Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

  • Hallo, Silbertaler,


    was den US-Finanzminister Snow (or US Secretary of Finance) betrifft,


    wenn er geht, ist bis zur - durch den Senat bestätigten - Bestellung und der folgenden Amtseinführung eines neuen Finanzministers keiner am Steuerruder des Exchange Stabilization Funds - Goldpreis -Managing bekommt eine Pause (es sei denn George W. macht es selber) , da
    die beiden die einzigen sind die den ESF steuern können.


    Hatten wir schon einmal, beim Wechsel vom Vorgänger von Snow auf Snow.
    Hat damals dem Goldpreis "ächt" gut getan.


    GMY

    As a general rule, it is foolish to do just what other people are doing,
    because there are almost sure to be too many people doing the same thing.
    William Stanley Jevons (1835-1882)

  • Wenn ich die Skepsis der letzten Tage auf Gold-Eagle
    und den HUI in Euros betrachte - in der nächsten Woche wird es wieder
    Zeit zu positionieren (buying season)


    GMY

    Bilder

    As a general rule, it is foolish to do just what other people are doing,
    because there are almost sure to be too many people doing the same thing.
    William Stanley Jevons (1835-1882)

  • December 7 – Gold $451.50 down $2 – Silver $7.81 down 8 cents


    Ross Norman And TheBullionDesk.Com Are The Turkeys


    Last, but by no means least, courage-moral courage, the courage of one's convictions, the courage to see things through. The world is in a constant conspiracy against the brave. It's the age-old struggle-the roar of the crowd on one side and the voice of your conscience on the other...Douglas MacArthur


    GO GATA!!!


    What an aggravating day! Among other things, the gold market being leaned on is very tedious. The dollar fell .06 to 81.26. The pound rose .44 to 194.48. The euro gained .09 to 134.29.


    Gold in euros sank once more – this time to 335.20.


    The London AM Fix was $453.75 with physical gold demand in good shape around the world. However, The Gold Cartel is on their case to take gold down regardless of market factors. The good news is I don’t think it is going to work, just like it hasn’t worked for months. Gold is rinky-dinking around right above the psychologically important $450 level, yet is not taking it out to the downside, and it is diddling around here on very light volume. Often when a market flutters like this on the downside, it explodes to the upside if key support holds. Should know what’s up, or down, by tomorrow’s close.


    The gold open interest rose 2117 contracts to 356,109. The silver open interest gained 271 contracts to 125,375.


    Not much new for me to cover on gold and silver. Said all I have to offer on Sunday and Monday.

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • OK, some more focus on the World Gold Council’s ETF. What a bizarre outfit:


    Hi Bill,
    Further to your Midas comments tonight regarding GLD, I neglected to e-mail you last week on the following. Executives of GLD rang the ceremonial opening bell at the NYSE last week. I happened to catch Bob Pisani of CNBC doing the opening report from the floor, who said that he tried to get the GLD executives on camera for an interview but they refused, indicating that they were still under the SEC mandated "Quiet Period." Pisani stated that this was the first time he'd ever heard of such a thing, couldn't figure it out, and used words to the effect of it being very strange.
    Jeff


    Then Ross Norman at the bullion desk has the audacity to come out with one of the least professional commentaries imaginable, one which shows his prejudice and lack of journalistic integrity:


    December 7, 2004 Editorial


    Allegations about Gold ETF by James Turk - ill-founded


    Suggestions by James Turk that the recently launched World Gold Council's new ETF appears to be double-counting bars is flawed. The number and chop form only part of the identification of a particular gold bar and needs to be read in conjunction with the mark denoting the year - it's like saying "there is only one December 7th" when of course there are many ...


    Ironically Turk has garnered support from market conspiracy theorists at GATA who have rushed to his support. Perhaps more perplexing is why GATA - who have for long asserted that the gold price has been artificially suppressed - should actively undermine arguably the biggest single vehicle to bring about further gold price rallies - and that is new gold ETF.


