Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

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Greenspan to Raise Interest Rates by 25%

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Written by dalepetrie

Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board Alan Greenspan today announced that the Fed is raising the prime lending rate (the rate charged by the Federal government to financial institutions) from 1% to a whopping 26%, bringing the interest rate from a 46 year low to an all time high. The move was reportedly prompted by Greenspan’s desire to “make all you whining bastards see what a really bad economy is like so you’ll quit yer bitching.”

The announcement prompted investors to pull every penny out of the stock market in favor of moving it to interest bearing savings and checking accounts, causing the Dow to close at 0.00, down 10,241.86 points from this morning’s opening of 10,241.86. The Nasdaq was also off 100%, down 1,947.24 to 0.00 from this morning’s opening of 1,947.24. Only the S&P 500 retained any of its value, closing at .02, down 1,104.28 from this morning’s opening of 1,104.30, prompted by the inaction of one guy named Earl who forgot he owned any stock.

The business world was thrown into chaos when all the officers and directors of every one of the Fortune 1000 corporations simultaneously hurled themselves out of tall buildings, however only a small handful were killed as the pile of bodies of the first victims broke the fall of the rest. The massive influx of cash into the economy weakened the dollar in the global economy to 1 ten thousandth of what its value was this morning and that number is dropping by the second, sparking hyperinflation the likes of which have not been seen outside of Argentina. Almost all personal property in the United States has now been destroyed by the ensuing riots, and when asked why police were not doing more to stem the tide of violence, a high-ranking police official commented under the condition of anonymity, “what are you, fucking nuts?” All existing personal fortunes were wiped out, and as of this writing, the wealthiest man in America is John Simmons, of Des Moines, Iowa, an avid coin collector who spent all of his disposable income on gold coins, and managed to save most of them from the looting and rioting by having the foresight on hearing Greenspan’s speech to shove three giant tubes of gold coins up his ass. Fortunately Simmons was a smooth gay bottom boy and had no problem inserting the disproportionately large tubes.

President George W. Bush could not be reached for comment as he was reportedly crying like a little bitch over the news which surely spelled his defeat in November, given that no one other than Simmons has any money to give to a political campaign, and Simmons is a Kerry supporter because of Bush’s stand on the gay marriage issue. Presumed Democratic Presidential Nominee Kerry immediately offered the Vice President spot on the ticket to Simmons, who gratefully accepted, given that he is now unemployed as his boss is financially ruined.

When reached for a comment later in the day, Greenspan commented, “Jesus Christ people I was just kidding!”

The story as represented above is written as a satire or parody. It is fictitious.

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Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld "miffed" at omission from bin Laden's hit list

Written by Robert Carey

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Joe's bar and grill

Washington 7th May 2004

Osama bin Laden's offer of a bounty to whomever takes the lives of Paul Bremer or Kofi Annan has George W. Bush, Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld a bit miffed at being left off his hit list.

Bush said, "I think I've done enough to be up there with the best of them. I mean, it was me who put that jumped up desk jockey Bremer in charge of Iraq in the first place and after all, who invaded Afghanistan? and who licks Ariel Sharon's boots every time he wants something? and don't forget, I shouldn't be president of the USA at all".

Dick Cheney was also flummoxed at not being included, he said, "What have you got to do these days, aren't my shady deals with Halliburton enough to qualify me? and wasn't I the one who wanted to go all the way to Baghdad in the first Gulf war? and let it be said, I'm the real brains behind this outfit?

Donald Rumsfeld was similarly shocked. He believes that he should be on top of the list as he asked, "Who gives the go-ahead to drop bunker busters all over the place?, haven't I contributed to the greatest chaos in the middle east since Alexander the Great? and don't forget my cover-up in the prisoner abuse scandal".

They all agreed to try harder in future.

The story as represented above is written as a satire or parody. It is fictitious.

silvo

Schön von Dir zu lesen Silvo. Von Optimismus ist momentan wirklich nicht viel zu spüren bei den Gold, und Silber Bugs. Ist eigentlich auch nicht verwunderlich, nach den Aktionen der letzten Wochen am Gold, und Silber Markt, und wenn man zusehends mitansehen konnte, wie die Anleger ihre Gold, und Silber Aktien rausschmissen, wie wenn ab morgen Gold, oder Silber wertlos würden. Die Leute suchen nach Erklärungen für das Vorgefallene.

