Thai Guru's Gold und Silber ... (Informationen und Vermutungen)

Edel Man

Kann sein, egal doppelt haelt besser, der Bericht ist ja vom 27 September. Gold auf 565, da sollte man Gewinnmitnahmen machen.
Interessant nun zu vergleichen wie die Vorhersage von Mahendra war bis Freitag letzter Woche.

PREDICTIONS FOR THIS WEEK: 31 OCTOBER TO 4 NOVEMBER

GOLD

Last week gold remained range bound. On Monday this week, it will trade weakly while it should be positive on Tuesday. On the other hand, Wednesday should give way to a mixed trend while falling on Thursday. Friday will once more have a mixed trend.

Overall, planetary movements indicate more negative force and gold will therefore trade in the weak range.

For this week, spot gold will trade in the range of $474.10 to $462.80. I don’t recommend any long position in gold even if a negative situation arises with Syria.
(Es ging sogar auf 456.20)

AVOID TRADING - Tuesday to Friday does not have positive planetary movements and I therefore advise that you remain out of the market. No day trading is recommended as whenever there are negative combinations I try to finish my pending work- I recommend that you likewise do the same. REDUCE POSITION IN ALL AREAS AND WE SHALL START TRADING AGGRESSIVELY FROM NEXT WEEK.

SILVER

This week you should avoid trading silver as I see major volatility on the way and prices may sharply fall on some occasions and strongly rise once again. I don’t see it trading above $7.95 and you should therefore trade accordingly. It may actually fall to $7.52, but if it crosses $7.95 and trades above it for the first three days, then I shall give a new recommendation.

PLATINUM/PALLADIUM/COPPER

From this week, a negative period is starting for platinum, palladium and copper. For the last one month copper has been going down and bouncing back but not crossing $183.80 - that is a negative sign.

TRADE CAREFULLY IN ALL METALS BECAUSE THE CURRENT TIME IS NOT VERY POSITIVE.

TREASURY BOND

This week the bond price should remain positive from Friday. I recommend gradual buying of the thirty year bond.

STOCK MARKET

The stock market remained weak in the previous week and I expect the same from Tuesday this week. The Indian market fell sharply and many other markets did the same. This week European and USA market should remain weak from Tuesday and should touch another quarterly low. Asian market may try to gain but they will also start losing battle against bear from Wednesday.

OIL

Last week recommended it buy for few weeks. I recommend that one avoids trading oil this week as prices will be very volatile. Even if they are stable, avoid trading oil and wait for my recommendation or alert.

CURRENCIES

The Dollar index has been trading range bound. It has been trading at a very important level with the financial community very closely watching all technical support and resistance levels. A big fight is going on and it will be quite interesting to see how the dollar triumphs over other currencies. All currencies will remain very volatile from Tuesday to Thursday and the dollar will finally rise strongly. Wait for next week as I shall also write on the future of the Euro.

This week, the Australian dollar, Rand and other side currencies will move onto a downward trend. One should therefore trade accordingly. The Euro and Pound should also similarly fall sharply.

Important note: Once again, let me say that the current week is not a positive one according to planetary movements. You should therefore trade cautiously or even no need to trade markets, currencies and commodities. This is also a good time to conclude all pending work or accounts.

During this I am also expecting bad news for world financial market as well as related to all areas of it. I can hear the negative wave but unfortunately unable to see clearly, if get it; I will put it in alert.

@ Insterburg

No Problem, hier noch eine Bubble, ich bin so weit suedlich wie moeglich

@ Aladin,

thank`s a lot !

INSTERBURG

@HW

Nun verstehe ich was du gemeint hast.
Stellt man fest wenn man die anbeisst.

Ich habe Goldex im Depot, aber die sind in Guatemala,hoerte sich so aehnlich an wie Globex.

Geniesst den Rest von Wochenende, Kraft schoepfen fuer die naechste Runde.

Hoffentlich halten die 450 und der HUI auf 215, mal schaun wie stark das Netz ist naechste Woche

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK
BEGINNING NOVEMBER 7, 2005

Short-Term Geocosmics:

With other markets, we note that both precious metals and currencies (against the Dollar) fell hard last week. Gold is already in our first support area of 450 +/- 10. But I think Gold can even fall below 420, which would start to look like a great buy for the longer-term. It would kick in our “Crisis Market” portfolio (convert U.S. Dollars to Gold and other currencies).