    TheBullionDesk.com has remained steadfastly neutral on the wider issues that GATA raises ; however we feel compelled to comment on the remarks by Mr Turk as they threaten to undermine possibly the most effective force for the democratization of the gold market, a cause supposedly espoused by GATA.


    A case of shooting themselves in the foot perhaps or rather turkeys voting for Christmas !


    -END-

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Why the turkeys are Ross Norman and his colleagues at http://www.thebulliondesk.com:


    *He refused to publish GATA’s press release.
    *He refused to publish James Turk's commentary on the ETF.
    *He took up GATA’s time in a phone call yesterday and didn’t bother to mention our points of contention.
    *......"most effective force for the democratization of the gold market" You mean like the market is rigged and the ETF will help balance things out? If that is so, then why hasn’t he ever given GATA the time of day?
    *He didn’t bother to address any of the critical audit points Chris Powell brought up in the GATA press release.
    *He didn’t, or couldn’t, get any official WGC response to Turk’s commentary.
    *And this is the real kicker...... James Turk contacted two vaulting experts about the duplicate bar issue. BOTH told him what Ross Norman is referring to about the different years is true – FOR SILVER, not gold! Perhaps there is a reasonable explanation. However, that should be disclosed before discrepancies like this even arise.


    Yes Norman, YOU and your bulliondesk colleagues are the turkeys; turkeys that are pandering to the gold establishment at that!

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Just in, GATA's Chris Powell sees it this way:
    5:15p ET Tuesday, December 7, 2004


    Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:


    TheBullionDesk.com today posted an unsigned editorial defending the World Gold Council's exchange-traded bullion fund against criticism and questions from GATA and its consultant, James Turk, editor of the Freemarket Gold & Money Report and founder of GoldMoney.


    The Bullion Desk's commentary, headlined "Allegations About Gold ETF by James Turk Unfounded," is as sweeping as it is brief and unsupported.


    "Suggestions by James Turk that the World Gold Council's recently launched ETF appears to be double-counting bars are flawed," the Bullion Desk says. "The number and chop form only part of the identification of a particular gold bar and need to be read in conjunction with the mark denoting the year. It's like saying 'there is only one December 7' when of course there are many."


    At this hour you can find the editorial on the Bullion Desk's home page here:


    http://www.thebulliondesk.com/


    But you won't find the authority for the editorial's assertion about the gold bars the fund says it owns. Is the Bullion Desk making this statement on its own authority, or at the behest of the fund's sponsor, the gold council? It's not clear.


    And surely if there are gold bars with duplicate or similar registration numbers, the fund might know better than to list them as duplicates without explanation and assurance to investors that they are not.


    Maybe there is a good explanation for the fund's listing seemingly duplicate bars. But from the start the need for explanations from the fund has has been the point of Turk's and GATA's criticism. This criticism goes far beyond the gold bar registration numbers.


    The issue illuminated by the duplicate registration numbers is the issue of the security of the bullion fund's assets generally.


    If the fund has incompletely reported the registration of its gold bars, it would be good to get clarification from the fund directly rather than to assume that the Bullion Desk speaks for the fund. (Of course as a matter of journalism, it would be good for the Bullion Desk to establish this as a matter of ordinary reporting before opining about it.) Then the fund and the Bullion Desk could address the other questions Turk and GATA have raised, questions the Bullion Desk and its editorial have failed even to acknowledge, much less provide answers to:


    * Why have all the custodians and potential custodians of the fund's gold not been identified?


    * Why is the fund refusing to let its gold holdings be fully and publicly audited?


    * Is any of the fund's gold being leased, made available for leasing, or encumbered in any way?


    * Exactly what is the fund's relationship with the Bank of England, a major lessor of gold?


