Beiträge von GoldenCentury

    02 Nov 2004 10:04



    02.11.2004 09:26:30 Tokyo gold weighed down by oil, platinum weak



    TOKYO, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Tokyo gold futures slipped on Tuesday after falls in oil prices induced heavy liquidation as inflation fears faded.


    The fall in benchmark U.S. light crude oil futures below $50 a barrel dealt a psychological blow to yen-based gold futures on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) and investors quickly unwound long positions.


    The dollar's slight recovery and an easier spot bullion price added to the bearish mood in TOCOM gold, which then spread to other precious metals and pushed platinum down to its lowest level since late July.


    "The falls in crude oil have had a big psychological impact on gold as the rise in oil had basically started the uptrend," said Tatsuo Kageyama, an analyst at Kanetsu Asset Management.


    "Gold is becoming less sensitive to the bearish dollar as the market appeared to have factored this in already."


    Traders said investors and fund managers had piled up massive positions in gold and were looking for a reason to unwind them ahead of the results of the U.S. presidential election.


    A series of polls showed that the presidential race between incumbent George W. Bush and Democratic Senator John Kerry was extraordinarily close.


    The benchmark October gold contract closed down 11 yen per gram at 1,459 yen. Other contracts finished 7 to 13 yen lower.


    At 0731 GMT, spot gold was quoted at $425.00/5.75 an ounce from $426.75/7.50 last quoted in New York. It had hit a one-week high of $430.15 on Monday.


    The key crude oil contract fell below $50 a barrel on rising U.S. oil inventories and recovering U.S. Gulf output.


    TOCOM platinum fell to a three-month low.


    "Platinum has been losing attraction due to views that demand for industrial use would fall in the future," said a senior trader at a Japanese trading house.


    "Physical demand was expected to emerge around current levels, but apparently we haven't seen much buying."


    Traders said most end-users were expected to refrain from buying until the spot price dropped below $800 per ounce.


    Spot dollar-based platinum stood at $824/$829 on Tuesday compared with $832/$836 in New York on Monday.


    TOCOM platinum futures closed down 38 yen per gram at 2,756 yen. Other contracts closed 20 to 50 yen lower.


    "The trend in the global economy looks strong, but recently we've seen some signals indicating that the economy might not be as strong as earlier expected," the senior trader said.


    The initial U.S. government estimate of U.S. third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was an annualised 3.7 percent, compared with analysts' expectations of 4.2 percent.


    Below are closing prices for TOCOM's most active precious metals contracts, with the day's turnover for each metal.


    Closing prices are in yen per gram except for silver, which is in yen per 10 grams:


    For open interest details please click

    Closing price Turnover (lots)
    GOLD 1,459 (down 11) 80,883
    SILVER 246.3 (down 1.4) 2,810
    PLATINUM 2,756 (down 38) 83,893
    PALLADIUM 731 (down 5) 498

    01 Nov 2004 21:23



    01.11.2004 21:07:17 NY gold closes lower on oil's fall before election



    NEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - COMEX gold futures settled lower on Monday, pressured by a firmer dollar and a drop in oil prices, though the safe haven metal stayed propped up by uncertainty over the neck-and-neck U.S. presidential contest.


    December gold fell $1.20 to $428.20 an ounce at the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division, after trading in a range from $431.60 to $427. Estimated volume was 51,000 contracts.


    "We had fairly light trade all day today. People have gotten themselves where they want to be in front of the election and are now going to just wait it out. I expect an even quieter day tomorrow," said Paul McLeod, a precious metals vice president at Commerzbank Securities.


    Gold lost some of its safe haven appeal, backtracking from the $430 level, as the ailing dollar inched up against the euro while crude oil fell sharply.


    Oil fell below $50 a barrel on speculation that an election win for Senator John Kerry could ease the geopolitical friction that helped fuel this year's record breaking rally.


    A Reuters poll on Sunday showed President George W. Bush and his Democrat rival Senator John Kerry tied with 48 percent of the vote.


    A firm dollar hurts demand for dollar-denominated gold because it gets pricier for those holding foreign currencies. Lower oil cuts interest in gold as a hedge against inflation.


    McLeod said he expected gold on Tuesday to keep to a range from about $425-to-$430 in more action muted by the election.


    "The long-term trend is still up, but I think in the short-term there is a chance for a bit of a correction before we push onward again," he said.


    "The vulnerability is more to the downside but I don't think we'll break any of our long-term trends, and we continue to look for price improvement through the rest of this quarter and into next year."


    Technically, Tim Evans of IFR Markets pegged resistance in December gold at $432 an ounce, $433.40 and then $436.50, the contract's high dating back to April, with support at Friday's low at $425 and then at weekly lows of $421.70, $416.10 and $410.50.


    Spot gold fetched $426.75/7.50, below Friday's New York close at $428.15/8.90. Monday's late London fix was at $428.85.


    By midafternoon, the euro slid to $1.2745 , down from $1.2790 late on Friday and well off last Tuesday's eight-month high at $1.2840.


    U.S. crude sank $1.84, or 3.6 percent, to $49.92 a barrel.


    COMEX December silver rose 2.5 cents to $7.33 an ounce. Spot silver priced at $7.32/35, above the previous close at $7.26/29. London's fix was at $7.24.


    Evans saw resistance lurking at $7.53 and then the $7.84-8.07 area, with support at $7.06, $6.91 and $6.80.


    January platinum lost 60 cents to finish at $832.40 an ounce. Spot platinum was at $832.00/836.00.


    Thinly traded December palladium eased $1.45 to $210.75 an ounce. Spot palladium hit $207.00/211.00.


    © Reuters 2004

    01 Nov 2004 18:33



    01.11.2004 18:20:17 Commodities News Summary


    TOP NEWS
    > CBOT wheat falls double-digits on fund selling [nN01566949]


    CHICAGO - Broad-based selling by commodity funds drove Chicago Board of Trade wheat futures to double-digit losses early on Monday, traders said.


    - - - -



    > Harmony urges shareholders to approve Gold Fields [nWEN8721]


    NEW YORK - Harmony Gold Mining Co (/HARJ.J) on Monday published an open letter to shareholders urging them to to vote in favor of its proposed merger with Gold Fields (/GFIJ.J) at a special meeting Nov 12.


    - - - -



    GRAINS/OILSEEDS/LIVESTOCK > UPDATE 1-Canada hog exports to rise after plant st [nN01712598]


    WINNIPEG, Manitoba - Workers at Ontario's second-largest hog slaughter plant went on strike on Monday, their union said, meaning the province's marketer needs to find space for 28,000 hogs at plants in Quebec and the United States this week.


