ZitatDie Bemühungen,Silber in Mexiko als Wärungsmetall wiedereinzuführen, sind
immer wieder von Lobbies,aber insbes.der Notenbank, torpediert worden.
Letztere im Hinblick auf den "großen" Nachbarn.
Klar, die Kabalen werden sicher nicht untätig zuschauen...
ZitatBei Silber bin ich auch guter Dinge,immerhin fast vollinvestiert zzt.,rd.60% eines PM-Depots.
Bin genau gleich investiert in PM's (60% Silber) 
Mein Hauptaugenmerk gilt aber in letzter Zeit Silber und was damit zusammenhängt.
ZitatNochmals...Silber erwacht.
Sieht so ganz so aus:
ZitatAlles anzeigenMexican congressmen are going to Sao Paolo, Brazil, for a meeting of
the Latin American Parliament beginning Nov. 24.
Among the congressmen in the delegation is a group from the three
main political parties in Mexico who, though totally at odds on
other matters, will make a presentation about re-establishing silver
as a currency and thus helping unite the economies and politics of
the region.
One congressman will present the history of silver and why it went
out of circulation.
Another congressman will show how silver can be reintroduced into
circulation permanently -- through a coin with no nominal face
value, whose daily value will be quoted in a similar fashion (with
similar seigniorage) by participating central banks in each
country's local currency, with the provision that no quote ever can
be reduced.
The third congressman will present the social, economic, and
political advantages of placing such a coin into circulation.
Zumindest gibts den Phoenix Dollar (eine durch Silber gedeckte Digitalwährung)
ZitatWenn Silber mal bei 20$/Oz steht ?
Den Anfang sehen wir im Dezember.
Wieviel es wird?
Lassen wir uns überraschen! 
ZitatAlles anzeigenThursday, November 10, 2005
Silver News
Ok, some tidbits from LeMetropole's Cafe:
"NOW HEAR THIS!
Something extraordinary IS GOING ON with silver. The open interest rose to a multi-decade high at 143,966 contracts, up another 2833. The OI dichotomy between silver and gold becomes more pronounced on a daily basis. Same MIDAS analysis. Some mega players are loading up on futures positions before they go after the physical silver market. Stand by for some serious upside silver fireworks in the weeks ahead … like a $1 move up in a single trading session."
Bill,
My local gold & silver dealer, _which is the biggest wholesaler in town_, has just called to beg me to lent him 200 kilos of silver, because Peñoles is way behind in his regular deliveries and the local market here in Guadalajara is undergoing a shortage of silver.
All the best
Gabriel
Der Dezember naht...
ZitatEher regen mich die ständigen Markteingriffe der Cabals drüben auf.
Und damit das nicht so offensichtlich ist, beginnt man nun auch noch mit den Infos zu sparen:
ZitatDiscontinuance of M3
On March 23, 2006, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System will cease publication of the M3 monetary aggregate. The Board will also cease publishing the following components: large-denomination time deposits, repurchase agreements (RPs), and Eurodollars. The Board will continue to publish institutional money market mutual funds as a memorandum item in this release.
Measures of large-denomination time deposits will continue to be published by the Board in the Flow of Funds Accounts (Z.1 release) on a quarterly basis and in the H.8 release on a weekly basis (for commercial banks).
Ausschnitt aus dem Newsletter vom 3.11. von Dennis Gartman
"Finally, we note that silver has begun to "act" a good deal more bullishly than has gold in recent weeks. The Gold/Silver ratio appears to have topped out in the late summer at or near the 64 - 65:1 level, and now appears heading lower, i.e., in silver's favor relative to gold. Silver's fundamentals have always been far more favorable than have gold's fundamentals regarding supply/demand. Silver is lost when it is used; gold, however, is never so... or perhaps it is better to say "hardly so." Until the ratio made a clearly visible top however we have tended on balance to shy away from silver given its volatility. Now that the ratio has forged what appears to be a formidable "top," our propensity to look favorable upon silver relative to gold is rising.
