Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

Um den Silberpreis genau einzuschaetzen hilft auch keine Brille.

Astrologie Merriman fuer naechste Woche:

Short-Term Geocosmics

The major geocosmic signature in effect right now is the Venus retrograde, July 27 through September 8. Typically we look for a long-term cycle high or low to form within 12 days of the retrograde event, and then for many markets to embark on counter-trend moves into the direct period, +/- 10 trading days. As stated in last week’s column, “For the short-term, the high of the 4-year cycle could very well have been put in on July 17 when the DJIA topped out at 14,022. That was within 12 trading days of Venus turning retrograde, when primary or greater cycles unfold with 78% regularity (that’s huge!).” We also note that on July 27, Gold and Silver made a successful re-test to their primary cycle lows of late June. If Venus retrograde holds as it has oftentimes in the past, then those lows of July 27 should act as strong support on any downturns.

But the next two weeks should be very interesting. First, there are two Jupiter transits of some importance in effect right now. On August 2, the Sun formed a trine to Jupiter, and on Monday, August 6, Jupiter will turn direct. These are usually indicative of rallies in stocks, but they are not that strong in terms of cycle types that form. In other words, rallies into these periods may be corrective in nature, for they only rank as “level 3” and “level 2” types according to our studies reported in “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles.” Venus retrograde, on the other hand, is a powerful “level 1” type, the most powerful type of correlation to a primary or greater cycle in U.S. stocks. Thus we saw some attempts to rally off the lows last week, and there were times that the rallies were quite strong. But they didn’t last, which suggests there could be further declines this coming week, and possibly even into early September. In fact, it is even possible that if the market declines into Venus direct, the amount of the decline could eventually reach 10% and maybe even 20% from the July 17 highs, for it may even coincide with the 50-week and 4-year cycle troughs. Both of these are due any time by the end of this November – unless they already occurred in either October 2005 or July 2006. As discussed before, I don’t think they bottomed then because those declines were only 7.5 and 8.5% respectively, whereas historically there have been no cases of such 4-year cycle declines being less than 12%. Thus the most logical question is: will the decline end by the time Venus turns direct, or will it extend out to October-November?

Many analysts think the market is ready for a powerful reversal and will rally right now, probably based on the technically oversold condition of the market. They may be right, but with Venus retrograde, technical studies have a tendency to be unreliable, just as when Mercury is retrograde. We may know the answer to this between August 13 and 27, when both the Sun and Venus conjunct Saturn, and form an opposition to Neptune. You may remember prior columns dedicated to the 36-year Saturn-Neptune opposition, which finally ended June 25. Well, the themes of that signature are still with us while Mars, Venus, and Sun still transit in aspect to these two planets. Mars has just finished that “translation” this past week, and the market did make low, albeit possibly only a temporary low. But the Sun and Venus now follow in 1-3 weeks, which leaves open the possibility of another slam down during that period. On the one hand, they could also produce a reversal (i.e. rally) since the market is indeed oversold. At the very least, the same depressing themes that dominated the entire last year under Saturn-Neptune opposition, return to the news: ethics violations and cover-ups by our leaders, denial of responsibility, efforts to harm the reputation of others by creating false impressions based on inaccurate or misleading facts, and of course problems with sub-prime lenders. The wish for honor and accountability remains very strong, and without it, politicians and business leaders continue to languish in the distrust (and disgust) by the public.

Astro...Zeitdiagnose

Saturn - Uranus. Die Bewährungsprobe für das am 18. März 1988 gegründete "Plunge-Protection-Team" kommt bald

An der Wall Street mehren sich die Gerüchte, dass eine Art „Anti-Kurssturz-Team“ der US-Regierung immer dann helfend in den Markt eingreift, wenn es brenzlig wird, heißt es in einem Artikel auf handelsblatt.com. Dort ist auch nachzulesen, daß das "Plunge Protection Team" (Anti-Kurssturz-Team) vom damaligen US-Präsidenten Ronald Reagan nach dem Börsencrash 1987 mit dem Erlass Nummer 12 631 ins Leben gerufen wurde und am 18. März 1988 in Kraft trat.

