Beiträge von Aladin

Careful, it can be a Bulltrap.

Xcal News:

http://www.ccnmatthews.com/new…wRelease&actionFor=553682

Und sie wird platzen, die Blase.. Die Fremdkapitalquote ist erschreckend hoch, der spekulative Anteil am Kaufvolumen ebenfalls.

Kommt immer drauf an wo der Druck hingeht.

Da brauche ich nicht mitschreiben Goldy, fuer so an Schmarn ist die Tinte zu schade. Kauf dir ein Lehrbuch, kein Leerbuch was du hast,dort sind nur leere Sprueche drin.

Mensch Meier, Tambok da hast du ja eine Grufty reingelegt, absolut heroisch ist das aber nicht, die schimmelt ja fast ueberall.
Da sind mir die Juniors weit aus lieber.

SLW hat jeder schlaue im Depo.

Anschaun kann man sie wenn man sie nicht kaufen will.

Was fuer den Radarschirm, nicht anderes.
Damit es nicht langweilig wird.

Alle voll investiert, ich auch !...leider

Gut dann brauche ich keine mehr vorstellen, schauts Euch die eigenen dann mal an.

XAX

Bei mir ist es mehr oder weniger auch plus minus null.
Ich habe viele Juniors (55%) und die sind die einzigen die runter gingen was normal ist.
Komme mir vor als waere ich jetzt erst eingestiegen.
Genauso schnell koennen sie sich wieder steigen,je nach Hype.
Die Amis haben so viele Hedgefunds da werden einige baden gehen neben den short sellers.
Das wird noch interessant wie die rumbaumeln, vielleicht springen ein paar von denen aus dem Fenster.
Biloxi Blues, die wissen nicht mal wohin mit den 30 T Leuten von der Innenstadt New Orleans. Die ziehen bald um von einen Sportstadium zum naechsten.

Der Zirkus Amerika ! ....... sad.

So, jetzt weg vom PC...

Ciao

XAX

Wer es exotisch und geopolitisch mag, dem empfehle ich Equador und Columbia, leider nur am Radar bei mir

ARU.V und ORV.TO

Die MAG.V ist gut gelaufen, siehe oben.
Viva Fortuna, die auch (FVI.V)
Silver Wheaton hat noch mehr Aktien von Bear Creek Mining gekauft.
Der Baer ist auch gut gelaufen.
Die SLW gehoert in jedes Depo, ich hoffe ihr habt genug davon.
Fuer den Preis z.Zt. immer noch ein Schnaeppchen.IMHO

Mfg

XAX

valueman

RMX.TO and MAD.V, they drives me mad, I can't buy

Red Lake and Nevada passt.

Da fasse ich noch hinterher wenns besser ausschaut.

Miramar, ganz klar ! ;), bevor ich es vergesse MGR.V da hat Zihlman heute was geschrieben.
Mit GAM.TO zusammen ist ja wunderbar.

Cheers

XAX

Gold Fields to back Aflease bid for Sub Nigel

http://yahoo.reuters.com/finan…13-59-02_l31573798_newsml

Selten ein Nachteil ohne Vorteil, die Crimex hat eine Pause noetig.
Is the flushout over now ?.... , I guess it is.

Im Irak ist die Kacke am dampfen mit den zwei Gruppen innerhalb Iraks. (Bridge over troubled water)
Da sieht man wieder was passieren kann wenn einer Panik/Bombe schreit, Goldy.

Das sterben geht weiter,die ganze gegend wird ein Vietnam auf dauer, die verstanden Saddam aber nicht die Amerikaner mit ihrer "Demokratie und Befreiung", die nur wegen Oil dort sind.

In New Orleans, die Neger gehen pluendern und kriegen nasse Fuesse dabei. In der Innerstadt ist es schwarz wie hier,da moechte ich nie wohnen. (Down the Mississippi) Multirassen Resultat.

Wie auch immer, es nimmt alles seinen Lauf, es ist traurig was da laeuft im Moment.

Darum, geniesst jeden Tag ! :))

Mfg

XAX

AN OIL PANIC IN PLAIN SIGHT

By Sean Brodrick

- Hurricane Katrina smashes "Energy Alley," a concentrated
area of oil production in Gulf of Mexico that supplies
about 35% of America's domestic oil.

- White House says oil will get cheaper, but makes hush-
hush plans to increase the Strategic Petroleum Reserve by
42% to ONE BILLION barrels of crude. Why are they so eager
to add to the SPR when oil prices are high?