Further, we find the patterns that the silver stocks are tracing out relative to gold stocks enticing... and so to the stocks of palladium and platinum. Note that SIL and PAAS appear much stronger than does ABX or NEM; note that SWC (the major US palladium producer) "gapped" higher last week and that gap remains intact, while the gold shares languish. Note too that they've done so as the economic statistics coming out of N. America and Europe are strong and seemingly getting stronger. Something is afoot, and we should be kicking it."
Weiter:
What an interesting, and powerfully bullish chart pattern this is... or will be eventually.
Seine Empfehlung:
Finally, we suggest that our readers/clients take a very serious look at the Gold/Silver ratio, and at silver vs. gold share positions too. We are not yet ready to recommend this position, but we are very, very, very close to doing so. Good luck and good trading, Dennis Gartman.
Special Roundtable:
Are the markets rigged?
Diskussion mit James Turk (goldmoney), Bill Murphy (GATA, lemetropolecafe), Chris Powell (GATA)
Wer noch Zeit hat, sollte mal reinhören.
Ein bisschen Licht in die gestrigen Vorgänge:
Nightmare On Halloween/What’s Behind The Barrick Bid For Placer Doom
Wenn du mit Halloween-Party die morgige FED-Sitzung meinst...
Economy grows, na ja... 
Wohl Dank geschönter Zahlen
Und am nächsten Dienstag ist ja FED Sitzung, da werden die Edelmetallpreise vorher runtergehämmert und beim USD und DOW wird noch ein Strohfeuer entfacht.
Aladin
Was die USD Rally angeht bin ich anderer Meinung.
Die geht noch etwa bis Ende November.
Anfangs Dezember wird der Abstieg beginnen, der sich Mitte Dezember noch massiv verstärken wird.
Bin gespannt wer richtig tippt?
Nur die Ruhe bewahren... 
I expected an increase in volatility in the gold price, and that is exactly what we are seeing. The gold price fell almost 2% on Wednesday, and continued declining Thursday morning as I was writing this commentary. I received numerous emails about conspiracies and manipulation in the gold market already; the gold price falls a few dollars and some people are convinced it has to be the result of manipulation. Markets do not go straight up, and the higher the price becomes, the more volatile it is going to be because emotions and expectations become more and more polarized.
I am still confident that the gold price is going much higher. In fact, due to the recent surge of monetary inflation in the US, I have increased my target price for gold to $830 an ounce.
In a previous article (http://www.paulvaneeden.com/Library/200304%20Gold.php) I showed that the gold price in US dollars is determined by the relative inflation rate of the dollar versus the inflation rate of gold. This is not only theory, but true in practice as well.
For the benefit of those who have not read the article, the inflation rate of gold is annual mine production as a percentage of the total above-ground supply of gold. The latter is essentially all the gold that has ever been mined, since most of it is still available in one form or another.
The average inflation rate of gold since 1971 has been about 1.6% per year while the average annual inflation rate of the US dollar -- as measured by the increase in M3 -- has been closer to 8%. It is no wonder, therefore, that the price of gold in US dollars is higher today than it was in 1971.
The gold price in US dollars kept pace with the projected gold price as determined by their relative inflation rates from 1971 up to about 1995. During the 1990s, the tremendous demand for US dollars from foreign investors seeking a safe haven from international currency crises lead to a surge in the US dollar exchange rate. This increase in the US dollar exchange rate depressed the gold price in US dollars, but not in most other currencies.
As the US dollar declines, as it has since 2001, the gold price in US dollars will return to its inflation-adjusted price, which by my calculations should be above $800 an ounce by now. But not all of the increase in the gold price will be due to a decline in the US dollar exchange rate because monetary inflation will continue to push the gold price higher.
So when I see the gold price decline, as it has this week, I am not worried.
