So what happens next if this consolidation period is ending?
Look to the next year, 2005, to be a very interesting year. I believe as spring comes closer that everyone’s present self assurance & over confidence will be severely challenged. If we continue to see the US dollar deteriorate through spring then other problems associated with a plummeting dollar will begin to crop up & there will begin to arise serious doubts about how strong our economy really is.
Today, as you watch the news you will notice only the foreign news services carrying sufficient coverage on the falling US dollar. The US news sources down play the dollars fall as merely an insignificant event & a mere temporary blimp on the financial horizon.
Don’t count on foreigners to feel this way though since they are affected the most from a plummeting dollar as they watch the value of their reserve holdings disappear by billions & billions. I believe I heard that just each one penny reduction in the dollars value represents the loss of billions of dollars in the value of the US notes held by foreign banks. Don’t doubt for a moment that other countries are very concerned over the falling US dollar.