    - - - -



    > Jordan tenders to buy 100,000 T feed barley [nL0150176]


    HAMBURG - Jordan's state grains buyer has issued a tender for the purchase of 100,000 tonnes of optional-origin feed barley, traders said on Monday.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 1-S.Korea's MFG buys 50,000 tonnes China co [nSEO210541]


    SEOUL - Members of South Korea's Major Feedmills Group (MFG) bought a total of 50,000 tonnes of Chinese corn for feed production through private talks in late October, traders said on Monday.


    - - - -



    > Israeli group tenders to buy up to 25,000 T maize [nL01685982]


    HAMBURG - A consortium of Israeli private buyers has issued a tender to purchase between 20,000 to 25,000 tonnes of European-origin maize, European traders said on Monday.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 1-Cyprus suffers rare locust invasion [nL01614463]


    NICOSIA - Millions of marauding locusts made a rare show in Cyprus on Monday, alarming farmers who rushed for the pesticides to protect their crops.


    - - - -



    METALS > UPDATE 1-Stillwater Mining swings to profit in thi [nN01651336]


    NEW YORK - Stillwater Mining Co. (/SWC.N), the sole U.S. producer of platinum and palladium, on Monday posted a third-quarter profit, reversing a year-earlier loss, on soaring metals prices.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 1-Norddeutsche sees copper TC/RCs of $117-$ [nL01652419]


    HAMBURG - Norddeutsche Affinerie (NAFG.DE), Europe's largest copper producer, said on Monday that copper treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) of between $117/11.7 cents to $120/12 cents have been reached in the spot market.


    - - - -



    > Norilsk opens nickel mine in Russian north [nL25506685]


    ZAPOLYARNY, Russia - The world's top nickel producer, Norilsk Nickel (/GMKN.RTS), opened a new nickel mine on Monday in Russia's north in a move aimed to compensate for an ore output fall at its main mine there.


    - - - -



    > INTERVIEW-Van Dieman Mines sees quick tin start-up [nL29392537]


    LONDON - Van Dieman Mines Plc, which will list on London's Alternative Investment Market (AIM) later this month, expects to be producing tin and sapphires from its Tasmanian operations within 12 months.


    - - - -



    > ANALYSIS-China aluminium export curbs hit small sm [nHKG130513]


    HONG KONG - China's latest push to curb exports from its power-hungry aluminium sector will force many small smelters to sell up or close next year, but the country is still likely to produce up to 10 percent more metal in 2005.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 1-Russia to approve Alcoa aluminium plant d [nL01697019]


    MOSCOW - Russia will approve Alcoa's (/AA.N) takeover of the country's two biggest aluminium processing plants from RUSAL, but will continue to monitor the U.S. giant's dealings with Russian companies, officials said on Monday.


    - - - -



    COCOA/COFFEE > UPDATE 1-Few signs of Ivory Coast cocoa strike so [nL01398504]


    ABIDJAN - Cocoa exporters in Ivory Coast were open for business on Monday as striking farmers seemed reluctant to restore road blocks or go to the ports on the morning of a public holiday in the world's top cocoa grower.


    - - - -

    Man kann natürlich auch so rum argumentieren,lol..........



    01 Nov 2004 17:57



    01.11.2004 17:51:44 Börsianer - Erwartung von Kerry-Sieg drückt den Ölpreis



    London, 01. Nov (Reuters) - Die Ölpreise haben nach wochenlangen Rekordständen am Montag erneut stark nachgelassen. Händler machten dafür die Erwartung eines Sieges des Demokraten John Kerry bei der US-Präsidentenwahl am Dienstag verantwortlich.


    Der Preis für ein Barrel (rund 159 Liter) der führenden Nordseesorte Brent zur Lieferung im Dezember sank im Nachmittagshandel um 2,48 Dollar auf 46,50 Dollar. Auch US-Leichtöl ließ um 2,01 Dollar auf 49,75 Dollar je Barrel nach. "Die Erwartung ist, dass Kerry gewinnt, was den Ölpreis drückten würde", sagte ein Händler in London. "Der Markt ist sehr, sehr nervös vor der Wahl", sagte ein zweiter Händler zu der Preisentwicklung.


    che/sws

    01 Nov 2004 17:52



    01.11.2004 17:49:45 NYMEX crude falls sharply as key $50 level yields



    NEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - NYMEX crude and heating oil futures fell fast and hard Monday morning as traders and players took profits on recent gains before Tuesday's U.S. presidential election.


    At 11:40 a.m. EDT (1645 GMT), NYMEX December crude was down $1.81 at $49.95 a barrel after breaching key support at $50 and slipping to a session low of $49.40.


    "This selling carries the psychological impact of last week's sell-off. People are taking profits, with funds among them," said Ed Silliere, trader at Energy Merchant.


    NYMEX December heating oil fell 6.16 cents to $1.4025 a gallon.


    In London, Brent crude was down $2.18 at $46.80 a barrel.


    Technical analysts said the market remained vulnerable to profit-taking pressure.


    Last week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said domestic crude stocks rose a more-than-expected 4 million barrels to 283.4 million barrels. That was the fifth straight week of an inventory increase, coming amid strong crude imports, and caused oil prices to fall almost $5 in two days.


    In Nigeria, unions voted to strike from Nov. 16 to protest rising fuel prices. The country produces 2.3 million barrels per day of oil.


    China's decision last week to raise interest rates and cool off its economy and U.S. government weekly inventory data showing U.S. crude stocks rose for the fifth week in a row eased some of the concerns over winter fuel supplies.


    A Reuters survey released on Monday showed growth in manufacturing slowed from the euro zone to Japan in October.


    December gasoline was down 3.95 cents at $1.289 a gallon. Support was seen at $1.285 with resistance at $1.35.


    The New York Mercantile Exchange has launched a Brent crude futures trading floor in Dublin from Monday, starting from 1000 GMT.


    © Reuters 2004

    Bis 49,40 habens sie's geschaftt,bravo! GWB kann schon den Sekt kaltstellen..............


    01 Nov 2004 17:24



    01.11.2004 17:22:25 Europe gold ends marginally down, eyeing US poll



    * Spot gold eases slightly to end at $427.70/428.50 per troy ounce by 1615 GMT, compared with $428.15/428.90 quoted late on Friday in New York.


    * Bullion little changed in Europe after market touched $430 in Asian dealings. Market wary of moving sharply ahead of U.S. presidential election on Tuesday.


    * Silver down in line with gold at $7.21/7.24 by 1620 GMT, compared with $7.26/7.29 last quoted in New York on Friday.


    * Platinum broadly flat at $832.00/836.00, compared with $832.00/837.00 in New York.


    * Palladium falls to $207.00/211.00, from $210.50/216.50 previously.

    Das ist ein Wahlkampf,Öl verliert 2 Dollar innerhalb einer halben Stunde,lol!



    01 Nov 2004 17:17



    01.11.2004 17:10:00 NYMEX oil falls more than $1 on technical selling



    NEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - U.S. crude futures fell more than $1 Monday morning amid sharp technical selling.