Viele können es sich (noch) nicht erklären, warum Gold und Silber, alle extrem positiven fundamentaldaten ignorierend, so stark preislich nachgegeben haben. Vor allem aber werden sich momentan nicht wenige Investoren fragen, ob sie sich so stark geirrt haben könnten, mit ihrer Entscheidung pro Gold, oder Silber.

Ich sehe wie Du Tatsachen rund um mich herum, die ein solches "Preisgehabe" nicht erklären können. Meiner Ansicht nach wird jetzt auch in Thailand langsam, aber sicher eine negativere Zeit anbrechen. Gestern Nacht hat es einen Grossbrand in einer der top Diskotheken Pattayas, einem bekannten Bade-, und Vergrügungsort gegeben. Die Ursachen sind noch nicht ganz geklärt, doch wenn es sich herrausstellen würde, dass es sich um einen Brandanschlag der muslemischen Separatisten aus dem Süden Thailands gehandelt hat, wäre das für die Wirtschaft Thailands mehr als nur schädlich. Die Diskothek heisst übrigens "Hollywood".

Die Subventionierung der Benzinpreise wurde bereits etwas gelockert hier, und weitere Benzinpreiserhöhungen werden wohl bald schon folgen. Reines Gift übrigens für die thailändische Agrarwirtschaft.

Im Süden Thailands brodelt es immer mehr, und die Anschläge auf Armee, und Polizei, und andere Einrichtungen werden immer häufiger, ja sie finden jetzt mehr oder weniger bereits täglich statt.

Es sieht zur Zeit auch nicht danach aus, dass sich die Lage bald entspannen könnte. Die Börse Thailands korrigiert weiter nach unten.
Werde wohl etwas gezwungenermasen mein Engagement weiter reduzieren, und hauptsächlich in physisches Gold, und Silber umschichten, weil ich nach wie vor, von Gold, und Silber als eine der besten, und gewinnverspechensten Anlageformen der Zukunft überzeugt bin. Zudem gewisse Gold, und Silber Minen Aktien wie z. Bsp. SAMEX MINING, KINGSGATE, BEMA Gold, Newmont, etc., schreien geradezu danach ge-, oder zugekauft zu werden, nach den kopflosen Verkäufen der letzten Tage.

Gruss

ThaiGuru

COT Gold Report - May 7, 2004

Gold Cot Report - Futures

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COT Gold Report - May 7, 2004

Gold Cot Report - Futures & Options Combined

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COT Silver Report - May 7, 2004

Silver Cot Report - Futures

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COT Silver Report - May 7, 2004

Silver Cot Report - Futures & Options Combined

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Aids will cost $5/oz in 2009: Gold Fields

http://www.sundaytimes.co.za/z…ss/business1084026482.asp

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Silver Stocks -- Comparative Valuations, Weekly Report # 33

By: Jason Hommel, GoldIsMoney.com

http://news.silverseek.com/GoldIsMoney/1084036471.php

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http://www.lemetropolecafe.com

May 9 - Gold $378.40 - Silver $5.56

What’s Going On Here?

Weekends are beneficial for someone like me who follows the markets all day long and writes a daily column. Two days without the markets churning all over the place allows some time for reflection and contemplation. It is also a period to think about what the heck is going on here. My equity is down a bit over 50% off its highs at the moment with no end in sight in this 5th month of the continuing gold share debacle. It is painful and can be disturbing, at least it is when I force myself to look at the statements. Knowing most Café members feel like me, with many completely demoralized, I thought it might be helpful to put all this in perspective.

Zitat

"We have statutorily gone onto a fiat money standard and as a consequence of that, it is inevitable that the authority, which is the producer of the money supply, will have inordinate power." -- Alan Greenspan, House Financial Services Committee, February 11, 2004

Which is just what The Gold Cartel and Working Group On Financial Markets (including The Fed) are doing. They are exercising their power. While perpetuating the notion we have free markets in the United States, they are trampling the little people, or average investor, most of whom are clueless about what is really going on behind the scenes. Years ago I stated the shenanigans of these powerful folks who were rigging the gold price would eventually lead the US into eventual financial market chaos, even resulting in small riots. We are not there yet, but signs are emerging that this scenario could easily become a reality. It is frightening, as that day appears closer at hand than ever before. The following is my take on what is happening and why it is important to stay the course with your gold and silver investments.

