflation, Dow 13K and the Second Great Depression


    April 26, 2007
    Michael Nystrom, MBA


    When I was about 9 years old, my father took my elder sister and me to see a performance by a famous magician called Blackstone. What I remember most about the show is when Blackstone, with a flourish of his cape, made an elephant appear onstage out of thin air. It was an astonishing feat, and the crowd - including me - went wild with applause. I had no idea how he did it. After the show however, as we were exiting the theater, my elder sister said, “I didn’t see what was so great about that elephant. It just walked onto the stage and everyone started clapping.”


    My sister’s revelation was just as amazing as the trick itself, which suddenly made perfect sense. Blackstone had used some kind of sleight of hand, distracting the audience over here while he got the elephant to walk on stage over there. With this simple, well-known magician’s tactic, he managed to fool just about everyone.


    Yesterday, as the Dow “smashed its all time high,” closing above 13,000 for the first time in history, I was strangely reminded of Blackstone’s performance that day some thirty years ago. The Dow’s current levitating act is the result of another well-known sleight of hand trick used by central bankers. It's called inflation. Even so, most everyone is mesmerized by the performance. Everyone seems transfixed, clapping in amazement at this spectacular feat.

    Dollar's drop challenges U.S. power


    NEW YORK: The United States may have no military equals, but the challenges to its financial power have become impossible to ignore.


    A stark reminder came on Friday when the weakening dollar slumped to a record low against its main rival, the euro, after the U.S. economy recorded its fourth consecutive quarter of below-trend growth. The euro hit a record high of $1.3680.


    The strength of the dollar is more than just a matter of bragging rights. Experts say the consequences of its long-term decline could have deep significance - for average Americans and for the country's position as an unrivaled global power.


    http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/04/27/business/dollar.php

    Russian boom 'will end in pain'


    By Stefan Wagstyl, East Europe Editor


    Russia's financial boom will come to a painful end "in the near future", a leading London banker with long experience of the country warned on Monday. 8o


    After seven years of growth, Russia was reaching its capacity limits in an expansion fuelled by credit, much of it from foreign markets, said Hans-Joerg Rudloff, chairman of Barclays Capital, the investment banking arm of Barclays.


    http://www.euro2day.gr/articlesfna/33299050/

    Outside of gasoline, US consumers spending fell 0.2% - worst showing since Katrina


    Consumer spending rose at the slowest rate in five months in March, even though personal incomes posted a solid gain.


    The Commerce Department reported that consumer spending on all items was up 0.3% last month, the slowest increase since a similar rise in October. Incomes rose 0.7%, the fourth straight solid month of income growth.


    The spending performance was even weaker when the effects of higher gasoline prices were removed. After adjusting for price increases, consumer spending actually fell 0.2% in March, the poorest showing since the fall of 2005 when the economy was suffering the aftershocks of Hurricane Katrina...


    http://www.usatoday.com/money/…-30-income-spending_N.htm

    UPDATE DUTTON REPORT


    in 2007 noch: 6.034.000 $ Net Income 8o 8o 8o


    2008: 17.096.000 $ Net Income 8o 8o 8o


    Dutton gibt das vorläufige Kursziel mit 3 USD für Ende 2007 an!



    SHARES OUTSTANDING: 78,000,000 Approx.
    FLOAT: 49,000,000 Approx.


    STOCK SYMBOLS: RSM.V and RYSMF-OTCBB


    http://www.royalstandardminerals.com


    Dutton Associates Announces Investment Opinion: Royal Standard Strong Speculative Buy Rating in Update Coverage by Dutton Associates


    Monday April 30, 12:00 pm ET


    EL DORADO HILLS, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dutton Associates updates its coverage of Royal Standard Minerals (OTCBB:RYSMF - News) maintaining a rating of Strong Speculative Buy and a target price at $3.00. The 18-page report by Dutton senior analyst Mike Niehuser is available at http://www.jmdutton.com as well as from First Call, Bloomberg, Zacks, Reuters, Knobias, and other leading financial portals.