The gold price increased by more than 13% since July (prior to this week's decline) without any decline in the US dollar to account for the increase. One possible explanation for the recent surge in the gold price could be the rapid acceleration of monetary inflation in US. Recall that the average increase in M3 since 1971 has been about 8% per year. During the past twelve months M3 has increase by 7.1%; however, if we annualize the increase in M3 over the past three months it comes to almost 11%, indicating an increase in the rate of inflation. Regardless of why US money supply is increasing so rapidly, the effect will be a higher US dollar gold price.
As I mentioned earlier, incorporating the recent surge in US monetary inflation increased my target for the gold price to over $800 an ounce. Therefore, until we see the gold price at those levels I believe there is upside in the market. However, I now suggest you read the first paragraph again: as the gold price increases, gold price volatility will also increase. Predicting short-term fluctuations in the gold price is a fool's game; betting on them is even worse.
Hier ein Ausschnitt aus „Le Metropole Cafe“ von gestern. Während alle die Entwicklungen bei GE, GR., FORD und Fannie Mae beobachten und Probleme im Derivativen Markt erwarten, könnte Refco für einen Skandal sorgen, der die Kettenreaktion auslöst. Es könnte der Eisberg sein, der die Titanic zum Sinken bringt.
…
The AM Fix came in at $472.35, up $3.15 over the Comex close. Silver was pegged at $7.86, up 6 cents. What was most intriguing was to see this sort of strength in light of the dollar’s simultaneous strength. The early going has the euro down .50 and the yen at multi-year lows. While way too early to ascertain yet, this price action gives more credence to what was brought to your attention in the MIDAS Saturday Night Special commentary. The developing lease problems are in the cash gold market (with silver smoldering) and should be reflected in London first.
This could be another reason the Saudis do not want to store their physical silver in London. They probably feel it won’t be there when they want to get it, or don’t trust the banks which might "say" they are keeping it in storage for them.
The "Deep Throat" information sent my way on Saturday was specifically related to a growing gold lease rate problem – ILLEGAL gold leases. The bullion banks doing the leases cannot oblige those who are now calling for their gold, which is one of the reasons gold has been acting the way it has. It was my guess that silver would lead the way because once word spread re the demise of various illegal gold leasing schemes, the silver market would go nuts because the silver shorts should be in worse shape than the gold shorts.
For gold to hold the way it did and come back Thursday/Friday, the extraordinary close on silver on Friday, and today’s early gold surge are strong indications that not only is "Deep Throat" right on, but so is GATA. For gold to move like this on its own (the US stock market and the dollar are up today) suggests something is in play in the bullion market which cannot, and is not, explained by the gold pundits, and certainly not Planet Wall Street.
This is the reason MIDAS keeps pounding the table over GATA’s understanding the price of gold could rally $100 per ounce and the dollar do nothing. You could have sold ice to the Eskimos before selling that line of rationale a year ago. The purpose of emphasizing this "dead on" GATA assessment of the gold market is for credibility purposes of what lies ahead … to build Café member confidence of where the price of gold is going and why.
The bottom line is the bullion/central banks are short some 12,000 to 16,000 tonnes of gold and cannot get it back. If only a few parties call for their gold (Deep Throat says this is underway to some degree), the gold market will go into convulsions … even if only 5% to 10% of this amount is asked for as the months and years go by. The gold market is already in a pronounced supply/demand deficit. The only way The Gold Cartel can keep the price from exploding is to add clandestine central bank gold via the bullion banks, NOT TAKE IT AWAY from the market.
This does not mean the market has to explode immediately. The authorities, players involved in the leases and Gold Cartel are going to use every means possible to keep the gold price rise an orderly one. You can count on that. They might be able to do so in the short-term. However, they are fighting a losing battle as the time goes on. The die is cast. The Gold Cartel and other major shorts, especially the ones who have ILLEGALLY leased out bullion, are in the deepest of trouble. Should the US financial markets find themselves battered, the problem will worsen for The Gold Cartel and shorts who have their gold out on loan. This is when we get our Commercial Signal Failure and the gold derivatives neutron bomb goes off. Could be sooner, could be later … it’s coming.
