Beiträge von Blue Horseshoe

    Der Preis für Russenöl ist jetzt gedeckelt, die Chinesen lockern ihre 0-Covid Politik, die OPEC will die Fördermengen kürzen und der POO auf strammen Südkurs. Ich rechnete mit einer Bodenbildung bei ca. 76/77 USD. Das war wohl nix. Immerhin entlastet der fallende POO die Kostenseite der Minen - man muß es positiv sehen.

    zur opec+ förderkürzung. wie ich schon öfter schrieb - wie lange läuft noch der spr abverkauf und ab wann wird dieser aufgefüllt und welche source?


    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/1…ic-petroleum-reserve.html

    Na und?
    Ich weiß nicht, ob die russ. Führung mit dem Klammerbeutel gepudert war und ist.


    Wenn nicht, dann haben sie sich nicht eine Sekunde darauf verlassen, dass die NATO sich erstmals an ein Versprechen hält und haben ihrerseits Strukturen, Gerät und Mannschaften aufgebaut für den sicheren Fall des Auftauens des Eingefrorenen.


    Ich kann also unter der Annahme, dass da nicht Halbkretins an den Schalthebeln sitzen, nicht erkennen, dass irgendeiner "ver..." sein könnte.


    das minster abkommen ist ein geltender völkerrechtlicher vertrag, unterzeichnung am 17.02.2015 und mit der verabschiedung der resolution 2202(2015) des un sicherheitsrates auch bindend.


    https://www.un.org/depts/german/sr/sr_14-15/sr2202.pdf


    1. billigt das Maßnahmenpaket für die Umsetzung der Minsker Vereinbarungen, das am 12. Februar
    2015 in Minsk angenommen und unterzeichnet wurde (Anlage I);

    für mich ein must read:


    Zoltan Pozsar
    5 December 2022
    Investment Solutions & Sustainability
    Global


    Credit Suisse Economics



    Oil, Gold, and LCLo(SP)R
    I am stunned every time a client asks me if I am worried about the current
    level of reserves in the U.S. banking system. The market’s search for the
    level of reserves at which the system “breaks” implies that the market is
    worried about a repeat of the 2019 repo blowup. Such fears are misplaced.
    To be clear, there are risks lurking in funding markets, but they have nothing to do
    with the draining of reserves via QT (watching paint dry). Rather, they have to do
    with the draining of reserves via geopolitics (Russia responding to price caps).
    The fundamental difference between QT during 2018-2019 and QT today is
    that the first episode of QT happened while balances in the o/n RRP facility
    were zero. The U.S. financial system didn’t have a penny of excess reserves,
    except for what banks had over and above their lowest comfortable level of reserves
    (LCLoR). The bid for repo funding was immense and the marginal repo lenders
    were banks with excess reserves to lend... until they ran out of reserves to lend.
    When the reserves ran out, o/n repo rates spiked and the music stopped
    until the Fed started to print reserves anew and broadcast them using a new
    o/n repo facility (the SRF). The chances of the same happening today are low.
    Worrying about how close banks are to their LCLoR is pointless for three reasons.
    First, demand for repo funding is weak today, in sharp contrast to demand
    during 2018-2019 when demand was breaking new highs every single day.
    Similarly, demand for dollar funding in the FX swap market is weak too, as
    FX-hedged buyers of Treasuries are now scaling back their positions and
    economic uncertainty and higher nominal rates are driving a wave of deleveraging.
    Second, balances in the New York Fed’s o/n RRP facility represent reserves
    that the financial system did not bid for during the day. In other words,
    the balances in the o/n RRP facility represent cash the system does not need.
    Today, that amount is over $2 trillion. That’s $2 trillion that large U.S. banks
    sweep off their balance sheets at the end of every day and that foreign banks
    and dealers don’t bid for to fund their loan books, inventories, or market making.
    That’s $2 trillion of reserves coming out of the market’s ears. In plain English,
    the $2 trillion in the o/n RRP facility is the system’s “cash under the mattress”.
    Third, if for some reason we still end up in a situation of LCLoR miscalibration,
    the system has two pools of liquidity to tap: the $2 trillion under the mattress
    (see above) or the SRF. The raison d'être of funding markets is to mobilize
    excess cash; today, $2 trillion is waiting to be mobilized through funding markets...



    vollständig im angehängten PDF!