Der Fügungsrhythmus steht bereits im Quadrat im Saturn-Uranus, der Entsprechungskonstellation für den (Börsen)crash als Auseinbrechen der Bestimmungsform und kulmniert Ende August, also zu einem Zeitpunkt, den ich bereits auch in anderen Strukturen als brandgefährlich bezeichnet habe.

Zusatz 4. August 2007

Im Letzten kann das PPT diagnostizieren, aber nicht eingreifen. Das zwölfte Septar des Plunge Protection Team

"Nachdem das US-PPT am Freitag versagt hat, ist ein "Schwarzer Montag" nicht ausgeschlossen!", lese gerade bei Walther K. Eichelburg. Mit meinem Hinweis lag ich in meinem am 5. Februar veröffentlichten Artikel nicht daneben. Schaue ich mir das Solar 2007 des PPT an, so ist festzustellen, daß der Fügungsryhthmus am Montag, den 6. August, exakt über den Uranus in Haus acht läuft. Ob dies nun gleich ein "Schwarzer Montag" wird, vermag ich nicht zu sagen, aber das PPT wird mit dieser Auslösung versuchen, die vorhandene Form zu sprengen, d.h. einzugreifen und das wird nicht gelingen.

Das zwölfte Septar der PPT, das wie jedes zwölfte Septar als rhythmische Vergrößerung des Inhalts des zwölften Hauses das Prinzip kennzeichnet, macht deutlich, daß das PPT im wesentlichen nur diagnostische, aber keine regulierende Funktionen hat. Dies Septar beginnt folgerichtige mit dem wirtschaftschaftlichen Krisenpunkt, dem "Hungergrad" von 2° Jungfrau und dem Merkur Ende Fisch in Haus acht. Es wird also nach Jungfrau-Art eine Form diagnostiziert, die - in Abhängigkeit vom Fisch - mit einem Neptun (Quadrat Saturn) auf der sechsten Häuserspitze die Bedingungen des Verfalls darstellen, die auch mit einem Uranus ebendort allenfalls bedingt, aber nicht grundsätzlich zu wenden sind. Das PPT kann also bestenfalls als Heulboje Warnsignale aussenden, keinesfalls aber das Ruder herumreissen

*The US financial markets are managed. The Working Group on Financial Markets crowd has taken that management to a ridiculous extreme of late. This cannot go unnoticed around the world by the SMART MONEY. For crying out loud, it could not be any more flagrant.

As a result of this management, an illusion among investors has been created that all is copacetic in US financial market land. It is not. At some point this management process is going to go bust … real world pressures and developing economic stresses will make it impossible for the PPT and Gold Cartel to contain the situation from a market management standpoint. Gold will head for the moon.

*Once "containment" is REALLY lost from the management side, the US stock and real estate markets will be battered and President Bush’s approval ratings will head for single digits. As those ratings sink and sink, confidence in the US will plunge too, adding further impetus to demand for gold.

Sehr geehrter Herr Eichelburg

vielen Dank für Ihr immenses Engagement mit Hartgeld.com. Für mich sind Sie schon lange Kult mit Ihrer Konsequenz und Rigidität das kranke Geldsystem des Westens bloßzustellen. Es wird hoffentlich bald zur Hölle fahren - wir sind schon mittendrin in diesem Prozeß.

Das Problem für ca. 98 % der Bürger wird dann sein, dass Sie nicht vorbereitet sind, wenn Ihre Wertpapiere implodieren. Das wird zu gigantischen Verlusten und meiner Meinung nach zu Verarmung von vielen Millionen Menschen führen. Die Inflation frisst ja jetzt schon das verfügbare Einkommen z. B. der Rentner und Druchschnittsverdiener geradezu auf. + 20% bei Brot, + 30% bei Butter und Milch, + 10% bei Energie etc….

Die Anzahl von Hartz IV empfängern steigt ebenfalls weiter rapide an - eine Schande was der Schröder und sein Kumpel der frühere Taxifahrer und Steinewerfer Fischer da angezettelt haben - pfui Teufel.