    At 11:12 a.m. EST (1612 GMT), NYMEX December crude futures were down $1.46 at $50.30 a barrel.


    © Reuters 2004

    01 Nov 2004 17:12



    01.11.2004 17:02:49 Gold tendiert um 430 Dollar-Marke



    London, 1. Nov (Reuters) - Gold hat sich am Montag nach Gewinnen zur Markteröffnung wieder auf Sichtweite an sein 16-Jahreshoch herangetastet. Händler sagten, dass die üblicherweise enge Korrelation zwischen Gold- und Dollarkurs von den Unsicherheiten über den Ausgang der US-Präsidentschaftswahlen überlagert worden sei.


    Zum europäischen Handelsschluss notierte Gold bei 429,50/430,30 nach 424,75/5,50 Dollar am Freitagabend. In London wurde das gelbe Metall am Nachmittag mit 428,85 Dollar gefixt nach 428,10 Dollar am Vormittag und 425,55 Dollar am Freitagnachmittag. Zu Beginn letzter Woche hatte Gold mit 430,20 Dollar ein Sechsmonateshoch erreicht; das 16-Jahreshoch liegt kaum höher bei 430,50 Dollar.


    Vor allem Fonds haben sich nach Händlerangaben am Montag mit dem gelben Metall eingedeckt. Vor der Wahl in den USA sei keine breit angelegte Verkaufswelle mehr zu erwarten. Jedoch werde die Möglichkeit, dass die Wahl ähnlich wie 2000 keine unmittelbaren Sieger hervorbringen könnte, die Volatilität im Goldmarkt hoch halten. Dieser Umstand zusammen mit der jüngsten Videobotschaft Osama bin Ladens könnten Gold noch weiteren Antrieb geben.


    Eine Schweizer Grossbank gab den Gold-Kilopreis mit 16.473/16.723 (Vorabend 16.318/16.568) sfr an.


    pma/ajs

    01 Nov 2004 16:50



    01.11.2004 16:40:38 NY gold gains early on U.S. election uncertainty



    NEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - COMEX gold futures rose slightly Monday morning in subdued trade before Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, with a reluctance by traders to hold long positions in the dollar propping up the safe haven metal.


    By 10:29 a.m. EST, December gold climbed $1.30 to $430.70 an ounce at the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division, within a range of $428.70 to $431.60.


    Gold was the hard asset some investors have turned to recently amid volatile financial markets, due to tensions over the outcome of the election, as well as overall dollar weakness and high oil prices, dealers said.


    It has held near a pivotal level around $430, as the tight U.S. election was putting investors off long dollar positions and oil stayed robust a few dollars below recent record highs above $55 a barrel.


    "All eyes are on the election tomorrow," said a trader at a large bank. "If there is a clear-cut winner, I think gold should come lower."


    A Reuters poll on Sunday showed President George W. Bush and his Democrat rival Senator John Kerry tied with 48 percent of the vote on the last day of the campaign.


    A soft dollar supports dollar-denominated metals as prices become cheaper for those holding foreign currencies, while strong oil props up gold as a favored hedge against inflation.


    Spot gold was worth $429.25/430.00, up from Friday's New York close at $428.15/8.90. Monday's late fix in London was at $428.85.


    The dollar firmed a touch against the euro but then barely budged after U.S. personal consumption rose 0.6 percent in September, which was in line with expectations


    The euro was at $1.2765 , off from $1.2790 late on Friday and below last Tuesday's eight-month high at $1.2840.


    U.S. crude was quoted up 59 cents at $52.35 a barrel.


    The growing mass of speculative net long positions in gold and sister-metal silver, and decreased fund buying potential as a result in those markets, raised the odds of a severe technical sell-off, analysts said.


    Closely watched Commitments of Traders data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed the net fund long position in COMEX gold futures rose 6,981 contracts to 127,895 lots in the week ending Oct. 26.


    "From the (144,253 contract) extreme from last April, we eventually saw a cycle of long liquidation that drove prices as much as $55 lower," said Tim Evans of IFR Markets.


    "The market may take a few weeks to confirm a top here, but we think the remaining $5-$10 of upside potential is dwarfed by that downside risk."


    Evans traced resistance in COMEX December gold to $432 an ounce, $433.40 and then $436.50, the contract's high dating back to April, with support at Friday's low at $425 and then at weekly lows of $421.70, $416.10 and $410.50.


    December silver rose 6.0 cents to $7.365 an ounce, trading from $7.255 to $7.38. Spot silver fetched $7.32/35, above the previous close at $7.26/29. The London fix was at $7.24.


    CFTC data showed fund net longs in silver futures edged up 606 to 56,093 contracts as of last Tuesday.


    Resistance lurks at $7.53 and then the $7.84-8.07 area, IFR Pegasus' Evans said, with support at $7.06, $6.91 and $6.80.


    January platinum gained $3 to $836 an ounce. Spot platinum was at $832.00/836.00.


    Thinly traded December palladium eased 20 cents to $212 an ounce. Spot palladium hit $207.00/211.00.


    © Reuters 2004

    01 Nov 2004 16:46



    01.11.2004 16:22:51 UPDATE 1-Europe gold confined in ranges, U.S. poll in focus



    (Updates to afternoon)


    LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Gold stayed in a tight band in Europe on Monday after the price stopped 50 cents short of January's 15-year peak at $430.50 per ounce in Asian trade.


    Dealers were focused on Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, which was encouraging investors to stay relatively light of dollar positions.


    A softer dollar makes dollar-denominated bullion more attractive for non-U.S. investors.


    Spot gold stood at $429.00/429.80 by 1513 GMT, compared with $428.15/428.90 quoted late on Friday in New York.


    After testing higher ground at $430 in Asia, fund buying was spotted during Monday afternoon -- led by U.S. funds just after the COMEX market open -- but the rise fell short of key levels.


    "There was good fund buying in early New York trading today that pushed gold up, though there was no real impetus from the currency side. I don't think that there will be much selling ahead of tomorrow's U.S. election," a European trader said.


    A packed U.S. data calendar for this week including non-farm payrolls on Friday was expected to keep the dollar and gold fairly volatile traders said.


    "The possibility of an indecisive (election) result is likely to keep volatility high. This coming together with the release of a new Osama bin Laden videotape over the weekend might help the gold price to crawl higher," Alexander Zumpfe of Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein said in a daily report.


    But analysts also raised warnings about high speculative exposure to gold on the New York COMEX futures market, heightening fears of a brutal sell-off.


    "Looking at a graph of speculative open interest over the last few years, large increases in open interest are often sustained for around 4-8 weeks before a correction occurs," John Reade of UBS Investment Bank said in a daily report.


    "We have now seen net longs at a high level for four weeks, indicating that a corrective sell-off could occur in the next month or so," he added.


