Beiträge von Eldorado

EPL.V und GOR.V habe ich schon erwaehnt und empfohlen, mich freut der Kursverlauf.

Der naechste grosse Betrug nach Kebble, 680 million Rand missing.

Fidentia mastermind revealed

2007-2-12 14:59

A former Port Elizabeth instant lawn salesman is behind what could be the country's biggest corporate investment scandal, Herald Online reported on Monday.

J Arthur Brown, whose parents still live on the Garden Route, went from a humble plot in Greenbushes to a lifestyle complete with a R3m annual salary, country estates, flashy cars and failed spas in his wifes name.

Offshore Trusts in Cameroon and Dubai, Farms in the Eastern Cape, luxury Houses in Cape Town.

Brown, 36, masterminded the Fidentia group of companies, which controlled about R2bn, of which at least R680m is unaccounted for.

Fidentia is known to many ordinary South Africans because it is behind the Infinity loyalty programme. It was placed under curatorship last week.

The curators, have to sort out - and if possible save - the Fidentia businesses and track down and secure assets.

Nonentity to fabulous riches

The SABC reported that the Transport, Education and Training authority were to meet the curators in Cape Town on Monday to try and recover about R250m in invested in Fidentia Asset Management.

According to the companies' register, Brown was a director of several other virtually unknown enterprises in the Eastern Cape, including construction, transport and computer companies registered in Mthatha.

Brown rocketed from nonentity to fabulous riches, including millions splashed by his group of companies on corporate spending sprees.

Ten days ago, it was reported that Eastern Cape cricket was in jeopardy after the collapse of Fidentia, its major sponsor.

At risk is a R4.9m deal Fidentia signed with the Warriors last year.

Fidentia also sponsored the Boland rugby team, renamed the Fidentia Boland Cavaliers, to the tune of R15m.

Business associates under investigation

The roles played by Brown's business associates are also under investigation in a scandal that extends from impoverished orphans in the Lesotho highlands to one of the country's top businesswomen, Dr Danisa Baloyi, a Living Hands trustee.

Brown, who paid himself an annual salary of R3m and drove a Ferrari or a luxury 4x4, espoused a philosophy of "responsible capitalism".

However, financial investigators say he built a pyramid of companies by allegedly pilfering trust funds, including that of the Living Hands fund for widows and orphans of mineworkers.

According to associates, Brown was born in Namibia and was about six when his father died.

He and his two brothers grew up in South Africa with his mother and stepfather, who live in the Southern Cape in the Glentana area.

No university records

Brown's qualifications as financial whizzkid are unknown, but he told colleagues that he had studied at the University of Port Elizabeth and had once worked for a merchant bank.

His secretary this week also confirmed that he had lived in Port Elizabeth and had studied at the University of Port Elizabeth.

However, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University (the result of a merger of the PE Technikon, the University of Port Elizabeth and the Port Elizabeth campus of Vista University) spokesperson Roslyn Baatjies said there were no records of him studying at the university.

He apparently moved to Cape Town about five years ago.

SAPA

Hi Tschonko

Bei breakeven von 0.96 USD fliegt zwei drittel raus von Clifton, was hilft es schon wenn ABL 20% mehr Profit macht und die Aktie dafuer 20% faellt.
ABL ist immer gut gelaufen was der Kurs nicht zeigt.
Ich habe in erster Linie Clifton weger der Reserven in Utah gekauft, wenn ich Medizin will dann kaufe ich Pfizer oder Merck.
So gut wie das Zeug auch sein mag jedoch heutzutage stellt jeder Kluge sein Silberwasser meistens selber her und braucht wenig oder gar nichts von ABL das ansich teuer ist im Vergleich.
Der Kursverlauf von Clifton war immer ein Raetsel, im Endeffekt geht dort was Silber im Boden angeht gar nichts ab. Das Management konzentriert sich mehr an ABL als an die Ore in Utah nach dem Motto es kann warten.
Die sitzen auf ihrer Silberore ohne Schlagzeile oder Fortschritt der den Kurs mal in die Hoehe treibt.
Ok, nun fangen sie mal an zu bohren, bin gespannt was da rauskommt, wie auch immer weg mit dem Langweiler, es gibt andere die sich besser nach oben bewegen.
Hommel treibte die Clifton oft an, das einzige mal wo sich etwas ruehrt.
Wenn ich an seinen richest hill on earth OT Mining denke dann wird mir schlecht.
Von Hommel seinen Empfehlungen halte ich nicht mehr viel, der treibt den Kurs an und dann verkauft er wieder eine Ladung vor uns.
Sobald er guenstig seine PP's hat dann kommt die Empfehlung an seine Juenger vom Silberberg.

