Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

Danke Edelman

Die Sonne scheint bei blauen Himmel in Kapstadt, was will man mehr.

Gold scheint spaeter.

germoney

Ich glaube das wollen wir alle:

""Möchte meine Kinder noch durch das Chaos hindurchleiten.""

Have a nice day

Eldo

John Rubino auf Gold Radio (MP3)

May 25 - We take a look at James Turk's latest piece (courtesy of the Daily Reckoning) "The Battle for $700"
The Gold Cartel... plus news and John's views on the latest trend in the US housing market.

16 minuten:

http://www.howestreet.com/gold…aeeaf139e9ed6e1d1e9e9ccf2

Don' t worry about Gold:

Jay Taylor 22.5.07

http://www.howestreet.com/gold…aeeaf139e9ed6e1d1e9e9ccf2

John Embry am 16.Mai:

Gold Strategies
http://www.howestreet.com/fbn/…aeeaf139e9ed6e1d1e9e9ccf2

The cartel is scrambling, terrified they won’t be able to find enough physical gold to hold off the gold buying hoards.

Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster

Zihlmann Recommendations : (USD)

http://www.pzim.ch/file_upload…/31_0_usdollarindex-8.pdf

John Embry hat in seinen Fond 6.1% Silver physisch.

Sprott PM Fond Holdings as from 31.March 2007

Top 25 Holdings

http://www.sprott.com/pdf/repo…ure%20-%20Gold%20Fund.pdf

Video...nochmal

http://www.howestreet.com/fbn/…aeeaf139e9ed6e1d1e9e9ccf2

Gold Radio Seek Broadcast

May 26th Show:

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1180411200.php

New US Naval War Games -

Tensions Escalate in the Persian Gulf & North Korea...

Milly

Wenn du genau hinschaust hat John Embry 6.1% in Silver Bullion selbst wenn er Certificates und Bullion schreibt im Portfolio.
Er sagte in dem Interview er hat ein wenig abgebaut mit Silber physisch und nun wieder in Silberaktien gesteckt die er fuer preiswert findet.
Embry ist bestimmt kein Fan von ETF's .

Er sagte auch er sieht einen POG von 850 USD bis Jahresende.
Ob wir ihn sehen ist eine andere Frage.

Bereits von einem anderen Mitglied gepostet:

Fuellt Euch nun die Taschen mit....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6bOR3NP20A

Wer ein Herz aus Gold hat:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HDZ8JW7yuzk

Gruss

XEX

Mahendra am 25. Mai 2007:

http://mahendraprophecy.com/LatestFlash.asp?Id=293&Page=1

...Here are tips for medium term gold investors:

Ø I recommend aggressively buying gold and silver in the month of August. Therefore keep your cash ready -and many must have been keeping cash as I have been recommending a negative trend in metals for the last two weeks and it occurred. Those who would like to enter at this stage must avoid future contracts but buy position in the call option for December 2007.

Ø Short-term gold investors should simply wait and watch. Once planetary indications reveal a sufficiently strong buying indication, I shall immediately write to you. For the short-term, a bull market is on the way in 2007 where gold will have a sudden rise of 25 percent in five weeks, and I am quite confident that I will give you adequate notice before the start of this period.

Ø There is a very interesting time ahead for metal investors as a sharp rise and correction will bring many opportunities for money making. However, one has to carefully guard against one word; that is being a gold bug. Emotional attachment may prevent one from fully taking advantage and selling at the right time, for instance in 2004 when there was a fall in gold and silver prices in the month of April to June as well as in 2005 and 2006 when sharp corrections came about and gold went from $725 to $540.

This week I see stability in gold prices but the short-term indication from planetary movements is still not very encouraging. One should therefore avoid taking big positions in gold.

Ø On Monday gold will trade sideways but gain in the last hour of New York trading.

Ø On Tuesday gold will trade sideways and within a very narrow trading range but weak day.

Ø Gold will begin to get weak on Wednesday in the New York trading session.

Ø On Thursday gold will remain weak and may gain in the last hour from low of the day,

Ø While Friday it will trade in a narrow range.

Ø On the overall therefore, the trading range for gold will be $654.80 to $664.80.
If prices break either side (especially on the downward side, then one should expect a fall of more than one percent).

SILVER

This week silver will follow the trend of the gold market except Tuesday and Thursday. On Thursday and Friday, I see silver trading a bit positively than gold. The trading range for silver this week will be $12.55 to $13.05, and in any case it shouldn’t break $12.55, the magic number. This is because astrologically, this is an important figure which could compel silver to fall ten percent or more if broken. We shall however be watching the situation and I will update you accordingly, but at this stage it doesn’t seem likely to fall below $12.55.

STOCK MARKET

I have been quite wrong on the European markets for the last two months and I therefore don’t want to write any more predictions on the market this week.
What I can say is the same thing; that a sharp correction is coming any time and it could be from Wednesday in the European market.
Last week I mentioned and we got out from hedging position of the USA stock market, and indeed I will be net short in the European market from Monday.