Ironically, it all stems around a supposedly rinky-dink gold market. While it is an insignificant financial market in gross number terms, it is far more important in the overall financial market picture than is widely known and as far as the BIG SHOTS are concerned. Allow me to explain why I believe this is so:

The bond market began its deep decent in earnest around March 21:

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/TR/64

Oil began its relentless run from $33 to $40 per barrel around March 29:

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/CO/64

Gold topped out about March 28:

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/GD/64

Silver topped out about March 28 and began its spectacular collapse days later:

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SV/54

There is something remarkably wrong with this silver collapse. Silver went up methodically for many months and then falls more than 35% in less than 4 weeks, without being allowed to make an attempt at any kind of recovery, leaving huge gap after huge gap on its way down. Both gold and platinum have made sharp corrections, but they were only down around 15%. The savaging of silver is off the charts. I can’t recall a market correcting like silver did EVER when the fundamentals barely changed, or actually improved, making 17-year highs to boot. The silver takedown was nothing less than a mugging, done with white-collar thug, Mafia style precision.

Compare silver to another bull market, say soybeans for example, one which has similar very tight fundamentals. Soybeans endured a steep 12% correction along the way to making new weekly highs, but notice how many rallies there were while it corrected. Silver was not allowed to rally at all and function like the free-trading soybean market, or most any other market in history for that matter - except when the Comex changed their rules on Bunker Hunt.

May beans

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SB/54

Soybeans closed in new high ground on the weeklies, which offers little credence to the notion the giant commodity move of the past two years is over:

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SB/W

So, we have two critical commodities, oil and soybeans representing the energy and food sectors, closing in decade plus highs. Then we have the 30-year bond market collapsing in obvious response to the growing inflation in the US. Meanwhile, during the exact same period, gold tanks and silver is horrifically bludgeoned. This doesn’t sit right with the historical nature of the way markets have worked in America, to say the least. Clearly, this tends to support the findings of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee that some powerful people (as in plural) are interfering in conspiratorial fashion in the gold and silver markets to suit their own agendas. In doing so they are egregiously violating the anti-trust laws of the US.

Which takes us to other aspects and motives for this criminal operation:

The United States has depended upon foreign buyers to take up a significant portion of our debt. Until recently both the Japanese and Chinese were huge buyers of this debt. Weeks ago the Japanese announced they would be pulling back somewhat and have done so since their fiscal year ended on March 31. The Chinese, although this has most likely been understood at the highest financial market levels for some time, have let it be known they are, and will, be doing the same:

China to diversify foreign exchange reserves

(China Business Weekly)
Updated: 2004-05-08 09:12

China is looking to diversify its foreign exchange reserves out of US dollars, according to its top foreign exchange manager.

China's chief forex regulator, Guo Shuqing, said in a recent Financial Times interview the make-up of the country's US$440-billion forex cash pile was being altered to include more European and Asian bonds, given concerns over a weaker US dollar.

The mere thought of China offloading some of its vast US Treasury holdings is enough to send shivers down investors' spines, risking a further deterioration in the already-bloated US current account deficit and more dollar weakness.

–END-

This has to have The Fed and Working Group on Financial Markets a bit shook up. For if the Japanese and Chinese are going to pull back, who is going to take their place buying up our debt in this increasing inflation environment?

I have used the word desperate in the past to describe The Gold Cartel. One might apply that term to the Administration as well. Look at what we have had of late:

*Remember the cancellation of the PPI reports earlier this year, just when it became apparent commodity prices were soaring. The excuse given was they were going to change the PPI makeup somehow and couldn’t figure out how to do it, or ran out of time to do so. What! The United States Government can’t get out a timely report with all the resources they have to get any sort of job done? That is ludicrous.