Werter Herr Eichelburg, ich bitte Sie unbedingt den begonnenen Weg fortzusetzen - Sie sind ein Volksaufklärer !!!

Die uns alle verarschenden Eliten das Gegenteil davon.

US to give Pentagon $460bn

2007-8-5 12:05

Washington - The US House of Representatives early on Sunday approved more money for the Pentagon but not the unpopular Iraq war, which is expected to be the subject of a major legislative clash this fall.

The defence appropriations bill passed by the House 395-13 provides $459.6bn for the Pentagon for the fiscal year starting Oct. 1, and maps out spending priorities.

The Senate has already left Washington for an August recess, and is not scheduled to vote on the defense spending bill until the autumn.

The House version pays for everything from new ships and more soldiers to a 3.5% pay raise for the military - half a percentage point more than the Pentagon sought.

It does not include an extra $147 billion in Iraq war funds that the Bush administration wants Congress to approve this autumn, around the time US Iraq commander Gen. David Petraeus reports to lawmakers on the war.

Over $600 billion in war checks have already been written for Iraq and Afghanistan.

The Democrat-majority House has voted three times this year for timetables to end US involvement in Iraq, and initially some lawmakers wanted to append pullout proposals to the Pentagon spending blueprint.

But they backed down after Democratic leaders decided to hold their fire on Iraq until September.

The House did challenge Bush's conduct of the Iraq war with one vote earlier in the week, requiring US troops get more leave at home between deployments to Iraq. Bush has threatened to veto that measure, and its future is unclear in the Senate.

More soldiers

The Pentagon spending blueprint approved on Sunday is $3.5bn less than Bush requested. The White House has criticised many provisions but stopped short of a veto threat.

The bill strikes $139 million from a missile defence project the Bush administration plans for Eastern Europe. House aides said the cut would prevent construction on a missile interceptor site in Poland, the most controversial part of the project, which has angered the Russian government.

The spending bill provides funding for an additional 7 000 Army soldiers - bringing the total to 489 000 - and 5 000 Marines, raising them to 180 000.

It also provides for improved health care for soldiers returning from Iraq and Afghanistan.

It was one of the last bills lawmakers approved in a late-night session before joining the Senate on recess, and followed days of partisan bickering over House rules, exacerbated by little sleep.

Before the vote, several lawmakers sought unsuccessfully to strike some of the many "earmarks" - pet projects that benefit lawmakers' home districts - from the defense bill.

"This bill has more than 1 300 earmarks. The notion that these had proper review is simply not reasonable," declared Rep. Jeff Flake, an Arizona Republican.

One earmark he sought to cut provides $2.5m to restore a military parade ground in San Francisco, represented by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. It stayed in the bill.

Flake challenged Rep. John Murtha, chairman of the House defense spending panel, to explain the process for awarding earmarks. A watchdog group, Taxpayers for Common Sense, said recently that Pennsylvania Democrat Murtha had sponsored more than $150m worth of earmarks in the legislation.

"We try to vet them the best we can," Murtha replied. "I don't make apologies for having earmarks ... Less than one percent of the $459bn budget was projects for members of Congress, and I think members of Congress know as well as the bureaucracy over in the White House what has to be done."

Kalle, das sind nur Meinungen die man zur Kenntnis nimmt und sich dann selber eine eigene bildet.

Hier was anderes:

CNBC's Jim Cramer becomes hysterical, :D... blaming Ben Bernanke

http://www.generationaldynamic….weblog&i=e070805#e070805

Watch here, funny how he freaks out.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cYPtCmdFCrc

@Mesodor

Da tauescht du dich, die Amis machen eine riesen Flotte von B52 Bomber mit Bunkerbomben klar und schicken noch mehr in das Gebiet.

Die Bunkerbomben sind das schlimmste was es gibt, abgesehen vom Krach hauen die einige meter Stahl durch.

Was meinst du was die noch an Bomben abladen, vielleicht brennt auch bald Pakistan da Mujaref eventuell abgesetzt wird.