A few months back I recommended that those who don’t want to take risks by naked short position could buy puts for December 2007 as well as September 2007, and many people have confirmed that they did those trades. I am therefore quite sure that whoever will buy puts in European markets will gain handsomely; maybe not in the short-tem but definitely in the medium term.

IMPORTANT NOTE: Markets could trade sideways or powerful hands may try to keep it around this level, but that can only last for this week as I am 100 percent sure about the fall of the market beginning next week.

Should Central Banks manipulate the gold price?

In today's world, perhaps Central Bank intervention to control the gold price may not be counter to the gold investor's interests as the alternative could be a precursor to global economic collapse.

Author: Lawrence Williams
Posted: Sunday , 27 May 2007

LONDON -

"If there is one single element around which civilisations have risen or fallen it is gold. Since the very beginnings of organized society, untold legions of men have toiled for it, fought for it and all too often died for it. Great nations, and even whole civilizations have been known to wither and die for it. Like it or not, gold has occupied a central place in the affairs of man throughout his recorded history and, like it or not, it may yet decide the future of the United States, or even the ultimate destiny of Western civilization itself"

So wrote Donald J. Hoppe in the introduction to his book "How to invest in gold stocks and avoid the pitfalls" back in 1972 - a publication in which many sentiments expressed then may be valid today although of course the whole investment scenario has changed dramatically and some of the good points made in his book at the time are no longer valid.

I was privileged back in the early seventies to have provided some of the figures and ideas on which this book was based as I was then editor of Mining Journal's Quarterly Review of South African Gold Shares which provided information on the great majority of the gold stock investment opportunities at a time when South Africa really dominated world gold production.

Since then, world production patterns have changed, and it now looks like South Africa has not many years ahead of it as the world's largest producer of the metal, and new mine supply is struggling to counteract the fall in production as old mines close or become depleted.

But coming back to Donald Hoppe's statement, a possible lack of increase in new mine supply is dwarfed by the potential impact of the collapse of world currencies - notably the US dollar and those which depend on it - and, as he put it, on ‘Western civilisation itself'. Many gold watchers believe in a ‘conspiracy' by the Central Banks to keep down the gold price - as has been seen recently by the impact of increased ECB sales just as the yellow metal threatened to break back above $700 an ounce again.

If indeed there is a concerted effort by banks to defuse the rise in gold price, it is perhaps not so much an anti-gold move, though, but an attempt to protect currencies and defuse the prospect of a total collapse in the US dollar. Gold investors may see this policy, if it exists, as an unjustifiable intervention in the natural scheme of things but, on the other hand, I don't really think we would want to see a collapse in the dollar with the worldwide financial and political chaos which could ensue.

Does the precious metals market need war or global strife? Neal Ryan of Blanchard & Co. posed this question in a recent research note to clients. His answer to his own question was as follows:

"Short answer, no. In the last six years, gold has nearly tripled and silver and platinum have tripled in price, we've seen one of the largest and longest global economic expansions in history. The reason has been fundamental changes in the market. Less production, more investor demand. Smaller central bank sales, more dehedging by miners. Investors have been looking for diversification, China legalized gold ownership."

"Will war and terrorism and all that other nasty stuff help out precious metals? Of course because of the flight to defensive asset classes, but it's not a necessity for the market to continue appreciating in price."

Ryan's point is that gold investors should not wish for a scenario which could be to the detriment of Western society as a whole. Strife and chaos may be the ultimate in gold price boosters, but in today's world with potential availability of weapons of mass destruction to terrorist organisations, no-one would be safe - not even those sitting at home in the US.

A collapse in the dollar and a corresponding total decimation of the US economy would leave the world rudderless and chaos could ensue.

Lets hope it doesn't happen.

Gold investors should wish for an orderly rise in the price of gold, rather than a dramatic one. Perhaps Central Bank intervention may help this be achieved. I, personally, do not think that Central Bank activity can significantly depress the gold price long term, but it can mitigate against the kind of dramatic increase which could be the precursor to worldwide financial collapse which would, in reality, be to the benefit of no-one.

http://www.swgold.com/s/home.asp

Danke, Danke...ich zaehlte ein Jahr zurueck und bleibe 50
Mit shorting geht das noch einige Zeit .

Have a nice day

Eldo

Hier etwas von LMC:

The Market Force indicator (the red line) has fallen back to the lower support line which is the Hard Deck. (see chart)

The gold price pulled back a little more than I predicted coming in with a low of around $653 for the move. The re-test of the lower support line for the Market Force again yields a very low risk entry point for gold. In the bull market to date this lower support line has never been violated and I don’t expect it will be violated this time.

What is fascinating is that my analysis is clearly indicating that the market dynamics favor the bulls at this juncture and that a big upleg is highly probable. With Open Interest currently at an all time high this is tantamount to predicting a commercial signal failure.