    bg bh

    https://www.globenewswire.com/…d-Stage-4-Expansions.html


    K92 Mining Announces Extension to Mining Lease 150 and Approval of the Kainantu Gold Mine Stage 3 and Stage 4 Expansions

    • Mining Lease 150 (“ML 150” or the “Mining Lease”) has been granted an extension for an additional 10 years, to June 2034, by the Government of Papua New Guinea. The renewal is well in advance of the original expiry date of June 2024, highlighting the significant support of various levels of Government and stakeholders for the Kainantu Gold Mine.
    • Concurrent with the Mining Lease extension, the Board of Directors of K92 have approved the Company progressing with Kainantu Gold Mine’s Stage 3 and 4 Expansions. The Stage 3 Expansion plans to increase annual throughput to 1.2 million tonnes per annum (“mtpa”) and the Stage 4 Expansion to 1.7 mtpa, representing a 140% and 240% increase from the Stage 2A Expansion, respectively.
    • The expansions are expected to transform Kainantu into a Tier 1 mine, as demonstrated in the Integrated Development Plan’s Stage 4 Preliminary Economic Assessment Case (the “Stage 4 PEA Case”), outlining peak annual production of 500,192 ounces gold equivalent (“AuEq”) in 2027, life of mine average all-in sustaining cost of $687/oz (co-product) or $444/oz net of by-product credits, and self-funded from mine cash flow at $1,600/oz Au. The tendering process for long-lead time expansion items has already commenced.#

    vollständig unter obigem link


    bg bh

    - "einige" Javelin


    Javelin, Stinger stockpiles running low: Raytheon CEO


    Raytheon's CEO stresses that the company's arsenals of Javelins and Stingers are running low due to the massive aid being sent to Ukraine/



    Javelin anti-tank and Stinger
    anti-aircraft missiles are depleting at an alarming rate, with the
    arsenals being voided of weapons that took years to produce within
    months, Raytheon Technologies CEO Greg Hayes said Monday, citing the
    United States flow of aid into Ukraine as the reason being.
    The United States has been sending Javelins and Stingers into Kiev in the thousands, and they have been acclaimed as one of the reasons why Ukraine has been able to hold its ground as well as it has over the course of the war.
    Raytheon, in partnership with Lockheed Martin, is producing around 400 Javelins per month, the CEO revealed, noting that the stream of weapons into Ukraine has been driving eating through the two companies' stockpiles of shoulder-mounted weapons.
    Meanwhile, the United States has sent 5,500 Javelins and 1,400 Stingers to Ukraine as of May, with the number definitely being a lot higher due to several aid packages approved since then.
    “The problem is we have consumed so much supply in the first ten months of the war," the arms manufacturing conglomerate's CEO said, stressing that the stream of arms used up five years' worth of Javelin production and 13 years' worth of Stinger production, wondering who was going to replenish the depleted stockpiles.


    https://english.almayadeen.net…running-low:-raytheon-ceo

    Der Russ hat den Westen gefickt und sich heimlich eine eigene Tankerflotte von über 100 Schiffen zugelegt.

    https://www.ft.com/content/cde…2e-43d8-ae55-33bcbbb82eb6
    https://www.zerohedge.com/geop…step-western-restrictions




    Russia is looking to bolster its exports to China, India, Turkey and other countries that have greatly boosted their purchases of Russian oil as other countries reduce them.
    According to Braemar's analysis, Russian operators appear to have acquired:

    • 29 very large crude carriers (VLCCs), which can haul more than 2 million barrels apiece
    • 31 Suezmax-sized tankers, which carry about 1 million barrels
    • 49 Aframax tankers, with 700,000-barrel capacities

    Russia's tanker-buying spree probably isn't over. “Russia needs more than 240 tankers to keep its current exports flowing,” Rystad analyst Viktor Kurilov told the Times.


    nunja, es ist ja nicht so das indien/china etc nicht auch noch "kontrolle" über tanker hätten... das wird schon..
    und price cap... das wird sowieso nichts.


    ukraine benötigt derzeit riesige mengen diesel, selbst die eu kann den nicht mehr in dem ausmaß liefern...
    diesel importe aus russland... darf ja nicht mehr sein. rohöl.. auch nicht mehr? gut wird diesel und andere petrolium produkte eben noch knapper. spätestens wenn der spr leer ist kommt ein massiver preissprung..


