Beiträge von DrK

    Dec 26 The Rosen Market Timing Letter Ron Rosen 321gold :


    „We all know what will happen if the Dollar Index collapses. We don’t have to wait for a collapse to begin. The collapse is underway. The following Dollar Index charts are pointing the way and the way is down. A lengthy description of what happened to the Dollar Index since the high of 121.29 in September 2001 is unnecessary and may only confuse the picture.


    The key to the collapse is the Head and Shoulders pattern that began at the left shoulder high of 100.785. ...“


    Ein guten Rutsch ins Neue Jahr 2020 !


    Grüße


    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=B_7x-1BxTAM

    Dec 18 Precious Metals: Key Wave Counts Now captainewave 321gold :


    A sharp break higher above our red downtrend line that is the shown on the daily chart is what we need to start a positive move for the bulls!


    Wave *iv* is still underway, and it looks like our second wave $b$ ended at 1491.40.
    The reason being is that the rally from 1446.20 to 1491.60 does not appear to be impulsive looking.
    Unfortunately, if this updated corrective count is correct… then gold is now heading at least back to the 1446.00 low, in our second wave $c$, before all of wave *iv* ends.


    It might also be possible that wave *iii* is extending and in this case, wave !i! of *iii* ended at 1566.20 and we are still falling in wave ^ii^, which has the following retracement levels:


    50% = 1416.80;
    61.8% = 1381.50.


    In any case, a drop back to the 1446.00 level is still likely.


    Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.
    Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!

    Geduld und ein frohes Fest.

    Grüße



    Dec 17 The Rosen Market Timing Letter Ron Rosen 321gold :


    „ .... After peaking at $1,377.50 on July 8, 2016, gold spent the next three years trying to move higher.
    Gold finally broke out above $1,377.50 on June 21, 2019.


    O. K., “Now we run” screamed the gold bugs.
    Not so fast. The gold shares are telling us a different story.


    What they are really saying is, “Listen to us and not the hyper excitable gold bugs” ...



    Ein frohes Fest.


    Grüße

    @woernie :
    „Die Unternehmensschulden , auch als die (neben Staatsanleihen und Immobilien) größte Blase aller Zeiten bezeichnet, könnten, zumal in einer Rezession, den nächsten schwarzen Schwan triggern.“


    Zudem ausgelöst von den plötzlich kreditversagenden Banken ...


    Das Ende der Zombies nach Markus Krall.


    Grüße


    Aktueller Nachtrag :


    https://youtu.be/oFcB-w_itRs

    http://www.321gold.com/editori…e/captainewave120619.html



    "The next US jobs report is Friday, December 6 (Anm. korrigiert)! Gold often has wild volatility (although less recently) around the release of these reports, and then it shoots higher in the days that follow.


    Tomorrow could mark the “official” start of gold wave *v*, which targets the $1700 area!

    On our intraday chart, the drop from 1489.90 to the current low of 1477.10 looks like a 3wave pattern, which is bullish.

    Wave *iv* is likely now complete at the 1446.30 low.

    In the very bullish case, we also need to consider the possibility that wave *iii* is going to extend… and in this case wave !i! of *iii* ended at 1566.20 and all of wave !ii! at the 1446.30.


    If wave *iv* is complete gold will start to rally sharply in wave *v*, which has an initial target of 1704.40.


    We still need a sharp break and close above red downtrend line that is shown on the daily gold chart.


    It has already happened with many gold stocks, and that’s a very good sign of what lies ahead.

    Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.

    Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!"

    Auf geht´s

    Grüße

    Ein reines Geduldspiel, bei dem man ohne Überzeugung geneigt sein könnte, die Flinte ins Korn zu werfen ...
    Daher gilt weiterhin, das Tagesrauschen auszublenden.


    War eine Zeit lang „ohne Gold“ in Andalusien und siehe da, es fehlte mir nicht !


    Grüße

    Nov 06 S&P500, Gold, & Silver: Trends & Trades captainewave 321gold :


    "It still looks like all of our wave *iv* correction is complete at the 1465.00 low, and that wave *v* higher in now underway. We could still be working on a wave *iv* bullish triangle also.