Halleluja, die 2 Jahres Chart spricht fuer sich selbst

Gruss

Eldo

Ulfur... :D..klar der Ami hatte eine gute Zeit, er war ja Gast und dem erzaehlt man nicht viel schlechtes, a little bit of marketing RSA.
If you wine and dine and stay in a nice hotel, RSA is wonderful.

I won't comment on this crime

'2007-2-12 10:01

Johannesburg - Deputy national police commissioner Tim Williams has become one of the latest victims of armed attackers who have been terrorising families in Pretoria's eastern suburbs, the Pretoria News reported on Monday.

Williams, national commissioner Jackie Selebi's second in charge responsible for crime intelligence and detection, opened a case of attempted murder and attempted housebreaking at the Brooklyn police station.

The incident happened early on Thursday morning when suspects tried to gain access to Williams's home in Glenwood Road, Lynnwood Glen, the daily reported.

According to police sources, officers at the scene were warned of "serious consequences" if news of the incident leaked to the press.

Relaxing with family and friends at his home on Sunday, Williams did not want to comment on the matter.

"Who gave you this information?" he asked when questioned about the incident.

"I will comment on any other crime except this one," he said.

SAPA

And now, let's look at South Africa and emerging markets.

Finding Value in South Africa

I realized about halfway through my recent trip that it had been some time since I was in an emerging-market country. I have been to over 50 countries over the past 20 years, but recently most of my travels have been to Europe and Canada, with the occasional vacation trip to Mexico.

As I observed South Africa, it was forcefully brought home to me that there is more to the emerging-market story than China, India, and Brazil. There are any number of countries that are seeing robust growth and contributing to the world economy. It was reported at Davos this year that for the first time the developing world has a larger share of world GDP than the developed world. Today, we focus on an emerging-market country that does not make as much news as it should.

As I mentioned above, the mood among those I talked with in South Africa in the early 1990s when I was traveling often to South Africa was quite pessimistic. The economy was not good, due to international economic sanctions stemming from worldwide protests over the policy of apartheid. Changes and elections were coming, and it was not clear what would happen.

I traveled for (mostly) business into 14 other sub-Saharan countries in Africa. With a few notable exceptions, most countries were not doing well and things had progressed from bad to worse over the previous 10-20 years. It was a tough time to try and do business, but it was a great education.

The contrast today is amazing. Before we get into some facts, let me give you a few impressions. First, there are construction cranes everywhere in the four cities I visited: Johannesburg, Pretoria, Durban, and Cape Town. Twelve years ago the thirty miles from Johannesburg to Pretoria was mostly agricultural land. Today it is one big city, with offices, malls, and homes lining the freeway. There was a significant number of rather nice new housing developments, many if not most being built on speculation all along the freeway.

Johannesburg is a world-class city, on a par with New York or London or any major city in terms of facilities, shops, infrastructure ... and traffic. There were new shopping malls all over, and the stores were busy. The restaurants were excellent. The hotels I stayed in and spoke at were excellent and modern. The Santon area is particularly pleasant.

Durban is a tropical jewel on the Indian Ocean. Again, there was construction everywhere - a green, verdant city of 1,000,000 people, with modern roads and great weather.

I have been to Sydney, Vancouver, and San Francisco. I love all of them. But for my money, Cape Town is the most beautiful city I have been to. Amazing mountains, blue water harbors, white sand beaches, with wineries nestled in among the mountains and valleys. The Waterfront area, where I stayed, is fun and vibrant. Again, an amazing amount of construction everywhere, especially in the waterfront area, as investors from Dubai are pouring huge sums of money into creating a massive residential/business/retail/restaurant development. There are several similar, quite large developments going up in different parts of Cape Town.