    Turk and GATA endorse the concept of an exchange-traded bullion fund. But since the suppression of the gold price and the manipulation of the gold market have been made possible by the mystery that has been carefully woven around gold possession and leasing, Turk and GATA would like to be sure that any bullion fund really has, secure in vaults, without encumbrances, the gold it claims to have.


    Of course we have found that central banks deliberately confuse unencumbered gold in the vault with leased gold long dissolved in the market and unrecoverable by any practical means. We would like assurance that the bullion fund's accounting and security standards are better than those of a central bank.


    When the exchange-traded fund reports gold bars with duplicate serial numbers (even if there really are separate bars somewhere), when the fund happily declares that it may not even know the identity of the custodians of its gold, when the fund has a relationship with the biggest and perhaps most nefarious gold-leasing and gold-selling financial institution in the world, and when the fund does not forswear leasing its gold and thereby assisting the suppression of the gold price, investors generally and gold's partisans particularly should be skeptical.


    As for the Bullion Desk, it has done no more than sneer at questions it has not even yet dared to report.


    CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
    Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • The John Brimelow Report


    India buying: Can NY shorts spell I-N-D-I-A?


    Tuesday, December 07, 2004


    Indian ex-duty premiums: AM $8.11, PM $7.72, with world gold at $452.65 and $453.55. High; very ample for legal imports. Reuters has a story today supporting the view that Indian demand remains strong, citing imports to the second import point Ahmedabad, which do seem high. See attachment.


    In my deplorably late daily commentary yesterday I reviewed the evidence that short selling has become an important factor: subsequent price behaviour reinforces this view. Gold dropped $2 immediately after the NY close, before Japan’s 7PM NY open. (Funny time for a proceeds maximizing seller to sell) Then it rallied $2 to the NY open, before collapsing again.


    Against Indian buying, this is not going to be an importantly profitable short. It could be disastrous.


    JB

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • India Gold-Buying seen steady on strong rupee, weddings


    By Hari Ramachandran


    NEW DELHI, Dec 7 (Reuters) - Physical demand for gold in India, the world's largest buyer, is likely to be steady in the near term despite high global prices due to the wedding season and the firming of the rupee against the dollar, dealers said on Tuesday. They said gold prices, which have softened after scaling 16-year high levels last week, could ease further with a fall in crude oil prices and buyers in Europe wrapping up jewellery purchases for Christmas.


    Domestic purchases could go up once prices stablise at slightly lower levels over the next two weeks, dealers said.


    "Wedding season demand is steady and continuing but everyone is waiting for prices to soften around $440-445 an ounce to boost their stocks," said Girish Choksi, an importer from Ahmedabad, the main city in industrially-rich Gujarat state.


    Indian imports are currently confined to meet immediate needs for jewellery but volumes would go up once global prices stabilise and dealers replenish stocks, he said.


    Gold jewellery forms an important part of Hindu marriages, as parents gift their daughters the metal for financial security.


    Gold slipped in Asia early on Tuesday with spot gold <XAU=> quoted at $452.20/452.70 per ounce versus $453.50/4.25 late in New York.


    "Buyers are waiting on the sidelines for prices to come down. Right now, inventory is at zero levels," said Dinesh Bhat, a gold importer from Bombay, the country's commercial capital. Gold's three-year bull run gathered pace this year, mainly due to the weak dollar. Geopolitical tension such as violence in Iraq and rising crude oil prices, which have rekindled fears of inflation, also played an important role.


    Gold hit its highest in more than 16 years last Thursday. The metal rose to a new high of $456.75 per ounce but has softened a bit since then.


    Dealers said the appreciation of the rupee against the dollar had served as a cushion against the high gold prices, making imports still viable.


    The Indian rupee was quoted at 43.67 per dollar on Tuesday, the highest in the last eight months. The rupee has gained about 4.5 percent in 2004 following strong trade and foreign inflows. "About $7 to 8 per ounce in gold prices is getting neutralised with the rupee revalued against the dollar," said Choksi.