    Progress by Royal Standard Minerals Inc., as outlined in our Introductory Report dated February 26, 2007, continues to support our underlying investment thesis and basis for rating. The primary components of this thesis include initiating production at its Goldwedge project, and development and exploration of its Railroad-Pinon projects in the Carlin Trend and Fondaway project on the western slope of the Stillwater Mountains east of Reno, Nevada. The Company is nearing completion of construction of its processing facility at its Goldwedge project in the historic Manhattan Mining District in central Nevada. The facility should commence production at low levels in April 2007 increasing the rate of production during 2007. This should begin to provide cash flow to the Company from production. As of the end of October 2006, the Company had approximately $11.7 million in cash. They have completed magnetic surveys at both the Goldwedge and the Railroad projects and have contracted for drilling to test selected deep drill targets initially on the Goldwedge property. These efforts during a period of sustained higher metal prices provides conviction that the Company as an investment should be viewed more favorably at the end of 2007 which should lead to appreciation of its stock price.


    About Dutton Associates


    Dutton Associates is one of the largest independent investment research firms in the U.S. Its 31 senior analysts are primarily CFAs, and have expertise in many industries. Dutton Associates provides continuing analyst coverage of over 140 enrolled companies, and its research, estimates, and ratings are carried in all the major databases serving institutions and online investors.


    The cost of enrollment in our one-year continuing research program is US $39,500 prepaid for 4 Research Reports, typically published quarterly, and requisite Research Notes. Dutton Associates received $39,500 from the Company for 4 Research Reports with coverage commencing on 2/26/2007. We do not accept payment of our fees in company stock. Our principals and analysts are prohibited from owning or trading in securities of covered companies. The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst's personal views about the subject securities or issuer. Neither the analyst's compensation nor the compensation received by us is in any way related to the specific ratings or views contained in this research report or note. Please read full disclosures and analyst background at http://www.jmdutton.com before investing.


    Further information about this report contact Rich Kaiser, 800-631-8127, http://www.yesinternational.com


    http://www.jmdutton.com/research/rsm/reports/rsm_report_0430…

    Indiens gefährlicher Konsumkredit-Trip


    Von Thomas Schmitt, Bangalore


    Lange Zeit wollten Indiens Verbraucher vom Schuldenmachen nichts wissen. Nun stürmt die neue Mittelklasse mit Kreditkarten bewaffnet in die Einkaufszentren, Banken werfen ihr Baudarlehen hinterher. Ein riskantes Spiel: Viele Verbraucher überschätzen ihre Möglichkeiten.


    Bangalore - Indiens Banken und Bürger entdecken den Verbraucherkredit. Über die Medien, das Mobiltelefon und E-Mailverteiler versuchen in- und ausländische Finanzinstitute unermüdlich, Neukunden anzulocken. Fast täglich eröffnet irgendwo eine neue Bankfiliale, die Kredite für Autos, Zweiräder oder Immobilen anbietet. Nennenswerte Einkommensgarantien werden selten eingefordert.


    [URL=http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/0,1518,479932,00.html]http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/0,1518,479932,00.html[/URL]

    The Stagflation Party


    By Seth Jayson
    April 27, 2007


    You know that guy who couldn't control himself once he got excited? The one who'd put a lampshade on his head before tossing the keg out the window of the dorm? The one who never stopped screaming "Wooooo!" even when everyone else was tired and just wanted to go to sleep?


    Well, it seems he moved to Wall Street. Today, he heard the news that the party has not only ended, but that the cops might be busting heads. Yet he's still going "Wooooo!" The new stock highs we're approaching seem boring compared to the enthusiasm for certain companies. Look at what's happening at Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN) or Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL). How about Netgear (Nasdaq: NTGR) and Cummins (NYSE: CMI)? Mr. Market seems to believe all is well. I don't buy it.


    But that's only because Wall Street's enthusiasm doesn't make much sense. The Department of Commerce today reported that the economy's growth slowed to a trickle. Worst in four years, the headlines say. And to make matters worse, inflation is heading up. That's what they used to call "stagflation," and it's the kind of thing that crippled the U.S. for years.


    Not that the government wants you to know it. In fact, the headline news at the Department of Commerce's "economic news" page is a three-week old, now completely laughable piece of Bush Administration propaganda. "President Bush's pro-growth formula continues to produce positive results -- strong job creation, solid GDP growth ..." claims Secretary Carlos Gutierrez, when in fact the numbers tell an uglier truth. (Amazingly, nowhere on the page do the GDP numbers appear at all. Nor will you even find a link to them. You'll find them on a separate site, courtesy of your favorite search engine. Way to go, Mr. G.)