I ate dinner on Friday night at a restaurant called Baia at the Waterfront. I find I really love the better South African chardonnays. My friends know I am something of a chardonnay snob. I like the better California wineries. I was pleasantly surprised to find more than a few South African chards the equal of their US counterparts, but at a third to half the price for the same level of quality. (I should note that a decent chardonnay in London or Europe is twice the US price.)

The two of us had the best chardonnay in the restaurant and one of the better meals I have had in a long time, and the bill was less than $100. The next day my partner Prieur du Plessis informed me that Baia was one of the most expensive restaurants in town. By way of comparison, you can easily spend 2-3 times that at a comparable restaurant in Dallas, and 4-5 times that in New York. Forget London.

I began to ask about the bills for food, drinks, and such for the rest of the trip. The country was uniformly about half what I would pay in Texas for the same quality. I stayed in a very nice five-star hotel (The Commodore) for six nights for less than $1,000, including several meals, laundry, and my bar tab. Their walk-up price was much higher, but clearly you can get deals, and it is tourist season at that. The service was terrific and uniformly delivered with smiles.

The exceptionally nice private game reserve (Itaga) we stayed at when I first arrived, trying to get over jet lag, was only a few hundred a night, including meals, wine, and game runs. In short, after having been to London and Europe for my last few overseas trips, South Africa seemed like a bargain.

And it was not just the people I spoke to that were optimistic. Grant Thornton (a large international accounting firm) did a survey in the 30 countries in which they do business. The four countries with the most optimism and confidence were India, Ireland, South Africa, and Mainland China.

Why such confidence? I think there are several reasons. The economy has been growing at a reported almost 5% a year for the past several years, which is quite strong. They have had 32 consecutive quarters of positive growth. But the official figures may understate the reality by a significant amount. If you look at the VAT (value-added tax) receipts, as well as other tax figures, some economists estimate the economy may be growing by 7% or more. Why the difference?

There is a large "informal" economy in South Africa. While much of the income may not be reported, when something is bought and sold in the retail sectors, taxes are collected.

The stock market has grown by over 25%, 47%, and 41% for the last three years. Such a bull run is always a boost to confidence. But there are also some real fundamentals underlying the emerging-market bull markets. South Africa has a strong commodity sector, with numerous commodities and not just gold. JP Morgan thinks that earnings growth for South African companies, even adjusting for some anomalies, will be 20% this year, which should mean another good year for their local markets.

This link between commodities and stock market prices is reflected not just in their stock market, but in emerging markets worldwide. Look at the close correlation for the last ten years between the prices of commodities and the emerging-market equity index. I think this rather clearly shows the link between the recent rise in commodity prices and emerging markets. It is more than just a China story.

Football as an Economic Driver

The attention paid to football (or soccer in the United States) is rising to fever pitch in South Africa. And for good reason: they will host the World Cup in 2010. They expect some 3,000,000 fans to show up. The government is using the occasion to spend some 400 billion Rand (a little over US $50 billion) on all sorts of infrastructure projects. They are doubling the size of the major airports, which had already been significantly improved. Walking past the construction at the Johannesburg airport, you have to be impressed with the size of it. New roads and other forms of infrastructure are being added to prepare for the influx, but it will have the added effect of making the country more competitive, just as infrastructure in China has been a boost to that country, and a lack of infrastructure has limited India.

The World Cup will also be a boost to tourism, already one of the most important sectors of the economy. Cape Town is becoming an international destination for vacations and conferences. The growth in tourism has been strong, showing 20% growth last year from 2005. 2006 was a record year.

Interestingly, 75% of the traffic reported in the tourism growth is from Africa and the Middle East. While a lot of the people are vacationers, I think a goodly portion are businessmen and women from all over sub-Saharan Africa who look to South Africa as a deal-doing financial center. South Africa has a quite strong, very competent, and growing financial services sector that is a magnet for entrepreneurs from all over Africa seeking to find capital. South Africa also has a strong entrepreneurial class which is the base for much of the new business and development, not just in South Africa but in all of Africa. The rest of the world rightly sees South Africa as the place to launch into the rest of Africa.