    He said gold demand was also steady because of a ready market for jewellery for weddings at this time of the year by non-resident Indians. Jewellery accounts for 85 percent of Indian gold demand. The wedding season will last until the end of February.


    Choksi said daily gold imports in Ahmedabad were in the range of 400-500 kg and this could grow by about 20 percent if prices slipped to around $440 an ounce.


    Indian gold prices follow global trends because the country imports on average more than a tonne of gold a day to meet nearly two-thirds of its annual gold needs of about 600 tonnes. ((Reporting by Hari Ramachandran, editing by Sugita Katyal; Reuters Messaging: hari.ramachandran.reuters.com@reuters.net; +91-11 5178-1017)) . .

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • CARTEL CAPITULATION WATCH


    Players in the US stock market finally woke up. They are realizing the economic news in this country isn’t hardy at all, and that the Iraq War is going as badly as the critics said it would a couple of years ago. The DOW got clobbered late, falling 106 points to 10,440, while the DOG finally retreated, dropping 37 to 2114. One of the catalysts for the fall, according to traders, was the failure of the market to rally on another sharp drop in oil, which tanked $1.52 to $41.46. What a shellacking oil bulls are taking here.


    The US economic news is abysmal everywhere you look.


    08:30 Q3 Nonfarm productivity reported 1.8% vs. consensus 2%; Unit labor cost reported 1.8% vs. consensus 1.6%
    Prior readings were 1.9% and 1.6%, respectively.
    * * * * *


    Redbook chain store sales index (0.8%) in Dec.-to-date vs. Nov.
    Index deteriorated from last week's reading of (0.5%) and the +0.1% in the week prior to that.
    * * * * *


    Dec. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Colgate-Palmolive Co. will cut about 4,440 jobs, or 12 percent of its workforce, and close a third of its factories worldwide to reduce costs amid rising competition with Procter & Gamble Co. Shares of the company had their biggest gain in more than four years.


    Colgate, the largest toothpaste maker, expects to take charges of about $45 million in the fourth quarter, the New York- based company said today. Colgate said it will meet analysts' estimates for fourth-quarter earnings, excluding the restructuring costs. –END-


    10:00am 12/07/04


    U.S. Nov. layoffs up 2.6% to 104,530: Challenger By Rex Nutting
    WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - U.S. corporations announced plans to eliminate 104,530 jobs in November, the third month in a row that planned layoffs exceeded 100,000, according to a tally kept by outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Announced jobs cuts increased 2.6 percent in November from October's 101,840, and were up 5.1 percent from November 2003's 99,452, the firm said Tuesday. It's the first time since early 2002 that layoffs were above 100,000 for three months in a row. The 12-month average of announced job cuts rose to 85,309 from 84,886 in October. –END-


    06:55 Women's Wear Daily reports that luxury sales soaring, mass market struggling
    WWD reports that there has been a great divide in holiday sales, with luxury stores such as SKS and NMG.A doing very well this Christmas, while mass market retailers such as WMT are caught between department stores offering aggressive price promotions on one end and dollar stores on the other end.
    * * * * *


    US food prices set for biggest rise since '90-USDA
    Mon Dec 6, 2004 05:51 PM ET WASHINGTON, Dec 6 (Reuters) - U.S. food prices will rise by as much as 4 percent this year, the biggest increase in 14 years, due to more costly beef, milk and fresh vegetables, the U.S. Agriculture Department said on Monday.


    "It looks like we're going to end up between 3.5 and 4 percent higher," Ephraim Leibtag, an economist with the USDA's Economic Research Service, said about food prices in 2004.


    By comparison, food price inflation was 2.2 percent in 2003 and 1.8 percent in 2002.


