Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

Irgendwann ist Schluss mit den Goldverkaeufen vom IMF und der EZB, das ist so sicher wie das Amen in der Kirche.
Die werden jeden Tag schwaecher und die Chinesen z.B staerker.
Abwarten und gelassen sein heisst die Devise, wer das ganze langfristig sieht hat nichts zu befuerchten.
Die nur kurz in den PM Markt investieren wollen die werden sich wundern.
In dem Markt haut es einen teilweise bis 25% rauf und runter, nichts fuer schwache Nerven.
Darauf muss man sich einstellen und auch verdauen koennen, diesen kurzfristigen Papierverlust.
Die Chinesen/ Russsen/Inder/Araber lachen sich doch ins Faeustchen wenn man die Edelmetalle pruegelt.

MfG

XEX

Am 23 Juni ist das Bretton Woods Abkommen von Nixon 36 Jahre alt.
Es wurde geschaffen um uferlos Geld zu drucken ohne irgendeine Deckung. Es kommt als Inflation zurueck... hier eine Aussage von einen anderen Astrologen:

Das 2008 beginnende 10. Septar weist mit einem Widder-AC und einem Mars in Haus zehn im Steinbock eine Anlage auf, die sowohl für Krieg wie aber auch für staatliche Zwangsmaßnahmen in ihrer schärfsten Ausprägung geeignet sind. Letzteres ist natürlich bei einem Zusammenbruch der gesamten Sozialstruktur leicht vorstellbar. Auf jeden Fall wird ab Frühjahr 2008 jedwede liberale Maske fallengelassen werden. Das Wort Kapitulation leitet sich vom lateinischen caput = Kopf und dem Partizip des unregelmäßigen verbums ferre = tragen (ferre, ferro, tuli, latum) ab und bedeutet soviel wie als Besiegter dem Sieger den Kopf hintragen.

Die erstmögliche Auslösung des Mars-Neptun steht praktisch schon vor der Haustür und zwar vom 27. bis 31. Mai 2007. Das wäre der direkte Überlauf. Mitte September 2007 steht der Ryhthmus im Quadrat zu dieser Konstellation. Die Warnungen Greenspans erfolgten nicht ohne Grund. Doch selbst Greenspan wird den großen Krach wohl nicht verhindern können. Seine Worte dürften bald verhallen. Dann steigen die Kurse weiter. Bis die Blase endlich platzen wird.
Spätestens im kommenden September wird das der Fall sein.

...und dann schauen wir was die Zentralbanken dann noch auf Lager haben.

Blaubronco

Gute Idee ein Dax Put 6600, aber mit dem Dax habe ich nichts am Hut.
Dann aber den Dow Jones nicht vergessen und USD.
Ich bin hauptsaechlich in Gold/Silber, wie heisst es so schoen,Schuster bleib bei deinem Leisten.

Gruss

XEX

@Lupo..thanks

Ich bin seit 13.Mai wieder in Kapstadt, war gut, rechtzeitig am PC um den PM Tsunami auszunutzen/auszusitzen.
Ich bin wieder vom 2 Juli - 9. Juli in Minga, dann suche ich mir eine Wohnung dort.
Vorerst stecke ich das Geld in den PM Markt, dann gibt es mehr qm.
Kaernten war mir zu fad, trotzdem sehr schoene Gegend, nur mitte Juni- August sieht man dort genug Leute, ansonsten etwas fuer Rentner.
Da ist in Muenchen mehr los, ich kenne es oben drauf von frueher.
Graz war auch nicht schlecht ;)...dort sieht man huebsche Menschen.

Servus

XEX

LUPO

Alter Vampir :D..deine Liebe zu Silber schlaegt wieder durch.

Wir trinken noch einen aus mindestens Silberbechern, aus Gold trinkt nur der Papst.

XEX

Hier einige Charts von Trader Dan. (27.05.07)

http://jsmineset.com/cwsimages…8_Chart_for_5-27-2007.pdf

FIGHTING OFF CYNICS WITH GOLDEN GLOVES

by The Mogambo Guru

Lately, I get a lot of emails like "Dear Mogambo Butt-Face Moron (MBFM), I
am distraught because I listened to you and bought silver and gold like
you said to do, and they ain't done squat since then. By this time, I had
planned to be so freaking rich from buying gold and silver, and then
watching it run to astronomical heights, that I could leave my stupid
husband forever and be far, far away from here, sitting on a warm beach
somewhere, sipping a cold Pina Colada brought to me by a handsome cabana
boy named Raoul and having him rub soothing oils and scented emollients
all over my tingling body until I am writhing and moaning with pleasure."