Are there problems in South Africa? Of course, and some of them are quite serious. But that is the case in nearly all (I cannot think of an exception) emerging-market economies. While the overall crime rate is dropping :D, it is still far too high. Some rather high-profile crimes of late have resulted in a strong outcry for serious change.

Corruption is an issue, but that is the case in almost every emerging-market country. The high levels of poverty are evident. Although employment is growing and more and more of the poor are being brought into the economy, there is still a lot of room for progress.

The telecommunications infrastructure is hampered by a lack of serious competition. Access to the internet is limited in many areas, and it is really slow where it does exist. This will improve in the coming years, but it is a serious handicap to business. There are power shortages and the need for more power-generation plants to keep up with the growth.

But all these areas are (mostly) going to improve . I see a lot of opportunity in South Africa in particular and Africa in general. Let's look at one area where there may be more than a little potential in the future.

I think there is deep long-term value in African (not just South African) farmland. Right now, given the nature of US and European subsidies to agriculture, it is hard for developing-world farmers to compete. But that will change in the next decade.

As I have written before, "Old Europe" and the US are going to come under intense government budgetary pressure due to the high levels of pension and medical costs they have promised their retiring boomers. Europe is particularly vulnerable.

Quite simply, Europe cannot afford to keep the pension promises they have made and pay for any other normal government expenses without raising taxes. Except that they already have economy-stifling high taxes.

Budgets are going to have to be cut in other areas. At some point, sooner rather than later, agricultural subsidies are going to come under pressure, as politicians must decide where to find the money to pay for the promised pensions and health care. There are more voters who are older and on pensions than there are farmers. I can count votes, and it is not hard to predict the result. It will be with a lot of fighting, but in the medium run, the agricultural subsidies in Europe are going to have to go.

When the writing is clearly on the wall, Europe will start to negotiate on those subsidies, trying to get something for what they will have no choice but to give. Part of that will be to reduce US subsidies as well.

Africa will become a breadbasket for much of Asia.
With China pressed for water and much of its agricultural land being used for development, China will need to import more food. And as the rest of the world becomes more developed, there will be an increased demand for meat, which means an even bigger demand for feed grains for livestock. The growing use of ethanol is increasing demand for corn, absorbing more of the world's land use for energy corn rather than for food.

The simple fact is that as the world grows more prosperous we are going to need more grain and other foods. Where is the land we are going to need to feed the world? There is an abundance in Africa, along with the needed water and labor.

And as African countries upgrade their infrastructure, it will improve the ability of farmers to get their grains to market at profitable levels.

There is much to like about emerging markets. That is where a great deal of the real potential growth in the coming decades will be. And South Africa will be one of the better stories. If you are not doing business there already, you should ask yourself, why not?

Home Again, Tulsa

I want to give special thanks to my South African partners Prieur du Plessis and Paul Stewart and the rest of the team at Plexus Asset Management.

I have never been treated so well on a trip. They made all the hard work a pleasure, taking care of a thousand small details so I could focus on the tasks at hand. And they did arrange for some fun, relaxation, and great sightseeing. I am looking forward to going back soon.

I was particularly impressed with South African Air. Very comfortable business-class seats, impeccable service, and great wines. I have trouble sleeping on planes, but I could actually sleep in these seats. But it still took over 40 hours to get to Johannesburg, rather than under 20, so I was exhausted when I got there. Jet lag this trip was as bad as I have ever had. Coming back has been easy.

http://news.goldseek.com/Mille…veAdvisors/1171209600.php

HUI Index Set to Advance to 700 - 900...

By: Clive Maund

http://news.goldseek.com/CliveMaund/1171209660.php

@GB....auch beim HUI erscheint irgendwann die tripple 6.