    The euro was at $1.2769/72 , versus $1.2790 in late New York trading. The single currency touched a day's high of $1.2830.


    Spot silver rose to $7.30/7.33, compared with $7.26/7.29 last quoted in New York on Friday.


    Platinum was at $832.00/836.00, compared with $832.00/837.00 in New York. Palladium was at $207.00/211.00, versus $210.50/216.50 previously.

    01 Nov 2004 09:16



    01.11.2004 08:44:57 Tokyo gold up on safe-haven buys ahead of election



    TOKYO, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Tokyo gold futures rose sharply on Monday, supported by safe-haven buying as investors sought hard assets amid uncertainty over the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, traders said.


    Portfolio managers showed interest in shifting their funds into precious metals as a series of polls showed a dead heat between U.S. President George W. Bush and Democratic challenger John Kerry. The election will be held on Tuesday.


    Gold also attracted safe-haven buying after the airing last Friday of a videotape from al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden.


    "People still remember the last election when the result failed to come out smoothly and that could happen again this time," said Koji Suzuki, manager at Star Futures Securities.


    Suzuki said investors were shifting their portfolio into gold and other precious metals rather than moving heavily into currencies and stock.


    A Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll on Sunday showed Bush and Kerry locked in a statistical tie.


    The survey, which canvassed more than 1,000 likely voters, showed that Bush had 48 percent and Kerry 47 percent, with Bush's lead within the poll's 3.1 percent margin of error.


    A Reuters/Zogby poll on Sunday showed that Bush and Kerry were deadlocked at 48 percent.


    A slump in the dollar, a solid rise in the spot price and firmness in oil prices provided additional support for gold.


    The benchmark October gold contract on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) closed up 17 yen per gram at a session high of 1,470 yen.


    The contract has climbed about 1.8 percent from a one-month low of 1,444 yen hit on Thursday.


    Other contracts closed 12 to 18 yen higher.


    At 0651 GMT, spot bullion was quoted at $429.25/9.95 an ounce, up from $428.15/8.90 in New York on Friday.


    The dollar continued to struggle after Friday's weaker than expected U.S. growth figures.


    The initial government estimate of U.S. third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was 3.7 percent, compared with analysts' expectations of 4.2 percent.


    The greenback bounced back slightly against the yen on Monday
    from a 6-½ month low of 105.77 yen hit on Friday, but stayed
    bearish.


    At 0651 GMT, it stood at 106.29/32 yen .


    Platinum advanced in line with gold, with solid physical buying from end-users providing solid support.


    But the metal lacked strong momentum to rise sharply amid a dearth of market-driving incentives.


    "For gold, there are clear buying factors, but for platinum, the market now lacks factors to buy strongly," said a trader at a Japanese trading house.


    "Physical buying appears to be emerging when the spot price drops to around $830, but the market lacks the energy to chase it on rallies," the trader said.


    TOCOM platinum futures closed up 3 yen per gram at 2,794 yen. Other contracts closed up 3 to 15 yen.


    Spot dollar-based platinum stood at $834/$839 compared with Friday's New York close of $832/$837.


    Below are closing prices for TOCOM's most active precious metals contracts, with the day's turnover for each metal.


    Closing prices are in yen per gram except for silver, which is in yen per 10 grams:


    For open interest details please click

    Closing price Turnover (lots)
    GOLD 1,470 (up 17) 51,238
    SILVER 247.7 (up 5.8) 3,930
    PLATINUM 2,794 (up 3) 36,685
    PALLADIUM 736 (unchanged) 676



    01 Nov 2004 09:18



    01.11.2004 07:04:55 Gold rises in early Europe, may crack $432



    * Gold was higher in early European trading on Monday at $429.25/$430.00 at 0552 GMT, versus $428.15/$428.90 last quoted in New York on Friday. The metal may crack the upside target of $432, a 16-year high, depending on the euro's gains against the dollar, said dealers.


    * The euro dipped to $1.2778 from $1.2790 in late New York trading. But the currency traded as high as $1.2830 in Asia, as uncertainties ahead of Tuesday's U.S. presidential election pressured the dollar.


    * Spot silver rose to $7.28/$7.30 an ounce from $7.26/$7.29 last quoted in New York.


    * Platinum was unchanged at $832/$837. Sister metal palladium was at $211.50/$216.50 an ounce, versus $210.50/$216.50 in the U.S. market.

    29 Okt 2004 20:45



    29.10.2004 Commodities News Summary



    TOP NEWS
    > UPDATE 1-LME copper up on dollar, receding demand [nL29395773]


    LONDON - London Metal Exchange (LME) copper rose more than three percent to touch $2,840 a tonne on Friday on dollar weakness and reduced fears over Chinese demand, analysts said.


    Early short covering in copper drove prices towards $2,820 a tonne, and buy stops were hit soon after weaker-than-expected U.S. GDP data were released at 1230 GMT, sending prices even higher.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 1-Europe gold in ranges, wary ahead of US p [nL29263680]


    LONDON - Gold traded in tight ranges on Friday in Europe, unmoved by the dollar's broad fall against the euro after data showing that the U.S. economy grew at a slower rate than expected in the third quarter.


    Dealers said investors were wary of making big changes to positions ahead of of next week's U.S. election and after the market had shrugged off the effect of China's interest rate rise on the U.S. economic outlook.


    - - - -



    > CBOT wheat drops on speculative profit-taking [nN29550399]


    CHICAGO - Wheat futures at the Chicago Board of Trade dropped early on Friday on speculative profit-taking, traders said.


    Pit sources said commodity funds who had been buying the market earlier this week began selling wheat futures. R.J. O'Brien sold 400 December, Tenco Inc. sold 500 December and FIMAT Futures was selling December. At 10:17 a.m. CDT (1517 GMT), CBOT wheat was down 4 to 5-1/4 cents per bushel, with December down 4-3/4 at $3.17-1/2 per bushel.


    - - - -



    GRAINS/OILSEEDS/LIVESTOCK
    > New EU grain mountain looms after big harvests [nL28713408]


    PARIS - The European Union's grain mountain is set to swell again this season as low prices and ample supplies will force farmers to sell millions of tonnes into public storage from next week, analysts said on Friday.


    The EU's grain intervention stores open their doors from November 1 to May 31 and officials are bracing themselves for hefty initial sales from farmers, struggling with big harvests at home and tough competition for markets abroad.


    - - - -



    > Brazil extends credit terms for soybean producers [nN29547965]


    SAO PAULO, Brazil - Brazil's National Monetary Council reinstated late Thursday a credit mechanism for soybean producers that will help them sell their crops by extending the repayment terms of government backed financing.


    The council, an organ of the central bank, said in a monthly meeting that soybean producers can repay their commodity backed federal loans in six monthly installments beginning 60 days after the harvest of their soy crop.