- Saudis reveal they won't be able to meet oil demand –
first time EVER they've admitted the awful truth

Hurricane Katrina delivered a devastating blow to America
even before it slammed into Louisiana. The Massive storm
smashed through "Energy Alley," a concentrated area of oil
rigs off the coast that supply about 35% of America's
domestic oil production and 20% of its natural gas. It
damaged much of our nation's oil production.

At the same time, workers rushed to shut down the offshore
Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, which processes loads from
tankers too large for mainland ports. The LOOP is the
nation's largest oil import terminal, handling 11% of U.S.
imports. And refiners shut down more than a million barrels
a day of production as they braced for the impact from the
monster storm. Those refineries will probably be out for at
least two weeks, setting the stage for a potential gasoline
shortage.

Panicked oil traders are pushing oil prices over $70 per
barrel. And now for the really scary part. A devastating
hurricane strike at America's oil and gas operations in the
Gulf of Mexico is just one of the major forces that could
send oil to $80 ... $100 ... $150 a barrel. Other forces
that could send oil prices surging are potentially much
more serious...and permanent!

The Saudis are the "central bank of oil," right? So how
come the central bank is scrounging for loose change under
the couch cushions?

Earlier this month came news that Saudi Arabia hired five
Rowan jackup oil rigs for drilling offshore oil wells on a
three year contract. Those rigs are currently under
contract in the Gulf of Mexico, so that means Saudi Arabia
outbid somebody to get those rigs – and rig rates have
already run up to obscenely high levels – 30% to 50% more
than a year ago.

Drilling for oil underwater is very expensive. You'd expect
the Saudis to be drilling out their cheapest oil first.
Don't they have a desert full of this stuff? So why are
they suddenly digging deep for underwater oil, and willing
to pay a premium to do it?

Unless... maybe the Saudis don't have as much oil as they
say they do.

We already know that the Saudis have confessed that OPEC
won't be able to meet western oil demand in 10 to 15 years.
I'm starting to think they might come up short a lot sooner
than that.

Are the Saudis lying? Well, at least it seems like they're
not telling the whole truth. What's more, I believe there's
a whole lot our own government isn't telling us. I'll get
to that in a moment. First, some ugly facts...

· The world uses a BILLION barrels of oil every 12
days. Do we find a billion barrels of oil every 12 days?
NO! In fact, if everything goes perfectly, we'll find just
30 million barrels of oil in the same time period. If
things go badly, we'll find less. Much less.

· The global depletion rate runs at least 5% a year,
perhaps much higher , as once-reliable sources of oil are
in serious decline. Oil production in Britain fell the
steepest of any country last year, with production in the
once-prolific North Sea falling by 10% (230,000 barrels per
day) last year ... Production in Alaska's Prudhoe Bay has
fallen 75% from its peak in 1987 ... Iraq's oil production
is still half of what it was before the war ...Mexico's
production is declining so quickly it will have to start
importing oil in the next 10 years!

· The U.S. Energy Information Agency has fallen in line
with the International Energy Agency and admits that oil
demand will exceed supply starting in the fourth quarter of
this year. Total world demand is expected to be 86.4
million barrels per day, according to the EIA, while total
world supply is expected to be 85.4 million barrels per
day. The EIA ups the ante by saying there will be a
shortfall in the first quarter of 2006 as well.

Publicly, the White House urges calm and predicts that oil
prices will retreat from their current high levels. But
privately, the U.S. government is quietly planning to add
to existing oil reserves at a furious pace. ...... etc etc.

@ GSP

Wie du 105% plus machtest ist mir ein Raetsel,ist wohl ein Komet.
Mit RSA Minen bestimmt nicht, HUI und XAG auch nicht.
Wie auch immer,wenn du es glaubst, its ok !
Egal, wir gewinnen und verlieren, hoffen und glauben weiter. :))

An was immer !

Mfg

XAX

Die beste Zeit die zu kaufen ist im Mai, Goldy.

HOW TO PICK RESOURCE STOCKS

by Ellsworth Dickson

Investing in resource stocks involves more than just riding a bull market – one has to evaluate and select stocks that offer the best chance of success with the least risk.

Investing in junior resource stocks has always been a risky business, but probably no
more risky than buying biotech stocks. It doesn’t matter what sector the investor
targets, there is no guarantee of success – even large,

apparently healthy companies can do poorly on the bottom line as well as on the stock
market. Each company lives or dies by the rules governing its own particular sector.
Success in the mining industry is generally governed by prevailing metal prices, the
ability of management and the biggest wild card of all – geology. There are many
properties that have encouraging mineral showings worthy of spending money to
explore; however, only a few will prove to be economic mining operations.