    Russian diesel, gasoil arrivals in Europe at 4-year low
    https://www.argusmedia.com/en/…ls-in-europe-at-4year-low



    Russian Diesel Halt Is Still Looking Like Europe’s Big Problem

    • Europe’s imports on course to stay high after October surge
    • Russia is still by far the region’s biggest diesel supplier

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news…ade-stops-in-2-1-2-months


    ...

    Ich befürchte in dem Zusammenhang auch, dass sämtliche Konversationen / Private Nachrichten gespeichert bleiben, mit sensiblen Daten über etwaige Handelsgeschäfte oder ähnlich. Es heißt ja schon nur „Nachricht Verlassen“. Da war das Tafelgeschäft beim Händler früher mit Sicherheit die vertraulichere Variante.

    genau diese aspekte meinte ich ja(funktionen und sinn der plusmitgliedschaft bei den edelmetallgeschäften(auch wenn ich diese nicht nutze). ich nehme an die pn`s sind voll mit sensiblen daten.
    aus diesen und bereits anderen genannten gründen(siehe anderer thread) finde ich, diplomatisch ausgedrückt, die situation mehr als unschön.

    Es steht dir freilich offen etwas zu spenden an DMR & Co.KG um es hier akut zu vervollzukommen

    habe ich in dem therad, welchen ich eröffnet hatte mehrmals angeboten. nach mehr als einem halben jahr der untätigkeit(zumindest in der umsetzung von wartungsarbeiten[updates]) ist meine bereitschaft zur spende bei null.


    Wenn auch mit Einschränkungen aber in der heutigen Zeit muss man froh sein wenn die Basis tut

    dir ist aber schon bewusst das veralterte software einfacher zu "hacken" ist als aktuell gehaltene?
    und wenn es nur die email adressen der nutzer wären - abgesehen davon welche daten sonst noch in der sql gespeichert sind(plus mitglieder) ?

    Andrew Forrest eyes Tim Goyder’s Chalice stake; Jarden in tow



    Iron ore billionaire Andrew Forrest likes the look of nickel developer Chalice Mining and is trying to get his hands on a sizeable chunk.
    Street Talk can reveal Forrest has bid for Chalice shares owned by its former chairman Tim Goyder. Sources said Jarden was the broker behind Forrest’s approach.
    That would be 8.8 per cent of the company, a nice toehold stake should Forrest choose to push for more. At $5.71 per Chalice share, Goyder’s shareholding is worth $189 million.
    Goyder last chipped off his stake August, when he trimmed his holding by nearly two per cent to the 8.8 per cent it is currently at.
    https://www.afr.com/street-tal…en-in-tow-20221202-p5c350

    Damals war es eine indische (nicht ganz sicher) Truppe, die das bereits publizieren wollte, aber dann daran gehindert wurde.

    guten morgen lupus, die studie(von pradhan/pandey/gupta/mishra ...) hatte ich eingestellt, wurde dann auf internationalen druck(usa, eu) zurückgezogen.


    Uncanny similarity of unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV spike protein to HIV-1 gp120 and Gag


    Abstract
    We are currently witnessing a major epidemic caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). The evolution of 2019-nCoV remains elusive. We found 4 insertions in the spike glycoprotein (S) which are unique to the 2019-nCoV and are not present in other coronaviruses. Importantly, amino acid residues in all the 4 inserts have identity or similarity to those in the HIV-1 gp120 or HIV-1 Gag. Interestingly, despite the inserts being discontinuous on the primary amino acid sequence, 3D-modelling of the 2019-nCoV suggests that they converge to constitute the receptor binding site. The finding of 4 unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV, all of which have identity /similarity to amino acid residues in key structural proteins of HIV-1 is unlikely to be fortuitous in nature. This work provides yet unknown insights on 2019-nCoV and sheds light on the evolution and pathogenicity of this virus with important implications for diagnosis of this virus.
    https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1