    - - - -



    > GMO cotton contaminates much of Brazil seed stocks [nN29301016]


    SAO PAULO, Brazil - Contraband genetically modified cotton has tainted Brazil's conventional crop and now there are insufficient stocks of unmodified seeds, the Brazilian Association of Seed Producers said.


    The association, known as Abrasem, is in discussions with the government to try to set a level of so-called GMO contamination under which cotton seed lots can still be classified as conventional.


    - - - -



    METALS > Russia RUSAL aluminium cuts raw material dependenc [nL29327067]


    MOSCOW - The world's third largest aluminium firm, Russia's RUSAL, which has set its sights on becoming the top producer of the metal, said it is investing in foreign assets to cut its dependence on raw materials suppliers


    On Thursday RUSAL launched a successful bid for a 20 percent stake in Australia's Queensland Alumina Ltd (QAL), sold by Kaiser Aluminium (KLU.DE) as part of a reorganisation aimed to emerge from bankruptcy as an aluminium products maker.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 1-Canadian miners plan $1 bln Panama copper [nSP287007]


    HAIKOU, China - Canada's Petaquilla Minerals Ltd. and its joint venture partners are aiming to raise around $1 billion to begin mining a large copper deposit in Panama, a senior company official said on Friday.


    If realised, the project -- which has been given new life by copper prices that touched near 16-year peaks earlier this month -- would be the world's 14th largest copper mine, Dale McClanaghan, president and CEO of Petaquilla, told Reuters.


    - - - -



    > AngloGold Ashanti bullish on gold price [nL29112129]


    JOHANNESBURG - The world's second biggest gold producer AngloGold Ashanti Ltd (/ANGJ.J) expects gold prices to remain robust on global political tension, high oil prices and the weak dollar, an official said on Friday.


    "Overall the surrounding circumstances in global economies and politics that impact on investor sentiment to gold look strongly favourable in almost all respects to the gold prices," Marketing Director Kelvin Williams told a results conference call.


    - - - -



    > INTERVIEW-S.Africa platinum venture to spend R35 m [nL29575034]


    JOHANNESBURG - An exploration joint venture in a platinum-rich area of South Africa plans to spend 35 million rand ($5.71 million) over five years as its seeks deposits worth mining, Canada's Platinum Group Metals Ltd (/PTM.V) said.


    The area of the joint venture deal, announced this week, covers 67 square kilometres on the Bushveld complex, the world's biggest source of platinum, PGM President Michael Jones told Reuters.


    - - - -



    > Rio Tinto says China iron ore demand still strong [nWLB8122]


    LONDON - Global diversified miner Rio Tinto (/RIO.L)(/RIO.AX) said on Friday iron ore demand from China remained strong despite government efforts to cool the steel sector.


    "The outlook for iron ore is exciting. Market demand is strong despite the government action to reduce investment in the steel sector in China in May. We've seen no change in the level of demand for our products," Finance Director Guy Elliott said during an investor conference.


    - - - -



    COCOA/COFFEE
    > Weather sours Ivory Coast cocoa crop hopes [nL29700988]


    GRAND BEREBI, Ivory Coast - A long spell of inclement weather in the southwest of Ivory Coast has dimmed hopes of a repeat of last season's abundant cocoa crop, farmers and pod counters said.


    "There was a lack of rain in June and July and when the rain came in August it was much heavier than normal and that is why there is less cocoa available now than at this time last year," said a pod counter in the region working for a British exporter.


    - - - -



    > Brazil's coffee trees to get more rain next week [nN29411328]


    RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil - Brazil's main coffee belt will be dry this weekend, but more beneficial rain for crop flowering should fall at the start of next week, meteorologist Somar said Friday.


    In a daily report, it forecast clear skies and warmer temperatures during the next couple of days.

    29 Okt 2004 17:31



    29.10.2004 16:55:15 Gold in Lauerstellung unter 425 Dollar



    London, 29. Okt (Reuters) - Gold hat am Freitag nahezu zu unverändert tendiert. Die Märkte haben die gestrige Zinserhöhung der chinesischen Zentralbank, die Gold gestern unter Druck gesetzt hatte, weitestgehend verdaut, sagten Händler. Damit sollte Gold an sich in den Korridor zwischen 426 und 427 Dollar aufsteigen, doch scheine ein weiter sinkenden Ölpreis die Nachfrage zu dämpfen.


    Zum europäischen Handelsschluss notierte Gold bei 424,75/5,50 nach 424,25/5,00 Dollar am Vorabend. In London wurde das gelbe Metall am Nachmittag mit 425,55 Dollar gefixt nach 426,20 Dollar am Vormittag und 424,40 Dollar am Donnerstagnachmittag.


    Zum Wochenbeginn hatte Gold noch ein Sechsmonatshoch bei 430,20 Dollar je Feinunze erreicht.


    Der am Nachmittag publizierte Index des US-Verbrauchervertrauens für Oktober, der weniger stark gesunken sei als im Vorfeld angenommen, habe keine nennenswerte Auswirkung auf den Goldpreis gehabt, sagten Händler weiter.


    Technische Analysten sehen bei 426 bis 430 Widerstandslinien für einen Goldanstieg, während Verkäufe auf breiter Front erst unter der Zone von 418 bis 420 Dollar einsetzen sollten.


    Eine Schweizer Grossbank gab den Gold-Kilopreis mit 16.318/16.568 (Vorabend 16.252/16.502) sfr an.


    pma/ajs


    29 Okt 2004 17:33



    29.10.2004 17:05:18 UPDATE 1-Europe gold in ranges, wary ahead of US poll



    (Updates to afternoon)


    LONDON, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Gold traded in tight ranges on Friday in Europe, unmoved by the dollar's broad fall against the euro after data showing that the U.S. economy grew at a slower rate than expected in the third quarter.


    Dealers said investors were wary of making big changes to positions ahead of of next week's U.S. election and after the market had shrugged off the effect of China's interest rate rise on the U.S. economic outlook.


    Spot gold was at $424.95/425.70 per troy ounce by 1444 GMT, up slightly from $424.20/424.70 quoted late in New York on Thursday, when the market tested down towards $420 while base metals slid on demand fears after the China rate news.


    "I think that people are very wary given that the market has been whipped around. Clearly they are watching currencies and the added complication of trying to work out implications for gold on the outcome of the election," Barclays Capital analyst Kamal Naqvi said.


    The latest Reuters/Zogby opinion poll has President George W. Bush and challenger Senator John Kerry in a dead heat.


    The dollar extended losses on Friday after the U.S. government said the economy advanced at a slower-than-expected 3.7 percent rate in the third quarter.


    The euro was last at $1.2713. A softer dollar makes dollar-priced gold more attractive for non-U.S. investors.