Other indicators suggest that this is a distinct possibility. Sentiment is at extremely low levels; the mining stocks can hardly catch a bid and daily volumes have almost dried up.
Even long term gold bulls are bearish in the short term as they expect that the Cartel will pull another rabbit out of the hat at this all time high Open Interest level.

What makes me think that the cartel will lose this battle is that the market has dramatically changed. The physical market is absorbing record levels of gold dishoarding from the ECB, while similar levels of dishoarding cratered the POG by 200/oz just one year ago.

Gold has shrugged off talks of IMF gold sales, something that made weak longs head for the exit in the past. The longs seem very determined. They appear to be a lot less sensitive to price movements, which is characteristic of longs who want to take delivery, which is the Achilles heel of the cartel.

Gold production is shrinking and prominent hedgers are rushing to cover.

I have shown even more detailed analysis to Bill Murphy, that I don’t wish to publish, that suggests even more strongly that we have a different set of buyers on the long side.

This is, in my opinion, the most positive and comprehensive set up for gold that we have ever seen in this bull market.

We should not have to wait too long for this to be resolved. My guess is that we have a very good chance of breaking into all time record territory of $850/oz in the coming weeks to months.

We have bounced off the lower support line of the Market Force Indicator twice in the last few months and these have turned out to be false starts for the next really big upleg. We may get some more false starts but I tend to doubt it because there are too many opportunistic fresh shorts.

Cheers,

Adrian Douglas

May 26, 2007

Ps. Ich denke mir nachdem ich nun einige Vorraussagen gelesen habe die fast gleich sind und die mit meinen Bauchgefuehl vergleicht habe das bis Oktober eine deftige Korrektur in den Maerkten und USD kommt und Gold locker bis auf 790+> USD ansteigt 2007.
Mahendra redet von einen Anstieg von 25% innerhalb von 5 Wochen nach dem Crash, denke ich mal.
Vielleicht steigt der Dow bis auf 14.000 bis die Bombe platzt, alles ist kurzfristig moeglich.

Man sagt wenn die Maerkte fallen und die Leute Cash aus dem Markt nehmen dann fallen auch die PM Aktien.Das passierte aber schon im Januar, IMO wenn der ""Crash"" kommt wird es diesmal nicht schlimmer als es momentan schon ist beim HUI/POG. Selbst viele Astrologen und Mahendra sind nun der selben Meinung, irgendwas passiert nun bis Oktober, egal wie gross/klein dieser Crash wird.

Entweder A-B-C was kann passieren bei einem allgemeinen Crash?:

http://www.hartgeld.com/filesa…7-52_GoldminenImCrash.pdf

Ist das nun der absolute Boden 2007 bei den PM Aktien/POG/POS.?
Nun Geduld, Ende August sind diese Kurse und Preise bei den Metals vorbei und wir haben diese Korrektur vergessen.

Ich denke mir der Boden ist da, ich bin nicht der einzige der das glaubt.

Hier ein MP3 Interview mit bullish Peter Grandich:
Hoert Euch das mal an.....

http://marketmattersradio.com/…0526_3_peter_grandich.mp3

Von Bullion Market Insights:

http://www.goldsilverbullion.com/BullionMarketInsights.htm

May 17, 2007: Buying Opportunity of the Year.

Geeze, we just can't get past $700 per ounce on Gold, the Golden Bull Market must be dead! Precious Metals investors have all of the conviction of a 2008 Presidential Candidate. I have told everyone who cared to listen that protecting one's financial well-being in the years ahead was not going to be a cakewalk. One can expect and should expect, many bumps in the Yellow Brick Road to this lofty, yet attainable goal of relative financial safety with precious metals investments.

I try not to be too technical in my discussions of the bullion markets, since every black box program out there is looking at the same technical chart patterns, oscillators, and statistical data. But if I am correct, we have been down in the $655 region for gold off of interim highs some 3 times now, and I think we just went through our last, false start higher. Meaning, when the dust settles over the next several weeks or even days, we will spurt ahead like none of this indecisive trading ever happened. This is how markets shake the weak hands out, and get them to either totally capitulate or force them to buy back in at much higher prices after selling in panic toward the recent lows. Just be a long-term investor in this asset class, and these weekly/ monthly squiggles will do nothing to shake your conviction or success in a decade's or two-decade's long bull market in the precious metals.

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Herr Murenbeeld's Economic Monitor vom Mai , der sieht auch den USD bei knapp 80 INDX sowie 1.39 - 1.41 $/Euro im Juli/August 2007

IMO ,der USD bekommt z.Zt. nur eine Vitaminspritze vom PPT die aber nur bis mitte Juli - Anfang August wirkt.

Mit viel Glueck steigt er noch auf 83 an dass wars aber dann.

Unter der 80 USD/IDX wirkt dann keine mehr, die Flucht aus dem Dollar beginnt im grossen Stil und die Edelmetalle steigen enorm an.

Die 8 -10 Wochen kann ich auch noch abwarten.

Last chance to trade in your USD !

http://www.murenbeeld.com/Downloads/0705-EconomicMonitor.pdf