Sure it is ludicrous. Compare the cancellation of the PPI report (a negative for the financial markets) with what they have done with the employment reports and how they have spun them. All of a sudden jobs are miraculously going like gangbusters. It was the talk of the financial market TV shows this weekend. The March number was even revised up to 337,000 new jobs. What they soft-pedaled was that a good number of them were part-time and low paying jobs. This month the Labor Department shocked most of the economists by announcing the April job growth to be 288,000. However, the highly regarded Hoisington Investment Management Company in Austin, Texas, presents a completely different picture after dissecting this number: "Incidentally, 270,000 of the April job gains came from the birth/death model, a statistical extrapolation rather than a direct increase in the job head count. Previously the model was called a head count."

So without this model adjustment, the job gain would have been 18,000 and a disaster politically for President Bush. No wonder the Fed is leaving its Fed Funds rate at 1%. The economy is nowhere near as strong as proclaimed by Wall Street.

Meanwhile the last CPI was way above expectations at .5%, meaning short-term interest rates are going more negative by the month which, by the way, is normally an extremely gold friendly development.

The bottom line: we have soaring inflation in the US, the jobs picture is not improving in the real world as widely trumpeted, and our biggest debt buyers, the Chinese and Japanese, are pulling back on their purchases. This is all hitting the fan at once. It gets worse when we take into account the geopolitical developments so far this year.

The Iraq War is a complete fiasco with April bringing us the most deaths in a single month since the war started. Then, there is the building prisoner abuse scandal, one which has the Arab world inflamed, to put it mildly. Think about this. Amnesty International reported on what was going on 9 months ago in a formal report. The scandal was officially reported to the Defense Department two months ago. The only reason the outrageous disgrace has surfaced to any great degree in our part of the world is because the pictures were published. Clearly, the Bush Administration and the Pentagon did all they could to hush the scandal up and were caught doing so.

Put all of that together and you have a recipe for a soaring gold/silver market, which was the case at the end of March when all of the above factors were known to The Gold Cartel, Working Group on Financial Markets, and the Bush Administration. AND, there was little, if anything, any of them could do about these developments.

Now, it takes us to one of these entity's worst fears from a financial/political market viewpoint. If the gold market were to explode above $430, it could very likely set off not only the gold derivatives neutron bomb, but one in the derivatives interest rate markets as well. GATA has long held that one of the main purposes of rigging the gold price was to assist The Gold Cartel crowd to control their interest rates derivatives markets, which is a reason JP Morgan Chase has something like 25 trillion worth of these derivatives on their books. Were gold to bolt for $500, there is no telling what it might affect. Simplistically, a soaring gold price would have an impact on the financial markets as the investing/pundit public would cite the rising price as proof of growing US inflation which, in turn, would negatively influence the bond market even further. Every time gold shoots up, we hear talk of inflation in the financial market press. Just the way it is.

This scenario has to have had The Gold Cartel and mainstream banking world in a twit. Therefore, a clandestine massive attack on gold and silver was orchestrated by the financial powers in the world. It is the one arena which they could affect, having had almost a decade worth of experience. Collectively, it is obvious as evidenced by:

*The unauthored outrageously negative FT article
*The German Bundesbank gold sale flap
*Stories about the French selling gold
*Greenspan talking down the metals
*Former Fed Governor and gold hater Wayne Angell stating publicly gold was under control
* The mysterious downgrade of Goldcorp

This all happened around the same time and was well coordinated. This latest assault on gold is so much larger than a simple "conspiracy," we need a more comprehensive description of what has occurred.

Gold investors, gold companies, poor gold producing nations have all been taken to the cleaners. It has been a bloodbath. Except in our world, few care. That is about to change in the months and years to come. Why? Because what the "Orwellians" have done to us is going to spread over into the other financial markets.

The Gold Cartel has corrupted the gold market beyond belief at this point. In doing so the Goldman Sachs’, Morgan Stanleys’ and JP Morgan Chases’ have collectively and methodically ripped off your average Joe and Jane in America and around the world. These big New York banks/financial institutions, because of their collusion and inside information, have conducted a kind of class warfare against the average investor. They have stolen from us, hiding behind the sanctions of The Fed and Exchange Stabilization Fund. Their motive, besides greed, is to defuse potential disasters in the stock and bond markets and they will stop at nothing to accomplish their mission.