I thought to myself, "Hey! This was starting to get good!" and was hoping
to pick up some pointers from this lucky Raoul character! So, imagine my
disappointment when the writer goes on, "So, since gold and silver did not
produce the spectacular returns I had so eagerly anticipated, I am stuck
here, I am very angry about it, and my husband is pretty disgruntled, too,
since I am now even MORE of a shrill, hateful harpy whose only pleasure in
life is trying to make him miserable enough to commit suicide just to get
the hell away from me. And don't get me started about Raoul, you
Disgusting Mogambo Puke Bag (DMPB)!"

Now, as soon as she called me a DMPB, I instantly recognized the writer as
my own wife! Ahhh! Pieces of the puzzle fall into place at last!

Too clever to let her know that I am on to her and her little game, I
casually reply "Dear Cheating Little Scumbag Whore (CLSW), The New York
Times writes that 'Representative Ron Paul of Texas, a libertarian-minded
Republican who often warns that excessive government threatens the
economy, has put his pessimism into his portfolio. If the dollar
collapses, Mr. Paul will be ready: his favorite investments are real
estate, silver and gold.'"

Then I closed my reply with "And Raoul says that you are a big, fat cow."
Hahaha!

And although the spiteful content of the email was all too distressingly
familiar, the concern is a widely-held one; why isn't gold going to the
moon in light of all of this inflationary insanity all around the world so
that we can get the hell out of here, away from our whining, suffocating
families and maybe find one lousy moment of happiness before we die?

Well, one explanation for the sorry performance of gold comes from a
Telegraph.co.uk report that "Over the past two months the Banco de España
has sold off 80 tonnes of gold, flooding the world market with enough
bullion to dampen the usual spring rally."

Plus, some other European banks sold some gold, too, and the gold ETF had
to sell some gold because some speculators bailed out.

In case you were wondering, this is all part of a desperation move by
Spain to get some money, as their "foreign reserves have plummeted to
wafer-thin levels :D, leaving the country exposed to a possible banking
crisis if the property market swings from boom to bust."

The Telegraph goes on "The Banco de España refused to comment on the
sales, leaving it unclear why reserves have fallen so low, or where the
money has gone", although "It appears the bank has been draining the
reserves to help finance the current account deficit, which has ballooned
to 9.5pc of GDP, reaching ?8.6bn in January alone."

This same current-account problem is affecting the dollar, being as it is
"the idiotic currency of an idiotic economy being run into the ground by
an idiotic Congress letting an idiotic banking system act despicably".

And the problems of the dollar will not be going away anytime soon,
either, although it has been up a little here lately. As to that, Chuck
Butler in his Daily Pfenning newsletter writes that the recent bounce in
the dollar "is simply a technical correction" in "the weak dollar trend
that began in February of 2002."

In case you were wondering how he knew that the downward trend of the
dollar started in 2002, he says "The dollar entered the weak trend when
its Current Account Deficit reached the historically telling number of
4.5% of GDP", as "fiat currencies always experienced a currency crisis any
time their deficit to GDP percentage reached 4.5%"

The Current Account deficit is now well over 6% of GDP, in case you were
wondering if things are getting any better. They obviously aren't.

And technical corrections aside, the reason that the dollar is headed down
is that (as the Current Account proves), "An asset begins a weak or strong
trend because of a fundamental reason, and the trend will not end until
that fundamental reason is corrected."

And what is that reason? A big part of it is that individual Spaniards
have acted just as stupidly as Americans, and "Spain's private sector has
amassed $600bn (£300bn) in foreign debts. Corporate borrowing is 100pc of
GDP. The overall stock of mortgages has increased sixfold in a decade.
Household debt has reached 120pc of disposable income, largely on floating
rates."

Oddly enough, this news hit my desk at the same time as a page from the
CIA's World Fact Book, which lists Spain as having the second-worst
current account deficit in the world, at $98.6 billion. Parenthetically,
the United States has the world's worst deficit at a gigantic $862.3
billion.

In case you were wondering, "Who are the top five in trade and financial
surpluses?" the answer is China ($179.1 billion), Japan ($174.4 billion),
Germany ($134.8 billion), Russia ($105 billion) and Saudi Arabia ($103.8
billion).