    JP Morgan said in a daily report that the gold market's rejection of a move to January's 15-year peak at $430.50 looked corrective and so further gains were likely.


    "We can see the market extend to new highs in the weeks ahead," it said.


    "We are looking to build a long position for such a break higher, with little in the way of important resistance till $464 and then $500."


    Platinum, which had fallen to a three-week low on fears higher Chinese interest rates would slow demand for industrial raw materials, rebounded with the help of a firm Japanese market.


    Spot platinum was last at $832.00/837.00 from $828.00/833.00 late in New York on Thursday.


    Silver rose slightly to $7.15/7.18 from $7.14/7.17 last quoted in New York.


    Palladium was broadly flat at $211.00/216.00 from $211.50/217.50 in the U.S. market.

    29 Okt 2004 13:17



    29.10.2004 13:08:13 Gold steadier in Europe, focus on U.S. data



    LONDON, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Gold rose in Europe on Friday, with prices tracking currencies after markets largely shrugged off the effect of China's interest rate rise on the U.S. economic outlook, dealers said.


    Spot gold was at $426.20/426.70 per troy ounce by 1048 GMT, up from $424.20/424.70 quoted late in New York on Thursday, when the market tested down towards $420 while base metals slid on demand fears after the China rate news.


    Dealers said gold's direction on Friday would be dictated by the euro/dollar's reaction to U.S. data, including gross domestic product (GDP) figures at 1230 GMT, that might offer clues on the pace of economic growth.


    A weak figure could give the dollar another push lower, making gold more affordable for non-U.S. investors.


    The euro was last at $1.2754.


    "Gold has pretty much traded in a $426-427 range this morning and it seems that the market has made a good recovery after the euro weakened on China," one dealer said.


    Barclays Capital analyst Kamal Naqvi noted in a daily report that Chinese demand had not been a major factor for gold or silver prices, so there was no direct implication from the interest rate rise.


    Although Friday's focus was fixed on U.S. data, analysts said gold's safe haven appeal was highlihgted by uncertainty ahead of the U.S. presidential election next week.


    "With no clear leader at the moment market volatility seems to be increasing rapidly with the outcome likely to have quite an impact on near-term price direction," James Moore of TheBullionDesk.com said in a daily report.


    "Resistance should be found from $426-30, but gold really needs to close above the $418-20 level in order to prevent further weakness," he added.


    Platinum, which had fallen to a three-week low on fears higher Chinese interest rates would slow demand for industrial raw materials, rebounded with the help of a firm Japanese market.


    Spot platinum was last at $833.00/838.00 from $828.00/833.00 late in New York on Thursday.


    Silver eased slightly to $7.13/7.16 from $7.14/7.17 last quoted in New York.


    Palladium was broadly flat at $211.00/217.00 from $211.50/217.50 in the U.S. market.

    29 Okt 2004 10:08



    29.10.2004 09:50:54 TOCOM gold inches up on firm NY, short-covering



    TOKYO, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Tokyo gold futures inched up on Friday, helped by pre-weekend short-covering, but trading was quiet on currency market uncertainty ahead of U.S. third-quarter growth and October consumer confidence data.


    The benchmark October 2005 gold contract on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) finished up 5 yen per gram at 1,453 yen, while other months finished up between 5-9 yen.


    "There was a bit of buying and selling...but the view that the market has been over-sold prevailed in the end," a Tokyo analyst said.


    TOCOM gold fell to a one-month low on Thursday after a sharp drop in oil prices triggered heavy long liquidation by funds.


    In the spot market, bullion was fetching $425.20/5.70 an ounce at 0630 GMT against $424.20/70 last quoted in New York.


    New York gold futures finished slightly higher after the dollar weakened following a surprise interest rate rise by China.


    A drop in the value of the dollar tends to increase gold demand as the dollar-denominated asset is made more affordable to traders holding foreign currencies.


    The benchmark October 2005 platinum futures contract closed up 19 yen at 2,791 yen per gram. Spot platinum was at $834/839 an ounce, versus $828/833 in New York.


    The dollar was fetching 106.07/6.10 yen at 0630 GMT, against 106.26/31 yen in late U.S. trade.


    The impact of crude oil's further decline on TOCOM gold was largely neutral on Friday, traders said.


    High crude oil prices raise inflation concerns and usually boosts the attraction of gold, a traditional inflation hedge.


    Crude oil prices lost further ground on Friday, edging closer to $50 per barrel as China's interest rate rise raised questions about demand growth from the world's second largest energy user.


    U.S. light crude was trading at around $50.70 in Asian afternoon trade, down from Monday's all-time high of $55.67.


    The current drop in prices was triggered U.S. government data that showed a surprise rise in crude supplies.


    Below are closing prices for TOCOM's most active precious metals contracts, with the day's turnover for each metal.


    Closing prices are in yen per gram except for silver, which is in yen per 10 grams: For open interest details please click




    Closing price Turnover (lots)
    GOLD 1,453 (up 5) 76,481
    SILVER 241.9 (down 0.8) 4,098
    PLATINUM 2,791 (up 19) 120,572
    PALLADIUM 736 (down 6) 1,799

    Kaplan glaubt kurzfristig noch nicht an den Sprung über die 430,--



    28 Okt 2004 21:46



    28.10.2004 21:33:40 NY gold settles firmer on China, choppy oil price



    NEW YORK, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Gold futures erased early losses to finish slightly higher on Thursday as the dollar weakened after a surprise interest rate rise by China made waves across world financial markets.


    A steadier crude oil price before the end of New York metals trading also supported gold in its role as a safe haven during times of increased volatility, dealers said.


    "Gold is trading off of oil, that's all it is," said Leonard Kaplan, president of Prospector Asset Management. "And, obviously, the China news did not appear to help the dollar."


    December gold at the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division ended at $426.10 an ounce, up 50 cents, after trading between $428.40 and $421.70, its lowest since Oct. 20.


    The dollar sagged broadly, reversing a short-lived rally, as the market decided Beijing's move did not radically change market fundamentals.


    Comments by an unnamed European Central Bank monetary policy source that no intervention to curb the euro's strength will be forthcoming, unless market moves become more "extreme," also propped up the euro.


    A drop in the dollar tends to increase gold demand as the dollar-denominated asset is made more affordable to traders holding foreign currencies.


    Gold should be well supported in the next several sessions amid uncertainty surrounding the Nov. 2 U.S. presidential election, dealers said.


    "I think $421.50/422 support should be the bottom until the election, at least," said a trader at a precious metals refiner.


    Still, many analysts are concerned the massive speculative net long position in gold and silver could prompt a severe sell-off if fund-type accounts decide to trim their holdings.


    Tim Evans, senior commodity analyst at IFR Pegasus, said in a report: "Gold and silver (are) fully stocked with fund length and vulnerable to long liquidation."