    Regardless, our retracement levels for all of wave *iv* are:


    23.6% = 1495.70
    38.2% = 1451.30

    Wave *v* and all of wave .iii. have an initial target of 1704.40.

    We did well with a short-term NUGT trade that we got out of right before the Tuesday meltdown!

    Trading Recommendation: Go Long gold. Use puts as stops.

    Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!


    Gold, zäh wie Leder ...

    Grüße




    Oct 21 Gold & Silver: Key Wave Counts captainewave 321gold :


    „We continue to work on our wave *iv* correction, although it could be complete at the 1465.00 low.
    Our retracement levels for all of wave *iv* are:
    23.6% = 1495.70;
    38.2% = 1451.30
    We appear to have a clear 3 wave pattern within wave *iv*, as shown on our daily gold chart with the following projection for wave $c$ of that pattern:
    $c$ = $a$ = 1469.00.
    Our current low for wave $c$ is 1465.00.
    We are now well within our wave *iv* retracement zone, so we need to be on guard for the end of wave *iv* and that start of our wave *v* rally.
    Wave *iv* could still become more complex and even a bullish triangle.
    A break of our red downtrend line that this is shown on the daily gold chart would be a good sign for the bulls.
    Wave *v* and all of wave .iii. have an initial target of 1704.40.“


    Todo llega y todo pasa.


    Grüße



    @Nebelparder : " ... Und wie caldera bereits erwähnt hatte, ein paar Minenaktien wie ABX oder KL scheinen bereits vorwegzunehmen, dass es sich hier wohl lediglich um eine Welle 4 Korrektur handelt.


    Und bis ca. 1.440 $ wäre das auch alles völlig normal für eine Welle 4."



    Siehe oben :


    "Our current low within wave *iv* is 1490.70.
    Our retracement levels for all of wave *iv* are:
    23.6% = 1495.70;
    38.2% = 1451.30"


    Hoffen wir, dass es so kommt und das Schiff nicht doch tatsächlich auf Grund läuft ...


    Grüße

    @Nebelparder :


    Ich bin auch vom sich entwickelnden Szenario so überzeugt, dass ich einen Verlauf wie z.b. gestern eher als (notwendige) Brise im Wasserglas gelassen vorüber ziehen lasse.


    Es wird spannend sein zu sehen, ob die folgende .iv. dann zeitlich mit der von Markus Krall für +/– Ende 20 prognostizierten Defla – Phase zusammenfällt.


    Wehe, wehe, wenn ich auf das draghische Ende sehe.
    Bis dahin sollte jeder Zeit haben, seine Bankkonten in Euroland zu räumen.


    Grüße

    Sep 25 Gold: Possible Wave Extension Upside captainewave 321gold :



    „We are now working on the assumption that all of wave *iii* is complete at the 1565.00 high, and that over the last week or so we have been falling in wave *iv*.


    Our current low within wave *iv* is 1490.70.
    Our retracement levels for all of wave *iv* are:
    23.6% = 1495.70;
    38.2% = 1451.30


    We have now entered the top end of our retracement area, so we cannot rule out the possibility that wave *iv* is now complete at the 1490.70 low and that we have started to rally again in wave *v*.
    Also, we continue to hold the sharp red up trendline that is shown on our daily gold chart. In the short term our next resistance level is 1532.00.


    Wave *v* and all of wave .iii. have an initial target of 1704.40.
    We cannot rule the possibility that wave *iii* is still underway and subdividing further and hence going to extend to our second projected endpoint which is:


    *iii* = 1.618*i* = 1745.60!“

    Grüße

    Von Greenspan stammt der beste Pro–Gold– Artikel, der jemals geschrieben wurde.
    Insofern nichts Neues nicht von ihm.


    Vielleicht findet Edel den Artikel in seinem Fundus.
    Ich müsste länger suchen und habe zzt. wenig Zeit.


    Danke, Edel.


    Grüße