Der sehr erfahren Roger Wiegand mit seiner Einschätzung
Deutliche Bevorzugung von Gold derzeit, Gründe:
Das hatten wir schon öfter hier: Beim nächsten UP (--wann ??--) folgt Silber dem Gold...
"...Commodities Were Smashed. What About Gold And Silver?
“They dug up an ancient Chinese emperor awhile back who was encased in jade. I prefer gold.” –Ed Koch, Former Mayor of New York City
“We have lowered price forecasts across (all) commodities, except gold.” -Goldman Sachs, Global Investment Research, 9-30-08
As we continually re-evaluate our favorite markets and the others affecting our best trading ideas, we see, at least for the time being, more power in gold than in silver. Do not misunderstand. Silver is among our favorites but is temporarily dragging behind gold investing and trading for now as it’s mostly perceived to be a commercial metal. 
When gold really gets to moving, silver will play catch-up with perhaps a few weeks of lag-time. Catch-up time is when we see a consumer belief silver is a precious metal and a currency; not just something used to make DVD circuits operate or fill teeth.
We must see a solid recovery period with markets’ stabilization not only in metals but in the primary shares’ index trading group. For now, volatility remains too high accompanied with too much drama and fear. Analysts, observers, traders and the man and woman on the street remain apprehensive while some are scared silly.
This negative effect can only be removed with a quiet, soothing reassurance from banks and other lenders, seconded by small business that frozen credit has begun to thaw. We’re not suggesting PR talky-talk but actual news that real loans and cash are on the move.
Gold trading, including futures, shares, options and coins tell us gold is leading the way toward our objectives. Silver is not dormant but has based and tried to rally with a whimper.
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Jesse Livermore’s book told us he made more money waiting and watching than trading. We agree. Let the dust settle before becoming too overly-active in your trading. Some of the most successful traders wait a lot and trade very little. How ever, they get real busy when the time is right. With all of these new and wild trillions-billions in cash being thrown around over the world, we know inflation is building. We also know, people are prone to making drastic, irrational moves in this environment. Please be careful and no trading without stops.
The dollar is stable for now but soon it resumes the fundamental selling drama. Major trends have not changed in years. We went from over-bought to over-sold in all commodities including gold and silver. In previous precious metal rallies, there have been other -50% haircuts followed by larger rallies making the prelude look puny by comparison.
We think this happens again. No whining. Just wait and stay on the gold and silver course. Those folks at Goldman Sachs are acknowledged to be among the best traders in the world. When they like gold so do we. From our view, their new, positive gold statements reinforce our old forecasts. They are almost always trading winners.
We think with October market dangers the PPT will continue to prop their little hearts out not permitting the Dow and S&P 500 to get out of control. Volatility remains wild, but the very short term trend for big index shares is bullish until November 5th...."
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Whatever you do, make a concerted effort to stay with the trend and hang onto your core holdings of preferred shares, cash, and coins. Physical gold should never be sold or, traded but rather accumulated steadily on a monthly savings plan and squirreled away...."
http://www.kitco.com/ind/Wiegand/oct152008.html
