Beiträge von Blue Horseshoe

    Gold miners continue to cut costs, up production and finally – raise more money


    Major gold producers’ global aggregated quarterly operating income followed the gold price and shrank by 44% during the year, from $2,500 million in Q1 to $1,400 million in Q3 and remained steady in Q4 2018 (Figure 1).While aggregated operating income is often considered a reliable indicator to measure operating efficiency and performance, we dug deeper in our Q4 2018 review of the gold mining industry. We looked at three further metrics: quarterly gold production, all-in sustaining costs, and capital raisings. The data indicates the following:
    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.mining.com/wp-conte…oads/2019/05/Figure-1.jpg]
    ...
    For the Q4 ending December 31, 2018, global reported gold production totalled 16.8 Mozt. North America was the largest gold producer (4.3 Mozt), followed by Africa (3.5 Mozt), and Australia & Oceania (3.0 Mozt).
    The three regions that drove the 2% quarter on quarter increase in global gold production were North America (+266 kozt, or up 7%), South America (+215 kozt, or up 10%), and Australia & Oceania (+148 kozt, or up 5% from Q3 2018). Production in Asia took a nosedive — dropping 32% due to significant decrease in gold output recorded at Indonesia’s Grasberg mine.
    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.mining.com/wp-conte…obal-gold-production-.jpg]
    ...
    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.mining.com/wp-conte…s/2019/05/Lowest-cost.jpg]
    http://www.mining.com/gold-min…tion-finally-raise-money/

    eventuell ein wenig off topic, aber die wirtschaft ists ja neben ua. der zentralbanken die noch alles hält:


    Erst gestern meldeten wir vom Verband der deutschen Maschinenbauer schlechte Nachrichten. Die Auftragseingänge gehen stark zurück, alleine im März um 10% im Jahresvergleich. Heute folgt das Statistische Bundesamt mit Zahlen zu den Auftragseingängen für das Verarbeitende Gewerbe.
    Im März sind die Auftragseingänge im Jahresvergleich um 6% gefallen.
    Ein dramatischer Einbruch! Im Januar waren es im Jahresvergleich schon
    -3,9%, und im Februar -8,4%.


    https://finanzmarktwelt.de/dra…-weiter-stark-ein-125600/


    vg bh

    The T-bill Lie: Even More Completely Full of It



    When all this federal funds business started, the effective federal funds (EFF) rate was pretty well established at 16 bps above the RRP “floor.” It had been that way, consistently, all throughout Reflation #3, all throughout 2017. So consistent, that dependable spread was a very solid indication of reflation.
    As of yesterday, EFF was…16 bps above RRP. It’s not at all the same, though. In between December 2017 and now, the Federal Reserve has instituted three “technical adjustments” to IOER. In other words, IOER has been reduced by 15 bps just to get EFF back to where it was when all this mess began.
    This is no small thing.


    [Blockierte Grafik: https://www.alhambrapartners.c…K-May-2019-IOER3-EFF2.png]
    Nor is yesterday’s move. IOER was reduced 5 bps while EFF dropped only 4. That means EFF would still have been above where IOER was Wednesday, and it’s now 6 bps ahead of it. There’s an inexplicable upward pull, some tightness-like gravity which has latched onto the federal funds market of all things.


    ...


    [Blockierte Grafik: https://www.alhambrapartners.c…ue-OI-UST-Bond-Recent.png]
    ....
    https://www.alhambrapartners.c…re-completely-full-of-it/

    @Edel Man vllt. nichts neues aber eben gut zusammengefasst. freut mich wenn es anklang findet. ans übersetzen denke ich "noch" nicht ;)


    Hinter "bestes Miltär" möchte ich aber ein Fragezeichen setzten, eher "teuerster Militärapparat"....

    absolut korrekt, wenn man bedenkt wie ineffizient so manche technik ist.


    bg bh

    Third Time’s The Charm, Or Is It Strike 3?


    They will have to be forced into it. There is no voluntary rate cut and there never has been. This idea, however, is what’s being offered today in the wake of another stubborn line in the sand.
    Central bankers are always, always the last to figure things out. Jay Powell was still talking about inflation and more aggressive monetary policy in the middle of December. He wasn’t thinking about any sort of “pause” back then, just a few months ago. He had his mind changed for him.
    This new dovishness wasn’t his idea. It’s a stepped process.
    At his press conference today, the Federal Reserve’s Chair (no more “man”) reiterated his new redline. Inflation is down again, unexpectedly, but it will surely pop right back up. What’s holding it back are some new “transitory” factors (mentioning airline tickets and financial services) that have, unexpectedly, replaced the old set of transitory factors (Verizon).
    You may have noticed how there has been an almost continuous string of transitory factors that strung together add up to this persisting undershoot. Powell even had the nerve to use a form of that very word:
    If we did see inflation running persistently below, that is something the committee would be concerned about and something we would take into account when setting policy.
    [Blockierte Grafik: https://www.alhambrapartners.c…-PCE-Deflator2-Fed-BS.png]
    ....
    [/quote]He has no idea what he is doing. Kicking and screaming. Don’t fight the Fed? The Fed always fights…reality.
    [Blockierte Grafik: https://www.alhambrapartners.c…conomists-EFF-GC-Repo.png]
    kompletter artikel unter:
    https://www.alhambrapartners.c…-charm-or-is-it-strike-3/