Yet, as far as the investor is concerned, while it is impossible to discern which
companies will find and develop a producing mine, it is quite possible to make
significant capital gains on the stock market without picking companies that will build
mines. This situation develops because of prevailing investor sentiment. When a company reports good exploration
results from its mineral project, the stock will often rise in value even though the project is not even close to
becoming a mine. The fact is that it doesn’t matter – investors will bid the stock higher because they believe the
project has potential. On the other hand, the fear factor will result in a declining stock price as investors dump their
shares in belief that the project has little potential.

The most important fact is that stocks must be carefully selected because a bull market in the mining sector doesn’t

provide market success for every company. The challenge is, of course, to identify potential winners. Stocks may
“drift” lower as the weeks drag on without any news, but will usually make big jumps very quickly when good
news is disseminated or, at least when news is perceived as positive. These jumps in share prices often happen so
fast that the big gains are over before the investor even knows about it, unless he or she follows the market very
closely. So what is an investor to do?

Resource World Magazine interviewed two professionals, one from the stock trading side and one with a geological

background. They offer valuable advice on how to select resource stocks at various stages in their corporate life.
Mal Spooner is president of Mavrix Funds in Toronto. Spooner’s resource-based
mutual fund posted a one-year return of 100% in 2003. Mr. Spooner is also the
author of Resources Rock – How to Invest and Profit from the Next Global Boom in
Natural Resources (Insomniac Press). Jim Bartlett is a Mining and Oil and Gas
Analyst at the brokerage house of Odlum Brown Ltd. in Vancouver, BC.

Resource World: Now that many metals have increased in value, what is your
current evaluation of the mining sector?
Spooner: Metals have been strong, and continue to be for all the right reasons.
Since the October 2003 lows, copper is up over 100%, nickel is up over 180%,
aluminium prices are up 33%, zinc is up 26% and cobalt a whopping 250%. Only
palladium is still in the doldrums, down 33% from levels three years ago. But the
prices are strong for all the right reasons. Global demand is strong and inventories are skinny. Demand is strong
because the economic recovery is global. Annualizing GDP growth recently reported – China is growing at an
8.8% rate, India at 8.2%, Japan at 4.4%, the US at 2.8% and the UK at 2.7%. Despite the strong metal demand and
higher prices, the stocks have traded lower over the sleepy summer months, mostly due to uncertainty about the
U.S. election, interest rate fears, and Mid East tensions. This is how opportunities are created – when there’s a
disconnect between what’s really going on and investor psychology.

Bartlett: Things have changed significantly since China, India and Asia have become the growth engines for
metals demand for the world. Essentially, the U.S. and Europe are mostly recycling markets – cars, refrigerators,
etc get recycled. In Asia they need a big input of primary metals that have been mined, not recycled. Asian demand
is expected to continue for five, 10, maybe 15 years. So, the outlook for the mining sector is very good.

RW: What do you look for when selecting mining companies to invest in?

Spooner: For grassroots exploration companies, management is most important. I look for management that is not
only capable (geologists) but are also motivated. Very often they’ve quit a larger production company to strike out
on their own, so they must believe in what they’re doing and where they’re doing it. Risk factors include geography (in a stable environment or in a politically unstable country); probability – preliminary
exploration (even grab samples) must confirm likelihood; and to some extent potential economics – if too far away
from roads/power etc. then grades or deposit size will have to be large. For companies that are exploring and
developing a known mineral deposit, again it’s the credibility of management. At this stage the management team
must be technically proficient, but they also will need to continue raising capital. There’s a delicate balance
between management teams who can promote nothing well, versus promote something good not so well.
Geography and infrastructure factor in more critically at this stage – if size of deposit and grades don’t make for a
feasible project in both up and down cycles,

then it’s more risky. Can management or a buyer make money mining this deposit where it’s located? For
companies in production, investing in these stocks is driven by two things – the commodity cycle and costs. Lower

cost operations are preferred. They’re less sensitive to the cycle. Low cost mining operations can provide a cushion
when cycles suddenly run out of steam. However, even the less efficient operators will perform well in a robust

demand environment – so where we are in the cycle is crucial to determining which stocks to own. Management
(yes, again) is important. There is a tendency for some company managers to spend aggressively in up cycles, as if
it will go on forever – and it never goes on forever. These stocks get hammered the most when the economy slows.
Finally, reserves are important. Larger production companies fall out of favour quickly if they are unlikely to
increase their production in good markets simply because they’ve not invested enough of their time and money

in discovering or buying more reserves in the between times.