Now we come to the main point of this article which is to bring to readers’ attention the magnitude of the potential upside in Precious Metals stocks. To do this we will use a 7-year log chart for the HUI index, which encompasses the entire bull market to date. The initial uptrend, shown by the pale blue line, was too steep to be sustainable, and the index thus broke this line in 2004 and went into a rectangular consolidation pattern, before a more sustainable uptrend resumed. The long-term uptrend drawn on this chart immediately makes 2 things clear. Firstly, if this trend channel is operative, and the higher low last month, coupled with the gold fanline breakout and the bearish looking dollar chart strongly suggest that it is, then we are close to an optimum buying area with the index still being relatively close to the lower boundary of the uptrend channel. The other point is that the upside is enormous - if the index embarks on a major uptrend that results in it making contact with the upper boundary of the channel again, then we are looking at it rising to the 700 - 900 area, perhaps higher, depending on when it meets it.

Sound outrageous? - if you had told people at the end of 2000 that this index would rise by over 600% in the following 3 years, they would have sent for the men in white coats. In the light of this the potential gains mentioned here sound rather conservative. On the downside, a general sell signal for Precious Metals stocks would be generated not by a break below the channel line, but by a break below the support level at and above 270.

In recent weeks on http://www.clivemaund.com we have reviewed the large gold and silver stocks traded on US markets, and shortly we will be looking at a range of the best trampled down junior stocks. Most junior stocks have suffered terrible damage during the corrective phase in force from May last year, that is now over, and many of their charts look like Berlin in 1945.

There are amazing bargains to be had, with the cream of the juniors showing strong accumulation patterns as Smart Money has been mopping them up like there’s no tomorrow. Shouldn’t be long now…

@ Lucky, bitte trink mehr....

SA wine farmers throw in towel

2007-2-11 21:15

Cape Town

The huge oversupply of wine worldwide has turned into a nightmare and an "economic disaster" for South Africa's wine farmers.
Wine companies are now offering farmers up to R900/ton to not harvest contracted grapes next year. And many wine farms at the heart of SA's wine industry are on the market because farmers have given up hope amid poor production prices.

Wine experts and estate agents say Stellenbosch is the worst-hit. In this area alone, more than 50 wine- and wine grape farms are for sale.

Where farmers previously earned up to R7 500/ton for red grapes, they now get as little as R1 500/ton, which makes economic survival impossible.

The profit per hectare is also much lower. It costs farmers R40 000 a year to prepare one hectare of soil. The yield per hectare for quality grapes is between eight tons and 12 tons.

South Africans drink too little

The poor annual wine intake of only seven litres a person in South Africa is another contributing factor to the farmers' distress.

Johan van Rooyen, chief executive of the SA Wine Industry Council (Sawic), said the high volumes of wine now had to be sold dirt cheap to make place for the next harvest.

"Prices had to be cut drastically because of the grape oversupply," he said.

Emile Joubert, communications consultant for the wine industry, said international suppliers of winemaking equipment said that "in their 30 years of dealings in SA, they've never seen such a catastrophe".

They said they could not see how farmers could survive in such conditions.

Remax estate agent Willie Badenhorst said that, on their books alone, there were at least 50 farms in Stellenboch on the market and "not at give-away prices".

"Farmers leave, because they don't earn a decent return on their investments.

"On top of that, they have to contend with stringent labour laws. The benefits of workers must stay the same - another reason why farmers bail out."

John Munnik of De Oude Kaap estate agency says high-profile foreign buyers snap these farms up.

"They're buying them for lifestyle purposes and not to farm grapes."

Need a mind shift

Farms of between 14ha and 23ha cost about R20m, but in Banhoek one of 5.8ha is on sale for R38m.

But, according to Van Rooyen, there are farmers who don't struggle.

"That is because they've realised a long time ago that the salvation is in the quality, not in volume.

"South Africa must focus on quality wine. We just cannot compete abroad with the likes of Chile that sells a bottle (of wine) at R6 in Europe.

"Farmers need a mind shift - focus on the production of unique quality wines. There are farmers that cannot keep up with delivery because of the demand for quality wines."