    In fact, the GDP crawled forward only 1.3% in the first quarter, way below what economists expected, and about half of the 2.5% growth the economy achieved in Q4. The same release notes that the index of prices consumers paid for goods shows an increase of 3.6% for the quarter, as opposed to 0.2% in Q4. If you live in that fantasy world where gas and food prices don't matter (you know, the one politicians live in), then prices are still seemingly increasing at a 2.8% clip.


    Headlines already pin the blame on the housing market, with some good reason. Wednesday's new-home sales numbers showed a 23.5% year-over-year drop for March (subject to a 7.9% margin of error). That means there's nearly eight months' worth of inventory on the market. The relative glut hasn't strangled builders like D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) and Beazer Homes (NYSE: BHZ) as much as we might expect, but epic bubbles don't always unravel quickly.


    It does mean that Americans can't count on the old housing ATM anymore, which is troubling, because those Commerce Department numbers show, once again, that net savings is negative. So what happens when prices go up, the economy slows, and there's no more easy spending money?


    The rest of the press is asleep out there, making the usual calls to economists to provide nonsensical, soothing soundbites like "the economy was taking a breather." But Fools ought to give more thought to the possibility that things aren't as great as everyone pretends -- and that someday, it might just have an effect on earnings and stock prices.


    http://www.fool.com/investing/…he-stagflation-party.aspx

    Poor U.S. growth sends dollar to historic record euro low


    Weaker-than-expected U.S. growth for the first quarter drove the dollar to a record low against the euro on Friday and added to losses on equity markets.


    The data stoked expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut U.S. interest rates.


    Wall Street looked set for a poor start after the Commerce Department said weaker exports and a steady slide in spending on homebuilding had helped slow U.S. economic growth to its softest pace in four years...


    http://www.reuters.com/article…934_TOPSTORY_growth_slows



    Inflation rages at fastest pace in 16 years


    Inflation rages at fastest pace in 16 years, data show


    Hit by rising energy prices and a weak housing market, the U.S. economy slowed to real annualized growth of 1.3% in the first quarter, the weakest rate of expansion seen in four years, the Commerce Department estimated Friday.


    The government's initial estimate of gross domestic product adjusted for inflation was lower than the 1.7% that economists surveyed by MarketWatch had anticipated. See Economic Calendar.
    The economy has grown 2.1% over the past four quarters, the weakest real growth since the year ending in first quarter of 2003, when the economy was struggling to revive from a shallow recession.


    http://www.marketwatch.com/new…%2DB7CA%2D71786DCF08FF%7D



    U.S. Economy Expanded at 1.3%, Slowest Pace in Four Years


    The U.S. economy grew in the first quarter at the slowest pace in four years, hobbled by the slump in home construction and a bigger trade deficit.


    The 1.3 percent annual growth rate was less than forecast and followed a 2.5 percent fourth-quarter pace, the Commerce Department reported today in Washington. A measure of inflation watched by the Federal Reserve rose at a faster pace.


    Consumer spending kept the expansion alive as the slowdown in housing extended to a sixth quarter, the longest continuous slide in a generation. A burst of inflation last quarter will prevent Federal Reserve policy makers from lowering interest rates to stimulate growth, economists said...


    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/…d=afoOS8P4WWpE&refer=news



    Confidence of US consumers drops to seven-month low


    Confidence among U.S. consumers dropped to a seven-month low in April as concerns about fuel prices, inflation and home values intensified, a private report today showed.


    The Reuters/University of Michigan's final index of sentiment declined to 87.1 this month from 88.4 in March. The reading compares with a preliminary April figure of 85.3.


    A drop in confidence at the start of the second quarter raises that concern consumer spending, which accounts for more two-thirds of the economy, will cool in coming months. Less spending would make the economy more vulnerable to declines in housing and business investment that undermined growth last quarter...


    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/…d=awUjW.XmTUgM&refer=news


    Hier wird eine neue Weltreservewährung - kurzfristig - versucht aufzubauen