The week will begin with a Sun-Mars-Neptune T-square on Monday. Psychologically, this implies a very passive-aggressive characteristic. The Sun-Mars wants to fight, and appear courageous. But the square to both from Neptune implies that such aggression would be foolish, especially given that Mars is retrograde (through December 10). Under such a configuration, acts of aggression usually result in losses or embarrassment. They are not well-advised. It terms of equity markets, this can also coincide with a short-term and possibly sharp reversal, lasting perhaps 2-8 trading days.

Next weekend, Mercury will begin its retrograde motion, joining Mars as “appearing” to move backwards through the skies. The planet of sales and communications will be in retrograde motion through December 3. With both planets retrograde, technical areas of support and resistance may be almost a joke. The rule of the day is more likely to be fake-outs, where the market looks like it is going to take off or fail badly, only to reverse again 1-4 days later. On November 15, Uranus will end its retrograde motion and start moving direct again. With Mercury and Uranus both changing directions within a day of one another, we can expect a lot of volatility and short but sharp price swings. We can also anticipate some very bizarre and incredulous ideas to be proposed by world or business leaders, for these two “intellectual planets” are in square to one another, from the restless mutable sign types, no less. There are no boundaries to what people can think! But ask yourself: is there any practical sense to this? Probably not. And the same will be asked of financial markets: is there any practical sense why markets are doing what they are doing now, given the news stories? Probably not. This will not likely be a time in which logic or common sense is rewarded. Acts of kindness could give way to acts of insanity and exaggeration in the next two weeks (if they haven’t already). And that in turn may give way to acts of aggression (not advised!), as Mars will square Saturn (November 18 ) , with Saturn turning stationary direct on November 22 (very cold or very hot).

But the biggest signature we need to keep in our view is Jupiter in waning trine to Uranus November 27. That signature alone may be enough to keep equity prices up, with several big rallies, probably into early December. This is a huge 14-year signature that has a 78% correlation to primary or greater cycles within just 8 trading days. It could be a top of great importance. The historical odds of it being a crest rather than a trough are 3:1.

Ps. Ich denke mal bei solchen POG wie er jetzt schon ist sollten genug Kaeufer auftauchen die baldige Unterstuezung geben.

What occurred on Friday was as dramatic a market manipulation as we have ever seen. It defied common sense and cut across both the gold and dollar markets. The dust has cleared from Friday’s market nonsense and what we can now observe is the strongest of suggestions the US is under enormous financial market stress. As a result, they have pulled out all the stops to keep potential chaos from kicking into becoming reality.

Let us lay out the scene first:

*President Bush’s popularity poll numbers keep shrinking and are in the high 30’s across the board. Should the US stock and real estate markets be nailed, his numbers will disappear.

*Unending problems in Iraq, the developing scandal why we went there in the first place, and growing deficit problems are finally seeing the light of day in toto and finally having their effect. The US stock market was propped up by the PPT last Friday and caught fire for an entire week. However, US intermediate/long-term interest rates are on the move higher. Efforts by the Fed and others to keep these rates from rising to problematical levels are failing as the rates of the key 10-year T note and 30-year bond have blown decisively through strong resistance. The move up in both has been orderly. Should they blow out from here, the ensuing higher rates are going to affect both the stock and real estate markets in a meaningful way, which will be anything but constructive.

The US is desperate to keep the foreigners financing our debt. Without their support, our goose is cooked. There is an important US Treasury debt auction next week. To make sure the foreigners stay in the game, it is imperative they retain their confidence in the US and in our markets … not an easy task with what is going on in Washington. One simplistic way for the US to achieve its short-term goals was to ramp up the dollar and knock gold down. The scenario for the coming Treasury auction was laid out brilliantly by Mike Hartman at http://www.financialsense.com. From Thursday’s MIDAS:

"Overall I don’t expect to see much from gold and silver over the next week or so until the Treasury auctions are out of the way. I have yet to see any noteworthy price movements during the three days of "quarterly refunding." Keep a close eye on gold to see a re-test of $460. In the past, the Friday and Monday just prior to the auctions have seen the short sellers come into the gold pit with guns blazing! I’m not saying it’s going to happen, just noting patterns from prior auctions…they have a tendency to repeat! It is absolutely imperative for the Treasury to sell all its debt…just watch next week while the markets appear to be in a coma until the debt is sold."