Joubert said that one of the causes of the poor wine sales was tourism boards which did not market the wine industry as one of the cornerstones of the South African experience.

"Our wine industry does not get enough support from this side. The market is there, but they're not seizing the potential," he said.

Rapport

Mit dem Arschgesicht braucht er haarige Unterhose.

South Africa Mbeki ""'failed to show strong leadership""

2007-2-9 14:39

Cape Town - Independent Democrats leader Patricia de Lille has criticised President Thabo Mbeki for failing to show "strong and decisive leadership" in his State of the Nation address to Parliament on Friday.

"The Independent Democrats expected the President to acknowledge that the Age of Hope he has articulated to the nation is under serious threat.

"We expected him to show stronger and decisive leadership in dealing with two of the biggest threats facing our democracy - crime and corruption," she said after the address.

The ID had repeatedly called on Mbeki to announce a National Crime Summit where representatives from all sectors of society could come together to thrash out a strategy and implementation plan to bring the country's general and organised crime wave under control.

The ID would now push ahead and meet with business and other sectors to get this crime summit initiative off the ground as a matter of urgency.

"Clearly, the battle against crime cannot be left exclusively in the hands of government," she said.

Mbeki had also again failed to provide leadership on corruption, which she said had become entrenched in the civil service.

"The ANC's jobs for pals programme as well as gross mismanagement and the looting of state resources, has now reached critical levels."

He had further again missed out on an opportunity to give clear and decisive leadership on the arms deal corruption that had caused "so much damage to South Africa's credibility in the international community".

Mbeki needed to give a firm commitment that he would assist the British and German authorities in their probes into the arms deal.

On a positive note, De Lille congratulated the leadership Mbeki showed in terms of his job creation programme, skills development programme and the "Passenger Transport Strategy".

SAPA

auratico... =)...kommt mir bekannt vor.

@GB

Hoffentlich nicht das letzte..

Mit Minen wird die richtige Kohle gemacht werden, es sei denn unser alles kontrollierender Staat sagt "nein" und konfisziert unsere Anteile
"für das allgemeine Wohl".

Another meeting of the devils, get used to it.

gogh

Fasse am Montag bei IAU nach

Edel, du hast die selbe Meinung und Handlungsweise wie ich.
Lassen wir doch die Lemminge wieder auswaschen und warten geduldig auf ihre Aktien.
Wer oefters Geisterbahn gefahren ist wie wir der lacht anstatt er in Panik geraet und mitschreit.
Freefly, bei 30% lohnt sich das handeln eher, es kommt aber nicht soweit das der HUI auf 240 faellt.
Hold the line and stay put.

Ich weiss gar nicht was ich verkaufen kann: :D...irgendwie sind mir die ans Herz gewachsen obwohl ein paar Kruecken wie Drooy und IAU dabei sind.

Spread your risk... :D...they can't kill them all.

CEF SLV PAAS SSRI CDE HL MGN GG NEM GFI AUY BGO NSU DROOY VGZ KBX KGC UXG LIHR NTO FCX MNG AEM MDG BHP BVN RTP AAUK SIL GMO 3330.HK 1818.HK AVM.L CFTN.PK OTMN.PK RANGY.PK SRLM.OB CGDF.OB MMG NJMC.OB PGDP.OB KRY GRZ

AAG.V ABI.V AMC.V APE.V ANX.V AUA.V AUQ.V ASM.V BCM.V BGL.V BPM.V BUF-U.V BVG.V CAT.V CGP.V CKG.V CMA.V CML.V CMQ.V CMM.V DYG.V ECU.V EEL.V EGD.V EMR.V EPL.V CPY.V EPZ.V EXN.V FR.V FUR.V FMM.V FVI.V FWR.V GEM.V GGC.V GNG.V GOG.V GOR.V IMR.V IPT.V ITH.V JPN.V KBG.V KG.V KS.V KRE.V MAD.V MAG.V MAI.V MIO.V MJS.V MOR.V MSU.V MTO.V NDM.V NGG.V NOT.V NPG.V NSM.V OK.V ORM.V OSK.V OTL.V PDO.V PJO.V PNL.V PXI.V QTA.V RFM.V RR.V RSM.V SBB.V SST.V SOI.V SUR.V SVL.V SXG.V UC.V VIT.V VML.V WKR.V YZC.V SOH.V SOX.V ADA.V AGQ.V MNS.V TRX.V SAN.V MXD.V MKR.V TOE.V FRA.V MAR.V