Well, they have lied and falsified information so much, it is ALL beginning to fall apart anyway. They are being found out and it is commencing to blow up. Inevitably, the dam is going to break, the volcano going to blow, and it will affect all the financial markets. The little guy average investor won’t know what hit him or her.

Remember Enron. It was blowing up for a year. Those who said so were ignored, or fired. This corporation was voted the number one in America year after year by the likes of Fortune and Forbes magazines. Yet, their employees and shareholders were blindsided and left with nothing. That is a fact.

Keep in mind the pornographic scandal in Iraq. The only reason for the scandal really surfacing and the outrage is the pictures were released. The disaster is more than a year old for gosh sakes.

Americans are now rightfully outraged on both counts. Too late. The horse is out of the barn on both counts. The damage is irrevocable. The lies or denials in each scandal carries the day, which is just what is going on in the gold market. It is time the public be told the truth about the gold price rigging so they can manage their own financial affairs before it is too late there also. You think lies is too strong a term to describe what is going on? Allow me to refer you to some proof captured by GATA’s Andrew Hepburn and Mike Bolser, which is summarized by Australia’s Sid Reynolds. Sid's GATA entire recap can be read at:

http://www.lemetropolecafe.com…cftoken=84150657&pid=3548

GOLD PRICE MANIPULATION - VERSION 9, 22nd OCTOBER, 2003

#11. IMF has directed CB’s not to disclose how gold is leased/swapped, only total reserves (proof below).

IMF have denied this, "This is not correct: the IMF in fact recommends that swapped gold be excluded from reserve assets." Refer http://www.gata.org/bofi.html, and search for "correct"

However, numerous member countries/entities have proven the IMF has lied ie

• Philippines: "Beginning January 2000, in compliance with the requirements of the IMF's reserves …, gold under the swap arrangement remains to be part of reserves and a liability is deemed incurred corresponding to the proceeds of the swap." Refer

http://www.bsp.gov.ph/statistics/sefi/fx-int.htm, and search for "swaps"

• The Central Banks of Portugal, Finland & Italy confirmed in writing that swapped gold remains a reserve asset under pertinent IMF regulations. The staffs of the central banks of Canada, Ecuador, Finland, Holland, and Portugal have also confirmed this. Refer

http://www.goldisfreedom.com/IMFgold.htm, and search for "Finland"

• European Central Bank: "Following the recommendations set out in the IMF operational guidelines of … developed in 1999, all reversible gold transactions, including gold swaps, are recorded as collateralised loans in balance of payments and international investment position statistics. This treatment implies that the gold account would remain unchanged on the balance sheet."

http://solutions.synearth.net/2003/02/21

This IMF recommendation should not be underestimated. For example, on its balance sheet the German Bundesbank lists "Gold and Gold Receivables" as a one line item. This approach is in direct conflict with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which the central bank is obligated to follow as per German banking law.

Thus, from their published financial statements there is no possible way to determine how much gold Germany holds in its vaults. The refusal of the Bundesbank to provide a breakdown between physical gold and gold receivables belies any notion of market transparency.

Clearly deceptive accounting, countenanced by the IMF has allowed official sector gold to hit the market without a corresponding drawdown on the balance sheets of central banks. This has made it impossible for analysts to ascertain the exact size of official sector gold loans, swaps and deposits. The unwillingness of central banks to provide even a minimum level of transparency suggests that total gold receivables are substantially larger than the accepted industry figure of approximately 5,000 tonnes.

For several unanswered questions to IMF, refer

http://groups.yahoo.com/group/gata/message/903

-END-

Just in, more support for GATA's arguments:

Dear friend: 16624.488 ounces of gold from the Central Bank of Spain are missing from its vaults after 1998. According with the Spanish Tribunal de Cuentas they are distributed as follows: 5.955.430 Fort Knox. 6.077.211 Bank of England. 4.591.847 BIS. In my opinion they are leased. This information was published in Diario el Mundo, Monday 1 of May 2001 page 49.

Francisco Ruiz de Alda

Assuming this email is correct, nowhere is this missing Spanish gold accounted for in the official central bank gold statistics.

Ende Teil I