Special Roundtable:
Are the markets rigged?
Diskussion mit James Turk (goldmoney), Bill Murphy (GATA, lemetropolecafe), Chris Powell (GATA)
Wer noch Zeit hat, sollte mal reinhören.

Hallo,

man liest selten so eine klare Positionierung zum Gold ohne Wenn und Aber in den öffentlichen Medien:

"In den vergangenen Wochen ist der Preis zwar etwas zurückgegangen. "Doch das sind Gewinnmitnahmen", sagt Eberhardt Unger, Volkswirt des unabhängigen Analysehauses Fairesearch. Vor allem Spekulanten machen derzeit Kasse. "Unabhängig davon sind die mittelfristigen Aussichten für den Goldpreis sehr gut", glaubt er jedoch. Er erwartet schon bald neue Höchststände. Auch Martin Siegel, Berater des PEH-Q Goldminenfonds, rechnet mittelfristig mit Kursen von 600 bis 700 Dollar. "Und wenn irgendwann die Goldbestände der Zentralbanken ausverkauft sind, könnte der Kurs locker über 1000 Dollar steigen", prophezeit er.

Für europäische Anleger ist besonders interessant, daß auch sie neuerdings davon profitieren. Seit dem Beginn der jüngsten Goldpreishausse verlief die Entwicklung stets umgekehrt proportional zum Dollarkurs. Gab die US-Währung nach, stieg der Kurs des Edelmetalls. Da Gold fast ausschließlich in Dollar gehandelt wird, hatten Europas Investoren nichts davon.

Doch seit einigen Monaten ist dies anders. Obwohl der Dollarkurs weitgehend stabil ist, stieg der Goldpreis weiter. "Immer mehr Marktteilnehmer setzen auf Rohstoffe, um sich damit gegen die Inflationsgefahren zu schützen", erklärt Michael Blumenroth, Edelmetallhändler bei der Deutschen Bank, das Phänomen. Die Teuerungsgefahren erzeugen also den alten Reflex, in Gold zu investieren, auf beiden Seiten des Atlantiks und unabhängig von Devisenkursen.

Zwar beschwichtigen Notenbanker und Finanzminister noch. Die Teuerungsrate sei nur durch die gestiegenen Energiekosten so hoch. Die "Kerninflationsrate" dagegen, die um diesen Effekt bereinigt ist, sei sehr moderat. "Der Rechentrick mit der Kernrate hat mit der Realität aber nichts zu tun", sagt Volkswirt Unger. Es dauere einfach länger bis die Preissteigerungen von der Ebene der Rohstoffe zu den Produzenten und über Groß- und Einzelhandel bis zum Konsumenten durchdringen. Diese Ansicht scheinen immer mehr Anleger zu teilen.

Doch auch sonst sprechen die meisten Argumente für einen weiter steigenden Goldpreis. "Das Angebot wird nicht zunehmen", sagt Siegel. In den letzten Jahren seien durch die großen Minenbetreiber keine neuen großen Vorkommen entdeckt worden.

Gleichzeitig steigt aber die Nachfrage. In vielen asiatischen Ländern ist Gold traditionell eine beliebte Anlageform und mit einer wachsenden Mittelschicht steigt der Bedarf. So legte der Goldabsatz in China nach Angaben des World Gold Council im ersten Halbjahr um über 50 Prozent zu....."

kompletter Artikel

Gold May Be a Good Bet as Growth Slows

Es geht wieder Bergauf so wie es heute ausschaut. :))

Die Wirtschaft waechst wahrscheinlich weil es viel Arbeit und Material fuer die Hurrican Schaeden gibt. Geld ist jetzt da, just print it !
Ob die Leute noch so viel Geld fuer Goldschmuck haben weiss ich nicht. Die Prognose das Gold bei 500 $ bis Ende des Jahres ist setzt vorraus das nun bad news kommen sollten was ich nicht glaube. Die luegen und immer was anderes vor und manipulieren die Maerkte so wie sie es brauchen.

Aber irgendwann kommt dann die Realitaet und der wakeup call.

XAX

Hat jemand eine Ahnung wie der Silberbedarf im letzten Jahr war.
Auch was produziert wurde, ich hatte mal die daten die beim letzten PC crash sich verabschiedet haben.
Ich hab da auch eine Frage im Junior thread reingelegt wie es dann ausschauen koennte wenn die alle anfangen zu produzieren.

Thanx und Gnight

XAX