Es sieht für mich ganz danach aus, dass Harmony doch Gold Fields schlucken wird. Vor allem auch deshalb, weil Norilsk Nickel dahinter steht (mit mindestens 20 % Aktienanteil). Auch Mvelaphanda wird sich noch 'umdrehen' lassen, wenn der Preis stimmt. Es wird halt nur teurer, als bisher angeboten. Für mich macht es aber Sinn, da Harmony-Boss Swanepoel mit Harmony schon gezeigt hat, wie aus einem kleinen Goldförderer ein großer Konzern geschmiedet werden kann. Ein Zusammenschluß würde auf der Kostenseite erhebliche Vorteile bringen und damit - auch bei anhaltender Randstärke - wieder in den profitablen Bereich führen. Das käme dann auch wieder dem Aktienkurs zugute.
Kuddel
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Aus "BUSINESS DAY" vom 20.10.2004
Sexwale backs Gold Fields over Harmony
Mvelaphanda boss Tokyo Sexwale has thrown his weight behind Gold Fields after Monday's launch by Harmony of a hostile bid for its South African mining rival.
Mvelaphanda does not directly hold equity in Gold Fields, but has a 15% stake in Gold Fields' South African assets.
Gold Fields CE Ian Cockerill said yesterday that Monday's Gold Fields board meeting, which was attended by Sexwale, had "unanimously" rejected Harmony's hostile take-over bid, in favour of Gold Fields' own strategy of a reverse listing of its non-Southern African Development Community assets into Canada's IAMGOLD.
"Tokyo gave his assurance he is on the side of Gold Fields," said Cockerill.
On Monday Harmony, chaired by businessman Patrice Motsepe, launched a R52,9bn bid for Gold Fields, claiming that it could shave 15% a year off the costs of Gold Fields' local operations, and that the IAMGOLD deal would be value-destructive for shareholders.
Both Harmony and Gold Fields executives are embarking on extensive foreign travel in an attempt to win over shareholders.
Harmony hinted yesterday that it might sweeten the deal if its initial offer of 1,275 Harmony shares for each Gold Fields share failed to win sufficient support.
Meanwhile, Cockerill hinted that a Gold Fields counter-attack was being hatched, although he would not divulge any further details.
"Our advisers are beavering away, looking at a broad range of options all will be revealed in due course. Our defence is based on the fact that our proposals to our shareholders show better value than those of Harmony."
"We have to get out there, and we have to bang the drum, and we will do that," he said.
Harmony has said it is offering a premium of more than 29% on the Gold Fields share price, but Cockerill said that if one took yesterday morning's share price fix, it amounted to a premium of only 2,5% .
Cockerill insisted that the IAMGOLD deal represented better value than the Harmony offer to Gold Fields shareholders, who had already seen the Gold Fields share price rise in response to the IAMGOLD plan.
Cockerill said that after taking a "straw poll" of Gold Fields investors in North America, he had detected "concern, bordering on anger that this interference (by Harmony) has taken place".
He also questioned whether any of Gold Fields shareholders would want to accept Harmony shares , "which are subject to dilution and not backed by the assets of Gold Fields".
Cockerill rejected suggestions that the merger would be beneficial in creating the world's largest gold producer.
Meanwhile, JP Morgan vice-chairman Lord Robin Renwick resigned from the Harmony board yesterday, citing conflict of interest.
JP Morgan together with Goldman Sachs have been appointed to advise Gold Fields on the take-over bid.
Business Day