    -END-


    15:00 Oct. Consumer Credit reported $7.7B to $2.1T vs. consensus $6B
    Prior reading revised to $13.6B from $9.8B.
    * * * * *

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Chuck checked in last night:


    I saw again that the put call ratio in both silver and gold remain very bullish in both the XAU and in the future options. This has not wavered for the longest time that I can remember. Also, the weak opening and closing of the shares are still holding. This again is the longest time they have done so that I can remember. I still believe this portends a very unusual move. At this point there still might be some tax loss selling in the juniors since most of them are down this year. This is what happened in 1974 for the stock market when it was making its bottom. Chuck


    And then again this afternoon:


    The miniscule put-call ratio on the stock market and the break by oil under the moving average obviously signals a new phase in the markets. My guess is that we we'll see a sharp break in stocks and perhaps, commodities here. Let's see if gold will start to outperform everything in a relative manner. Nothing would surprise me even though logic dictates that the markets should hold up until the end of the year.

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Rhody with some more input on the lease rates:


    Hi Bill:
    Lease rates continue to rise for both gold and silver, particularly in the near terms. Gold's rates are still in backwardation and borrowing silver for one month is still cheaper than borrowing gold for one year, as silver's rates have risen to keep pace with gold's. I think the monetary interests or the CABAL or CARTEL of common interests, however you want to call them, are using lease metal to stem the rise and perhaps to initiate a liquidation in the paper gold market.
    Regards, Rhody.
    http://www.kitco.com/market/lfrate.html

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Bill,
    Tonight I received your request for contributions.
    Since joining Lemetropole Cafe earlier this year,
    A. I bought Gold and Silver coins that immediately lost value.
    B. I bought Gold and Silver bullion bars that also lost value.
    C. I bought Gold and Silver options that expired worthless.
    I hold you personally responsible for:
    A. Providing some of the best information available on the
    behind the scenes manipulation of the precious metals market.
    B. Recruiting , or providing a forum for, an extremely experienced and
    knowledgeable group of individuals who share their insights.
    C. Never letting your emotions and opinions cloud your intellectual,
    cold-as-steel advice on the gold market. (Well... maybe... ;)
    Consequently, I have sent a large (for me) contribution to Gata via Chris.
    Of course I have recovered my initial investment. And because most of us
    agree on the fundamentals, investment timing has become the key to my success.



    (Though, initially it was a rather costly investment lesson - maybe I should have read a book, or something!)


    I look forward to the continued success of Gata and it's contributors - both intellectually and financially!


    Keep up the good work, Tin Horn!
    Chip
    Los Gatos, California
    PS. I may have spelled the above differently than Mahendra. (Smile.)

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Hi Bill-
    I think I missed something here regarding the above subject.


    I understand what Mike Bolser frequently mentions regarding when it takes both the Treasury Secretary and the President to run the ESF. What I don't understand is, hasn't the current President already taken part in the gold scandal for the last four years minus the time period between the O'Neill departure and Snow taking office? And as such, how does the President, pardon the expression, get the soil off his hands?
    Thanks,
    Bernie


    Hello Bernie,
    Yes, exactly, but the way these bums work, the President would deny knowing what the Treasury Secretary was doing. While everyone would not that to be preposterous, no one could prove it to impeach him.
    Best,
    Bill

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Sound analysis from the Lasco report:


    Gold - The FEB GOLD fell 1.90 to end the session at 455.90 and above support levels at 454.89, 453.70 and 452.52. We do have some minor resistance at 456.20 and then not much until we reach 461.70.


    I see absolutely nothing wrong with gold here. We are simply consolidating previous gains and I wouldn't dream of liquidating here. WE ARE GOING TO 475.00 AND MAYBE AS HIGH AS 525.00 ON THIS MOVE.


    Silver - Likewise, MAR SILVER is consolidating previous gains. We fell 8.00 to end the day at 796.30. We have resistance at 797.25, 802.97, 803.50 and 810.38 while support can be found at 792.07 and 782.25. I would be a buyer at 782.25.


    Gold Stocks - I am sitting tight with BVN, GG, GLG, HL, NEM and RGLD. No Juniors for me.