    Open interest in COMEX gold fell 2,451 lots to 319,398 contracts by Oct. 27. Silver's slipped 574 to 116,241 lots.


    Kaplan said he felt that stiff resistance at $430-$432 an ounce should cap gold and lead prices lower in the near term, though he saw good technical support at $422 to $420.


    At midafternoon, the euro was at $1.2726 .


    U.S. crude fell $1.66 to $50.80 a barrel, extending its retreat from recent highs above $55.


    Spot gold priced at $424.20/4.70, from a prior New York close at $423.55/4.30. London's afternoon fix was at $424.20.


    Other precious metals mostly fell with base metals on fears China might lose its appetite for industrial raw materials after the rate news.


    December silver lost 1.0 cent to $7.192 an ounce, in a range of $7.25 to $7.06, its lowest since Oct. 19. Spot was flat from its last close in New York at $7.14/17. The fix was at $7.06.


    Support in silver was seen at $7.12 while resistance was at $7.45-$7.50, traders and analysts said.


    January platinum fell $4.60 to $831.60 an ounce. Spot platinum traded at $828.00/833.00. Support rests at $815/816 and resistance waits up at $850.


    Thinly traded December palladium rose 25 cents to $214.75 an ounce. Spot palladium hit $211.50/217.50.


    © Reuters 2004

    Optimistenzahl beim Gold auf sehr hohem Niveau,84.....


    28 Okt 2004 20:17



    28.10.2004 19:47:46 TECHNICALS - COMEX/NYMEX metals technical indicators


    GOLD SILVER PLATINUM PALLADIUM COPPER
    DEC DEC JAN DEC DEC

    Close Oct. 28 $426.10 $7.192 $831.60 $214.75 $125.35
    High 428.40 7.250 836.00 217.40 129.30
    Low 421.70 7.060 816.00 211.00 124.80

    5-DAY M.A. 427.00 7.289 842.10 215.74 128.15
    20-DAY M.A. 422.00 7.161 843.00 220.55 134.54
    50-DAY M.A. 414.00 6.781 845.00 217.37 131.60

    9-DAY R.S.I. 56.86 42.97 31.35 35.77 25.82
    14-DAY R.S.I. 59.12 50.62 37.84 39.46 30.46


    Note: Data calculated from previous close. Previous high and low include ACCESS trading from previous session. Indicators are based on the time periods recommended by their developers or commonly used by technical analysts. Moving averages are simple moving averages. RSI formulas include a smoothing factor utilizing an exponential moving average (EMA), determined to be the industry standard. All calculations can be made using Reuter Graphics or Reuter Technical Analysis products.




    Contract High 436.50 8.480 908.00 345.00 148.20
    Contract Low 290.00 4.440 759.00 203.50 74.20
    First Notice Day Nov 30 Nov 30 Jan 01 Dec 01 Nov 30
    Expiry Date Dec 29 Dec 29 Jan 26 Dec 27 Dec 29

    BULLISH CONSENSUS ON October 26: 24 Month Range
    Low Hi
    Gold 84 from 81 on October 19 13 - 91
    Silver 68 from 66 on October 19 13 - 89
    Platinum 66 from 65 on October 19 14 - 95
    Copper 65 from 66 on October 19 08 - 88


    * Bullish Consensus, Copyrighted, Market Vane Corporation, P.O. Box 90490, Pasadena, CA 91109-0490. Phone +1 626 395 7436. The survey expresses a percentage of bullish sentiment among analysts and advisors. The company said 50 percent is considered support in a bull market and resistance in a bear market. Data are most recent available.




    For prices, double click on: -2




    For related news, double click on: [GOL] [MTL] [MET] [MIN] [GOL/X] [PLA/] [COP/X] [MINT] ["DLA"]




    For updated CFTC Commitment of Traders report, double click on for the latest week's data and for the previous week's data. Futures/options data is on and .


    ---



    © Reuters 2004

    28 Okt 2004 18:27



    28.10.2004 18:10:36 Commodities News Summary



    TOP NEWS
    > UPDATE 1-Metals down but not out after China rate [nL28380312]


    LONDON - Metals prices took a jolt on Thursday after China's surprise interest rate rise fanned fears that one of the world's biggest consumers might lose its appetite for industrial raw materials.


    European steel and mining shares also tumbled on the news, but analysts were also warily asking whether markets were witnessing just a knee-jerk reaction.


    - - - -



    > CBOT corn steady early, soy/wheat underpin [nN28473103]


    CHICAGO - The Chicago Board of Trade corn futures market was consolidating on Thursday, with higher wheat and soybean prices helping to support corn prices.


    A huge U.S. corn harvest looms over the market. But commodity funds hold a large net short position in CBOT corn futures, despite recent short-covering, which underpins prices, traders said.


    - - - -



    METALS > UPDATE 1-Europe gold seesaws with euro after China [nL28438455]


    LONDON - Gold fluctuated in line with volatile trade in the euro on Thursday, but support was firm even as industrial metals fell on demand worries that followed China's move to raise interest rates.


    Spot gold was quoted at $424.55/425.30 an ounce by 1436 GMT, up from an earlier low of $420 and $423.55/424.30 quoted late in New York on Wednesday.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 3-Phelps Dodge posts profit, shares fall on [nN28455343]


    NEW YORK - Phelps Dodge Corp. (/PD.N), the world's largest publicly traded copper producer, on Thursday posted a third-quarter profit on sky-high copper prices, but shares fell about 4 percent on concerns that China's rate rise would dampen demand.


    Phoenix, Arizona-based Phelps Dodge said earnings were $292.9 million, or $2.95 per share, compared with a net loss of $300,000, or 4 cents a share, a year ago.


    - - - -



    > Antofagasta Q3 copper output rises 3.4 pct [nWLB8093]


    LONDON - Chilean copper miner Antofagasta (/ANTO.L) said on Thursday its third quarter copper production increased 3.4 percent from the previous quarter.


    London-listed Antofagasta said copper production in the 3 months to end September was 130,700 tonnes. Its cash costs increased to 24.9 cents per pound from 21.9 cents.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 5-Miner WMC rejects $5.5 bln Xstrata bid, s [nSYD238577]


    MELBOURNE/LONDON - Australian nickel and copper miner WMC Resources Ltd (/WMR.AX) rejected a A$7.4 billion ($5.5 billion) takeover bid from Xstrata (/XTA.L), but left the door open for a higher offer, sending its shares soaring.


    The bid, at a 24 percent premium to WMC Resources' closing price on Wednesday, comes as miners thrive on red hot metals demand from China, which companies expect will sustain strong metals prices for the foreseeable future.


    - - - -



    > Minor metals-Cobalt drops to year's low below $20. [nL28336503]


    LONDON - The cobalt market's erosion from first quarter seven-year highs near $30.00/lb continued this week, with the price falling below $20.00 for the first time since December 2003.