Die Krise wird noch schlimmer, daher hat man so viel Geld bereitgestellt.

Just print it !

XEX

Le Metropole Members,

Served at The Hemingway Table:

Put Your Fingers in Your Ears

By: Ed Steer

04 August 2007

"Government is a disease masquerading as its own cure."

"Last week the Italian government announced that they
might consider selling some of their gold in order
to bring their huge deficit under control. The gold
market yawned.

"I believe that it was Dan Norcini over at Jim Sinclair's
site that commented that this might just be the Italian
Central Bank's way of writing off the gold it allegedly
lost during the LTCM crisis. The rumour swirling around
at the time was that LTCM went under with a 3-400 tonne
gold short position and was one of the reasons that the
Fed stepped in to organize a bailout."

Hier ein Video von Secret TV ....

http://www.secret.tv/artikel/secretNEWS_31_2586907.html

Ed Bugos tells Victor Adair retail gold trading is coming to Shanghai... what does it mean?

http://www.howestreet.com/audi…index.php/mediaplayer/245

Das ist jetzt die Frage, kann das PPT die naechste Wochen nochmals so druecken wie die letzte Woche ?

Prognosen ueber Kursziel und Zeitraum sollte man nicht zusammen machen.

Morgen dreht sich der Mond vielleicht auch der Markt.

Posted On: Friday, August 03, 2007, 7:28:00 PM EST

Gold and Dollar Market Summary

Author: Dan Norcini

Dear CIGAs,

Among the following charts that I regularly send up each week, a pair detailing the Commitments of Traders report for the gold market are also included.

There is something noteworthy to report this week. As you might recall, during the week I sent up some commentary remarking about the quite significant drop in open interest that took place in gold over the last reporting period. From last Tuesday (7-24-2007) through this Tuesday (7-31-2007), we had a sharp drop of nearly 50,500 contracts. A drop of that magnitude in such a short period of time is most remarkable.

Thankfully, for the purpose of analysis, that drop was covered by the COT report since all of it occurred over the reporting period. What a detailed breakdown of that report reveals is that there was wholesale long liquidation occurring among the speculative class, both large and small, who dumped a total of 47,473 longs. The buying by the commercial side was equally impressive as they put on 4,484 new longs but covered an incredible 44,474 existing shorts over the same period. This is where things get interesting.

Last week I remarked that the commercials had put on the largest number of brand new shorts in one week’s time that they had done in nearly two years, back when gold was trading just below $450 and they were trying to cap it there. Well, guess what? This week they turned right around and covered the LARGEST NUMBER OF EXISTING SHORT POSITIONS in one week’s time since April of 2004! It is evident that they are wasting no time in taking profits in their short futures position – perhaps they are sensing that the weakness in the dollar is going to be too much for them to try holding the line on gold for much longer.

Regardless, the result is that the fund net long position and the commercial net short position are both at levels that are more commensurate with the end of liquidation cycles in gold rather than with tops in price. If the dollar’s weakness continues into next week, gold is well positioned for an upside breakout. Preventing that will require another massive effort on the part of the bullion banks. Can they repeat their success from the previous week? Stay tuned!

Dan

@Mesodor

Man kann den Merriman auslachen oder zur Kenntnis nehmen aber wenn ich vergleiche hat er damit Recht gehabt.

Der Astrologe Merriman schreibt in seinen Buch Voraussagen 2007 das kritische Umschwungdaten fuer Gold und Silber an diesen Tagen beginnen koennten.

2007:

01.Mai (auch 24. April oder 10.Mai denkbar)..stimmte
24. bis 25.Mai ..stimmte
21.Juni (4.Juni bis 1.Juli ist insgesamt hervorgehoben !)
9.-10. Juli
31. Juli (zugetroffen)

Weiter gehts.........

9. August ( ..eventuell der letzter Schachzug vom PPT)
7. bis 10. September
10. Oktober
2. bis 5. November
12. November ( 7. bis 19. November)
10. Dezember
21. bis 24. Dezember (18. bis 30. Dezember)