AMM.TO ATN.TO ARG.TO AXR.TO BZA.TO CDU.TO CHD.TO CLG.TO CS.TO CZN.TO DNT.TO EDR.TO ELD.TO ER.TO ETG.TO FAN.TO FNX.TO GAM.TO GMX.TO GPR.TO GSL.TO GUY.TO HBM.TO HRG.TO IAU.TO JAG.TO JIN.TO LRR.TO LSG.TO MFL.TO MMM.TO MR.TO MSV.TO MUN.TO MVG.TO NG.TO NGD.TO NGX.TO ORA.TO ORV.TO OZN.TO RBI.TO RMX.TO RDV.TO RVM.TO SLW.TO SPM.TO SMF.TO SVM.TO SWG.TO TCK-B.TO WDO.TO WLF.TO PG.TO WTM.TO XCL.TO CCU.TO

Feefly keine Anhnung was du meinst mit Sicherheitskonferenz etc. ?(.

Die 700 USD POG sind in Reichweite, die kommen sicherlich bis Ende des Monats.
Der HUI wird bis mitte Maerz bei 375-390 liegen sagt mein Bauchgefuehl.
Erst bei 715 USD und HUI 400 kommt wieder eine deftige Korrektur und es geht wieder runter vom Anstieg seit Anfang Januer.
Dann sind wir wieder da wo wir heute sind.
Da kann man gleich alles liegen lassen ohne Spesen fuer nichts zu bezahlen.

Gruss

Eldo

Listen to Lou Paquette (14min)

February 9....Gold Fever

Hier seine Meinung ueber den HUI und was er nun erwartet.

http://www.howestreet.com/articles/index.php/bio?writer_id=5

Lou's Charts

http://www.howestreet.com/gold…20of%20the%20week6-07.pdf

Also interesting:

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1171060089.php

Summary

Gold’s price action is very bullish and indicates that a new impulsive phase is about to begin. Gold stocks ETFs are lagging but can catch up in a heartbeat. Both GDX and XGD.TO are still consolidating near the daily 50ema and we need to see a breakout above their respective December highs to confirm that the ten month long consolidation is over, and an impulsive phase has begun. In the meantime, we continue to accumulate positions upon set ups in anticipation of the breakout, keeping stops tight and managing risk. We will become 100% invested once the breakout is confirmed.

Frustrierend, man kann nur hoffen die beiden Madmen von Morales und Chaves loesen sich bald in Luft auf.

Ein politischer Poker wie bei den anderen Minen in Bolivia und Venezuela.

Wer nicht mitspielen will der soll halt verkaufen.

Just do it , Milly

Gruss

XEX

Oft ist es umgekehrt, wenn der POG faellt dann verhaelt sich der HUI anders so wie gestern wo der POG gestiegen ist.

Der Ratio ist manipuliert IMO.

Wenn ich mir die RS von HUI/DJ auf der Chart anschaue dann steht der HUI dort wo der DJ 10700 Punkte war.

IMO ist selbst bei einem Crash von 12580 auf 10000 der HUI dann bei ca. 315-320.

Fuer die 6% gehe ich nicht raus und rein.

Der HUI ist schon laengst auf den Crash vorbereitet und korregiert worden sodass es nicht so schlimm kommt wie hier einige vermuten.

Just an opinion, die Zukunft wirds zeigen wie weit der HUI fallen wird.

Ich sehe dem Crash beim DJ gelassen entgegen, von mir kriegt keiner eine PM Aktie bis 375-390 HUI.

Against all odds, I stay contrarian :D..nur nicht mit den Schafen mitlaufen.

Die Meinung das der HUI mit dem DJ faellt kann diesmal falsch sein, schaut nur wie gut sich der HUI mit dem POG haelt bei dem starken Dollar bis jetzt.