    US$ - After the big fall on Friday we rallied .34 to end the session at 81.32 and I was not impressed. We have minor support at 81.27 while resistance is at 81.44, 81.60 and 81.75. I now suspect that 80.00 may not hold and we could fall to 77.00 before we see a significant rally.


    Bonds - The MAR BOND rallied .12 to close at 111.16 and below the 111.22 resistance level that is key. Bonds should have topped today or will top tomorrow and I am looking for a move back below the neckline by the weekend.


    I am short and will stay that way.


    DJIA - The DEC DJIA fell 38 to close the day at 10543 and just above support at 10542. We have further support at 10515, 10509 and 10475. A close below 10509 would indicate a test of 10366 and would be bearish. Resistance is at 10568 and 10597.


    I am short a small position from 10610 and will sell again with a close below 10475. I believe a top is forming here.


    Cotton - I forgot to mention that I was stopped out last week at 43.20 in the MAR COTTON. I am obviously too early but will keep a close eye and wait for another signal.


    ebo@lascoreport.com


    ***

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • More and more savvy Café members believe the gold shares are abnormally suffering due to hanky-panky:


    Good Evening Bill,
    It was good to see Rick Ackermans piece about an explosive rally. Could definitely use some hope at this stage of a years worth of share bashing. My own piece in tonight's Midas about cartel intervention against the shares was a bit of a rant, lacking on fact, and filled with gut instinct feeling. But, through my life's eyes which have much experience monitoring powerful political men, I have come to understand their ego and how they exercise their power. I remain firm in my position that the cartel has a two prong attack. One against the bullion and one for the shares. It fits their M.O. Tom K's contribution about the Depository Trust Corporation creating counterfeit shares that can be borrowed by broker over and over again artificially inflating the share count and driving the stocks value down is incredible. It certainly explains the means for these hot shot boy wonders to trash shares through naked shorting. It is implausible that they are not doing every conceivable thing possible to accomplish their mission. There are many issues of impropriety, so it shouldn't take long to expose something significant. GATA should get a line in on this Dateline production and reveal the other fraud that regularly occurs with the bullion and leasing. This could get some real mileage, national coverage and the groundwork for some over do reform. Gonna watch this closely. All the best Bill. Thanks for being there in these trying times. It is greatly appreciated.
    Rich

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Hi Bill,
    This on DTC from http://www.marketforum.com/?id=781355
    (at the bottom of the page).
    Where’s Spitzer on DTC?
    Sincerely,
    Dave.


    " NBC's "Dateline" recently confirmed to FinancialWire that it is preparing a comprehensive expose of the "naked short selling" controversy.


    The reportage is said to focus on allegations that "brokers, through their wholly owned clearing house system, the Depository Trust Corporation (DTCC), have effectively been creating counterfeit shares of stock through their 'Stock Borrow Program', which allows brokers to 'borrow' the same shares over and over again, artificially inflating the share count and driving the price of the stock down.


    Stockgate, a growing global malady, is being contested on multiple levels, including judicial, legislative and political. "


    -END-

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Congressman Ron Paul tells it like it is:


    Gold Exposes the Dollar


    Ron Paul, December 6, 2004


    The existence of gold in the economy is a constant reminder of the poor quality of the government paper, and it always poses a threat to replace the paper as the country's money. - Economist Murray Rothbard


    One year ago I wrote about the precipitous decline in the value of the U.S. dollar against other world currencies, a decline that continues unabated today. A Euro note worth only 89 cents shortly after its introduction was worth about $1.16 at the end of 2003. Today it’s worth $1.33. In fact, the dollar has fallen to an all-time low against the Euro, and a 12-year low against the British pound. Since 2000, the dollar has lost 30% of its value.


    Gold, by contrast, has surged 70% in the same period. The New York Times last week acknowledged that gold "was now a more favored currency than the U.S. dollar." As analyst Harry Schultz points out, when gold prices are low the financial press calls gold a commodity. When prices are high, they call it a currency. Investors cannot afford to sit idly by while their dollar accounts lose another 30% in value, so the rise in demand for gold is hardly surprising.