Until next week,

The Mogambo Guru
for The Daily Reckoning

OiVaVoi

Minen brauchen Geld, entweder von den Banken oder durch PP's.
Wenn die Banken leihen gibt es meistens ein hedge deal wie bei Ashanti z.B.
Die Banken sichern sich sehr gut ab, besser als wir.

Ich halte nichts von hedged production, der CEO von GFI auch nicht.

Bei solchen deals gewinnt meistens die Bank.

Minen wie Barrick traue ich ueberhaupt nicht, die agieren IMO fuer das PPT.

Ganz einfach, Finger weg von denen.

Gruss

Eldo

....Gold is not just rising in terms of US dollars. Gold is rising against all of the world's major currencies. There hasn't been anything like this since the great 1960-1970's bull market in gold, or to phrase that period another way, the great 1960-1970's bear market in fiat currencies.

Importantly, though gold has retreated somewhat as a result of recent central bank selling, the above charts show the impact from this central bank dishoarding has been minimal. As large as central bank intervention has been, gold prices have hardly flinched. They remain within the pennant formations formed over the past year that are consolidating the tremendous gains gold achieved from August 2005 through to May 2006.

This current bout of central bank selling will eventually pass.
When it does, we'll look back at it as we now look back on British chancellor Gordon Brown's decision in 1999 to sell one-half of that country's gold reserves, and describe this selling as Mr. Brown's decision is now being described - a colossal blunder.

So I continue to expect that gold will soon exceed US$700, and for that matter, it will also exceed C$800, £350, EUR510, SFr 840, ¥83,000, A$850 and R30,000....more here:

http://goldmoney.com/en/commentary/2007-05-27.html

Gulf gold demand rises 6.1%

By Naushad K. Cherrayil, Staff Reporter

http://archive.gulfnews.com/articles/07/05/27/10128039.html

Dubai:

Total gold consumption in the six Gulf countries in the first quarter of 2007 stood at 66.2 tonnes, an increase of 6.1 per cent compared to 62.4 tonnes in the same quarter last year, says World Gold Council (WGC) official......

...Barakat says the outlook for the second quarter is very positive with good jewellery demand in most of the key markets. As consumers are accustomed to higher prices, the gold pricing levels have become less of a deterrent.

According to analysts, gold prices are expected to touch $700 an ounce by third quarter.

Price dips have become a good buying opportunity.
Demand per head in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf region is already high compared to other countries while competition, both from other forms of jewellery and lifestyle products, is increasing.

Currencies in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries are tied to the US dollar so these countries saw the full impact of the rise in dollar prices against gold.

Bis auf das er den selben Familiennamen hat koennte das ein Woof - Woof von Elliot sein.
In seinem neuen Gremium will Spitzer nun mit den Chefs von Goldman Sachs und Citigroup zusammenarbeiten.
Sowas schafft natuerlich Vertrauen in die Boerse.
Die SEC in der Art ist ein Witz.
Es geht sicherlich rund mit den Betrug, weiter geht er bis die Blase dann endgueltig platzt.
Goldman Sachs, JPM, Citigroup und dergleichen sollte man untersuchen und nicht zusammenarbeiten !
Besonders ihre short positionen die sie haben, the so called naked shorts !
Die Typen kann man alle in einen Sack stecken und draufhaun.

--Gold should reach $762 by yearend, but may peak between $900-$950 in 2008.

--HUI could climb to 480 by yearend based upon its historic leverage to the POG, but may peak at 600-700 in 2008, reflecting a much higher POG.

IMO these are conservative estimates, which do NOT contemplate any dramatic exogenous events like an escalation of hostilities in the Middle-East. Such unpredictable events would accelerate and exacerbate the magnitudes of my forecast.

Clearly the US greenback will be riding herd on the whole shebang :D...ie if the US$ Index were suddenly hammered below 80, all time horizons would quickly shorten. To be sure the greenback will eventually reach 76 with or w/o government intervention...and consequently the POG will be pushing $1,000/oz.

A suggestion to all PM investors, patience will help determine ultimate rewards. Indubitably PMs are in the early stages of an evolving secular bull market.

Therefore, methodical accumulation and buying the dips will maximize ultimate profits going forward.

"The study of history, while it does not endow with prophecy, may indicate lines of probability."..more...

http://www.gold-eagle.com/edit…05/drdoolittle052707.html

NIA and DYODD.

Dr Doolittle :D..just wait !
28 May 2007