Bartlett: In my opinion, grassroots exploration companies are not an investment – they are speculations. There
could very well be better odds in Las Vegas. That being said, there is a market for grassroots exploration
companies. Depending on the promoter and management, these kinds of stocks can trade at a significant premium
over their true asset value. The net asset value may be zero, but the stock could
trade anywhere between 50¢ and $5.00. For companies with some kind of mineral
deposit, what you are looking for is a sizeable deposit with projected revenues at
two times the cost that can be developed reasonably quickly – say within the next
five years. Hopefully, a company at this stage can catch the market in a good phase
to raise exploration and development funds. For producers, I like companies that
have long-life reserves such as Falconbridge that has ore deposits they are
developing as well as producing mines in the Sudbury Basin. That company has
ore deposits that will be in production 25 to 40 years from now.

RW: Do you use technical analysis to determine buy, hold and sell signals?

Spooner: I’m not a technician at all, but stock market dynamics are important
criteria. I like to sell stocks when there’s a lot of hoopla and enthusiasm associated with them. When a stock
charges upwards, usually on news or related to a change in the outlook for a commodity, there’s a tendency for it to
get overbought. A chart will quickly show me that the price has climbed too fast to be justified by the news – or a
flurry of investors has piled in – which creates an opportunity to sell. I can always buy it back when the enthusiasm
wanes – and it always does. Similarly, if the stock price has been languishing for months despite good news, then I
know it’s still okay to buy – I’ll be ahead of the pack.

Bartlett: I don’t use technical analysis. For myself, I just don’t find it particularly helpful. Quite often a stock will
run up and it looks like a breakout, and sometimes it is; however, it’s not unusual for the stock to suffer a
significant correction rather quickly. For stocks that do make a good upward move, I buy on corrections.

RW: Do you buy stocks when there is no real trend and they are trading quietly or do you wait for them to roar to
life and then jump in?

Spooner: I buy before there’s a real trend whenever humanly possible. If the underlying stock strength is based

on a large discovery and it’s not widely researched or understood, then it’s likely I can buy after a move and still do

well. In this case I have to compare the prospects with the valuation and make a judgement call.

Bartlett: Generally speaking, I like stocks where there is some kind of action because that indicates there is
investor interest. Other times one can wait for years when people don’t pay attention to a good quality stock. A
good time to buy is just before a company attains production.

Thanks Lancelot, wish you well, and sunshine too !
By the way, KRE.V is a bargain again.
Pity, I'm out of Ammunition.

Cheers

XAX

@GSP

Mich wuerde es ja freuen, aber bis zum Wochenende ???
Das wird bestimmt ein anderes sein IMHO.
Wenn der Fed bis Jahresende die Zinsen auf 4.25% hat ist bestimmt der USD Index mindestens ueber 90 schaetze ich mal. Da kommt ein $ Schub,der Guru M hat das nicht aus der Nase gezogen.Und das wiederum hat negative Auswirkung auf Gold wie wir alle wissen.
Du bist schon ein grosser Optimist, so schnell geht es auch nicht.

Gruss

XAX

Edel Man

Fuer Goldy ist eine Fannie Mae am besten so wie ich es sehe.
Freddy Mac waere ja auch nicht schlecht
Damit kann man Haeuser bauen !

@ Lancelot

Ich finde da nichts an solchen Bohrergebnissen bei Minera.
Das einzige was ich finden kann ist das hier.
Ich glaube du meinst Silber, nicht Gold (1kg/tonne.)
Wie auch immer die ist bei mir im Depo.

Previous geologic mapping and sampling at Cerro Mojon identified more than 15 mineralized vein structures. Several of these structures outcrop for over 500 meters of strike length. In addition, a gradient array induced polarization geophysical survey identified several anomalies coincident with gold and silver mineralization found at the surface. Some 217 of approximately 340 surface samples of mineralized rock taken on the property contained detectable gold, including 117 with more than 0.1 g/t and 20 with more than 1 g/t. The best sample contains 4 g/t (0.13 opt) gold. Anomalous silver is more widespread on the property with 289 samples containing detectable silver including 109 with more than 10 g/t and 22 with more than 100 g/t with the highest sample containing 855 g/t (27 opt).

Mfg

XAX

..na dann denke mal weiter Goldy was das zu bedeuten hat und warum GSP diese Formel staendig benutzt.