    The world financial markets are betting against the dollar. Our creditors, particularly Asian central banks, are losing their appetite for U.S. Treasuries. Our federal government’s huge debt and voracious appetite for deficit spending make our economy dependent on the actions of foreign governments and central bankers. Yet few Americans realize the extent to which their own government has sold out American sovereignty by borrowing money overseas.


    Washington seems oblivious to the problem. Our current account deficit is roughly 6% of GDP, and our total foreign indebtedness is over $3 trillion. We borrow $1.8 billion every day! Unfortunately, our politicians and the public will ignore the problem until the combination of dollar inflation, price inflation, and higher interest rates brings the borrowing frenzy to an end. Americans, like their government, seem to have lost the ability to live within their means. When their standard of living falls, however, they will look for someone to blame in Washington.


    The consequences of a rapidly declining dollar are not yet obvious to the American public. A trip to Europe costs more than it did a few years ago, but most Americans still don’t sense they are becoming poorer as the dollar falls. The long-term significance has not yet begun to sink in. However, our relative wealth as a nation is measured in dollars, and the steady erosion of the value of those dollars means we will all be poorer in the future. Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan has relentlessly increased the money supply throughout his tenure, ostensibly to keep the economy expanding. But this artificial stimulation through cheap money comes with a price. When dollars are abundant, they are worth less. This is the reality facing Americans today, especially older Americans who rely on savings to finance their retirement years.


    Congressman Ron Paul, a Republican, represents the 14th Congressional District of Texas, which encompasses the Gulf Coast region south and west of Houston.

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Eric Hommelberg is on top of his game:


    Hi Bill,
    Yesterday I send out some notes regarding the extreme undervaluation of the PM shares. I really do think that a good BUY opportunity is upon us. As we’ve all noticed the Junior shares were hit terrible lately due to correction fears preached by so many Gold advisors. But if the price of Gold won’t correct the PM shares will have to catch up and the junior shares could ignite a spectacular launch. Again I want to stress that investors should buy the Junior shares with good discovery potential. Why ? because the senior producers are desperate in order to replace their dwindling Gold reserves. Only a very few world class gold deposits have been found since 1999 (according to Alex Davidson, VP Exploration Barrick). Since the majors are facing a decline in gold production coming years they are going after the juniors in order to replace their dwindling Gold reserves. Barrick Gold is going after the Juniors just as AngloGold, Goldfields, Newmont etc..(see details in my article ‘Juniors in denial’). What happens when a junior finds a major Gold deposit is best illustrated with the example of Arequipa Resources in 1996. Arequipa shares were trading at 1 CAD$ just before they found 7 million ounces of Gold. Within 6 month they were taken out by Barrick Gold at a share price of +30 CAD$ , see chart below :




    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.lemetropolecafe.com/img2004/Midas1207B.gif]

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

  • Are we at the Café the only ones screaming about such investment opportunities ?


    Well, it seems that the awareness is growing among Gold analysts regarding such opportunities. The Wall Street Journal (Dec 02) quoted JohnBridges, a senior gold analyst at J.P. Morgan Chase& Co who said :


    "Ifyou are lucky enough to buy into an explorationcompany that makes a discovery, you can effectivelybuy your own auto teller machine. Some of these thingsare just phenomenally profitable." END.


    Your own auto teller machine, isn’t that what we all dream of ?


    Just buy the next Arequipa and enjoy your own auto teller machine by the end of 2005 !


    The message should be clear : Just stick to your favorite junior shares, don’t sell them at rock-bottom price levels, their time will come !


    ehommelberg@planet.nl
    Best, Eric

    Die Börse ist wie ein Paternoster. Es ist ungefährlich,
    durch den Keller zu fahren.


    Man muss nur die Nerven bewahren !

Schriftgröße:  A A A A A