Gold entkoppelt sich von vielen Sachen, der HUI folgt halt spaeter, so what !

Momentan steigt Gold in allen Waehrungen was mal ein guter Anfang ist.

Wie viele Idioten die PM Aktien bei einen steigenden POG und gleichzeitig fallenden DJ verkaufen um ihr Geld aus dem Markt zu ziehen wird sich zeigen.

Die glauben sie koennen spaeter viel billiger den HUI kaufen.

Ob sie sich dabei nicht verrechnen ist eine andere Frage.

Ich halte und warte ab was sich noch im mittleren Osten abspielt was unsere Theorie der HUI wird fallen aus dem Fenster haun kann.

Ausserdem was soll bei den PM Aktien gross fallen wenn fast keiner drin ist im Vergleich zum DJ.

Gruss

XEX

Das PPT bestimmt wann der Crash kommt.
Das PPT hat seit Dezember und Anfang Januar schon versucht mit allen Mitteln den HUI und XAU zu haemmern.
Ich glaube selbst bei einen Crash am DJ passiert nicht viel beim HUI.
Vielleicht kommt es anders und der steigt bzw. haelt sich ohne erst zu fallen ?..... who knows ?
Ich lasse mich ueberraschen und halte die Stellung weil so viele davon ausgehen das der HUI mit dem Dow fallen wird und bereits jetzt schon reagieren in dem der HUI nicht reagiert wenn der POG steigt.
Eventuell faellt leicht der HUI oder stagniert vor dem DJ und steigt dann wenn der DJ faellt ?... schon mal an das gedacht ?

Gruss

XEX

Nodollar, kannst schon Recht haben was du sagst, wer weiss vielleicht kommt es anders als du denkst.
Glaube auch das erstmal das physische Gold und die ETF's gefragt ist und dann erst die Minenwerte bei einem Crash.
Fuer die paar Wochen lohnt es sich nicht auszusteigen, obwohl man 10-20% dabei sparen koennte.
Die frustrierten Anleger machen das was das PPT beabsichtigt , irgendwas ist da faul was am Freitag ab 14 Uhr in NYSE gelaufen ist.
Ich vermute GS und JPM haben mit wenigen Aktien den HUI manipuliert um Leute wie Euch zu verkaufen zu bewegen.
Das rein und raus macht Taschen leer, was immer ihr macht.....

Good Luck !

XEX

dau2006

Einige von Euch sind entaeuscht was den HUI angeht und fuerchten den allgemeinen Crash auf den Maerkten der den HUI mit runterziehen kann.
Wie erwaehnt ich warte so oder so auf 375-400 HUI bevor ich daran denke Aktien zu verkaufen
und gehe das Risiko ein selbst bei einen Rueckfall auf die 310-320 HUI.
Das der HUI unter 300 faellt kann ich mir selbst bei einen DJ Crash nicht vorstellen.
Jetzt raus und dann wieder rein koennte passieren das Euch der Zug vor der Nase wegfaehrt und ausser Spesen nichts gewesen.
Es hat fuer mich den Anschein das die Minenwerte manipuliert sind vom Cartel oder einige Hedgefunds glauben das ist der Hoehepunkt bei den Minen.
Die Sache stinkt, darum bleibe ich drin und reite das aus.
Wer jetzt schon zittert der soll mal anfangen zu verkaufen.

Ja warum hat man PM Aktien, weil die angeblich 2-3 mal hoeher steigen als der POG oder POS sagt man.
Leider ist davon nicht zu sehen, kommt aber spaeter fuer den der Geduld hat.

Im long run gehe ich auf 50/50 Minen und physisches Gold dann ist man weniger entaeuscht.

Gruss

Eldo

Expect the unexpected, POG up, HUI down.
Damit rechnen die wenigsten, heute hat das PPT den Deckel auf den HUI gedruckt zur Abwechslung.
GS kam vom Lunch um 14 Uhr und haute drauf mit geborgten Aktien IMO.

Auf den Huiiii heisst es warten, laenger als bei Gold.

Gnight

XEX