The CFTC ought to be shut down. There is no reason for its existence. As a result of the Refco flap, they are making noises how diligent they are. Horse manure!
Once again gold made its surging high for the entire trading session within the first 45 minutes to an hour. No free market trades like that time and time again. Not only that, the $6 Rule was invoked for the umpteenth time ($6.30 to be exact). That was it. The Gold Cartel put gold in lockdown mode for the rest of the day on Comex. As soon as it went up $6 and change, GATA’s Chris Powell and Wistar Holt both sent me emails: "That’s it, limit up, $6 Rule."
Thus The Gold Cartel continues to manage a gold retreat, and in doing so, their inevitable defeat into disgrace.
As also happens so often, when The Gold Cartel is having trouble containing gold, they sit all over silver. Same thing today. After Friday’s dramatic surge, silver was not allowed to keep its head above water to any significant degree. If MIDAS is right, that will not stand for long.
…
https://www.lemetropolecafe.co…_joyce_table.cfm?pid=4952
[Subscription required--free two week trial subscription available at the site]
Interessantes Interview mit David Bond über Silber:
ZitatPROBLEM IN CHINA: This country has run out of a needed industrial commodity, which they now want to buy. Hint: It looks good, retains value and is disliked by central bankers all around the world. FMNN Associate Editor David Bond has details.
Aladin
Das mit dem Vollmond/Neumond habe ich nicht gewusst, mal sehen…
Bin aber auch der Ansicht, dass auf Mitte September ein weiterer Taucher zu erwarten ist.
Am 15. 9. ist ja die ausserordentliche Sitzung der FED, gefolgt von der Ordentlichen am 20.9.
Und auf diese Termine hin wird immer auf die Gold- und Silberpreise „gehämmert“ um damit den US$ besser aussehen zu lassen.
Übernächste Sitzung ist am 1.11. also ist ein weiterer Taucher gegen Ende Oktober zu erwarten
Ob es nochmals so tief wie gerade geht, ist schlecht abzuschätzen.
Hängt auch von Geschehen wie gerade in New Orleans ab.
Grundsätzlich sind die Prognosen für die Börse für diesen Oktober mehrheitlich schlecht.
Wieweit sich das positiv oder auch nicht auf den GOP und POS auswirkt, ist schwer zu beurteilen.
Für mich bleibt der Monat Dezember der entscheidende Monat, da sollte es deutlich nach Norden gehen.
Ist schon hie und da vorgekommen, dass der POS vor FED Sitzungen gefallen ist, egal was da entschieden wurde. Gehört zum Spiel.
Weiter vorne habe ich in einem Beitrag eine etwas ungewöhnliche Prognosemethode vorgestellt.
Diese Prognose wird nicht anhand irgendwelcher Kennzahlen erstellt, sondern Grundlage bildet das Sprachverhalten der Menschen.
Aufgrund der Angaben, die mir zur Verfügung stehen, ergibt sich für dieses Jahr folgendes Bild:
Die Widerstandsgrenze von 6.80 US$/Unze sollte nicht unterschritten werden.
Es ist mit einer weiteren Wellenlinie mit Ausschlägen nach oben zu rechnen.
Der eigentliche Preisanstieg erfolgt aber erst Anfangs Dezember.
Da sollte der Preis senkrecht in die Höhe schnellen.
Alle Angaben ohne Gewähr.
@ hpopth
Richtig, die Schweiz hat Gold verkauft, aber nicht freiwillig.
Aber irgendwie mussten diese Verkäufe gegenüber dem Volk begründet werden, und da macht sich der Begriff "überflüssig" ja gut.