    China and Russia: Whoopin' Uncle Sam at His Own Game


    Your Geopolitical Quiz for the Day:
    Two countries are embroiled in a ferocious rivalry. One country’s meteoric growth has put it on a path to become the world’s biggest economic superpower while the other country appears to be slipping into irreversible decline. Which country will lead the world into the future?
    Country A builds factories and plants, it employees zillions of people who manufacture things, it launches massive infrastructure programs, paves millions of miles of highways and roads, opens new sea lanes, vastly expands its high-speed rail network, and pumps profits back into productive operations that turbo-charge its economy and bolster its stature among the nations of the world.
    Country B has the finest military in the world, it has more than 800 bases scattered across the planet, and spends more on weapons systems and war-making than all the other nations combined. Country B has gutted its industrial core, hollowed out its factory base, allowed its vital infrastructure to crumble, outsourced millions of jobs, off-shored thousands of businesses, plunged the center of the country into permanent recession, delivered control of its economy to the Central Bank, and recycled 96 percent of its corporate and financial profits into a stock buyback scam that sucks critical capital out of the economy and into the pockets of corrupt Wall Street plutocrats whose voracious greed is pushing the world towards another catastrophic meltdown.
    ....
    http://www.unz.com/mwhitney/ch…ncle-sam-at-his-own-game/

    https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/…30/pdf/444nl3c8sy0vw2.pdf


    30 APRIL 2019ASX ANNOUNCEMENTSalt Lake Potash Limited|ASX/AIMSO4|Ground Floor, 239 Adelaide Terrace, Perth WA 6000, AustraliaTel. +61 8 6559 5800 |Email: info@so4.com.au | so4.com.au| ABN 98 117 085 748MARCH 2019QUARTERLY REPORTThe Board of Salt Lake PotashLimited (the Companyor Salt Lake Potash) is pleased to present its Quarterly Report for the period ending 31 March 2019.
    The Company is focussed on rapidly progressing the development ofits Lake WayProject, intended to be the first salt-lake brine Sulphate of Potash (SOP)production operation in Australia. Highlights for the quarter and subsequently include:
    Significant Increase in the high-grade SOP resource at Lake Way
    Mineral Resource Estimate for the whole of Lake Way contains 73million tonnes (Mt) of SOP using Total Porosity and 8.2Mtof SOPcalculated using DrainablePorosity, including:oMeasured–Lake Way Playa–6.9Mt (total porosity)&1.8Mt(drainable porosity)@ 15.4kg/m3oMeasured–Williamson Pit 32Kt (drainable porosity) @ 25.5kg/m3oIndicated–Paleochannel 3.7Mt (total porosity) & 1.4Mt (drainable porosity) @ 13.6kg/m3oInferred –Lake Way Playa & Paleovalley Sediment 62.2Mt (total porosity) & 5.0Mt (drainable porosity) @ 15.2kg/m3Lake Way confirmed as very high-grade with consistent brine chemistry both laterally and at depth, with an average grade of 14.5kg of SOP per cubic metre of brine across the LakeWay tenements (Measured and Indicated)The Company has successfully delineated a Paleochannel in excess of 30km in length along the eastern boundary of Lake Way, which supports the ability and optionality to produce brine from two separate sources (lake playa and paleochannel) The Mineral Resource Estimate for the ‘whole of lake’ will enable the Company to progress technical studies for a larger production scenario with an anticipated release date towards the end of Q2 2019

    Boomers Are Facing A Financial Crisis


    There is a “crisis” brewing in America which will affect more Americans than the subprime crisis in 2008.
    What is it?
    It’s the pension and retirement crisis.
    According to a recent report from the National Retirement Planning Week the three “legs” of the retirement “stool” are Social Security, private pensions and personal savings. None are in great shape.

    -The average Social Security check is $14,000 a year, hardly a cushy retirement.
    -23% of boomers ages 56-61 expect to receive income from a private company pension plan; and,
    -38% of older boomers expect a pension.
    -45% of boomers have ZERO savings for retirement.
    ...
    The chart below shows a compounded return rate of at 4-8% with $5000 annual dollar cost averaging (DCA) contributions made monthly (as noted above 10% of $50,000 which is roughly the median wage), and using variable rates of return from current valuation levels. (Chart assumes 35 years of age to start saving and expiring at 85)


    [Blockierte Grafik: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Problem-W-Compounding.png]


    ...