    Traders said the weight of lower producer offers -- notably from Australia's WMC Resources (/WMR.AX) on its highly visible website -- had encouraged buyers to hold off.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 3-Gold Fields posts Q1 loss, fights Harmony [nL28063252]


    JOHANNESBURG - World number four gold producer and hostile bid target Gold Fields Ltd (/GFIJ.J) reported a surprise first-quarter loss per share on Thursday, as gold output and the domestic rand gold price both fell.


    But the South African firm managed to turn an operating profit of 456 million rand ($74.01 million), down 16 percent from the previous quarter, and promised more cost cuts and improved profits to counter a takeover bid.


    - - - -



    GRAINS/OILSEEDS/LIVESTOCK
    > Taiwan still unsure on U.S. beef, may delay trip [nTP185901]


    TAIPEI - Taiwan disputed on Thursday a U.S. claim that the island has agreed to re-open its market to U.S. beef imports, saying it had yet to makde a final decision on whether U.S. beef was safe from mad cow disease.


    The Department of Health also said in a statement that its analysts would probably not be able to start an inspection visit to the United States on Nov. 10, as stated by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), due to time and budget constraints.


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 2-Bunge quarterly profit more than doubles [nN28251001]


    CHICAGO - Bunge Ltd. (/BG.N), the world's top oilseed processor, on Thursday said net quarterly profit more than doubled on a strong showing by its agribusiness and fertilizer segments, beating analysts' expectations and sending shares up 7 percent.


    The White Plains, New York-based company said third-quarter net profit was $182 million, or $1.53 a share, compared with $89 million, or 88 cents a share, a year ago.


    - - - -



    > New rains seen for Brazil's south soy belt - Somar [nN2874702]


    SAO PAULO, Brazil - A new cold front should bring widespread rain to Brazil's southern soybean belt from Sunday, after the region gets a five-day break from wet weather, private weather forecaster Somar said on Thursday.


    Brazil's main soy region, the center-west, has been soaked over the past three days and should continue to get moderate showers over the weekend, Somar said in a daily soy weather bulletin.


    - - - -



    COCOA/COFFEE/SUGAR > ANALYSIS-India, running low on sugar, scours marke [nBM132681]


    BOMBAY - India, the world's biggest consumer of sugar, is gearing up to open the flood gates to raw sugar imports after poor rains hit domestic availability, but buyers may go slow in order to ensure competitive prices.


    Anticipating a shortage in 2005, factories bought about 1 million tonnes of raw sugar from abroad to refine in the new season from October. They are looking for more cargoes at economical rates, but firm prices have soured their appetites.


    - - - -



    > Strike and rains damage Ivory Coast cocoa beans [nL28189232]


    SAN PEDRO, Ivory Coast - Many of the cocoa beans delivered to San Pedro are mouldy and damp after heavy rains and a farmers' strike, prompting exporters to turn some loads away, analysts and buyers said on Thursday.


    "The quality of cocoa we have been analysing since the end of the strike is mediocre because of the heavy rain and low prices farmers are paid," said Djakaridja Coulibaly, chief analyst of of the Swiss group Audit Control Expertise (ACE).


    - - - -



    > UPDATE 2-Licht sees rough world sugar balance in ' [nL28627732]


    LONDON - Analyst F.O. Licht said on Thursday it expected global sugar output and consumption to be roughly in balance in 2004/05, scaling back earlier expectations of a deficit.


    White and raw sugar futures have risen sharply this year partly on anticipation of a supply deficit next year after successive poor cane crops in India, the world's biggest sugar consumer, traders say.


    - - - -

    Mschini
    Da hat wohl niemand so Recht eine Erklärung parat, schon gar nich die Volkswirte...ist ja auch schon 9 Jahre her seit der letzten Erhöhung.........





    28 Okt 2004 16:58



    28.10.2004 16:52:13 UPDATE 1-Europe gold seesaws with euro after China rate news



    (writes through with fresh quotes, details)


    By Veronica Brown


    LONDON, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Gold fluctuated in line with volatile trade in the euro on Thursday, but support was firm even as industrial metals fell on demand worries that followed China's move to raise interest rates.


    Spot gold was quoted at $424.55/425.30 an ounce by 1436 GMT, up from an earlier low of $420 and $423.55/424.30 quoted late in New York on Wednesday.


    The dollar fell in choppy trade as the market tried to sort out what a surprise interest rate rise from China meant for currencies. The euro was at $1.2743/45 after swinging between $1.2761 and $1.2631 earlier.


    Base metals prices took a jolt as the China rate news fanned fears that one of the world's biggest consumers might lose its appetite for industrial raw materials.


    "There was a lot of fund selling when the euro drifted lower and I think this move was a bit exaggerated, but there should be bargain hunting as the euro is back up again," a dealer said.


    Precious metals as a whole failed to escape entirely unscathed from the China effect as platinum, which had weakened over the past couple of days, was knocked briefly below $820.


    UBS Investment Bank analyst John Reade said of the China news: "Our economists say this is not credit tightening, so we don't expect it to have any sizeable impact on lending or production activity.


    "Commodities sold off clearly, the commodity currencies sold off, therefore the dollar was bought, the euro sold and gold fell but this shouldn't have really had an impact," he added.


    Reade said funds remained long in gold and that risks were still pointing to lower prices unless the dollar weakened further against the euro after hitting eight-month lows earlier this week.


    Dealers ruled out a major correction ahead of tomorrow's U.S. GDP data and next week's U.S. presidential election.


    Silver fell slightly to $7.10/7.13 from $7.14/7.17 after feeling pressure from gold's falls on Wednesday.


    The metal's tepid physical fundamentals were highlighted on Wednesday by Eastman Kodak's announcement that it will close three photofinishing labs in Spain and Norway and downsize another in Switzerland .


    The move came as part of a plan to cut investment in traditional film products that use silver.


    However, analysts said the metal was still being used by speculators, influenced by gold and base metals, and that had kept prices from falling sharply.


    Spot platinum , which briefly dipped to $818.00 after the China rate rise, was last at $821.00/826.00 from $833.00/838.00 last quoted in New York on Wednesday.


    Palladium was flat at $211.00/217.00.

    28 Okt 2004 13:45



    28.10.2004 13:27:36 Base metals fall on firm dollar, growth worries



    * Base metals extend losses in LME first morning rings on dollar's further gains versus euro and slower growth prospects in China and other Asian countries. * China's central bank raised on Thursday its yuan interest rates in what analysts said was an attempt to rein in its economy. * Three-month copper down $62, or 2.2 percent, at $2,738 a tonne, and aluminium dips by $27 to $,1,743. * Nickel falls to $12,980 from $13,340. * Zinc loses $21 to $1,020 and lead down $23 at $850, while no trade for tin .




    Ja,der Markt sieht es genauso........China gibts und China nimmts.......