    wie du richtig schreibst auch durch luc montagnier und jean claude perez


    ABSTRACT :
    We are facing the worldwide invasion of a new coronavirus. This follows several limited outbreaks of related
    viruses in various locations in a recent past (SARS, MERS). Although the main objective of researchers is to
    bring efficient therapeutic and preventive solutions to the global population, we need also to better
    understand the origin of the newly coronavirus-induced epidemic in order to avoid future outbreaks. The
    present molecular appraisal is to study by a bio-infomatic approach the facts relating to the virus and its
    precursors.
    This article shows how 16 fragments (Env Pol and Integrase genes) from different strains, both diversified
    and very recent, of the HIV1, HIV2 and SIV retroviruses have high percentage of homology into parts of the
    genome of COVID_19. Moreover each of these elements is made of 18 or more nucleotides and therefore
    may have function. They are called Exogenous Informative Elements (EIE)..
    Among these EIE, 12 are concentrated in a very small region of the COVID-19 genome, length less than
    900bases, i.e. less than 3% of the total length of this genome. In addition, these EIE are positioned in 2
    functional genes of COVID-19: the orf1ab and S spike genes.
    Here are the two main facts which contribute to our hypothesis of a partially synthetic genome: A contiguous
    region representing 2.49% of the whole COVID-19 genome of which 40.99% is made up of 12 diverse
    fragments originating from various strains of HIV SIV retroviruses. Some of these 12 EIE appear
    concatenated. Notably, the retroviral part of these regions, which consists of 8 elements from various strains
    HIV1, HIV2 and SIV covers a length of 275 contiguous bases of COVID-19. The cumulative length of these 8
    HIV SIV elements represents 200 bases. Consequently, the HIV SIV density rate of this region of COVID-19
    is 200/275 = 72.73%


    https://www.researchgate.net/p…aude_perez_Luc_Montagnier


    sowie die studie von bruttel, washburne und vandongen


    Endonuclease fingerprint indicates a synthetic origin of SARS-CoV-2


    Abstract
    To prevent future pandemics, it is important that we understand whether SARS-CoV-2 spilled
    over directly from animals to people, or indirectly in a laboratory accident. The genome of SARS-
    COV-2 contains a peculiar pattern of unique restriction endonuclease recognition sites allowing
    efficient dis- and re-assembly of the viral genome characteristic of synthetic viruses. Here, we
    report the likelihood of observing such a pattern in coronaviruses with no history of
    bioengineering. We find that SARS-CoV-2 is an anomaly, more likely a product of synthetic
    genome assembly than natural evolution. The restriction map of SARS-CoV-2 is consistent with
    many previously reported synthetic coronavirus genomes, meets all the criteria required for an
    efficient reverse genetic system, differs from closest relatives by a significantly higher rate of
    synonymous mutations in these synthetic-looking recognitions sites, and has a synthetic
    fingerprint unlikely to have evolved from its close relatives. We report a high likelihood that SARS-
    CoV-2 may have originated as an infectious clone assembled
    https://www.biorxiv.org/conten…2.10.18.512756v1.full.pdf


    aber natürlich achtung, alles nur vt :whistling:


    dazu ganz nett sind die emails durch den klageweg in den usa veröffentlicht werden mussten..
    der mayer hatte dazu etwas geschrieben


    Laborvirus: Neue Mails bringen Drosten unter Druck


    War Drosten daran beteiligt, die Laborthese über das Virus international zu diffamieren und zu disqualifizieren? Zumindest liegt nun ein E-Mail vor, das ganz deutlich darauf hindeutet. Er selbst hat das stets abgestritten – sogar mit einer eidesstattlichen Erklärung.
    In den letzten Monaten wurde ausgesprochen ruhig um Christian Drosten. Auf Twitter ist er seit Juli untergetaucht. Zuletzt verkündete in der der „Zeit“, dass auch er das Ende der sogenannten Pandemie sehe. Doch jetzt sorgt Drosten für Neuigkeiten, die ihm wohl nicht sehr in seine Pläne passen. Er hatte Anfang des Jahres eidesstattlich erklärt, dass er nicht versucht hätte, einen potenziellen Laborursprung von Covid zu vertuschen. Neue E-Mails, die in den USA juristisch erstreitet wurden, deuten aber nun darauf hin, dass dem nicht so war.
    https://tkp.at/2022/11/28/labo…ngen-drosten-unter-druck/


    bg bh

    Meinst Du Novavax ist besser? Die machen überall den gelichen Mist rein, nur so gibt es die Zulassung.

    meinegüte neo, langsam nervt es - wurde nun x-mal erklärt.


    unter anderem ist der wesentliche unterschied ist das keine körpereigenen zellen spikes über einen unbestimmten zeitraum exprimieren. auch die gefahr der reverse transkriptase in dna ist nicht gegeben.



    Intracellular Reverse Transcription of Pfizer BioNTech COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine BNT162b2 In Vitro in Human Liver Cell Line
    https://www.mdpi.com/1467-3045/44/3/73/htm




    gefühlt alles schon dutzendfach hier diskutiert.