    A new report by Forbes states that 23% (nearly one in four) Americans are saving not even one penny from their paychecks.
    As part of its 2019 Savings Survey, First National Bank of Omaha examined Americans’ habits, behaviors, and priorities when it comes to saving, monthly spending, and retirement planning. The findings showed that nearly 80% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck.
    The 2018 Planning & Progress Study gathered data in an online survey from over 2000 Americans over the age of 18. In that survey, they found:

    - 78% said they were “extremely” or “somewhat” concerned about affording a comfortable retirement.
    - 66% said there was some likelihood of outliving retirement savings.
    - 21% have no retirement savings at all
    - 33% of baby boomers have between $0 and $25,000 of retirement savings
    - 75% of Americans reported a lack of confidence in receiving Social Security benefits and,
    - 46% admitted to taking no steps to prepare for the likelihood they could outlive their retirement
    ...
    https://realinvestmentadvice.c…acing-a-financial-crisis/

    Q1 2019 Operating Results
    25.04.2019
    Highland Gold Mining Limited ("Highland Gold" or the "Company", AIM: HGM) today reports its operating results for the three months ended 31 March 2019 ("Q1 2019").
    HIGHLIGHTS

    • Highland Gold produced a total of 71,961 oz of gold and gold equivalent in Q1 2019, an increase of 21% from 59,311 oz in Q1 2018.
    • Mnogovershinnoye (MNV) saw a 58% increase in production compared to Q1 2018, when its processing plant was operating at reduced capacity.
    • Production at Belaya Gora rose 31% year-on-year due to higher volumes and better recoveries.
    • Lower grades and recoveries at Novoshirokinskoye (Novo) resulted in a 28% decline in production versus Q1 2018, but was 3% higher than in the preceding quarter (Q4 2018).
    • The production total includes the Valunisty mine, acquired by the Company last December. Excluding Valunisty, Q1 2019 production rose 9% year-on-year.

    https://www.highlandgold.com/h…1-2019-operating-results/

    hallo@'Edelmann'


    ich zweifle nicht das du darauf bereits hingewiesen hast.


    zweiteres seh ich anders. die mittel zb. die zölle mit denen trump unter anderem den slogan "make america great again" umsetzt, werden eingeführt mit der argumentation die usa wären(im handel) benachteiligt(gewesen)... was durch die situation des dollars im welthandel für mich eben eine tatsachenverdrehung darstellt ;)


    vllt denken wir auch gleich und reden nur aneinander vorbei.


    Hier ist gemeint die Zeit mit und nach Trump. Durch den Schlachtruf von diesem Großmaul und rigides Verhalten gegen alle, die nicht kooperieren, bringt die USA die Welt zunehmend gegen sich auf, und am Beispiel China sieht man, daß die Amis am kürzeren Hebelarm sitzen.

    das ist nicht erst ein phänomen von trump als us präsident, die symtome eines erschwerten machterhaltes als unipolare weltmacht fingen schon vor längerer zeit richtig an und wurden auch bereits unter früheren präsidenten nach aussen sichtbar.



    vg bh

    ich vermute auch das es eher den niedergang des us-d beschleunigt als china zu bremsen. vor ca einem 3/4 jahr lag der marktanteil der chinesischen öl futures der sge, die NICHT in us-d beglichen werden sondern in yuan, bei bereits ca 15%!


    July 2018:


    "This gave the contract a market share for July of 14.4 percent, compared with 28.9 percent for Brent and 56.7 percent for WTI crude futures."
    https://www.reuters.com/articl…pushes-yuan-idUSKCN1LF2RE



    warum sollte sich gerade china weiterhin an us-vorgaben halten sollen? selbst ob das die türkei machen wird halte ich derzeit für fraglich, siehe den zwist um die rüstungsexporte.



    wie ebenfalls schon erwähnt, ein "ölpreisschock" erwischt alle, weltwirschaftswachstum endgültig adee... "offizielle" rezession ahoi...



    bg bh

    Syria and Now Iran: How the U.S. Is Driving Russia South


    By consolidating all three energy-producing regions under its leadership — the mainland, the Caspian, and the Middle East — Russia would take the decisive step in shaping a new Eurasian system. Its interests lie more decisively in organizing a common political will for the middle region than in recovering the old dreams of integration with Europe or pivoting to China.
    And now America is offering it a second opening. By announcing that it will remove Iranian oil waivers it has granted to countries such as China, India or Turkey, the United States is preparing the imposition of sanctions against financial institutions located in those countries that knowingly conduct or facilitate any significant imports of Iranian oil.
    The goal, as Secretary of State Mike Pompeo put it, is to force Iranian oil exports to zero.
    We are not yet sure how China, India and even Turkey will react. But we know what Russia will do. It will develop the tight economic and political links with Tehran that always eluded it in the past.
    The Russian market will become the last resource for Iran before that fateful zero. Russia will be able to dictate the trade terms and the Iranian oil consumed in Russia will free additional volumes to be exported to Turkey and India, two countries critical to the new Russian strategy.


    https://www.themoscowtimes.com…iving-russia-south-a65361