Das gleiche Szenario hatte ich heute morgen im Charttechnik-Thread gepostet.
Captain Ewave scheint hier exakt auf der gleichen "Wellenlänge" zu liegen.
EWA nach Captain Ewave
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Jul 03 Silver Says: The Rally Continues captainewave 321gold :
There is a chance that wave $i$ is still going to extend higher before it ends, and if that is the case then this current correction is nearing completion, or is complete at the 1384.90 low!
We have been working on the assumption that all of wave $i$ of *iii* is complete and we are now falling in our expected wave $ii$ correction. Our retracement levels for all of wave $ii$ are:
50% = 1356.00
61.8% = 1335.40.
Our first projection for the end of all wave *iii* is:
*iii* = 1.618*i* = 1564.60!
Our first projection for the end of wave .iii. is:
.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1447.20, and we do have higher projections.
Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.
Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!
Der Captain äußert sich auch zum Silber.
Grüße -
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Oh,ein Pfeil beim Captain etwas gen Süden. Was ist denn jetzt los?
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Sep 25 Gold: Possible Wave Extension Upside captainewave 321gold :
„We are now working on the assumption that all of wave *iii* is complete at the 1565.00 high, and that over the last week or so we have been falling in wave *iv*.
Our current low within wave *iv* is 1490.70.
Our retracement levels for all of wave *iv* are:
23.6% = 1495.70;
38.2% = 1451.30We have now entered the top end of our retracement area, so we cannot rule out the possibility that wave *iv* is now complete at the 1490.70 low and that we have started to rally again in wave *v*.
Also, we continue to hold the sharp red up trendline that is shown on our daily gold chart. In the short term our next resistance level is 1532.00.Wave *v* and all of wave .iii. have an initial target of 1704.40.
We cannot rule the possibility that wave *iii* is still underway and subdividing further and hence going to extend to our second projected endpoint which is:*iii* = 1.618*i* = 1745.60!“
Grüße -
Das entspricht zu 100 % meiner eigenen Einschätzung.
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Oct 21 Gold & Silver: Key Wave Counts captainewave 321gold :
„We continue to work on our wave *iv* correction, although it could be complete at the 1465.00 low.
Our retracement levels for all of wave *iv* are:
23.6% = 1495.70;
38.2% = 1451.30
We appear to have a clear 3 wave pattern within wave *iv*, as shown on our daily gold chart with the following projection for wave $c$ of that pattern:
$c$ = $a$ = 1469.00.
Our current low for wave $c$ is 1465.00.
We are now well within our wave *iv* retracement zone, so we need to be on guard for the end of wave *iv* and that start of our wave *v* rally.
Wave *iv* could still become more complex and even a bullish triangle.
A break of our red downtrend line that this is shown on the daily gold chart would be a good sign for the bulls.
Wave *v* and all of wave .iii. have an initial target of 1704.40.“Todo llega y todo pasa.
Grüße
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Nov 06 S&P500, Gold, & Silver: Trends & Trades captainewave 321gold :
"It still looks like all of our wave *iv* correction is complete at the 1465.00 low, and that wave *v* higher in now underway. We could still be working on a wave *iv* bullish triangle also.
Regardless, our retracement levels for all of wave *iv* are:
23.6% = 1495.70
38.2% = 1451.30
Wave *v* and all of wave .iii. have an initial target of 1704.40.
We did well with a short-term NUGT trade that we got out of right before the Tuesday meltdown!
Trading Recommendation: Go Long gold. Use puts as stops.
Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!
Gold, zäh wie Leder ...
Grüße -
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We could still be working on a wave *iv* bullish triangle also.
Das ist mir gestern abend auch in den Sinn gekommen.Dreieck als Welle 4, braucht man aber ein bisschen Phantasie dazu, soll heißen dass es kein mustergültiges Dreieck wäre.
Und abermals liegt der Captain und ich auf ein und derselben (Elliott-) Wellenlänge.
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Ein reines Geduldspiel, bei dem man ohne Überzeugung geneigt sein könnte, die Flinte ins Korn zu werfen ...
Daher gilt weiterhin, das Tagesrauschen auszublenden.
Das passt auch gut zu einer Welle 4.Während 2. Wellen fast immer eine gewöhnliche abc-Struktur mit tiefem Retracement aufweisen, ist es bei den 4. Wellen zumeist eine kleinere aber komplexe Korrektur, die sich auch mal hinziehen kann.
Ein verkapptes Dreieck ist also durchaus im Bereich des Möglichen.
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http://www.321gold.com/editori…e/captainewave120619.html
"The next US jobs report is Friday, December 6 (Anm. korrigiert)! Gold often has wild volatility (although less recently) around the release of these reports, and then it shoots higher in the days that follow.
Tomorrow could mark the “official” start of gold wave *v*, which targets the $1700 area!
On our intraday chart, the drop from 1489.90 to the current low of 1477.10 looks like a 3wave pattern, which is bullish.
Wave *iv* is likely now complete at the 1446.30 low.
In the very bullish case, we also need to consider the possibility that wave *iii* is going to extend… and in this case wave !i! of *iii* ended at 1566.20 and all of wave !ii! at the 1446.30.If wave *iv* is complete gold will start to rally sharply in wave *v*, which has an initial target of 1704.40.
We still need a sharp break and close above red downtrend line that is shown on the daily gold chart.
It has already happened with many gold stocks, and that’s a very good sign of what lies ahead.
Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.
Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!"
Auf geht´s
Grüße -
We are long, with puts as stops!
Und ich erst
[Blockierte Grafik: https://www.tradingview.com/x/vj1kealk/]
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