Ich selbst habe mich ziemlich geärgert, denn es ist sogar für den informierten Laien ersichtlich, dass der Zeitpunkt der Verkäufe nicht gerade gut gewählt war.
Nur manchmal gelten eben andere Regeln.
Hier ein Ausschnitt aus einem Artikel, der bei goldseiten.de erschienen ist:
...
Zwar wurde die Schweizer Regierung und die SNB durch die politischen Aktionen von verschiedenen Seiten und mit Hinweis auf die Rolle der Schweizer Banken zu Zeiten des Holocausts zur Teilliquidierung ihres Goldschatzes veranlasst (das dürfte noch sehr milde ausgedrückt sein), aber ihr nachfolgendes Handeln zeigt die Weitsicht der Schweizer Notenbankiers.
...
Gerüchten über die Aktivitäten der Schweizerischen Nationalbank in 2004
Wie aus diesem Ausschnitt hervor geht, hat die Nationalbank das klar erkannt und zum Glück auch scheinbar die richtigen Massnahmen getroffen
Na dann hoffen wir mal...
Hab ganz schön investiert, als die Unze unter 7$ war.
Hallo Komet
Ne Morgen noch nicht.
Seltsamerweise sinkt der Silberpreis vor Feiertagen, die auch in den USA gefeiert werden.
So war es Weihnachten und Neujahr 04, Ostern 05 und jetzt steht am 4. 7. der amerikanische Nationalfeiertag an.
Bin aber der persönlichen Ansicht, dass das Zeitfenster für einen günstigen Einstieg enger wird.
Ich hab mir dazu auch so einige Überlegungen angestellt.
Meine Erfahrung ist die, dass auf die meisten wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Analysen kein grosser Verlass ist.
Entweder vertreten die Verfasser irgendwelche Interessen und wollen für diese werben oder das Analysemodell für die Prognosen liefert „falsche“ Ergebnisse.
Flasche Ergebnisse darum, weil solche Modelle nur in einem freien Markt etwas taugen.
Nun leben wir in einem manipulierten Markt, was die massgebenden Entwicklungen anbetrifft.
Nicht, dass man den Markt auf längere Frist beliebig manipulieren kann.
Aber zumindest kurzfristig ist das für Globalplayer, die sich unter einander absprechen, möglich.
Und wenn auch langfristig fundamentale Tendenzen nicht aufhaltbar sind, so kann doch bestimmt werden, zu welchem Zeitpunkt sich gewisse grosse Ereignisse manifestieren können.
Wer davon profitieren will, sollte also die Pläne der „Grossfinanz“ kennen.
Leider kenne ich die nicht.
Ich habe jetzt trotzdem in Silber investiert.
Warum?
Weil ich mich auch auf andere Prognosemodelle abstütze, wie z.B. das folgende, das doch schon einige Treffer vorweisen kann.
Dieses Prognosemodell analysiert das Sprachverhalten im Internet.
Es geht davon aus, dass bedeutende Entwicklungen und Ereignisse in der Zukunft schon in der Gegenwart im Sprachverhalten der Menschen ihren Ausdruck finden.
Wie bei vielen Prognosemethoden besteht das grösste Problem darin, den genauen Zeitpunkt eines Geschehens zu bestimmen.
Generell kann aber gesagt werden, je bedeutender ein Ereignis ist, umso früher lassen sich Hinweise im Sprachverhalten der Menschen darauf finden.
Wie diese „Web Bot“ Technik genau funktioniert, dazu siehe:
Web Bot Technology (in englisch)
Und hier ihre Analyse „Silver - Primal Energy“:
Silver - Primal Energy (in englisch)
Jede Investition hat ihre Risiken, klar, aber diese Prognosemethode ist zumindest nicht interessengebunden und Wirtschaftsmanipulationen werden eben „berücksichtigt“.
Bin jedenfalls gespannt.
Gruss
